BTCUSD.P trade ideas
BTC/USD Technical Outlook – Potential Bearish Continuation BelowBTC/USD Technical Outlook – Potential Bearish Continuation Below Resistance 📉🧊
Chart Overview:
The chart illustrates a clear bearish rejection from a major resistance zone (⚠️ 110,000–111,000 USD), followed by the emergence of a bearish engulfing candle 🔻 marked in orange. This move suggests selling pressure has returned after a short-term bullish rally.
Key Zones & Levels:
🔵 Resistance Zone: 110,000–111,000 USD
Price was rejected from this region with a strong bearish reaction.
🟣 Mid-level Support: 105,531 USD
Currently acting as an interim level — if broken, it may lead to deeper declines.
🔵 Support Zone: 100,500–101,500 USD
This is the next strong demand area — price previously rebounded strongly from here.
Technical Signals:
✅ Double Top Structure formation at the resistance zone, indicating trend exhaustion.
❌ Bearish Engulfing Candle near resistance, confirming reversal strength.
📉 Downward Momentum Arrow suggests possible continuation toward support.
🔻 Lower Highs Formation reinforces bearish sentiment after failed breakout attempts.
Projection 🎯:
If the price closes below 105,531, a bearish continuation is likely, targeting the support zone at 101,000–100,500.
Conversely, a strong bounce above this level could delay the drop, but upside is capped below 110,000 unless a breakout occurs.
Summary:
🧭 Bias: Bearish below 105,531
📍 Targets:
Immediate: 105,531 (key level)
Bearish Target: 101,000
Invalidated if: price reclaims and closes above 110,000 with strength
📊 Trader's Note: Look for confirmation of breakdown with volume or candle close before short entry. Set tight risk management due to volatility.
BTC BOUNCES HARDBitcoin continues to defy expectations. What looked like a clean head and shoulders breakdown just days ago has now flipped into a textbook fakeout. Price broke the neckline with conviction – only to reverse hard and bounce perfectly off the 50-day moving average, a key level that’s now acting as support.
Since that breakdown, we've seen four strong green candles in a row, reclaiming not just the broken neckline but also invalidating the bearish pattern entirely. That kind of move catches a lot of traders offside – and squeezes them back in higher.
Momentum is back on the bulls’ side for now. Volume is still relatively modest, but the price action is clear: dip bought, structure reclaimed, and bulls back in control – at least for now.
BTC/USD: Daily Trading Strategy AnalysisToday, from a long-term daily chart perspective, yesterday's close formed a small bearish candle. The K-line pattern shows consecutive bullish candles followed by a single bearish candle, with prices still at high levels. The attached indicators are in a golden cross, but due to yesterday's pullback after the rally, there is currently no sign of a strong volume surge. Therefore, the current retracement is still a corrective move. As the overall uptrend remains dominant, shorting should only be considered for short-term trades—do not misalign your strategy.
On the short-term hourly chart, the price failed to break above the previous high during yesterday's European session, coming under pressure and retracing. The current K-line pattern shows consecutive bearish candles, with attached indicators in a death cross. The price is currently in an arc-shaped downward trend, with support near the 105,300 area.
BTC/USD
sell@108000-108500
tp:106500-106000
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Massive New Breakout in Bitcoin at Dual Resistance- LiveMassive New Breakout in Bitcoin at Dual Resistance
Post with emojis:
🚨💥 Massive New Breakout in Bitcoin at Dual Resistance 📈🔥
Okay, time to revisit the BTC chart because we’ve just arrived at a crucial intersection that could define the next major move!
In our previous update, we anticipated a dip — and it played out perfectly. Using Fibonacci support, we entered long right at the sweet spot, just before a strong upward move that tested resistance levels.
And now... it’s official — BTC has just broken through that massive dual resistance! 🚀
This breakout pushes us back into the ascending channel, which had previously flipped to resistance. Two major technical levels — white and yellow zones — just got cleared in one explosive move.
What's next?
🔹 Monitor for a possible retest of the breakout zone
🔹 Eyes on the 113 key resistance — that’s the next likely magnet for price
🔹 For those already in longs (like me), it’s smart to take partial profits and trail stops 🧠💼
This is a textbook breakout structure, and we’ll need to watch volume and structure confirmation closely.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
Bitcoin Short: Wave CAfter a 6-days move up after we have hit our target in the previous analysis, I think Bitcoin has completed what I think to be the Wave B and is already on the Wave C run down.
Over in this video, I expressed my personal viewpoint that Bitcoin is not a hedge against the dollar and that it is actually a risk-on/off product more similar to the equities markets like the S&P500. I recommend that anyone who is interested to perform a study on the correlation and beta Bitcoin.
I suggested that the reason why it more closely related to the equity markets is due to it's deep integration within the financial sector (e.g. ETFs, structured products from banks).
Given that I think that the equity markets are primed to crash soon, I think that Bitcoin will follow suit.
Good luck!
BTCUSD: 4H Golden Cross kickstarting $119,000 rally.Bitcoin remains bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 58.982, MACD = 1643.700, ADX = 1643.700) despite today's high volatility. This volatility displays similar attributes to the Accumulation Phases that were formed since the April 7th bottom. If it follows the symmetry of the first two bullish waves around the first Accumulation Phase, expect a +10% rise from the Phase's bottom. Assuming today is the bottom, the next target of this pattern is 119,000.
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BTCUSD TRADING ROADMAP – H4 & Daily Perspective 10-15 Jun 2025📈 BTCUSD TRADING ROADMAP – H4 & Daily Perspective
BTCUSD has tapped the MASp (H4 Supply Zone) at 110067.00 – 110412.00 after a successful breakout from the previous MADm (now MAsbd) at 103579.00 – 102849.00.
🔍 Current Market Outlook:
1️⃣ If price breaks above MASp 110412.00:
✅ Potential bullish continuation toward the previous high at 112013.00
➡️ If 112013.00 is broken, the next major resistance level is at 122248.00
2️⃣ If rejection occurs from MASp 110067.00:
⚠️ Possible short-term correction down to MAsbd 103579.00 – 102849.00
➡️ From this zone, price may form a new base before resuming bullish momentum toward 112013.00 → 122248.00
📌 Key Zones to Watch:
MASp H4: 110067.00 – 110412.00
MAsbd H4 (former MADm): 103579.00 – 102849.00
MADm Daily: 106742.00 – 106471.00
Major Resistance: 112013.00 → 122248.00
🎯 Trading Plan Suggestion:
Wait for confirmation of breakout or rejection in the MASp zone.
Use a price action approach with strong risk management. Entry can be based on breakout & retest or rejection from the MASp area.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
This content is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or a trading recommendation. Trading carries risk — always do your own analysis and manage your risk properly.
BTC long-term prediction
Hi all,
After initial reflection on Bitcoin's long-term prospects (see link below), I would like to make a more detailed analaysis for it in the next two or three years.
Development cycles and characteristics
I'll devide the evolution of BTC into three main cycles:
Cycle 0: From the birth of BTC until November 2021
Cycle 1: From Nov 2011 to Nov 2018. In this cycle, we have observed two Halving events (November 28, 2012) and (July 9, 2016
Cycle 2: From Nov 2018 to Nov 2025. This cycle encompasses the most recent halving event (May 11, 2020) and the upcoming one (April 26, 2024)
In every cycle, BTC has the following common price action
Main Trendline Support: it confirms the exponential increase in BTC's price.
Cycle High: it is intriguing to observe that Cycle Highs tend to materialize approximately 1 to 1.5 years after the halving event (or the birth) of BTC
Break-down event: It happened two times and both on November (2011 and in 2018). This marks the end of a cycle.
About historical BTC Highs
Since its birth, BTC has achieved four Cycle Highs. Connecting two consecutive Cycle Highs with a trendline reveals that the slope of this line is halved (devided by 2) between two Halving Events. This gradual decrease in slope appears rational and organic, as exponential growth is typically unsustainable. What's even more intriguing is that this 1:2 ratio aligns with the reduction of mined BTC by half after each Halving Event (or the block reward given to Bitcoin miners for processing transactions).
Predictions for the next Halving and beyond
By considering the aforementioned characteristics in BTC's evolution, we can utilize historical patterns to provide potential insights into the future. Here's a possible scenario:
Leading up to the 4th Halving (scheduled for April 26, 2024), BTC prices are likely to align with the blue support trendline, and significant deviations from this trendline are not anticipated.
Following the 4th Halving, BTC may enter an accelerated phase, potentially triggering a major bull run.
A new price high could be achieved somewhere between May and September 2025, based on historical averages of the time needed for BTC to reach a new high after halving.
This new price high is projected to be approximately $120k.
However, it's essential to note that a subsequent bear market is expected to follow, possibly manifesting in November 2025. During this phase, BTC may experience a gradual decline, with prices potentially dropping as low as $30k.
It's vital to remember that predicting the future with certainty in the highly volatile cryptocurrency market is challenging and often speculative. These projections are based on historical trends and patterns but are subject to various unpredictable factors.
What do you think about this analysis and what is your price prediction for BTC in the next bullrun?
Bitcoin to 100k isn’t bearish. It is an opportunity.
Bitcoin just retraced ~10% after its 21W EMA golden cross — and history tells us that’s not weakness… it’s setup.
Chart Context:
We’ve seen this pattern before:
• 2016: Golden cross → 11% dip → 160% rally
• 2020: Golden cross → 13% dip → 300% rally
• 2025: Golden cross → 10% dip → ?
Right now, BTC is doing what it always does post-cross:
Retest prior structure. Fill liquidity. Create a higher low.
⸻
🧠 The Key Signal: 21W EMA Cross
This chart shows a textbook liquidity void retest, with:
✅ Demand zone at $93K–$98K. This might stay untouched.
✅ Higher Low structure intact
✅ Volumes compressing — potential breakout coil
✅ Smart money re-accumulating
⸻
📍 $98K–$100K Zone = Opportunity
This isn’t a top. It’s a retest.
And likely the last high-conviction entry before BTC pushes to $124K and beyond.
Golden Cross ≠ Immediate moon
Golden Cross = Structure → Dip → Expansion
⸻
📊 What Comes Next?
If BTC follows the 2016/2020 blueprint, expect:
→ Sideways chop
→ Dominance peak
→ ETH/BTC rotation
→ Altcoin rally
→ Sentiment shift
⸻
Conclusion:
🧠 The smartest plays aren’t made at ATHs — they’re made in the retraces that shake others out.
This $100K dip is exactly what the market needs for the next leg.
Stay focused. Watch structure. Follow conviction.
Bitcoin is bullish now & many Traders don't see it !!!I currently expect the price to correct slightly, as indicated on the chart, and then pump by about 6% from the PRZ . This signal is reinforced by strong positive divergence and a wedge pattern. In summary, the PRZ is a solid entry point, derived from the confluence of touchlines and pivots. However, if the price ignores this zone and falls below it, my analysis will be invalidated.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
The magic fractal wave of BTCWell it is very interesting pulsation of BTC. ATH > Crash > New ath > Biger crash > recovery > Old ath > crash
I have pretty accurately predicted this cycle. I think we will see 150K this year and then crash to 77K in 2026 and then climb up to 0.5 Mil.
Tell me what you see.
BTC, where we can setup our sell positions.Hello, dear traders! It's Nika again.
I want to share this beautiful pattern and tell you some about its meaning...
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So, as we see here, we have this "triangular-shaped uprising pattern".
We got this pattern with its own few supporting and formatting levels.
Almost all of them are marked on our chart!
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The "usage" of this may be something like this...
First, we may see the price testing an important price level of pattern 96,000,00 very soon...
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After, if the price continues checking support levels below, we may also see the 91 & 89 K price levels.
You will profit from this price movement only if the price goes this way. :)
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Wishing you a happy trading day and much more success in your trades!
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If you have any questions, please comment or send a message.
Thank you!
Analysis of the Current BTCUSD Trend and Trading RecommendationsFrom a technical perspective, the bearish trend in BTC is temporarily dominant. On the four-hour chart, the price has trended downward with consecutive negative candles after being pressured, clearly indicating a bearish trend. Although small lower shadows suggest that bulls and bears are still locked in a tug-of-war, the RSI indicator is near the overbought zone at 70, and while the MACD remains positive, its momentum continues to weaken—both signals imply insufficient upward momentum and lingering adjustment pressure.
On the hourly chart, BTC has entered a consolidation phase with alternating positive and negative candles after a unilateral downward move. Currently, the Bollinger Bands are narrowing and moving sideways, indicating that future volatility may be limited. The price is now hovering near the upper band of the range, facing technical resistance.
In terms of the afternoon trading strategy, given the bearish dominance and fading upward momentum, the focus should remain on shorting at highs. Aggressive traders can lightly position for short-term rebounds but must use small positions and set strict stop-losses; prudent traders should wait patiently for higher levels to initiate short positions.
BTCUSD
sell@109800-110300
tp:108500-107500
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Bitcoin priming itself for a cup of upside to 146,942!MAJOR Cup and Handle is forming on the one and only Bitcoin.
TOp institutions are paying 100s of millions of dollars into the crypto with the idea that it's going to rocket to $200,000.
But baby steps, because the chart is definitely showing upside to come. First it will have to break through the brim level first before we even get a STRONG buy.
Price> 20 and 200MA
Target 146,942
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Bullish rise?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 101,052.23
1st Support: 94,702.53
1st Resistance: 110,959.87
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