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BTCUSD Perpetual Contract

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BTC “Golden Cross” Looms, but Geopolitics Could Delay ItBitcoin’s “Golden Cross” Looms, but Geopolitical Shocks Could Delay the Breakout Deep dive into price action, derivatives, on-chain data, and the tug-of-war between Middle-East risk and crypto bull-run momentum ________________________________________ Table of Contents 1. Executive Summary 2. Scene-Setter: BTC at $105 K in a World on Edge 3. Technical Spark: What a Golden Cross Really Means 4. Price Action: From $103 K Dip to $106.8 K Hurdle 5. Options Market: A Sudden Lurch Toward Puts 6. Macro Overhang: Why Israel–Iran Turmoil Matters to Bitcoin 7. On-Chain Pulse: 656 % Cycle Gain, Yet Supply Is Tighter Than 2021 8. Mining Fundamentals: Difficulty Eases, Margins Improve 9. Corporate Treasuries: The Quiet, Sticky Bid 10. Targets & Scenarios: $97 K Downside vs. $229 K Upside 11. Strategy Playbook for Traders & Investors 12. Conclusion: Delayed, Not Derailed 13. Disclaimers ________________________________________ 1. Executive Summary • Bitcoin (BTC) is trading in a tight $103 K–$108 K band, unable to confirm a breakout as Middle-East tensions push investors into hedging mode. • A Golden Cross—the 50-day SMA crossing above the 200-day—could flash within 10 trading sessions, historically adding +37 % median upside over the subsequent 90 days. • Options flow has flipped decisively toward puts, with the 25-delta skew hitting –10 %, its most bearish since the FTX collapse, signaling short-term anxiety even as long-term bets remain bullish. • On-chain metrics (exchange balances at six-year lows, HODLer supply at all-time highs) reveal structural demand; Glassnode notes a 656 % cycle advance despite a trillion-dollar market cap. • Analysts’ upside targets range from $140 K (Q3) to $270 K (October) and even $229 K based on the Golden Cross fractal. Yet a clean break of $104 K support opens room to $97 K first. ________________________________________ 2. Scene-Setter: BTC at $105 K in a World on Edge Bitcoin entered 2025 with a blistering rally—spot ETFs hoovered nearly 200 K coins in four months, miners sold aggressively into strength, and macro tailwinds (Fed easing, USD weakness) fueled risk appetite. Then two macro curveballs hit: 1. Sticky U.S. core inflation revived “higher-for-longer” rate fears. 2. Israel–Iran hostilities spooked global markets, sending Brent crude to $76 and sparking a dash for USD liquidity. BTC, once heralded as “digital gold,” behaved like a high-beta tech stock: it slipped 7 % in 48 hours, tagging $103,200 before bargain hunters stepped in. As of this writing, price sits near $105,800—right on the 100-hour SMA. Whether we escape the range depends on which force proves stronger: geopolitical dread or the long-term structural bid. ________________________________________ 3. Technical Spark: What a Golden Cross Really Means A Golden Cross occurs when the 50-day simple moving average (SMA-50) crosses above the 200-day (SMA-200). In Bitcoin’s 14-year history, we have logged nine such events: Year Days to Cross 90-Day Return 180-Day Return 2013 51 +88 % +202 % 2015 73 +34 % +67 % 2019 46 +193 % +262 % 2020 38 +77 % +112 % 2023 59 +29 % +48 % Median 90-day gain: +37 % Median drawdown post-cross: –12 % We are ~$700 shy of triggering the cross (SMA-50 at $97.9 K, SMA-200 at $98.1 K and rising). Assuming volatility stays muted, the lines converge within two weeks, potentially firing a widely watched buy signal. But remember: the cross is lagging; smart traders anticipate, not react. ________________________________________ 4. Price Action: From $103 K Dip to $106.8 K Hurdle Key intraday levels (Kraken feed): • Support 1: $104,000 – prior weekly low + bullish order-block • Support 2: $101,200 – 0.786 Fib retrace of the Feb–Mar impulse • Bear Pivot: $97,000 – 200-day EMA + high-confluence volume node • Resistance 1: $106,800 – last week’s swing high; three failed probes • Resistance 2: $108,500 – May monthly open • Bull Pivot: $113,000 – neckline of the March distribution range Monday’s bounce broke a declining trend-line from $110 K, printing a higher low—constructive, yet bulls require a daily close >$106.8 K to invalidate the short-term bearish structure. ________________________________________ 5. Options Market: A Sudden Lurch Toward Puts Deribit data (largest BTC options venue): • Put/Call Ratio: 0.62 last Friday → 0.91 today • 25-Delta Skew (1-month): –10 %, lowest since Nov-2022 • Max-Pain for April 26 expiry: $104 K (huge open interest) Translation: traders rushed to buy protective puts as Iran war headlines crossed. Market-makers, short those puts, delta-hedged by shorting spot or perpetual futures, adding downward pressure—classic gamma feedback loop. Yet term structure remains contango; June and September IVs price higher topside. Institutions appear to sell near-dated panic, accumulate long-dated calls—a bullish medium-term stance. ________________________________________ 6. Macro Overhang: Why Israel–Iran Turmoil Matters to Bitcoin 1. Risk-Off Correlation: Despite “digital gold” narratives, BTC’s 30-day correlation with the Nasdaq-100 sits at 0.64; equities slide → crypto follows. 2. USD Liquidity Drain: War premium lifts oil, stoking inflation and forcing the Fed to delay cuts; higher real yields pressure non-yielding assets. 3. Regulatory Optics: Heightened national-security chatter emboldens lawmakers keen to scrutinize crypto, a perceived sanctions-evasion channel. 4. Regional Flows: The Middle-East hosts some of the largest sovereign-wealth pools; risk aversion could pause their crypto allocations. 5. Hence, every missile headline becomes a volatility catalyst. Still, flash-risk events fade quickly if energy supply stays intact, offering windows for BTC to re-assert its secular trend. ________________________________________ 7. On-Chain Pulse: 656 % Cycle Gain, Yet Supply Is Tighter Than 2021 Glassnode frames Bitcoin’s ongoing bull as “one of the most explosive relative to market cap gravity.” Highlights: • Cycle Return: 656 % from the $14 K November-2022 bottom—impressive given the asset is now >$2 T in free-float value, dwarfing 2017’s sub-$100 B base. • Exchange Balances: Just 2.02 M BTC on centralized venues—13-year low. • Realized Price (short-term holders): $92,500—suggests marginal buyers remain well in profit. • Entity-Adjusted Dormancy Flow: At 275 K BTC/day vs. 2021’s 550 K—implying HODLers are less willing to spend. Put simply: even after a seven-fold rally, supply scarcity persists. ________________________________________ 8. Mining Fundamentals: Difficulty Eases, Margins Improve The April 20 adjustment saw difficulty dip 1.2 %, the first contraction since January. Why it matters: • Post-Halving Breathing Room: Block subsidy fell to 1.5625 BTC; a difficulty rollback cushions miner profit margins, lowering forced selling risk. • Hashrate Plateau: Network hashrate hovers at 640 EH/s, only 3 % off the ATH—miners remain confident. • Transaction Fees: Average fee per block = 0.37 BTC, still elevated by historical standards thanks to BRC-20 activity. Miners thus appear cash-flow stable, reducing downside pressure on spot markets compared to previous post-halving eras. ________________________________________ 9. Corporate Treasuries: The Quiet, Sticky Bid Since MicroStrategy cracked the dam, 68 public companies now hold BTC on balance sheets, totaling 412,000 coins (~$43 B). Recent newcomers: Company Purchase Date BTC Added Avg Cost SemiconX Feb-2025 2,500 $94,800 Nordic Logistics Mar-2025 800 $98,200 Atlantech Energy Apr-2025 1,200 $101,500 Traits of corporate treasuries: • Long-Dated Liabilities: Align with Bitcoin’s four-year halving cadence. • Low Turnover: None of the 68 have sold core holdings despite 80 % drawdowns in 2022. • Regulatory Transparency: SEC filings broadcast purchases, inviting copycat demand. This sticky bid stabilizes spot markets during macro squalls. ________________________________________ 10. Targets & Scenarios: $97 K Downside vs. $229 K Upside Bearish Path (30 % probability) • Trigger: Israel–Iran broadens, Fed signals no cuts in 2025. • Price Action: Break $104 K, bulls capitulate at $97 K (200-day). • Depth: Could wick to $88–90 K (0.618 retrace) if macro gloom persists. Base Case (50 % probability) • Trigger: Skirmishes contained; oil cools, Fed cuts twice by December. • Price Action: Golden Cross confirms, BTC grinds to $128 K by September. • Highs: $140 K tap as ETF inflows resume. Bullish Path (20 % probability) • Trigger: Middle-East cease-fire + ETF FOMO round two + dovish Fed pivot. • Fractals: Prior Golden-Cross extensions averaged +120 % at extreme. • Price Action: $150 K by summer, $229 K (Fib 2.618 from 2022 low) by year-end. • Blow-Off: $270 K October spike before the next cyclical bear begins. ________________________________________ 11. Strategy Playbook for Traders & Investors Horizon Bias Instruments Risk Management Intraday (0–48 h) Range scalp $104–$107 K Perp futures (5× max), options gamma scalping Hard stop $103 K; position <1 % equity Swing (2–8 wks) Buy pullbacks ahead of Golden Cross Spot, dated futures roll, 1-month $110 K calls Stop $97 K daily close; size 5–10 % Position (3–6 mo) Accumulate for $140–150 K target Spot, June/Sept call spreads ($120/150) Hedge via 25 % put collar Long-Term (1–4 yr) Maintain core stash; ignore noise Cold storage, DCA Re-balance only when price doubles Optional hedge: Long Gold / Short BTC ratio spread as a geopolitical shock absorber; ratio 1.3 currently, mean-reverts to 1.1 post-crises. ________________________________________ 12. Conclusion: Delayed, Not Derailed Bitcoin stands at a crossroads: a textbook Golden Cross beckons, ETF inflows smolder, miners relax, and corporate treasuries drip-feed demand. Yet war headlines and a cautious options market act as sandbags on the balloon. History says macro shocks slow, not stop secular bull cycles. Unless Middle-East conflict strangles global liquidity or the Fed slams the brakes far harder than priced, BTC’s higher-time-frame structure remains bullish. Expect turbulence, embrace risk controls—but don’t mistake a weather delay for a busted engine. ________________________________________ 13. Disclaimers This article is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investing involves substantial risk; never invest more than you can afford to lose.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
Bitcoin’s Decentralization Is a Fairy TaleBitcoin was born as a revolutionary, decentralized currency, promising financial freedom and independence from traditional banking systems. Yet, as we analyze its real-world distribution, it becomes clear that Bitcoin’s decentralization is more myth than reality. 🔍 The Illusion of Decentralization Bitcoin operates on a decentralized blockchain, meaning no single entity controls the network. However, when we examine who actually owns Bitcoin, we see a highly concentrated wealth structure that mirrors traditional financial inequality. 📊 Bitcoin’s Wealth Concentration The top 0.01% of Bitcoin wallets control over 37% of total supply. The top 1% of Bitcoin holders control over 40% of Bitcoin. The top 2% of Bitcoin wallets control over 95% of total supply. The bottom 98% of wallets hold less than 5% of Bitcoin. The bottom 50% of wallets hold less than 0.03% of Bitcoin. 10,000 Bitcoin investors own 5 million BTC, worth $230 billion. Institutional investors and early adopters dominate Bitcoin ownership. This means that a tiny fraction of wallets dominate the entire market, while millions of small holders own completely insignificant amounts. 💰 Bitcoin vs Traditional Wealth Inequality Bitcoin was supposed to be more equitable than traditional finance, but its wealth distribution is even more extreme than global financial inequality. Bitcoin’s wealth gap is far worse than traditional financial inequality, proving that decentralization does not mean fair distribution. 📉 How Did Bitcoin Become So Centralized? 1. Early Adopters Accumulated Massive Holdings Bitcoin’s first miners and tech-savvy investors acquired BTC when it was nearly worthless. Many of these wallets still hold huge amounts, making redistribution difficult. 2. Institutional Investors Took Over Hedge funds, exchanges, and corporations now control a massive portion of BTC. Bitcoin ETFs and custodial wallets concentrate ownership even further. 3. Lost & Dormant Bitcoin Shrinks Circulating Supply An estimated 29% of Bitcoin is lost or inactive, meaning fewer coins are available. This makes the remaining BTC even more concentrated among active holders. 🚨 The Harsh Reality: Bitcoin Is Not Financial Freedom Bitcoin was supposed to empower individuals, but in practice, it has become a playground for the wealthy. Decentralization in theory ≠ decentralization in reality. Institutional investors and exchanges hold a massive portion of BTC. Bitcoin’s fixed supply (21 million BTC) makes redistribution nearly impossible. Bitcoin is not the democratized financial system it was promised to be—it’s just another asset class where the rich get richer. NASDAQ:MSTR NYSE:CRCL NASDAQ:COIN TVC:GOLD TVC:SILVER INDEX:BTCUSD NASDAQ:TSLA TVC:DXY NASDAQ:HOOD NASDAQ:MARA
SWISSQUOTE:BTCUSDShort
by CassianDrake
BTC is expected to continue its decline to 100,000BTC has encountered resistance and fallen back several times near 110,000, forming an absolute suppression in the short term. It is difficult for BTC to overcome this resistance area in the short term. As BTC has been unable to break through for a long time, some profit-taking and panic selling will cause BTC to gradually collapse. At present, BTC has fallen back to around 104,000. During the retracement, it has built a short-term resistance area of ​​105,500-106,000, which limits the rebound space in the short term and will further strengthen the bearish sentiment in the market. BTC will completely open up the downward space. At present, the 103,000-102,500 area still has a certain support effect on BTC. As BTC shows a volatile downward trend, this support area will be broken again and continue to fall to the area near 100,000. Therefore, in short-term trading, we can consider shorting BTC in the 105,000-105,500 area. BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Steffen_Schade
Bitcoin (BTC)and NASDAQ: Intermarket Analysis and the Road AheadIn this four-hour BTCUSD chart, Bitcoin is currently consolidating within a symmetrical triangle pattern ⏳. The price is oscillating between a series of lower highs and higher lows, with the most recent swing high and swing low serving as key reference points for traders. This pattern reflects a market in indecision, awaiting a catalyst for a breakout. Volume has picked up as price approaches the previous low, suggesting that buyers are stepping in to defend this area, rather than capitulating. The next significant move will likely be determined by whether price can break above the last swing high or fall below the last swing low. A breakout above the previous high could open the door for a renewed uptrend, while a breakdown below the previous low may signal a deeper correction. Geopolitical & Fundamental Backdrop 🌍 Bitcoin’s current consolidation is happening against a backdrop of heightened macro and geopolitical uncertainty. Recent global events, such as tensions in the Middle East and shifting US economic data, have contributed to increased volatility across risk assets. Institutional interest in Bitcoin remains strong, and the asset continues to be viewed as a hedge against inflation and currency debasement. However, short-term sentiment is sensitive to headlines and policy shifts. NASDAQ & Correlation with Bitcoin 📈 The NASDAQ and Bitcoin remain closely correlated, especially during periods of heightened risk-on or risk-off sentiment. The NASDAQ has recently been consolidating after a strong rally, with price action also defined by a series of lower highs and higher lows. The index’s outlook is currently neutral to cautiously bullish, mirroring Bitcoin’s technical structure. If the NASDAQ can break above its recent high, it could provide a tailwind for Bitcoin and other risk assets. Conversely, a move below the last swing low in equities could trigger further caution in crypto markets. Summary & Outlook 🚦 BTCUSD is at a pivotal juncture, with the next move likely to be determined by a break above the previous high or below the previous low on the four-hour chart. Macro and geopolitical factors are creating short-term volatility, but the long-term structure remains constructive as long as the broader uptrend of higher lows is maintained. The NASDAQ’s consolidation and its correlation with Bitcoin suggest that risk sentiment in equities will continue to influence crypto. Watch for confirmation from both markets before taking a directional bias. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency and stock markets are highly volatile and subject to rapid change. Always do your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
PEPPERSTONE:BTCUSD
by fxtraderanthony
BITCOIN The beauty of structured patterns. $150k is next.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has invalidated all bias calling for a deeper pull-back after May's new All Time High (ATH), as yesterday it broke above the previous ATH Resistance, invalidating the short-term Head and Shoulders pattern, while rebounding last week exactly on the dashed Lower Highs trend-line, confirming it as a Support level. Within BTC's 3 year Channel Up pattern, we have seen this price action structure another 3 times. The minimum rise on such pattern has been +101% and that wasn't even a Lower Highs rebound. The other two that were exactly like the current formation, increased by a lot more. As a result, we expect Bitcoin to complete a minimum +101% rise from the April 07 bottom, which translates to a clean $150000 Target. Do you think the structure ill continue to hold up to $150k and possibly beyond? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
1
Potential bearish drop?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 61.8% Fibonacci support. Pivot: 107,000.93 1st Support: 104,300.41 1st Resistance: 108,341.47 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:BTCUSDShort
by ICmarkets
BTC Macro Cycle Outlook (Log Chart)Bitcoin continues to respect its logarithmic ascending channel that has defined every major bull and bear cycle since 2015. Each cycle top has historically aligned with the upper blue trendline, marked by sharp rejections (red arrows 🔴). Currently, BTC is pushing within a steep short-term channel, mirroring previous parabolic phases. If the structure holds, we could see a final push toward the $300,000 zone, which aligns with the channel resistance — potentially marking the next cycle top. 📈 This chart captures the bigger picture — filtering out short-term noise and focusing on the rhythm of Bitcoin’s long-term cycles. Do you think this cycle will end like the last two? Or are we in for something different? All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
TICKMILL:BTCUSDLong
by TheSignalyst
11
₿ Bitcoin: SlippedAfter holding steady for two days, Bitcoin broke lower yesterday, confirming a setback within green wave B. This countertrend move delays the anticipated climb, which we still expect to reach its peak in the upper blue Target Zone (coordinates: $117,553 – $130,891). From there, bearish wave C should take over. The upper blue zone remains a tactical area for partial profit-taking or hedging long positions with shorts. Wave C is expected to drive the price sharply lower into the blue Target Zone (coordinates: $62,395 – $51,323), where we anticipate the completion of orange wave a. Orange wave b may trigger a corrective bounce, but ultimately, renewed downside should wrap up the intermediate correction of blue wave (ii). Still, there’s a 30% chance that Bitcoin forms a higher high as part of blue wave alt.(i)—temporarily breaching the upper blue zone. 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by MarketIntel
BTC SHORT TP:105,000 16-06-2025Back from a quick break and we’re jumping straight into action 😎 Short and sweet setup — we’re looking for a fast move down. Entry: 106,500 – 107,000 Target: 104,800 – 105,100 RR: 3.0 average Timeframe: 2H Duration: 20–24 hours Context: Quick and clean short after a small vacation break — let’s stack more green. 📌 Use a tight stop or adjust based on your strategy. If the move doesn’t play out within the time range, the setup is invalid. We don’t use indicators, we’re not out here drawing lines or cute little shapes — I just give you a clean trade.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by ReyDragon21
BTC BOTTOM $ - 100% Never Fails (2013 - Today)Bitcoin Weekly Chart Going Back To 10+ Years We are looking at the BitStamp Green Support Line here that has Marked the bottom correctly before 100% of the time for each each bull cycle pump on bitcoin going 3/3 without fail. We are now looking to see if we can go 4/4 and mark the new bottom buy with a quick wick down to the green support currently around 73K+ this week, but as each week closes the bitcoin bottom number will rise as the green support line rises over time. Good luck. Let's see if the 4th time is also the charm.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by dogdaddevan
12
BTCUSD GOING LONG AFTER AN UPWARD SHIFTBTC has recently broken its last lower timeframe High, shifting market structure and indicating Buyers are currently in control. This break opened up a clear Demand Zone below, a small base or last bearish candle before the rise, which is a key area where unfulfilled buy orders may be resting. Price is likely to retrace back into this Demand Zone to fill those orders. Once it reaches this area, we expect buying pressure to resume and push price upward, honoring the imbalance left by the rise. Entry: I’m looking to buy from this Demand Zone on a pullback, adding to go long when price enters this area. This lets me enter at a discount price while trading in direction of the newly established upward momentum. Target: The first Target Profit (TP) is set at the next supply Zone above, where selling pressure might emerge. Stop Loss: To control risk, the Stop Loss (SL) is placed just below the demand Zone. If price drops below this area, it would invalidate the demand’s ability to hold, signaling a potential reversal. ✅ Summary: • Market has shifted to bullish after breaking last high. • Demand Zone below is a key area to watch for buying opportunities. • Buy upon retracement into Demand, with Stop Loss below and Target at supply above.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by AFOKE
BTC at Resistance — Breakdown or Breakout?Bitcoin is trading near $106,600 and still moving cleanly within a well-defined descending channel on the daily chart. Every time price touches the upper boundary, sellers step in aggressively — and this time looks no different. BTC is once again approaching that key resistance zone. From where I stand, if we don’t see a breakout in the next few sessions, this could be a solid short setup. The structure is clear: fading strength at resistance, targeting the lower channel edge. In this environment, “short the structure — take profit at support” remains a tactical play. What’s your move? Are you betting on rejection or ready for a breakout?
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Edward_TradingFX
$BTC Post-Market Update - 6/16Hello Fellow Gamblers, Bitcoin did a beautiful move towards our confirmation level, but we are now facing with a possible rejection. As you can see in the chart, i have 2 paths that are possible for us to see happening. - We need the 1hr 20EMA hold support for a continuation up, a break of the 20EMA support will take price towards 106k level. - A break of 106 level will validate the bearish scenario. - If 106k level holds, we could see come quick accumulation to recharge for a stronger breakout. - Level's to watch: 110.5k, 108.4k, 106.6k, 104.3k, 101.0k
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Caramel0
BTCUSD TRADING ROADMAP 16 - 22 JUNI 2025💹 BTCUSD TRADING ROADMAP – STRATEGY OUTLOOK 💹 BTCUSD is currently trading below Magnet Area (spH4) 106035.00 – 106931.00, and is showing potential for a retest toward Magnet Area (dmH4) 103579.00 – 102849.00. As long as price holds above Magnet Area (dmD) 102098.00 – 97411.00, the market may resume bullish momentum toward the next Magnet Area (spH4) 110067.00 – 110412.00. However, if price breaks below Magnet Area (dmH4) 103579.00 – 102849.00, a deeper drop may occur toward the next Magnet Area (dmH4) 100793.00 – 99880.00. 📌 Key Scenarios: 🔄 Retest zone: 103579 – 102849 (dmH4) 📈 Upside continuation: valid above 102098 – 97411 (dmD), target 110067 – 110412 📉 Bearish breakdown: below 102849 could trigger drop to 100793 – 99880 ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This content is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Cryptocurrency trading carries a high level of risk. Always conduct your own analysis and apply proper risk management before entering any trade.
EIGHTCAP:BTCUSD
by magnettrader_id
Support (Demand Zone): Around $90,000 — the projected downside .✅ Current Market Structure: We’re seeing lower highs and lower lows, which typically signals a downtrend. The price recently fell from a resistance zone (marked in green) near $110,000. Currently, we’re bouncing upward (forming a small correction) before a potential further drop. ✅ Key Levels: Resistance (Supply Zone): Around $108,000–$111,000 — strong selling pressure here. Support (Demand Zone): Around $90,000 — the projected downside target. The price might break down toward that $90,000 range after a small upward correction. ✅ Expected Scenario: The price may rebound toward $106,000 or even up toward $108,000 (forming a lower high), then reverse and continue its descent toward $100,000, and ultimately toward $90,000. This forms a zig-zag down — a classical downtrend structure with lower tops and lower bottoms. ✨ If you’d like, I can: Provide entry, stop-loss, and take-profit for a short trade. Perform a more granular technical analysis with indicators (RSI, MACD, or Fibonacci).
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by King_Maker_FX