BTCUSD Tests Support—Buy for ReboundBTCUSD opened high and trended lower today 📉, now approaching the support zone—time to buy directly and ride the rebound! 🚀
⚡️⚡️⚡️ BTCUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@ 105000 - 105500
🚀 TP 106000 - 107500
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
BTCUSD.P trade ideas
Middle East Tensions Drive Capital Shift: BTC May Test 100K SupCurrently, we can clearly see that BTC is in a downward trend 🔻. Due to the tense situation in the Middle East 😰, a large amount of capital has flowed into gold and crude oil markets. BTCUSD is likely to continue its downward movement on Monday ⬇️. Let's focus on the support level at 100,000. If it breaks below 100,000, it may continue to decline ⚠️.
⚡️⚡️⚡️ BTCUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Sell@ 106500 - 105500
🚀 TP 102000 - 101000
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
June 17 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello
This is Bitcoin Guide.
It's been a while.
I took a break recently because the participation rate was not good.
Since it's been a while since I did an analysis, I did it in a short form,
I hope you enjoy it.
If you "follow"
You can receive real-time movement paths and comment notifications on major sections.
If my analysis was helpful,
Please click the booster button at the bottom.
Here is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
I created a strategy based on the possibility of sideways movement in Nasdaq and the rebound of Tether Dominance.
* When the blue finger moves,
It is a two-way neutral short->long switching strategy.
1. $106,792.2 short position entry point / stop loss price when orange resistance line is broken
2. $105,082.8 long position switching / stop loss price when green support line is broken
3. $107,579.9 long position 1st target -> Top 2nd target price
If it goes down from the current position,
Check the bottom section -> up to $103,194.3.
Please use my analysis as a reference only
I hope you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss price.
Thank you.
107.6-107.8 and 109-110KMorning folks,
So, position taking stage is done, now let's take a look at targets. In general we have a sequence of a few targets, starting from 107.6-107.8, 109-110, 113 and 116K. But in current situation I would watch for only first two.
Daily overbought is around 114, so 116K target seems too far. 113K is possible, but with rather extended downside action last week, it seems as very optimistic. That's why, more or less base case seems around 109-110K, while the easiest target is 107.6-107.8K.
So, once the first target will be reached - think about partial profit booking, if you want to continue trading. Say, take off 30-40% and move stops to the breakeven on the rest.
99K and 97.5K potential targetsMorning folks,
As you can see, not occasionally last time we chose only nearest 107K and 109K targets. Market indeed looks a bit heavy. Now short-term context turns bearish and we consider reaching of 99K target as rather high. Next potential target area is 97.K - butterfly target and daily Fib support.
Obviously now we do not consider any new longs and need some clear signs of sentiment changing, that we do not have by far. Let's see what will happen around support area
BITCOIN Is 'Bullish June Seasonality' about to kick-in?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has started June on a very promising note, recovering most of last week's losses and is potentially headed for a new All Time High (ATH). This however, should be no surprise as BTC has exhibited amazing strength during the month of June and onwards since 2013.
As this chart shows, the market has historically rallied on June, in fact it is the month that kick-started Bitcoin's final rallies towards the Top on its last three Cycles.
Based on the 2W RSI, which is ranging within the 0.236 - 0.618 Fibonacci levels, we can argue that the price action is closer to June 2017 than other Cycles. As to how high it can get to, we've analyzed that on other studies, the current analysis only serves to show you that historically we are set for a strong 'Bullish June Seasonality' effect.
Do you agree that this is about to kick-in? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin 4-Year Cycle Structure – Technical BreakdownBitcoin 4-Year Cycle Structure – Technical Breakdown
This chart examines Bitcoin’s historical 4-year cycle behaviour, focusing on the repeating market structure observed across the last three cycles: Bull Market → Bear Market → Accumulation/Recovery → Halving → Expansion.
Key Observations:
🔹 Cycle Timing Consistency
Each of the past three cycles has shown a consistent duration between the halving and the final bull market peak—typically between 500–550 days. Based on that timing, the current cycle suggests we are still ~100 days away from a potential macro top.
🔹 Post-Halving Correction is Expected
Corrections shortly after the halving have historically marked mid-cycle retracements, not macro tops. The current pullback is structurally aligned with the 2017 and 2021 expansions, where Bitcoin consolidated before pushing to final highs.
🔹 Altcoin Market Segments Lagging
TOTAL2 (Total Market Cap excluding BTC)
TOTAL3 (Excluding BTC & ETH)
OTHERS (Altcoins excluding top 10 by market cap)
All remain below their prior cycle all-time highs, which historically occurs before the full market cycle concludes. These segments often accelerate after BTC has established dominance, typically in the later stages of the bull market.
🔹 USDT Dominance Suggests More Upside
USDT.D is still trending down, which historically reflects increasing risk appetite and capital rotation into crypto assets. Prior cycle tops have aligned with much lower dominance levels, indicating further downside risk for USDT.D, and potential upside for crypto markets.
Conclusion:
Despite short-term volatility, the technical structure across Bitcoin and broader market indicators suggests the cycle remains in its expansion phase. Timing models, altcoin lag, and dominance signals all point to further upside potential before a full cycle peak is in.
1W:
1M:
BTCUSD: Can it repeat the U.S. elections rally?Bitcoin is on a slight pullback, being only marginally bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 56.024, MACD = 1611.500, ADX = 23.439). Based on the 1W RSI we may be on the October 30th - November 4th 2024 pullback that preceded the U.S. elections. The decisive test will be on the 1D MA50 again, but as long as the S1 level holds, chances are we will see a similar +106.40% rally. We remain bullish on BTC, TP = 150,000.
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BTC Trend Analysis and Trading Recommendations for TodayThe BTC market continues its sideways-down trend, with notably insufficient rebound momentum during the session. Although there were brief signs of stabilization in the early trading, bearish forces continued to exert pressure during the European session, and the index showed a staircase decline.
From the 4-hour chart analysis, the price once fell to touch the middle Bollinger Band support during the Asian session, followed by a technical rebound. However, the rebound strength was obviously weak, encountering strong resistance near the middle band. The current candlestick pattern presents a typical Dark Cloud Cover, the MACD indicator continues to release volume below the zero axis, with fast and slow lines in bearish alignment.
Technically, the price remains significantly pressured near the middle band, and the US session is likely to extend the existing downtrend. Investors are advised to maintain a bearish stance. If the price effectively breaks below the middle band support, the next target is targeted at the lower Bollinger Band. Strategically, fading rallies remains the preferred approach.
BTCUSD
sell@106500-106000
tp:105000-104000
Current BTC Trend Analysis and Trading RecommendationsThe daily candlestick chart of BTC shows a three - day consecutive bearish retracement, having fallen back to the vicinity of the starting point of the previous pinbar rebound and currently remaining in a recent low - level sideways consolidation zone. However, the 4 - hour trend is pressured by the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, staying within a downward channel and forming a rebound - retracement wave pattern.
For short - term strategies, anticipate a further retracement first. Long positions should be initiated only after the support level is confirmed valid. This retracement represents a necessary consolidation phase before the bullish trend continues, and the current adjustment range does not pose a substantial threat of trend reversal to the overall uptrend. With the core upward trend intact and the direction remaining clear, BTC is expected to resume its upward momentum after a brief consolidation. The operational approach remains to go long on retracements.
BTCUSD
buy@103500-104000
tp:105500-106500
Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
Bitcoin: Break Out Or Fake Out Can Be Long.Bitcoin has adhered to my previous week's anticipated scenario almost exactly. While this may be a coincidence, I have called similar scenarios like this numerous times just see my previous articles, I left the illustration on the chart. From here, there are two scenarios to consider, one offering greater probability than the other. Let me explain.
First consider that the Bitcoin trend has never changed. The broader tend is bullish and the previous weeks only saw a brief corrective structure which found support in the 102K AREA )see my previous article). A reversal developed and confirmed and now we are in the process of rallying back toward the highs.
Scenario 1 The Breakout: IF the high 106's are cleared, it is possible price can break out to potentially test the next resistance around the 110K area. Since this environment is typically a lower volume time of year, I believe there is a greater chance of fake out. How you manage the risk all depends on the time frame you operate on. Smaller time frames can pin point more accurate signs of follow through while maintaining tighter risk while taking the breakout on this time frame exposes you to more risk. If taking the breakout on this time frame, consider mitigating risk with smaller size or being prepared to exit IF a conflicting signal appears like a bearish pin bar.
Scenario 2 The Retrace: IF price rejects the 106K area (fake out possibility) then I will be watching for a retest of the 104K area minor support. This is the level where I would be looking for confirmation patterns like bullish pin bars etc. This would not only constitute a higher low but also establish a classic inverted head and shoulders pattern. I do not put a lot of emphasis on the broader pattern, but it can help foster a self fulfilling prophecy. This reversal offers a greater probability since it is coming from a pullback within a broader bullish trend. Also the profit objective is greater since the 110K resistance would still be the same.
How you mange this again depends on the type of strategies you employ. My analysis is meant to provide an overall roadmap of the possibilities that I anticipate and nothing more. If you are a day trader this information will not be used the same way compared to if you are a swing trader. The key is how you define the risk and the confirmations. If the market rejects both scenarios, then we simply have to readjust to the new information that becomes available.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
Expect BTC/USD to drop to 102000 post-Fed rate decisionBTC/USD Update 📈
BTC rebounded from 103500 support, now at ~105500. Short-term correction may test 100000 psychological support ⚠️
I think the Fed's interest rate decision this time may cause BTCUSD to drop directly to 102000 .
⚡️⚡️⚡️ BTCUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Sell@ 105000 - 104500
🚀 TP 102500 - 101500
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
BTCUSD Breakout retest at 103.800Trend Overview:
Bitcoin BTCUSD remains in a bullish trend, characterised by higher highs and higher lows. The recent intraday price action is forming a continuation consolidation pattern, suggesting a potential pause before a renewed move higher.
Key Technical Levels:
Support: 103,800 (primary pivot), followed by 102,260 and 100,900
Resistance: 107.300 (initial), then 110,300 and 113,680
Technical Outlook:
A pullback to the 103,800 level, which aligns with the previous consolidation zone, could act as a platform for renewed buying interest. A confirmed bounce from this support may trigger a continuation toward the next resistance levels at 107,300, 110,310, and ultimately 113,680.
Conversely, a daily close below 103,800 would suggest weakening bullish momentum. This scenario would shift the bias to bearish in the short term, potentially targeting 102,260 and 100.900 as downside levels.
Conclusion:
Bitcoin BTCUSD maintains a bullish structure while trading above the 103,800 support. A bounce from this level would validate the consolidation as a continuation pattern, with upside potential toward the 107,300 area. A breakdown below 103,800, however, would invalidate this view and suggest deeper corrective risk.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Bitcoin,when it’s all said and done.Bitcoin has no reason to revisit under 100k before a new high. Although markets are manipulated by large players often, it’s usually to change market sentiment for those who are over leveraged and ignorant of the whale games. If it were to wick down to below 100k, I strongly believe it will reverse violently to the upside surpassing ATH. There will be no WWIII. Believe in righteousness and give peace a chance.
Is Bitcoin Trend in Danger?Damn bears destroy what it was a beautiful trend but Bulls still have one more week to try to finish the job right. TIME will tell.
Alright now that volatility has subside (for now) we can see what the numbers will be for the next 2 to 3 days and doesn't look too good unless bulls are able to climb back up and stay above the $107k within the next 48hrs.
Weekly hasn't changed at all and is to the Upside.
Daily also still to the UPside but showing weakness.
Lets see if the 4hrs TF which is in bullish mode, can fix the damage that bears did today.
Lets see what the weekend brings. No popcorns today ladies and gentlemen.
BTCUSD SHORT (SELL)🚀 Pair: BTCUSD
📉 Direction: Short (Sell)
🎥 Analysis:
BTC has recently broken its last M15 low, marking a Change of Character (CHOCH) in the market structure. This shift from bullish to bearish momentum signals a potential reversal or downside movement.
I’m expecting a retracement back up to a key supply/resistance area (such as a previous support turning into resistance) before price continues downward.
This view is supported by a clear inducement in front of the supply zone, lower low formation, and weak buying pressure on the pullback — all indicating sellers are currently in control.
🕹 Entry: Supply zone level
🎯 Target: Next major support or liquidity pool below.
🛑 Stop Loss: Positioned above the last lower high to manage risk in case the market reverses.
Current BTC Trend Analysis and Trading RecommendationsToday, U.S. markets are closed, leading to light trading activity and relatively limited overall market volatility. From a technical analysis perspective, the 4-hour K-line chart currently shows prices trading below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, exhibiting a classic range-bound consolidation pattern. Bulls and bears are locked in a tug-of-war between key support and resistance levels, with K-line formations alternating between bullish and bearish patterns.
In terms of chart structure, the lower support zone has demonstrated strong buying conviction, while the upper resistance level has exerted clear restrictive force. Multiple failed upward breakouts have formed a short-term top. This box consolidation—characterized by resistance above and support below—is expected to sustain sideways trading through Friday.
Against the backdrop of no major positive catalysts, bearish momentum may gradually dominate if no substantial bullish triggers emerge. Maintain a trading strategy of selling into strength.
BTCUSD
105000-105500
tp:104000-103000
Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.