BITCOIN SENDS CLEAR BULLISH SIGNALS|LONG
BITCOIN SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 104,672.03
Target Level: 107,484.65
Stop Loss: 102,785.72
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 3h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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BTCUSD.P trade ideas
#BTC Double Top Breakdown? Key Levels to Watch: 100K, 92K, 74Bitcoin has recently formed a double top pattern near its all-time high at $112K–$110K, signaling potential exhaustion in the bullish momentum. After a strong rejection from the $106K resistance — a critical zone that has historically failed to close above on the daily timeframe — BTC is showing increasing bearish pressure.
All major indicators — RSI, MACD, and Stochastic RSI — are aligning to confirm this potential downtrend.
Here’s the projected bearish scenario if key supports break:
A break below $100K could trigger a fall to $97K, followed by a bounce and retest.
Rejection from $100K again may lead to a drop toward $92K.
Failure to reclaim $95K–$90K could send BTC directly down to $88K.
Another failed attempt near $90K might push Bitcoin to crash toward $74K, echoing the 2024 summer correction pattern.
This setup mirrors past seasonal moves and could mark a significant shift in market structure if confirmed.
📉 Watch these key zones:
$106K – Major resistance
$100K – Psychological and structural support
$92K / $88K / $74K – Potential targets if bearish continuation plays out
⚠️ Stay alert for retests and confirmations before entries.
Hellena | BITCOIN (4H): LONG to resistance area of 115,000.I see that price has shown a violent rise in a five-wave move and I have redrawn the waves a bit to make it clear where to expect a correction. I think we are currently seeing a correction in wave “4” (104,000).
But most importantly, I expect an update of the high. Therefore, I believe that the level of 115,000 will be reached and it may be a wave “5”, after which we can expect a deeper correction.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Bitcoin 4-year cycles - The party is getting startedPeople say this cycle is different. But so far, when you zoom out, things are following the general trends.
- The white vertical lines represents exactly 4 years from the first cycle peak
- The blue measurements represents exactly 399 days after the white vertical lines
The trend (so far) is clear. Bitcoin has a cycle peak every 4 years, and has a cycle bottom 399 days later
If this trend was to follow this cycle:
1. Bitcoin to peak on the week of 24th November 2025
2. Bitcoin to bottom on the week of 28th December 2026
Let me know what you think!
BTC IS BORINGNot much to see here – Bitcoin continues to range quietly between support at ~$100,700 and resistance at $112,000. Price is hovering just above the 50-day moving average, which has flattened out, signaling a pause in momentum rather than a directional shift.
The recent higher low around $100,700 remains the key structural level to watch. As long as that zone holds, the bullish bias technically remains intact, but the lack of follow-through toward the highs suggests weakening momentum. Volume continues to decline, which is typical during sideways consolidation and often precedes expansion – but there's no sign of that happening yet.
A breakout above $112K would likely trigger momentum buyers, while a breakdown below $100K could put $92,800 and even $88,800 back on the table. Until then, it's just rangebound chop – and patience is the only real trade.
Nothing broken, nothing confirmed – just a waiting game for now.
BTC wait for Long
Bitcoin continues to struggle with its long-term weekly resistance.
In the short term, it’s likely that BTC will consolidate within the $100,000–$112,000 range.
Positioning heavily into altcoins during this phase may not be ideal. It’s more prudent to wait for either a confirmed breakout above weekly resistance or a pullback toward the $94,000–$92,000 support zone.
For now, the focus remains on short-term trading opportunities within this range. A potential long setup is outlined in the chart.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is based on my personnal views and is not a financial advice. Risk is under your control.
Cyclical Cluster Timing + Market Geometry for BTCThis setup is based on the confluence between price geometry and a cyclical cluster model. I’ve normalized the cycle intensity scale across all timeframes better to highlight high-probability timing windows for potential trend changes.
Tables are proprietary timing cluster models (freely accessible by request).
BTC RANGE-BOUNDBitcoin is once again pressing against the midpoint of its recent trading range after bouncing off the 50-day moving average near $105,000. Today’s candle shows solid follow-through from that bounce, reclaiming short-term structure and closing back above the key $105,787 level.
The broader structure remains a consolidation between $100,700 support and $112,000 resistance – with Bitcoin repeatedly testing both boundaries without breaking out. The most recent rejection at $112K marked the second failed attempt to clear that level, suggesting the presence of strong supply overhead. However, the continued defense of $105K and especially the higher low at $100,700 keeps the bullish structure intact for now.
The 50-day moving average has now been tagged multiple times and held as dynamic support, reinforcing its relevance in this trend. Meanwhile, the 200-day MA remains well below at $95K, and continues to slope upward, confirming broader trend health.
Volume remains relatively light during this bounce, which could be a cautionary signal for bulls hoping to see a breakout attempt. A move above $108K–$110K would likely re-ignite momentum toward the $112K top of range, while a clean break above $112K would open the door to a measured move toward $120K.
To the downside, the $100,700–$101,000 area is the line in the sand. A break below that level would invalidate the current higher low structure and put the $92,800 and $88,800 zones back in play as support.
In short, Bitcoin is still range-bound, but technically healthy. The bulls are defending key support levels and the 50 MA, while bears remain active at resistance. The next directional break – above $112K or below $100K – will likely dictate the next major move.
BITCOIN BOUNCES AT 50 MABitcoin continues to trade within a well-defined range, with price once again reacting cleanly off the 50-day moving average (blue) – a key dynamic support level that has consistently provided footing throughout this uptrend. Today’s candle is printing a modest bounce from that zone after briefly dipping below $105K, suggesting buyers are still defending trend structure despite recent volatility.
On the upside, $112,000 remains the key resistance. Price failed to break through this level twice in the past month, confirming it as a significant supply zone. A daily close above that threshold would mark a breakout and likely fuel momentum toward fresh highs.
Support is building around the $99,500–$100,000 region – a critical horizontal level that aligns with a prior breakout zone and marks the recent higher low. Below that, the next major support rests around $92,800, followed by $88,800, which served as the last major consolidation range before April’s breakout.
Momentum-wise, the rejection at $112K could still evolve into a lower high, but that scenario remains unconfirmed as long as price holds above $100K. The reaction off the 50 MA – the second clean tag in recent weeks – keeps the short-term structure intact. However, the lower volume on this bounce suggests some caution is still warranted.
From a broader trend perspective, Bitcoin is consolidating within a bullish continuation structure. As long as the 50-day MA continues to act as dynamic support and the $100K zone holds, the market retains a constructive bias. A strong daily close above $112K would likely signal the next leg higher – potentially toward $120K and beyond.
For now, this is a healthy range within an uptrend. Bulls want to see strength on the next test of resistance. Bears need a break of $100K to flip the narrative. Until then, this remains a textbook pause within trend – not a reversal.
BTC Short. Its time to correctionStrong Sell Limits sitting at our entry level!
SELL LIMIT / SWING TRADE
ENTRY: 106106.3
SL: 109676.8
TP: 93409.1
Bearish trend is active and this would be the time for correction and even maybe for 91350 gap close .
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BTCUSD: Nowhere near a top yet.Bitcoin remains neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 47.257, MACD = 443.000, ADX = 29.912) due to high volatility recently but the bullish long term trend is intact and even more so, hasn't yet started the year-end rally. The Mayer Multiple Bands have always priced a Cycle's Top on their red trendline so no matter how high that may seem from the current market price, the TP zone should be between the orange (2 Stdev above) and red (3 Stdev above) trendines. Minimum TP = 200,000 for this Cycle.
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BTCUSD: 1D MA50 and 100k form a strong support base.Bitcoin has turned neutral again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 45.783, MACD = 629.200, ADX = 20.857) and is about to get bearish as it hit its 1D MA50 today, erasing the gains of the last 3 days. The 1D MA50 has held two times since June 5th and another one might be what Bitcoin needs to justify the next rally. Besides this however, we got a heavier Support on the P1 trendline, which on the previous ATH (Dec 17th 2024) was a Resistance and since May 12th 2025 it turned into Support. Technically, as long as 100,000 holds, we expect a strong rebound into August that may repear the inverse of December 2024 - March 2025 (-31%) and rise by +31% (TP = 132,000).
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BTCUSD: Israel-Iran conflict like October 2024.Despite the Middle East tension, Bitcoin remains long term bullish on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 63.167, MACD = 6883.200, ADX = 33.150). It remains supported on its 1D MA50, in fact in the same manner it was during the previous Israel-Iran conflict. I was on October 26th 2024, when Israel launched three waves of strikes against 20 locations in Iran and other locations in Iraq, and Syria. Simila to the June 13th 2025 attacks. It is more than striking how similar the two price patterns are. Assisted by the U.S. elections on November 5th 2024, a massive rally followed the Middle East conflict. A repeat of that may very well send Bitcoin to $150,000 and above.
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Bitcoin: weekly gains and dipsThere has been a sort of roller coaster with BTCs weekly price movements during the previous week. The week started with a strong move toward $110K. Although it seemed like a fresh new momentum toward the higher grounds, or eventually new all time highest level, the price soon began to tumble down, ending the week above the $104K level. On charts, it looks more like a “pump and dump” strategy, imposing a potential for a further correction. However, the reaction of BTC market on the negative news regarding the new unrest in the Middle East was exposed shortly on Friday trading session, when the price shortly reached the $102,9K level.
The RSI modestly dropped below the 50 level, ending the week at the 47. The MA 50 currently stands as a supporting level for BTCs price, while the indicator continues to diverge from its MA200 counterparty.
As per current charts, there is a high probability that weekly gains and dips will continue. The line connecting the lowest level from the beginning of April this year and lows from the beginning of June and from the previous week shows that there is a high probability for $104K to be tested. It also perfectly combines with MA50 as a currently supporting line. In case that the $104K is breached toward the downside, then it might bring some short bearish movements with BTC. In this scenario, the $100K might be again the target. However, if the $104K sustains the selling pressure, then the BTC will return toward the $108K.
Current BTC Trend Analysis and Trading RecommendationsToday's overall BTC market rebounded after hitting a low of 102,614 in the early trading session, with Bitcoin's price maintaining a slow upward trend throughout the day. The intraday high reached 105,912 but encountered resistance. As the weekend approaches, historical market data shows limited volatility during weekends, so range-bound fluctuations are expected for the weekend.
From the current overall market rhythm, the price has rebounded slightly today after the previous decline. The hourly chart shows consecutive upward candles, though the price movement remains relatively slow. As time progresses, the price is expected to sustain an upward trend after pullbacks, and breaking through the short-term resistance level is only a matter of time. In terms of short-term structure and pattern, despite slight resistance and minor pullbacks, the downward momentum has weakened. We can still focus on long positions at lower levels, paying attention to the 106,000 resistance level.
BTCUSD
buy@104000-104500
tp:106000-107000
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