BITCOIN WEEKLY WYCKOFF — DISTRIBUTION OR REACCUMULATION?BTC has formed a textbook Wyckoff structure on the weekly chart — but are we entering Phase D markdown, or is this just a trap before continuation?
📉 Distribution Case (Primary Bias):
BC → UT → UTAD clearly defined
Bearish RSI divergence at UTAD confirms momentum exhaustion
Volume drying up = weakening demand
🎯 Targeting the 0.618–0.66 fib zone near 87k–89k, confluence with previous structure
🧠 Reaccumulation Possibility (Alternative Scenario):
Structure also mimics Reaccumulation Schematic #2
If support at 101k–104k holds and price reclaims 112k with strong volume → UTAD may prove to be a SOS, not a trap
⚠️ Levels to Watch:
🔺 UTAD: 112,087
🔸 BCLX: 108,496 → structural pivot
🔻 AR: 92,160 → distribution confirmation if lost
🎯 Target: 89,050 – 87,206 (fib + horizontal confluence)
🟠 Final invalidation for reaccumulation: weekly close below 87k
Whether we’re heading for Phase D markdown or one final shakeout before markup, this structure will define BTC’s path for the coming months.
Bias: Bearish unless price reclaims UTAD with strength.
Conviction: Grows with breakdown + volume spike under 101k.
