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BTCUSD Perpetual Contract

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BTCUSD.P trade ideas

BTC climbs the stairsFrom the bear market lows(red) we entered into consolidation phase(white) in 2023 and in october 2023 the bull market was ignited(green). Since then BTC has climbed these ~50% steps up and right now we are at the verge of entering the last 50% step up of this bull phase taking us up to 160k. Are we going to see the last step up on upcoming months or are we going to see a rejection and keep consolidating inside the current box? If we compare the previous two steps up(green arrow) to the current situation, the set up is a little bit different now than before. Previously, BTC has practically blasted through the box resistance without hesitation but now we have spent more time just underneath the box resistance with two failed attemps(3D) of breaking the resistance. Also, what concerns me, is the fact that during this cycle the summer months june-july(marked inside the box) has not been strong for BTC and we have witnessed MACD forming bearish divergences during these months due to a rejection from the highs towards the bottom of the box. This very thing is happening again and if confirmed, no new ATHs for this summer. Of course, a solid strong candle close above the resistance clarifies the future and set us on our way to 160k.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by ImBaBu
BTC/USD Potential Reversal & Bullish Breakout SetupBTC/USD Potential Reversal & Bullish Breakout Setup 🔄🚀 Technical Analysis Overview: 🔹 Pattern Formation: The chart displays a potential Triple Bottom pattern (🟠), a classic reversal signal forming at the $104,870–$100,000 support zone 🛡️. This structure suggests a strong base is being established for a potential upside move. 🔹 Support Zone: 📉 The price has consistently bounced off the major support area around $100,000–$104,870, indicating strong buying interest. 🔹 Resistance Zone: 📊 The key resistance level lies around the $114,000–$115,000 range 🔵, which has been tested multiple times in the past (🔴 arrows) and could act as a future profit target. 🔹 Price Action & Projection: Currently, price is trading near $107,025 and is showing signs of bullish continuation after forming a higher low. If the price consolidates above the $104,870 zone and holds support, we could see a potential breakout targeting the $114,000 resistance 📈. 📌 Key Takeaways: ✅ Triple Bottom formation signals trend reversal. 🔄 Bullish structure confirmed above $104,870. 🎯 Next target: $114,000 if breakout holds. ⚠️ Watch for potential consolidation before continuation.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by MrStellanSight
Bitcoin - Will Bitcoin Reach Previous ATH?!Bitcoin is above EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is in its short-term descending channel. We can look for Bitcoin short positions from the specified supply range. If this range is broken, the path to the rise and a new ATH for Bitcoin will be presented. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and capital management in the cryptocurrency market is required, more than we would like. If the downtrend continues, I can buy in the desired range. Bitcoin is now approaching its all-time high, yet unlike previous bullish cycles, we have not seen widespread profit-taking so far. The market’s whales currently seem uninterested in large-scale selling at these levels and appear to be waiting for higher price targets. Since the start of January 2024, cumulative inflows of over $60 billion have poured into crypto-related investment products in the U.S., including ETPs and ETFs. In addition, retail investor futures trading volumes have recently surpassed their one-year average. Indicators of retail activity suggest that a significant number of smaller investors have become active in the futures markets. The total assets under management by crypto investment funds surged to an unprecedented $167 billion in May. This impressive growth was fueled by net inflows of more than $7 billion into these funds. Meanwhile, global equity funds recorded $5.9 billion in outflows, and gold funds, for the first time in 15 months, also saw capital leaving. The year 2025 could turn out to be the most dangerous year yet for cryptocurrency holders. Already, more than 25 incidents involving physical attacks on crypto owners have been reported, and the year isn’t even over. These attacks have targeted individuals whose digital asset information or identities were compromised, leading to thefts, kidnappings, physical threats, or assaults. On another front, the total value of circulating stablecoins has surpassed $250 billion, more than doubling from its mid-2023 low of $123 billion. USDT remains the market leader with a 62% share, followed by USDC at 24%, while other stablecoins such as USDe, DAI, and BUIDL are also expanding their presence. It is worth noting that average spot trading volumes on centralized exchanges have dropped to their lowest levels since October 2020.This kind of pattern typically precedes a significant price move—whether that’s a sharp rally or a deep correction. It’s also possible that this phase of uncertainty could persist for several more weeks.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Ali_PSND
Possible descending triangle, likely will break to downside.Despite Bitcoin (BTC) maintaining a price above $100,000 for several weeks now, it is clearly being supported by institutional buyers propelling the market. This is very bullish for the long term; however, BTC does need to correct in order to grow further. Volume continues to drop, and as soon as institutional buyers take a break, the price could crash. Given that this cycle has introduced new market players, ETFs, and considering the current economic climate, a decline of over 60% down to its support level of $44,000 seems likely in the next year. We all know how it goes: when Bitcoin goes through tough times, it can seem like it’s dead, and that could be the best time to buy. In the long run, if you're dollar-cost averaging (DCA) and have no intention of selling, I am confident that BTC will reach $250,000 in the next cycle, if not $500,000. However, it must correct to strengthen the lower supports and flush out over-leveraged traders. Remember the saying: "When the tide goes out, we see who is swimming naked." This will happen again; it's Bitcoin!
KRAKEN:BTCUSDShort
by Discombobulate1
when Jerome says spike, the markets asks how low/high"Watch what they do, but also how they say it." In the high-stakes world of central banking, few things move markets like the subtle wording of a Fed statement, But beyond the headlines and soundbites, one market absorbs this information faster—and with greater clarity—than almost any other: the bond market. 💬 What Is "Fed Speak"? "Fed speak" refers to the nuanced and often deliberately vague language used by U.S. Federal Reserve officials when communicating policy expectations. It includes: FOMC statements Dot plot projections Press conferences Individual speeches from Fed officials nerdy tip: the Fed aims to influence expectations without committing to specific outcomes, maintaining flexibility while steering market psychology. 📈 The Bond Market as a Decoder The bond market, particularly the U.S. Treasury market, is where real-time interpretation of Fed policy plays out. Here's how it typically reacts: 1. Short-Term Yields (2Y, 3M) = Fed Expectation Barometer These are the most sensitive to near-term interest rate expectations. If the Fed sounds hawkish (more rate hikes), short-term yields jump. If dovish (hinting cuts), they fall. At the May 7, 2025 FOMC meeting, the 2-year Treasury yield (US02Y) experienced a modest but clear reaction: Just before the release, yields were hovering around 3.79%. In the first hour following the 2:00 PM ET (20:00 UTC+2) statement, the yield ticked up by approximately +8 basis points, temporarily reaching about 3.87%. Later that day, it eased back to around 3.79%, ending the day roughly unchanged—a sharp, immediate spike followed by a reversion. 2. Long-Term Yields (10Y, 30Y) = Growth + Inflation Expectations Longer-dated yields reflect how the market sees the economy unfolding over time. After a Fed speech: Rising long-term yields = stronger growth/inflation expected Falling yields = fears of recession, disinflation, or policy over-tightening 3. The Yield Curve = Market's Policy Verdict One of the best tools to read the bond market's verdict is the yield curve—specifically, the spread between 10Y and 2Y yields. Steepening curve → Market thinks growth is picking up (Fed may be behind the curve) Flattening or Inversion → Market believes the Fed is too aggressive, risking a slowdown or recession 📉 Example: After Jerome Powell’s hawkish Jackson Hole speech in 2022, the 2Y-10Y spread inverted deeply—markets were pricing in recession risks despite a strong Fed tone. 🧠 Why Traders Must Watch Bonds After Fed Speak 🪙 FX Traders: Higher yields = stronger USD (carry trade advantage) Falling yields = weaker USD (lower return for holding) 📈 Equity Traders: Rising yields = pressure on tech/growth stocks (higher discount rates) Falling yields = relief rally in risk assets 📊 Macro Traders: The MOVE Index (bond volatility) often spikes around FOMC events Forward guidance shifts = big rotation opportunities (e.g., bonds > gold > dollar) (BONUS NERDY TIP) 🔍 How to Analyze Fed Speak Through Bonds ✅ Step 1: Watch the 2Y Yield First responder to new rate expectations. ✅ Step 2: Check the Fed Funds Futures Compare market pricing pre- and post-statement. ✅ Step 3: Look at Yield Curve Movement Steepening or inversion? That’s the market’s macro take. ✅ Step 4: Track TLT or 10Y Yield on Your Chart Bond ETFs or Treasury yields reveal sentiment instantly. 🧭 Final Nerdy Thought : Bonds React First, Talk Later When the Fed speaks, don't just read the words. Read the yields. The bond market is often the first to interpret what the Fed really means—and the first to price in what comes next. So next FOMC meeting, instead of watching only Powell’s facial expressions or CNBC pundits, open a chart of the 2Y and 10Y. That’s where the smart money’s listening. put together by : @currencynerd as Pako Phutietsile courtesy of : @TradingView
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by currencynerd
Bitcoin Bounce & Breakout PlayChart Analysis: 🔹 Support Holding Strong: BTC is respecting a key support area (~$105,600), which previously acted as resistance (marked by recent ATH). 🔹 EMA 70 (Blue Line): Price is hovering above the EMA, adding bullish confirmation. 🔹 Bullish Projection Path: The chart shows a projected bullish move toward the sell zone near $113,200 – $113,300, representing a potential 4.4% gain from the breakout. 🔹 Key Zones: Support Zone: $105,600 Supply Zone: $100,500 Sell Zone (TP Zone): $113,200+ 📌 Outlook: If BTC breaks and holds above the resistance (~$107,000), a strong upward rally could follow. Entry near support or on breakout, with tight risk management, offers a favorable risk/reward. ✅ Entry Options: Breakout Entry: Trigger: Break and close above $107,200 Confirmation: Retest and hold above the breakout zone Entry: $107,300 – $107,500 Support Bounce Entry: Trigger: Pullback to support zone (~$105,600) with bullish reversal candle Entry: $105,600 – $105,800 🎯 Target Zones (TP): TP1: $110,400 (minor resistance) TP2: $113,200 – $113,300 (major sell zone) TP3 (aggressive): $114,000+ 🔻 Stop Loss (SL): For breakout entry: SL below $106,200 For bounce entry: SL below $105,200 or $104,800 (structure break) 📈 Risk–Reward Ratio: Approx. 1:2.5 to 1:3+ depending on entry and target 🧠 Trade Management: Move SL to breakeven after hitting TP1 Partial profit booking at TP1 Trail remaining with manual or dynamic SL (e.g., below EMA or recent low) ⚠️ Risk Notes: Avoid chasing price without breakout confirmation Watch for fakeouts and heavy selling near TP zones Adjust position size based on your risk tolerance
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by KingProTrader
Sell Setup BTCUSDCurrently, BTC/USD is approaching a key supply zone between $107,800 – $108,600, where price previously faced strong rejection. My expectation is that price will react similarly upon retest. 🧠 Trade Idea: I'm anticipating a fakeout or liquidity grab above the zone, followed by a lower high formation. Once this confirmation occurs, I’ll be looking for a short entry, targeting the major demand zone below, around $100,800 – $101,600. ✅ Confluences: Previous price rejection from this same resistance zone. Clean bearish imbalance below that still needs filling. Lower timeframes showing signs of exhaustion as we approach resistance. 🕵️‍♂️ Entry Trigger: I’ll wait for bearish price action within or just above the yellow resistance zone (e.g. bearish engulfing, lower high, or break of structure). 📉 Target: TP Zone: $101,000 area SL: Just above the fakeout zone to manage risk effectively.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by wealthsmith23
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BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TheeSnipeGoat
BTC Trading in a Range.Support & Resistance Levels: R1: ~106,300 R2: ~109,000 R3: ~111,600 S1: ~102,800 S2: ~100,000 Bearish RSI Divergence Price made higher highs earlier (around June 10-11). RSI made lower highs, indicating bearish divergence. Price Action BTC bounced back from below S1 (~102,800) and is now hovering around R1 (~106,300). If it breaks and sustains above R1, we could see a move toward R2 (109k). However, failure at R1 can lead to a pullback to S1 or S2 levels. Strategy Suggestions: 📌 If Bullish: Wait for a clean breakout above R1 (~106,300) with volume. Potential targets: R2 (109k) and R3 (111.6k). 📌 If Bearish: If price fails to hold R1 and rejects, consider short opportunities. Targets would be: S1 (102.8k) and S2 (100k). Keep an eye on RSI — if it forms another divergence or crosses down the MA, bearish bias increases. ⚠️ Risk Factors: BTC is still within a consolidation range between R1 and S1. No clear breakout yet; be cautious with position sizing. Watch for macroeconomic news/events, as they can spike volatility.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by limitissky77
Ready for the plunge. Market meltdown incoming!⚠️ UPDATED ASSESSMENT - MAXIMUM RISK Escalation Level: MAXIMUM RISK - The conflict has now reached unprecedented scale with 720+ military facilities attacked, confirmed US involvement, and potential for regional Islamic coalition forming against Israel. Financial Market Risk: 95/100 - We are approaching systemic financial risk with oil supply chains threatened, nuclear facilities under massive attack, and potential for regional war involving multiple Islamic nations. Critical Factors: Scale of destruction (170+ targets), nuclear program targeting (80+ sites), US military involvement confirmed, calls for Islamic unity, and expert warnings of broader regional war. Immediate Concerns: Complete breakdown of Middle East oil supply, global energy crisis, nuclear contamination risks, and potential World War III scenario if regional Islamic coalition forms.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by herve76
BITCOIN: The $110K Crossroads - Bull vs Bear Battleground! The Setup: "The Healthy Pullback Hypothesis 🔵 BLUE SUPPORT TRENDLINE (Rising from ~$76K) The Foundation: This ascending support has held multiple tests Current Status: Price dancing right on this crucial line Psychology: Bulls' last stand 🔴 RED RESISTANCE CHANNEL (Descending from $112K peak) The Ceiling: Two parallel resistance lines creating downward pressure Pattern: Classic bearish channel formation Volume Profile: Declining volume suggests exhaustion 🟡 YELLOW HORIZONTAL ZONES Key Level 1: ~$98K (Previous resistance turned support) Key Level 2: ~$112K (The rejection zone) 🟢 BULLISH SCENARIO (65% Probability) Setup: Breakout above red channel resistance (~$108K) 🚀 Rocket Ship: Explosive move to $120K+ 📉 Reality Check: Deeper correction to $95K-98K range Entry: $97K - 98K (confirmed breakout) Target 1: $104K Target 2: $110K Stop Loss: $95K ____________________________ ⚠️ Risk Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes. Always manage risk and never risk more than you can afford to lose. Markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent! ⚠️
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by ONE1iMPACT
BTC/USD Approaching Key Buy Zone – Watching 104,845 for Reaction Bitcoin has broken out of a descending channel and is now approaching a potential buy zone between 105,176.89 and 104,845.01. This zone aligns with previous support and trendline confluence, making it a critical area to monitor for bullish reactions. If price finds support within this zone and confirms with a bounce or bullish pattern, a move toward the 106,268.53 resistance is a possible scenario. However, a confirmed break below 104,296.67 could signal a shift in momentum and potentially invalidate the bullish setup. 🔹 Buy Zone: 105,176.89 – 104,845.01 🔹 Bearish Invalidator Level: 104,296.67 🔹 Target Area: 106,268.53 🔹 Timeframe: 1H chart 🔹 Trend Context: Price broke previous bearish structure and entered a short-term bullish phase. This is a technical observation for educational purposes only.
ICMARKETS:BTCUSDLong
by piporia
Circle’s IPO and the Crypto Listing Wave: The Market EntersOn June 14, 2025, the U.S. stock market witnessed a pivotal moment for the crypto industry. Circle, issuer of the USDC stablecoin and a major player in the sector, successfully went public. Shares opened at $31 and soared to over $134 by the end of the first trading day—an explosive 330% gain. This isn’t just a one-off success. It marks the beginning of a new chapter: the public crypto era, where leading crypto companies are stepping into the spotlight of traditional finance. Why It Matters Circle’s IPO signals the maturation of the crypto market. Just three years ago, crypto companies were seen as high-risk, unregulated tech startups. Now, they’re structured fintech firms with clear business models, institutional backing, and regulatory compliance. Who’s Next in Line Following Circle, a wave of major crypto firms is preparing for their own IPOs: eToro – the social trading platform with crypto features has finalized its SPAC merger and is set to debut on NASDAQ. Gemini – the exchange founded by the Winklevoss twins filed for an IPO in mid-May. Galaxy Digital and Ripple – both confirmed listing plans for the second half of 2025. Kraken is exploring a listing in Europe, where requirements are more flexible than in the U.S. These companies are waiting for the right moment—regulatory clarity, growing interest in crypto ETFs, and progress in U.S. Congress (with the CLARITY and GENIUS bills gaining momentum). What It Means for the Industry Increased Investor Trust – Public companies must disclose financials, pass audits, and comply with regulations. This builds confidence in the broader crypto sector. Institutional Capital Inflow – IPOs unlock access to capital from pension funds, hedge funds, and asset managers that cannot invest in private crypto startups. Marketing Power – Going public draws media attention and boosts brand awareness. Every IPO is a PR win for the entire industry. Risks and Challenges Regulatory Uncertainty – Despite progress, the SEC could change direction, especially with potential political shifts. Overvaluation Concerns – Circle’s stock is already raising eyebrows, with a P/E ratio over 200 and trading volume growing faster than revenue. Crypto Market Dependency – If crypto prices crash, the valuations of these companies could quickly collapse. What’s Next Expect up to 10 more crypto IPOs over the next 6–12 months, including players in DeFi, blockchain infrastructure, and Web3. This is the next stage in crypto’s journey toward mainstream legitimacy. What was once the domain of tech rebels and early adopters is now becoming a business—with a stock ticker and quarterly earnings. And that changes everything.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDEducation
by HCN-News12
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 13, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: Throughout the past week, Bitcoin has exhibited considerable volatility. After reaching a peak at the first Mean Resistance level of 109500, the cryptocurrency experienced a significant decline. Nevertheless, on Friday, Bitcoin demonstrated a notable recovery, ascending to a newly established resistance now designated as the new Mean Resistance level marked at 110300. At this juncture, Bitcoin is retracing downward as it retests the initial Mean Support level of 104000 while aiming to target the Mean Support at 101500 and the ultimate Inner Coin Dip at 96500. It is essential to recognize the potential for an upward rally from the Mean Support levels of $ 104,000 and/or $ 101,500, which could culminate in a retest of the Mean Resistance level of $ 110,300.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradeSelecter