BITCOIN Megaphone is the last step before $150k.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is repeating almost to the exact point the 2023/ 2024 uptrend, as right now it is in the process of forming a Megaphone pattern similar to the one during December 2023 - January 2024.
Before that, both patterns started the uptrend when a 1D Death Cross formed the bottom. After the 1st Bullish Leg, a Channel Up on a 1D Golden Cross marked the transition to the 2nd Bullish Leg that eventually led to the Megaphone.
In 2024, when BTC broke above the Megaphone, it started the final Bullish Leg that peaked a little above the 1.786 Fibonacci extension from the bottom. During that process, the 1D RSI sequences among the two fractals have been similar.
As result, aiming for the $150000, which is marginally below the 1.786 Fib ext, is a solid target.
Do you think the pattern will continue to be repeated? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTCUSD.P trade ideas
BRIEFING Week #24 : is Stagflation Coming next ?Here's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
Don't forget to hit the like/follow button if you feel like this post deserves it ;)
That's the best way to support me and help pushing this content to other users.
Kindly,
Phil
Bitcoin’s Cup & Handle Brewing — $150K in Sight???✅ Cup Formation
Left rim near $111K
Rounded bottom down to ~$75K
Full recovery back to $112K
Volume declined into the bottom and rose on the right side — textbook structure
✅ Handle Formation
Shallow pullback from $112K to ~$102K
Occurring above prior resistance, now acting as support
Forming a clean downward-sloping channel with declining volume — ideal pre-breakout setup
🎯 Measured Move Target
Cup depth: ~$36K
Breakout above $111K projects toward $135K–$150K
🧠 Confirmation Triggers
Break and daily close above $112K
Volume spike above 20-day average
Stochastic RSI turning upward from oversold range
⚠️ Breakdown Note
Pattern remains valid as long as BTC holds above ~$93K (50% of the cup depth).
The handle may extend lower within the channel before breakout.
⌛️ TIME FRAME
If no breakout by August then Im probably wrong 😑
Range Bound Before BreakoutDaily: Nice hold on the reversal candle @50 EMA, 103k Support and strong FVG.
Nice volume to support this move when the drop was somewhat due to the attacks involving Israel and Iran.
-We are seeing a slightly lower high and a rejection from that 110 lvl. But as I said on the weekly, w/o a catalyst I think we’ll continue to bounce within the 100-110 range for a bit longer.
Bitcoin - We have to see new highs now!Bitcoin - CRYPTO:BTCUSD - is now at the previous highs:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
It could really not be more exciting on Bitcoin at the moment. With the current "all or nothing" potential breakout or double top creation, we will either see a bullrun or a bear market. So far, bulls are still strong, so the chances of a breakout luckily remain higher.
Levels to watch: $100.000
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
BTC/USDI've been calling for a crash for a while.
The closer to the top you are, the more hatred that you'll get for calling one.
It's a difficult position being contrary to the crowd. I think that's why Peter denied Jesus.
In any case, positive sentiment must end and as overdue as it is, I'm expecting a bang, after a final wave of FOMO.
Bitcoin Update: Key Levels, Geopolitics & Cautious Trading Ahead
📈💥 Bitcoin Update: Key Levels, Geopolitics & Cautious Trading Ahead 💭🌍
Hey Traders,
Many of you asked for a fresh Bitcoin update — so here we go. 🚀
Last time, we caught that breakout, but it turned out to be a fakeout. Since then, the situation has become more complex. Geopolitical tensions between Iran and Israel, combined with uncertainty in the Middle East, are weighing heavily on sentiment. 🕊️💣
On the macro side, the Federal Reserve is expected to keep rates unchanged for now — no cuts yet. Building permits data has disappointed again, but inflation is cooling slightly. For now, the big market mover is clearly geopolitics.
👉 Key Levels to Watch:
✅ Support:
$102,400 – $102,700 — If Bitcoin dips here, watch for a bounce.
✅ Resistance:
$106,000 — Major resistance.
Next Resistance: $108,350
Ultimate target: $113,000–$115,000, IF momentum returns.
So how am I approaching it?
📌 Long above $106K → first stop $108K → target $113K–$115K.
📌 Short below $106K → watch support zones carefully.
📌 If we lose $102K, next big supports are $97,700, $89,000 — and even $79,000 if things worsen.
🚫 Big Picture:
We’re still stuck in a broad sideways range — roughly $100,000–$110,000 — until a clear breakout or breakdown occurs. Without a Fed pivot or de-escalation in the Middle East, momentum may stay muted.
🙏 My Advice:
Be cautious. Size your positions wisely. Respect levels. And above all, stay safe — mentally and emotionally — in these uncertain times.
I’ll keep you updated step-by-step. Trade smart, stay kind.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
Bitcoin: Temporal ST FibsSo we have consecutive 2 rejections after registering Lower High on bigger scale..
Research Notes
Hypothetically, if it's about to fall based on similar flow of market reactions forming on top then this would be the closest fractal for bearish scenario.
Should be perceived as squeezed version of historic pattern. Not to scale on price axis solely, as increase in volatility can accelerate replication rate at places. The value is in temporal aspect like frequency of reversals.
To be sure I'd add a curve that describes current growth on smaller scale, and which could later on indicate a turning point.
Crossing under would confirm a scenario of bearish continuation.
Experiment
If we connect highs and map it to the local bottom, would the dimensions of original wave carry any structural significance?
Original Fib Channels (price oriented)
Temporal Fibs Sharing common coordinate to define them.
Yet to evaluate this approach for structural buildup. Fibs Channel lines are extended upwards in order to capture the reactions at any scenario.
BTCUSD CRACKing Everywhere!As I have been warning for a while now. See previous post.
I first warned to wait for the CRACK!
Then we got the 2nd CRACK!, very normal.
Then a nice M pattern with a lower high.
Then another CRACK!
And now a right Shoulder.
MAGIC!
Now we wait for the H&S to break down.
Click boost, follow, and subscribe for more. Let's get to 5,000 followers. ))
BITCOIN All boxes checked. Couldn't be more bullish than this!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has filled numerous bullish conditions with the latest being holding the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as Support. This is basically the 3rd time testing and holding it since June 05. Even if that doesn't hold, we have the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) directly below it as the ultimate long-term Support.
This trend-line just so happens to be exactly on the neckline of the Right Shoulder on the long-term Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) pattern that has been in development since December 17 2024.
On top of all these, the market also formed a 1D Golden Cross a month ago, always a strong long-term bullish signal. IH&S patterns typically target their 2.0 Fibonacci extension, which sits at $168000.
Is that another indication that Bitcoin is going after 150k at least on its next run? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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106.5K and 104.5KMorning folks,
As we've suggested upward action happened. Now overall situation stands relatively easy to understand. 100K seems like short-term vital area for upside tendency. While two support levels of 106.5K and 104.5K are those which market has to hold to keep tendency intact.
I would even prefer 106.5K area because this is also natural support line and because it agrees with downside AB-CD 1.618 extension target.
BTC July/August Top3 Drives Pattern (Mar 2024, Jan 2025)
Last Drive in July/August but leaning towards July
June 19th - 22nd for potential impulse
June 27th/28th for a local top into Early July Bottom | if Price is Bearish into these dates then Local Bottom
July 17th to 24th for Summer Top
Aug 3rd to 11th for a potential Local Bottom
Expected Top is 120k and up (Can be seen on Fibs) | 135k would be ideal
The Bitcoin Manipulation Trick - How They Lure You Into the Trap📉 Bitcoin spends more time in deep drawdowns than at its peaks. Historically, BTC has spent over 80% of its existence trading 80-90% below its all-time highs, yet people keep falling for the illusion of wealth.
🧐 Here’s how the cycle works:
1️⃣ They drive up the price to make it enticing for new buyers.
2️⃣ You FOMO in at the highs, believing in the "next big wave."
3️⃣ Then they crash it, wiping out weak holders.
4️⃣ They keep it suppressed for years, forcing everyone out, via margin calls, financial strain, or sheer exhaustion.
5️⃣ When enough have capitulated, they restart the cycle.
📊 Historical Evidence:
- 2013 Crash: Over 400 days down 80%+ before recovery.
- 2017 Crash: Nearly 3 years below 80% of ATH.
- 2021 Drop: More than a year stuck 75% below peak.
🔎 If you’re buying now, be ready to:
⛔ Lose access to your money
⛔ Keep covering margins
⛔ Wait years for recovery, if it ever happens …
They play the same trick, every time. If you don’t recognize it, you’re just another part of the cycle. 🚀🔥
INDEX:BTCUSD NASDAQ:MARA NASDAQ:COIN NASDAQ:TSLA TVC:GOLD TVC:SILVER NASDAQ:MSTR TVC:DXY NASDAQ:HOOD NYSE:CRCL
Final Shakeout Before BTC’s Last Leg Up?BTC Update
Well due update here...
Since my last forecast, price pushed higher without giving the pullback I was anticipating — instead sweeping liquidity above the prior ATH.
After taking that BSL, price stalled and has since been ranging, showing clear signs of bearish momentum creeping in. We're seeing bearish orderflow on the LTF and daily, and volume is thinning out up at these highs — not ideal for bulls.
USDT.D is also pushing higher and showing strength, which typically leans bearish for BTC in the short term. The structure on that chart is bullish and supports the idea of a BTC pullback being likely before any continuation higher.
That said, I'm still pro-trend bullish overall — as I mentioned in April — thanks to the clean bullish shift from the range lows and clear signs of accumulation. We’ve got textbook last points of support (LPS) and unmitigated demand sitting below current price, which are prime candidates for a reversal.
Right now I’m eyeing two key levels:
Upper demand zone / LPS — lining up with the top of the prior accumulation range. This has strong confluence as a breakout-retest zone.
Lower refined weekly/2W demand — valid if we see a deeper flush or capitulation leg, though less likely in the short term.
My focus is on the first level. I’ll be watching for reactions and reversal signals if price taps into it. Same logic applies to USDT.D as it approaches nearby supply zones.
Overall, I see this as a healthy correction — overdue after an extended leg — and expect BTC to push higher and break ATHs once demand is retested and confirmed.
Zooming out: the 4-year cycle is approaching its final stages, with data suggesting a cycle top could form around Q3/Q4 2025 — likely between August and October, if past cycles rhyme. I’ll be monitoring major assets against that timeline and will look to scale out and risk-off when the confluences begin aligning with that macro cycle window.
Just think...
1 last BTC leg up...
Final altseason hype to drag in latecomers...
Then the cycle ends — and the trap shuts as we re-enter bear territory.
Charts:
1D:
3D:
1W:
Extra:
1M:
Btcusd is about to be bullishbtcusd is getting ready for tomorrow's FOMC news and we are expecting a massive bullish break out to the moon.
Reasons
1, descending triangle pattern
2, in the bigger picture of the chart, we can see a bullish flag pattern.
3, in weekly timeframe, we can see the chart is a support zone
BTCUSD UP Trend buy strong from key support 🚀 #BTCUSD Update (4H Time Frame)
Bitcoin is maintaining a strong bullish trend, bouncing confidently from the key support zone at $105,000. Momentum is building as buyers step in aggressively.
📈 Technical Targets:
🎯 1st Target: $110,000
🎯 2nd Target (Major Resistance): $111,900
Price action is showing strength — watch for consolidation or a breakout near resistance.
👇 Like, Follow & Drop a Comment 💬
Join us for more real-time updates, analysis & signals!
— Livia 😜
#Crypto #Bitcoin #BTC #Trading
Weak Pullback, Bears in Control | Will the $100K Zone Hold? BTCUSD – Weak Pullback, Bears in Control | Will the $100K Zone Hold?
🌍 Macro & Fundamental Outlook
Bitcoin continues to face downside pressure after failing to hold above the key $108K resistance. Several macro factors are influencing sentiment:
📉 US bond yields are rising again, as markets expect the Fed to delay rate cuts. This adds pressure on risk assets like BTC.
🪙 Bitcoin Spot ETF inflows remain positive, but are currently not strong enough to counter short-term selling pressure.
💵 The DXY (US Dollar Index) is recovering, as investors flee to USD amid geopolitical volatility in the Middle East.
📊 Institutional liquidity is thinning across exchanges, adding to intraday volatility.
📉 Technical Analysis – H1 Chart
🔹 Trend Structure:
BTC is now firmly in a short-term downtrend, trading below the descending trendline and all key moving averages (EMA 34, 89, 200).
Rejection from every pullback suggests that sellers are still in control.
🔹 Key Price Zones:
Bearish FVG Resistance: 106,096 – 107,004
First Support Zone: 102,821
Major Support Zone: 101,539 → 100,419
A clean break below 100K could open the door to 98,000 and below
🔹 Momentum:
RSI is neutral, hovering around the mid-40s without strong divergence signals.
Selling volume is increasing but not yet explosive — indicating the market may be awaiting a macro catalyst.
🧠 Market Sentiment
Traders are currently in “wait-and-see” mode, eyeing the next round of macroeconomic data and potential Fed commentary.
Short-term profit-taking is dominant after last week’s sharp rally.
Overall sentiment: Bearish short-term – Neutral mid-term – Bullish long-term
🎯 Trade Setup Ideas
🔻 SELL if price retests FVG and gets rejected
Entry: 106,000 – 107,000
Stop-Loss: 107,500
Targets: 102,821 → 101,539 → 100,419
🔹 BUY if price reacts strongly from 100,419 – 101,500
Entry: 100,500 – 100,800
Stop-Loss: 99,800
Targets: 102,800 → 104,400 → 106,000
Preference is given to selling the rally in the short term. Buying should only be considered on confirmed reversal signals at key support.
✅ Conclusion
BTCUSD is currently in a corrective phase, with bears maintaining control. The key level to watch is the $100,419 support zone, which may determine whether Bitcoin maintains its medium-term bullish structure or breaks further. Discipline and confirmation are crucial in this volatile environment.
📌 Strategy Focus: Look to sell rallies toward resistance; buy only on confirmed bounce from strong support zones.
ZONE SNIPER SETUP (BEARISH)BTC/USD Supply Zone Reaction Expected...!
Current price action is retracing toward a well defined supply zone between 107,016 and 108,576, an area of previous institutional selling. The expectation is a potential rejection from this zone, leading to a continuation of the broader downtrend.
If price taps into this supply and fails to break above, short opportunities become favorable targeting:
Intermediate support at 104,000.
Final target at 101,565, aligning with prior liquidity sweep.
Invalidation occurs on a strong close above 108,576.
#BTC/USD, #FOREX, @VeloraFXReal