BTC Ready to Start to 125KMorning folks,
Better if you combine this update with previous idea. Now it seems that BTC stands in swamp action, flirting around 116K, which might be looking a bit bearish.
But by our view, this is not quite so. First is, triangle patterns as on daily chart as on 4H chart are look great and quite bullish. Pay attention that on 4H chart all sell-offs were bought out.
Our 1.16 lows that we set as vital ones for this scenario area still intact. So, it means that butterfly with 125K target that we discussed last time is also intact. I would say more. If you take a careful look at 1H chart - you could recognize reverse H&S pattern that could trigger all this stuff. It means that we're not in swamp, but at the point where the decision on long entry has to be made...
Take care
S.
BTCUSD.P trade ideas
Use Base-Anchored Fibonacci Retracement Formula🔹 Step 1: Base-Anchored Fibonacci Retracement Formula
🧮 Retracementₓ = Base + (Range × x)
Inputs:
• 🟢 Base = $74,458.42
• 🔴 High = $112,006.33
• 📏 Range = $112,006.33 − $74,458.42 = $37,547.91
📐 BTC Retracement Levels (Upward from Base)
1️⃣ Fib 0.236
= 74,458.42 + (37,547.91 × 0.236)
= 74,458.42 + 8,862.92
= $83,321.34
2️⃣ Fib 0.382
= 74,458.42 + (37,547.91 × 0.382)
= 74,458.42 + 14,362.66
= $88,821.08
3️⃣ Fib 0.500
= 74,458.42 + (37,547.91 × 0.500)
= 74,458.42 + 18,773.96
= $93,232.38
4️⃣ Fib 0.618
= 74,458.42 + (37,547.91 × 0.618)
= 74,458.42 + 23,285.25
= $97,643.67
5️⃣ Fib 0.786
= 74,458.42 + (37,547.91 × 0.786)
= 74,458.42 + 29,597.78
= $104,056.20
6️⃣ Fib 1.000
= 74,458.42 + 37,547.91
= $112,006.33
🚀 BTC Extension Levels (Beyond High)
📈 Extensionₓ = High + (Range × x)
1️⃣ Fib 1.618
= 112,006.33 + (37,547.91 × 0.618)
= 112,006.33 + 23,285.25
= $135,291.58
2️⃣ Fib 2.618
= 112,006.33 + (37,547.91 × 1.618)
= 112,006.33 + 60,767.17
= $172,773.50
3️⃣ Fib 3.618
= 112,006.33 + (37,547.91 × 2.618)
= 112,006.33 + 98,249.08
= $210,255.41
📊 Final BTC Levels
🎯 Target 🧭 Fib Level 💰 Price
TP1 0.236 $83,321.34
TP2 0.382 $88,821.08
TP3 0.500 $93,232.38
TP4 (High) 1.000 $112,006.33
TP5 1.618 $135,291.58
EXT2 2.618 $172,773.50
EXT3 3.618 $210,255.41
BTC/USD Swing Trade Setup | Breakout Imminent?Timeframe: 4H
Exchange: Coinbase
Strategy: Triangle Breakout + Wave Cycle Analysis
🔍 Technical Overview:
BTC is currently compressing within a symmetrical triangle pattern after completing a 5-wave cycle, suggesting a potential breakout is near. This structure indicates indecision — but also builds up momentum for a major move.
🔹 Wave Analysis: Complete cycle (1-5) within triangle
🔹 Support Zone: 115,697 (critical level — demand zone)
🔹 Resistance Breakout Target: 127,594 (measured move from triangle breakout)
🔹 Entry Point: Confirmed breakout above the triangle resistance (~118,500)
🔹 Invalidation: Strong 4H close below 115,697 = setup invalid
🔹 Risk/Reward: Favorable — breakout above resistance could trigger a strong bullish wave
🟢 Bullish Plan:
Entry: Break + Retest of upper trendline (~118,500)
Stop Loss: Below 115,697
Target 1: 122,800
Target 2: 126,384
Full TP: 127,594
🔴 Bearish Warning:
⚠️ “If price breaks the red support zone (115,697), BTC could drop sharply — possibly toward the 100K level and beyond.”
— a key invalidation level to monitor closely.
🧠 Conclusion:
This is a classic consolidation-to-breakout setup. Monitor volume and breakout confirmation before entering. If bullish momentum holds, this swing trade has great long-term potential.
💬 What do you think? Will BTC break bullish or drop to 100K? Drop your thoughts 👇
📌 Follow for real-time updates and future chart ideas!
BTCUSD Bullish energy buildup supported at 114,850The BTCUSD remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 114,850 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 114,850 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
122,900 – initial resistance
124,420 – psychological and structural level
126,250 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 114,850 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
112,860 – minor support
110,825 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the BTCUSD holds above 114,850. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
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Bitcoin Price Analysis and Bullish Continuation PredictionThis analysis focuses on the Bitcoin/US Dollar 4-hour chart from Coinbase, highlighting a potential bullish continuation based on recent price action as of July 22, 2025. The chart shows a strong upward trend with a recent pullback, suggesting a possible rejection point near the pivot line at $115,672.23.
Putting myself in the reader’s shoes, I’d want to understand the key levels driving this prediction. The 1-hour and 2-hour support area around $107,656.23 has held firm, providing a solid base. The price recently approached the key resistance at $120,183.08, where it faced rejection, indicating a potential ceiling. If the price breaks above this resistance with strong volume, it could signal a continuation toward $123,000.00 or higher.
My thought process involves identifying the pivot point ($115,672.23) as a critical level. A bounce from this level, supported by the 1h/2h support zone, suggests bullish momentum. However, if the price fails to hold above $115,672.23 and drops below $107,656.23, it could invalidate this outlook, pointing to a deeper correction.
Profit Targets:
Short-term: $120,183.08 (key resistance)
Long-term: $123,000.00 (bullish continuation)
Stop Loss: $107,656.23 (below the 1h/2h support area)
These clearly defined targets and stop loss levels should help clarify the trade idea and manage risk effectively.
Bitcoin H4 | Crypto to remain elevated?Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards a multi-swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 116,242.45 which is a multi-swing-low support.
Stop loss is at 111,600.00 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support.
Take profit is at 122,734.70 which is a swing-high resistance.
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Bitcoin massive bullrun incoming!!!If historical patterns serve as a guide, we consistently observe the formation of a rounding bottom pattern on BTC preceding each bull run.
Presently, it appears we are on the brink of significant BTC movements this year. Notably, a critical support level indicated on the chart stands at 59k, extrapolated from historical data.
The target for the rounding bottom formation is distinctly delineated on the chart. This post will be continuously updated in a timely manner.
Do share your insights regarding this pattern.
Bitcoin May Pull Back Slightly Before Resuming Uptrend📊 Market Overview
• Bitcoin is currently trading around $116,934, slightly down after hitting an intraday high of $119,524.
• The earlier rally was supported by inflows into Bitcoin ETFs, accumulation by major holders like Trump Media and MicroStrategy, and a pro-crypto regulatory stance in the U.S. (e.g., Genius Act, CLARITY Act).
• However, a surge in whale transfers to exchanges and declining BTC dominance suggests profit-taking and potential short-term volatility.
📉 Technical Analysis
• Key Resistance: ~$119,500 – $120,000 (intraday high and recent ATH)
• Nearest Support: ~$115,000 – $116,000, then $110,000
• EMA 09/20: Price is hovering around EMA 9/20 on H1–H4 timeframes, indicating a short-term uptrend but needing a pause or correction.
• Momentum / Volume: RSI is near overbought territory; falling volume hints at consolidation or a mild pullback. The overall trend remains bullish but slightly unstable.
📌 Opinion
Bitcoin is likely to pull back slightly in the short term toward the $115,000 – $116,000 zone due to profit-taking pressure, before potentially resuming the uptrend if it can break and hold above $119,500 – $120,000 with strong volume.
💡 Trade Setup
SELL BTC/USD at: $118,500 – $119,000
🎯 TP: $116,500
❌ SL: $120,000
BUY BTC/USD at: $115,000 – $116,000
🎯 TP: $118,500 – $119,500
❌ SL: $114,000
"BTC/USD Breakout Strategy: Identifying Bullish Momentum BTC/USD Technical Analysis – July 22, 2025
📈 Market Structure Overview:
The chart illustrates a recent Break of Structure (BOS) both to the upside and downside, indicating volatility and a shift in market sentiment. The price action formed a descending channel, followed by a breakout with strong bullish candles, suggesting a momentum reversal.
🧱 Support Zone (Demand Area):
Key Level: $116,400 – $116,900
This zone has acted as a strong demand level, with clear evidence of buying pressure pushing BTC higher after testing this area. The volume profile (VRVP) supports this, showing heightened trading activity at this price.
🔄 Bullish Breakout Confirmation:
A bullish breakout from the descending channel occurred just above the support zone, aligning with the label "Bullish Momentum".
The breakout candle has closed above minor resistance, which increases the probability of a trend reversal.
📍 Price Target:
The projection points toward $120,000, aligning with previous resistance and psychological round-number resistance.
This target is highlighted by an expected bullish leg after a possible retest of the breakout zone around $117,500 – $117,800.
🧭 Key Levels to Watch:
Support: $116,400 – $116,900
Retest Zone (Buy Opportunity): $117,500 – $117,800
Immediate Resistance: $118,400
Major Resistance / Target: $120,000
📊 Summary:
BTC/USD has shown a bullish reversal signal from a well-respected support zone after a descending correction phase. The current price structure, volume buildup, and breakout momentum suggest a high probability of continued upside movement toward the $120,000 mark. A successful retest of the breakout zone would provide a strategic entry for long positions with tight risk management.
BITCOIN BREAKOUT IMMINENT (120K)The Trend is your Friend. Bitcoin’s current action is the kind of bull‐market digestion you want to see before the next big surge. We’ve powered up from roughly $50 K on the Trump‐election narrative to flirt with all‐time‐high territory around $112 K, and now we’re simply consolidating in a tight $100 K–$110 K range. What really grabs my attention is how volume has dried up inside that band: fewer sellers stepping up means less fuel for a deep pullback, and an ebb in liquidity often precedes the kind of compressed buildup that launches a sharp move. That liquidity squeeze tells me smart money is biding its time rather than panicking out, and that sets the stage for a clean breakout once a new catalyst arrives.
Technically, the setup could hardly be neater. The 10-, 21- and 50-period moving averages have converged, running almost in lockstep. When those averages come together like train tracks, it signals a market in “healthy pause” — neither exhausted by an overextended rally nor capitulating under bearish pressure. It’s the kind of feature you love to see: price has had its run, it’s caught its breath, and it’s ready to go again on fresh conviction. Meanwhile, the RSI sits squarely in the middle of its range, neither overbought nor oversold, meaning there’s plenty of room for buyers to step in without an immediate pullback risk from extreme readings. In other words, momentum indicators are calm, not frothy or fearful, which further supports the case for a measured upward thrust rather than a sudden crash.
On the macro side, fundamentals are lining up, too. Monthly passive inflows into Bitcoin ETPs and ETFs continue at a robust clip, with institutions quietly adding to their positions out of the spotlight. If the Fed pivots toward rate cuts later this year, capital that’s been chasing yield elsewhere could flow back into risk assets — and Bitcoin, with its “digital gold” narrative, stands to gain especially when you consider its roughly $2 trillion market cap versus gold’s $20 trillion. That leaves a lot of upside potential if institutional demand keeps accelerating. Even more compelling: real‐world use cases for blockchain—everything from proof‐of‐ownership to decentralized finance—continue to mature behind the scenes, reinforcing Bitcoin’s narrative as not just a speculative asset, but a foundational piece of tomorrow’s financial system.
Of course, we can’t ignore the risks. We’ve already seen Bitcoin price near $112 K once, and there’s always the chance it carves a frustrating double-top if it stalls again. External narratives—Middle‐East tensions, renewed Ukraine tensions, fresh tariff skirmishes—could throw cold water on the rally and trigger a quick sell-off. But given the current setup—low‐volume consolidation, converging moving averages, balanced RSI and steady capital flows—a 10 % push toward $120 K feels not just possible but probable. Keep your eye on $112 K as your breakout trigger, size your positions sensibly, and plan your stop-loss around the lower end of the range. If Bitcoin can clear that level on strong volume, we’re likely to see this bull market extend rather than roll over into a double-top scenario. Happy trading, stay disciplined, and let’s see where this market takes us next!
Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar 4-Hour Chart (July 2025)4-hour price movement of Bitcoin (BTC) against the U.S. Dollar (USD). The price has risen from 118,714.64 to 118,714.64 (+937.9 or +0.80%) over the period. Key levels include a support zone around 115,451.45 to 117,451.45 and a resistance zone near 120,000.00 to 122,188.85,
Bitcoin ConsolidatesBitcoin continues to flex its strength, grinding higher and holding firm just below resistance at $123,231. After breaking out above $112,000 earlier this month with a burst of volume and momentum, price has cooled off slightly, consolidating in a tight range between $117K and $123K. This isn’t weakness – it’s digestion. A bullish pause. Traders are clearly eyeing the next move, and so far, the chart looks like it’s winding up for another push.
Support at $112,000 has held cleanly, and the 50-day moving average is trending steadily upward, now comfortably below price – a textbook sign of bullish structure. If $123K breaks, it could set off a new leg higher, potentially triggering another wave of FOMO. But even a drop back to $112K would keep the uptrend intact, with secondary support around $105K offering a strong safety net.
Volume tells the story too. It surged during the breakout and has since tapered off, which is exactly what you’d expect during a calm consolidation. In short: BTC looks healthy, poised, and still in charge. The next big move could be just around the corner – and right now, the bulls have the edge.
BTC Bulls Defend Key Zone Eyes on $123K Breakout ExtensionBitcoin has successfully completed a breakout above the prior weekly high structure, followed by a healthy pullback which is currently unfolding into a bullish pennant formation. The key highlight is how price is retesting the neckline zone with precision, which now doubles as a strong immediate buyback zone.
The reaction from this level is already showing strong bullish momentum, with price gearing up to challenge the previous ATH. A breakout above that resistance should unlock the path toward the projected $116.5k and $123.4k targets as shown on the chart. Failure to hold the Immediate Buyback Zone opens the door toward the Strong Demand Zone, which remains a valid re-accumulation point within this bullish cycle.
Stay sharp. The structure remains intact unless the neckline fails decisively.