BTCUSD.P trade ideas
BTC Last week I already indicated in my analysis of btc that an imbalance had to be filled on the 4h. In the meantime, it has been filled and we are trying to convert the previous resistance level into support, in other words, the bulls are trying with all their might to defend the 105k. If the bulls succeed in this, then in my view nothing will stand in the way of a run to the 115k. I still expect the bears to try to break through the level a few times and perhaps a double bottom will then arise, which is a good conformation for the way up. I will keep you informed. tradingview.sweetlogin.com
BITCOIN targets 165k based on VIX's 10-year SupportBitcoin (BTCUSD) has started a new (and possibly last for this Cycle) Bullish Leg following April's bottom and has already made a new All Time High (ATH).
The BTC/VIX ratio on that very same day (April 07 2025) hit and rebounded on its 10-year Higher Lows trend-line, a Support level that has been holding since the August 24 2015 market bottom.
Every rebound on this Higher Lows trend-line, has produced a strong medium-term rally, the 'weakest' of which has been the most recent (August - December 2024), which rose by +121.44%. If BTC repeats this 'minimum', we are looking at a $165000 High, which aligns perfectly with the majority of projections for this Cycle's Top.
Do you think we will see that price by October? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTCUSD 5/30/2025Come Tap into the mind of SnipeGoat, as he gives you a Sensational Market Breakdown & update to his previous call-out that was again SPOT-ON! Precise Levels, Proper Timing, & Perfect Direction!
_SnipeGoat_
_TheeCandleReadingGURU_
#PriceAction #MarketStructure #TechnicalAnalysis #Bearish #Bullish #Bitcoin #Crypto #BTCUSD #Forex #NakedChartReader #ZEROindicators #PreciseLevels #ProperTiming #PerfectDirection #ScalpingTrader #IntradayTrader #DayTrader #SwingTrader #PositionalTrader #HighLevelTrader #MambaMentality #GodMode #UltraInstinct #TheeBibleStrategy
BTCUSD Breakdown from Pennant – MMC Structure Analysis + Target🧠 Introduction: Why This Chart Matters
Bitcoin recently provided a textbook example of market manipulation, where the price action formed a bullish-looking pattern (Pennant), trapped traders with a fake breakout, and then reversed strongly to the downside. By using Mirror Market Concepts (MMC), we can clearly see the logic behind this move—how the market mirrored a previous pattern and fulfilled a predictable target zone.
This analysis breaks it all down, step-by-step, for both educational and practical trading purposes.
🔍 Detailed Chart Breakdown:
1️⃣ The Illusion – Bullish Pennant Formation
Initially, BTC/USD formed what looked like a bullish pennant—a common continuation pattern in technical analysis. The pattern appeared after a sharp upward move, followed by converging trendlines suggesting consolidation.
Retail traders often anticipate a breakout above the pennant as a sign of bullish continuation. This is where the trap begins.
Why It’s a Trap: The pattern looked clean and reliable—but the context told another story. This move was designed to lure breakout traders into long positions right before a reversal.
2️⃣ The Fakeout – Liquidity Grab Above the Pattern
Shortly after the pennant formed, price pushed above the upper trendline, triggering breakout entries and stop losses of short-sellers. But instead of continuing up:
The price reversed sharply.
This aggressive move confirmed the fakeout.
This is a classic example of a liquidity hunt, where the market moves briefly in one direction to gather orders before executing the real move.
📌 MMC Insight: This behavior mirrors a prior setup—price previously faked upward, then dropped to a key demand zone. The mirror pattern gives a clue that the same outcome might repeat.
3️⃣ CHoCH – Change of Character Confirmed
After the fakeout, BTC broke below a key internal support and trendline structure, signaling a CHoCH (Change of Character)—a shift from bullish to bearish market control.
This moment is crucial:
It confirms the smart money’s intention.
It signals that the previous bullish move was just a setup.
Sellers now have control.
💡 Pro Tip: CHoCH is one of the earliest and most reliable signs of a reversal when combined with liquidity patterns.
4️⃣ Trendline Break & Structural Sell-Off
The break of the trendline following CHoCH solidified the bearish direction. This was the best confirmation-based entry point, as the structure flipped and began forming lower highs and lower lows.
5️⃣ Target Fulfilled – Previous Demand Zone Hit
The price then continued down aggressively and hit the marked MMC target zone. This area coincided with:
A previous demand zone (where buyers stepped in before).
A Mirror Market reversal point, seen earlier in the chart.
This fulfillment of the MMC target validates the entire analysis—from trap to reversal to target.
🎯 Key Zones:
Fakeout High: $69,600 area (liquidity sweep)
CHoCH Break Level: Around $69,100
Trendline Break Confirmation: $69,000
Final Target Zone: $68,500–$68,700
📈 Trading Strategy Recap:
Entry Idea: Enter short after CHoCH and trendline break
Stop Loss: Above fakeout high ($69,600+)
Take Profit: MMC demand zone ($68,500–$68,700)
This trade offered excellent risk-to-reward and confluence using multiple tools (MMC, CHoCH, structure, liquidity sweep).
🧠 What You Can Learn from This Setup:
Patterns Can Lie: A pattern like a pennant isn’t enough—context is key.
Liquidity Is King: Understand where the market needs to go to collect orders.
Mirror Market Concepts Work: Historical behavior often repeats in reverse. Use MMC to forecast likely outcomes.
CHoCH is Powerful: It's your early alert system for trend changes.
🔎 Final Thoughts:
This BTC/USD chart is a powerful example of how smart money operates—with manipulation, pattern traps, and mirrored market behavior. If you’re a price action trader or use MMC, this breakdown is a must-study.
Don't just trade patterns—trade context. Look for traps. Use MMC. Watch CHoCH. And always have a mapped target based on structure.
BTCUSD| About Current Bullish Momentum and Key LevelsHello there,
BTCUSD H1—The 105,699 level is currently maintaining bullish momentum; therefore, BTCUSD is in an overall bullish trend on the higher time frame. The price may move up, spike up or down, or break the support line to test another support area below.
For now, the 110,000 level is open, and the 105,199 level is also open.
Happy Trading,
K.
Not trading advice
BTC Breakdown – Reaccumulation at RiskBitcoin just posted a decisive 4H candle close below 55 SMA, mid-Bollinger Band, and the primary ascending trendline. Volume spiked to 7.31M, and RSI dropped to 38, confirming bearish momentum.
⸻
🧩 Wyckoff Structure Under Threat:
• ❌ LPS level invalidated
• ❌ Phase D uptrend broken
• 📉 No breakout above ATH (~109.8K) after three attempts
• 🟠 Still holding BC (Pole End) at ~105.8K
• 🔁 If this breaks next, the entire Phase D/E thesis collapses
⸻
🔻 What’s Next?
• Support:
• S1: Lower BB (~106.9K)
• S2: 105.8K (BC level — key structural base)
• Break of 105.8K = invalidation of reaccumulation, transition into potential distribution. Watch for daily close for confirmation.
• S3: Point of control at 104k
⸻
📊 Breakdown Triggers Confirmed:
• ✅ Close below mid-BB (108.9K)
• ✅ RSI < 45
• ✅ High-volume red candle
• ✅ Structural break of ascending LPS pattern
A short hedge can be initiated with a tight stop over breaking candle high. Note that this could be the shakeout moment i mentioned in my related post.
⸻
Unless BTC recovers 108.5K+ with rising volume quickly, this is now a valid short breakdown, and reaccumulation thesis hangs by a thread.
#Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #Wyckoff #Breakdown #CryptoTA #BTC4H #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis
BTC Daily Breakdown – Major Uptrend BreachedBitcoin has now closed below the multi-week ascending trendline on the daily chart — the same trendline that defined the entire Phase D markup structure.
⸻
🔍 Breakdown Highlights:
📉 Daily Close: 107,764 → well below trendline ✅
🔻 Volume: 18.42M (near 20-day average) → not a panic candle, but confirms exit ✅
📉 Fibonacci Cluster: 0.5 (107,093) and 0.618 (105,495) now in play ✅
⚠️ RSI (14): 61.14 → still neutral, but diverging from price ❗
🧱 Next supports:
• 106,146 = BB basis
• 105,821 = BC Pole End
• 104,000 = Point of control from volume profile
⸻
🧩 Structural Impact (Wyckoff View):
• ❌ Trendline break = Phase D invalidated
• ❌ No breakout above ATH (109,852) after 3 attempts
• 🟠 Still not fully invalidated — if 105.8K holds, Spring-like scenario still possible
• 🔻 Close below 105.8K = Phase C fails → transition into Redistribution
⸻
⚠️ What to Watch Next:
• Bounce from 106.1–105.5K with volume could offer one last recovery setup
• A close below 105.8K confirms structural invalidation
⸻
🧠 Final Take:
The trendline break is real. Bulls need to defend the Fibonacci cluster + BC base around 105.8K. If that gives way, this becomes a failed reaccumulation and BTC risks a deeper structural rotation.
#Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #Breakdown #Trendline #TechnicalAnalysis #Wyckoff #BTC #CryptoMarkets #BTCdaily
Bitcoin 4H Outlook: Dual Wyckoff Reaccumulation in Play⚙️ Technical Thesis:
We're currently witnessing the unfolding of two back-to-back Wyckoff reaccumulation structures on the 4H timeframe:
📦 Reaccumulation #1 (Left)
Structure: PSY → BC → AR → ST → Spring + Test → LPS → SOS
Bullish pennant formed after Spring, leading to a strong breakout
BC of this phase (105,821) now acts as a major upper resistance
📦 Reaccumulation #2 (Right)
Structure: BC → ST → UT → Shakeout → Minor Spring → SPRING (current)
Current price has tagged Spring at the convergence of:
Lower Bollinger Band ($105,174)
61.8% Fibonacci retracement ($105,915)
🧪 Market Internals
RSI: 38.31 → deeply oversold, aligned with a Spring phase
Volume: Fading on last leg down, hinting exhaustion
BBs:
Upper: $110,828
Basis: $108,006 (confluent with 55 SMA)
Lower: $105,174
200 SMA: $102,248 (macro support)
Pattern context: Another bullish flag is forming within the second structure
🎯 Trade Expectations (Pending Spring Test as Confirmation)
If this Spring holds:
🔄 LPS → Look for bullish reaction with increased volume
TP1: AR retest around $106,752
TP2: 55 SMA + BB Midline confluence at ~$108,000
TP3: Range target or previous BC level near $112,000–$113,000
A decisive break below $105,000 with RSI < 35 and rising volume would invalidate the Spring and shift focus to breakdown risk.
🔍 Wyckoff View
This is a classic Spring setup from a Wyckoff reaccumulation structure. Two sequential structures are visible, and the first structure’s BC now serves as the foundational support for the second. This kind of layered support builds conviction — but needs validation via LPS and SOS phases.
Yes the major trendline was broken, but we are now consolidation and reaccumulation for the next leg up, unless the pattern is invalidated.
🕹 No short setups active unless structural failure confirmed.
💬 Share your view: do you see this as a Spring or potential failure?
#BTCUSDT #Wyckoff #Reaccumulation #CryptoTrading #BitcoinAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #Spring #LPS
BITCOIN (BTC/USD) – BREAKDOWN FROM THE CHANNEL! WHAT’S NEXT?Hey traders! 🧠
Today’s BTC/USD price action is sending a strong technical signal – price has broken down from the ascending channel, potentially marking the start of a deeper correction. Currently sitting at $106,200, with a daily drop of -1.49%.
🔍 Here’s what I’m seeing:
📉 Uptrend break – bears might be taking control.
🛑 Immediate support: $104,000.
🔼 Resistance ahead: $109,351 – reclaiming this is key for any bullish recovery.
📊 Watching closely whether BTC re-enters the channel or moves toward lower support (~$100K or below).
💡 My current plan:
If $104K holds, we could see a bounce. If not, prepare for a potential deeper dip. A return above $109K would be a bullish sign and could trigger renewed momentum.
📲 Follow me for more real-time updates, trade ideas, and clean technical breakdowns!
👉 If this helped, drop a like – it helps get this analysis in front of more traders!
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #Crypto #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoTrading
BTC/USD ssibly initiating a new bearish phase.
Asset: Bitcoin (BTC/USD)
Timeframe: 4-hour (4h)
Platform: TradingView
Price Range: Chart shows BTC trading around $108,998.31
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🧠 Technical Concepts Used:
🔁 Market Structure Terms:
BOS (Break of Structure):
Located on the left side, indicating a shift in trend direction.
Signifies a strong bearish break, typically following a bullish run, possibly initiating a new bearish phase.
CHOCH (Change of Character):
Mid-chart, near a significant support zone.
Indicates a potential bullish reversal or accumulation phase after a downtrend.
HH/HL (Higher Highs/Higher Lows):
Indicate an uptrend following the CHOCH area.
Bullish market structure forming a channel.
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🟩 Zones & Targets:
🔲 Support and Resistance Zones:
Support Zone: Marked near the bottom (~$82,000–$85,000 range)
Resistance Zone: Near the top (~$110,000 area), where price currently hovers
🎯 Targets and Forecast:
First Target: Mid-level demand zone around ~$96,000–$98,000
Final Target: Strong demand zone around ~$92,000
Price Path Projection:
Suggests a potential drop from current levels (Red arrow)
Temporary bounce at first target, followed by another drop to final target
Afterwards, a potential bullish retracement or reversal
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📐 Technical Patterns & Tools:
Trend Channel: Price is moving inside an ascending parallel channel.
Arrow Markings:
Show a forecast of retracement and potential consolidation or reversal.
Liquidity Zones: Highlighted zones suggest institutional interest areas where price may react significantly.
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📅 Timestamp and Device Info:
Chart Date/Time: Sunday, 25th May 2025, 12:00
Current System Time: 10:21 PM, 27th May 2025
Platform: Dell Laptop with Windows OS
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✅ Summary Like a Pro:
> "The BTC/USD 4H chart presents a classic smart money setup. Following a break of structure (BOS) and change of character (CHOCH), the price entered a bullish structure forming higher highs. Currently, price action is in a premium zone nearing resistance, suggesting a potential bearish move targeting the first demand zone around $96,000 and final institutional support near $92,000. A corrective retracement is expected before any significant bullish continuation, aligning with key liquidity and order block zones."
BTCUSD Entre point 106000target 107000 stop loss 105200New trade setup for BTCUSD:
- Entry Point: 106,000
- Target: 107,000 (1,000-point gain)
- Stop Loss: 105,200 (800-point risk)
Risk-reward ratio looks decent! Let's see how it plays out. What's your trading strategy behind this setup? Are you expecting a bullish breakout?