BTCUSD.P trade ideas
BTC/USD Rising Wedge Breakdown Ahead?Bitcoin shows signs of a potential bearish reversal as price forms a rising wedge beneath a key supply zone. After a recent drop, price is retesting the 106k area (green zone), possibly setting up for continuation to the downside.
๐น Rising wedge pattern near resistance
๐น Bearish retest at previous support turned resistance
๐น Potential drop targets: 102,575 and 102,268
๐น Break below wedge support could accelerate the fall
Bitcoin And The 50 MABitcoin continues to consolidate in a tight range just below the $112,000 resistance, with the price currently hovering around $104,600. The chart shows clear horizontal support at $105,787 and dynamic support from the 50-day moving average โ which has once again provided a modest bounce after being tested multiple times this month.
So far, the structure remains healthy but indecisive. BTC is printing a series of higher lows since the March bottom, but the repeated rejection near $112,000 raises the possibility of a developing lower high โ a potential early signal of waning bullish momentum if follow-through selling emerges. Volume is declining slightly, suggesting a wait-and-see mode as the market anticipates macro events like the Fed meeting.
Overall, until Bitcoin breaks above $112K with conviction or loses $105K and the 50 MA, this chop is likely to continue. Bulls want to see a clean breakout and strong candle close above resistance, while bears are watching for a break back below $100,718 to open up downside potential toward $92,817.
BTC โ Rising Wedge Breakdown Raises the StakesCRYPTOCAP:BTC is slipping below the rising wedge structure on the 4-hour chart ๐ โ a move that demands attention.
Is this a real breakdown signaling a deeper drop, or a deceptive shakeout to trap late bears? ๐ค
Momentum is shifting fast. The next few candles will decide whether this move holds weight or flips direction.
Stay sharp โ volatility ahead โ ๏ธ
BTC BULLS IS IN CONTROL Bitcoin holds strong in its bullish sentiment, securing a fresh high at 111K.
With momentum on its side, a new projection toward 120K is now firmly in play โ the bullish trajectory stays intact. ๐
Momentum traders, stay alert. This leg might just be getting started. follow for more insights , comment and boost idea .
6/16/2025 3:33 AM PST - ChatGPTBTC/USD 15-Minute Chart Analysis โ June 16, 2025 โ 06:25 UTC-4
Exchange: Bitstamp | Current Price: $107,149
Trend: Short-term recovery from previous dump; nearing local resistance zone
Market Context: Rebound after consolidation below $106K; price testing $107.3K ceiling
๐ Technical Indicator Summary
1. RSI (14)
RSI: 67.40, close to overbought zone
Signal line: 69.48
โก๏ธ Strong bullish momentum, but approaching exhaustion; potential pullback or consolidation soon
2. MACD (12,26,9)
MACD line > Signal line โ bullish crossover confirmed
Histogram green and above 0, but flattening
โก๏ธ Positive momentum remains, but bullish strength is fading
3. Volume
Volume increasing during upswings, declining during sideways phases
โก๏ธ Accumulation confirmed; buyers were stepping in under $106K
4. Structure / Key Levels
๐ป Support Zones:
$106,600: Minor local support
$105,775 โ $105,341: Consolidation demand zone
$105,000: Psychological & historical support
๐บ Resistance Zones:
$107,149: Current price, testing key resistance
$107,350 โ $107,589: Major overhead barrier
Breakout could target: $108,000+
๐ฏ Trade Scenarios (Next 24 Hours)
โ
Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout Above $107,350
Conditions:
RSI stays above 60
MACD remains bullish
Price closes above $107,350 with volume spike
Entry:
๐ Buy breakout above $107,350
๐ฏ TP1: $107,750
๐ฏ TP2: $108,400
๐ SL: $106,750 (below most recent higher low)
โ Scenario 2: Rejection and Pullback from Resistance
Conditions:
RSI breaks below 60
MACD begins to turn down (bearish crossover)
Price fails to hold $107,149 and closes below $106,600
Entry:
๐ Sell on rejection from $107,350 + bearish divergence
๐ฏ TP1: $106,200
๐ฏ TP2: $105,800
๐ SL: $107,550
๐ Probability Forecast (Next 24 Hours)
Scenario Probability Rationale
โ
Bullish Breakout 70% - Clean higher low structure
MACD + RSI strong
Testing resistance repeatedly = buildup for breakout |
| โ Pullback / Rejection | 30% | - RSI nearing overbought
Resistance near $107.6โ107.8K is heavy
Possible fakeout if no volume follows |
๐ง Strategic Insight:
Momentum favors bulls, but resistance is thick between $107.3K and $107.6K.
Favor breakout entries on confirmation โ not pre-break bets.
Watch RSI/MACD divergences closely.
Bitcoin (BTC): Buyers Back | Expecting To Re-Test The ATHBitcoin is showing good buyside dominance, which could lead the price to a new ATH. Last week Friday we formed a nice liquidity grab to lower zones, where after the weekend we are now seeing that buyside volume (where on smaller timeframes we formed proper BOS).
We are expecting to see a strong week.
Swallow Academy
Bitcoin Weekly Analysis โ Rising Risks Amid Geopolitical TensionBitcoin (BTC/USD) is currently navigating a critical zone. The market shows signs of weakening structure, with price failing to make higher highs and now hovering near a key support area within an ascending channel.
My projection indicates a potential retest of the mid-range support around $85,000. However, if this level fails to holdโespecially under the weight of macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertaintyโwe may see a deeper correction toward the $70,000 zone and possibly even the long-term trendline support near $60,000.
One of the most concerning external factors influencing the market sentiment right now is the escalating conflict between Israel and Iran. With Israel reportedly conducting airstrikes over the weekend and Iran threatening retaliation, the situation is rapidly intensifying. Such geopolitical instability tends to spark fear in global markets, often pushing risk-on assets like Bitcoin into sharp selloffs as liquidity shifts into safer instruments like gold or the U.S. dollar.
Even though institutional players such as BlackRock continue to accumulate Bitcoin, likely due to long-term conviction and ETF exposure, retail sentiment is highly sensitive. In scenarios where war escalates or expands to involve other nations, panic selling by retail traders could trigger cascade liquidations, potentially fulfilling this bearish projection.
In summary, while Bitcoin remains technically within a bullish channel, the structure is fragile. A clean break below the highlighted support zone could usher in a mid-cycle correction, especially if geopolitical tensions worsen. Risk management is paramount in the current environment.
BTC Consolidates 104000-105000: Bearish Breakdown Looming?BTC Technical Update: Bitcoin has been consolidating within the 104000-105000 range for an extended period, with the overall trend showing a downward bias. With the overall trend tilting bearish, traders should watch for a break below 103500 to confirm the next leg down. ๐
โก๏ธโก๏ธโก๏ธ BTCUSD โก๏ธโก๏ธโก๏ธ
๐ Sell@ 105000 - 104500
๐ TP 102500 - 101500
Accurate signals are updated every day ๐ If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide ๐งญ Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you ๐ ๐
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 3H Technical Analysis โ Bearish Outlook Unfold๐ Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 3H Technical Analysis โ Bearish Outlook Unfolding ๐
๐
Date: June 19, 2025
๐ Timeframe: 3-Hour (3H)
๐ฐ Current Price: $105,042
๐ Indicators: EMA 50, EMA 200, RSI 14
๐งฑ Key Levels:
๐ผ Resistance Zone: $105,570 โ $106,865
(Confluence of 50 EMA, 200 EMA, and historical supply)
๐ฉ Support Zone: $100,900 โ $101,300
(Previous demand zone and projected target)
๐ Technical Observations:
Double EMA Barrier ๐ง
Price is consolidating below both the 50 EMA ($105,632) and 200 EMA ($105,570), indicating bearish pressure. These EMAs are acting as a strong dynamic resistance.
Bearish Structure ๐
The market is forming lower highs and lower lows, maintaining a descending structure. The price attempted to break above resistance but faced rejection.
Resistance Confirmation ๐งฑ
The zone around $105,500 โ $106,800 has been tested multiple times without a successful breakout, confirming it as a strong supply zone.
Projected Bearish Move ๐๐
The expected path suggests a retest of resistance, followed by a downward move toward the target at $101,213, which aligns with the support zone.
RSI Bearish Divergence ๐๐
RSI at 47.75 is below 50 and trending downward, signaling weak bullish momentum and potential for further downside.
๐ฏ Summary:
โ ๏ธ Bias: Bearish
๐ Entry Opportunity: On rejection near $105,500โ$106,100 zone
๐ฏ Target: $101,213
โ Invalidation Level: Break and close above $106,865 with volume
๐ง Pro Tip:
Watch closely for price action near the resistance zone. If it fails to break through, a short position targeting the green support box could be favorable.
๐๐ฅ "Trade the trend, not your bias." ๐ฅ๐
๐
๐
Date: June 19, 2025
๐ Timeframe: 3-Hour (3H)
๐ฐ Current Price: $105,042
๐ Indicators: EMA 50, EMA 200, RSI 14
๐งฑ Key Levels:
๐ผ Resistance Zone: $105,570 โ $106,865
(Confluence of 50 EMA, 200 EMA, and historical supply)
๐ฉ Support Zone: $100,900 โ $101,300
(Previous demand zone and projected target)
๐ Technical Observations:
Double EMA Barrier ๐ง
Price is consolidating below both the 50 EMA ($105,632) and 200 EMA ($105,570), indicating bearish pressure. These EMAs are acting as a strong dynamic resistance.
Bearish Structure ๐
The market is forming lower highs and lower lows, maintaining a descending structure. The price attempted to break above resistance but faced rejection.
Resistance Confirmation ๐งฑ
The zone around $105,500 โ $106,800 has been tested multiple times without a successful breakout, confirming it as a strong supply zone.
Projected Bearish Move ๐๐
The expected path suggests a retest of resistance, followed by a downward move toward the target at $101,213, which aligns with the support zone.
RSI Bearish Divergence ๐๐
RSI at 47.75 is below 50 and trending downward, signaling weak bullish momentum and potential for further downside.
๐ฏ Summary:
โ ๏ธ Bias: Bearish
๐ Entry Opportunity: On rejection near $105,500โ$106,100 zone
๐ฏ Target: $101,213
โ Invalidation Level: Break and close above $106,865 with volume
๐ง Pro Tip:
Watch closely for price action near the resistance zone. If it fails to break through, a short position targeting the green support box could be favorable.
๐๐ฅ "Trade the trend, not your bias." ๐ฅ๐
The chart illustrates a recent downtrendChart Overview
โ๏ธ Price Action:
The chart illustrates a recent downtrend, followed by consolidation near the current level of $104,933.
A bullish reversal structure is forming, marked by the label โCh0CHโ (Change of Character), which suggests a potential trend shift from bearish to bullish.
๐ง
Liquidity Concept
:
The chart highlights a horizontal line labeled โEqual High Liquidityโ around the $108,800 level.
This area suggests a liquidity pool where stop orders might be resting above the equal highs.
Market makers may drive price toward this area to collect liquidity before reversing or continuing.
๐
Projected Price Path
:
A white dotted line projects a possible bullish move:
First, a minor retracement or accumulation phase.
Then, an upward impulse aiming to take out the equal highs near $108,800.
๐งฉ Interpretation:
This chart implies a bullish outlook based on:
Break in bearish structure (Ch0CH).
Liquidity draw above equal highs.
Anticipation of smart money concepts (e.g., liquidity sweeps, inducement moves).
Weekly trading plan for Bitcoin In this idea I marked the important levels for this week and considered a few scenarios of price performance
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The author's opinion may differ from yours,
Consider your risks.
Wish you successful trades ! mura