BTCUSD.PM trade ideas
BTCUSD Bullish resistance breakoutThe BTCUSD remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a resistance breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 104,890 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 104,890 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
110.780 – initial resistance
113.140 – psychological and structural level
115,760 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 104,890 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
103,500 – minor support
102,290 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the BTCUSD holds above 104,890. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
BTC — Weekend Pump Fades.. All Eyes on the Gartley Reversal ZoneBitcoin has been consolidating in a tight range between $110K and $105K over the past two weeks. This weekend’s attempted breakout stalled out quickly! BTC was rejected at the Point of Control (POC) of the previous range and came close to the 0.786 retracement of the recent drop.
🧠 Reminder: Weekend pumps are notorious for being unreliable, especially without strong volume.
Now, the charts point toward something much more structured — a potential Gartley harmonic pattern forming, with multiple levels of confluence suggesting the next key decision zone is just around the corner.
🧩 Gartley Completion Zone: $106,290–$106,400
This price zone is loaded with confluence:
✅ 0.786 Fib retracement of the XA leg sits at $106,290
✅ 1.0 trend-based Fib extension of the BC leg is at $106,370
✅ Anchored VWAP from all-time high aligns precisely at $106,370
✅ VAL (Value Area Low) sits at the same level
✅ Imbalance (Fair Value Gap) from earlier price inefficiency lies in this exact region
All of this stacks up into a high-probability reaction zone.
🎓 Educational Insight: How to Trade a Gartley Harmonic
The Gartley pattern is one of the most powerful harmonic setups — a structured form of retracement and extension that captures exhaustion before reversals. Here's how it works:
🔹 XA: Impulse leg
🔹 AB: Retracement of 61.8% of XA
🔹 BC: Retraces 38.2%–88.6% of AB
🔹 CD: Extends to 78.6% retracement of XA and aligns with a 1.0–1.272 Fib extension of BC
🟢 Point D is the entry zone — your reversal opportunity.
📉 Stop-loss sits just below invalidation (Point X).
💰 Targets usually lie at 0.382 and 0.618 of the CD leg.
🔎 Why It Works: It traps late traders and captures price exhaustion at natural Fibonacci ratios. Combined with other tools — like VWAP, liquidity zones, and order flow — it becomes a high-conviction strategy. These patterns are most effective on higher timeframes like 4H or daily.
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BTC's Situation, A Comprehensive Analysis !!!Bitcoin is now at a point where it cannot be ignored! In my view, the bullish wave has started after the corrective wave ended. This wave could continue until it breaks the ascending triangle, then with a slight correction, push the price upward again. The current period and the coming days could be crucial in determining the market's trend.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
Bitcoin can rebound from resistance level and start to declineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Recently, the price broke above a local resistance and quickly approached the key resistance level at 110000, which also aligns with the upper boundary of the seller zone (110000 - 110700 points). This area has already proven its strength multiple times, causing sharp rejections in the past. Moreover, the price has tested it again recently and failed to break through. In addition, we can see a triangle structure, which fits the logic of a pennant pattern after a bullish wave. However, the latest move upward has already lost momentum near the apex, and the price is now trading just under the upper edge of this formation. That makes this zone technically overloaded and vulnerable to a downside reversal. Based on this, I expect Bitcoin to test the resistance level one more time and then roll back down toward TP 1 at 106000 points, a zone near previous liquidity accumulation and a local consolidation range. If selling pressure increases, the price might aim for the buyer zone (103800 - 103100). Given the current rejection at resistance, the structure of the triangle, and the reaction inside the seller zone, I remain bearish and expect further decline toward the support. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
BTC/USD Bullish Reversal Breakout Pattern BTC/USD Bullish Reversal Breakout Pattern 🚀
Technical Analysis:
🔹 Trend Reversal: The chart shows a clear inverse head and shoulders pattern highlighted with orange circles — a strong bullish reversal signal after a downtrend.
🔹 Breakout Zone: The neckline resistance around 108,000 USD has turned into support (marked as “SU00QT” due to a typo, assumed to be “SUPPORT”). Price action is consolidating just above this zone.
🔹 Trendline Support: The upward blue trendline confirms bullish structure, with price forming higher lows. Recent price action is bouncing off this trendline, showing strength.
🔹 Bullish Confirmation: Green arrows indicate strong bullish rejections from key levels, aligning with breakout retests.
🔹 Target Projection: The measured move from the inverse head and shoulders pattern projects a target towards the 114,000 USD resistance zone 📦 highlighted above, suggesting a potential 5-6% upside move 📊.
Conclusion: As long as price holds above the 108,000 support zone and the ascending trendline, BTC/USD remains bullish with potential continuation towards 114,000 USD. A breakout above minor consolidation could trigger a strong bullish rally 💥.
🛑 Invalidation: A sustained break below 106,000 USD would invalidate the bullish structure and may lead to further downside.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of July 4, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During this week's trading session, Bitcoin rebounded from our Mean Support level of 104900 and, with significant momentum, subsequently completing the Mean Resistance level of 110300. Currently, the cryptocurrency is poised for a continuation of its downward trajectory, with a target set at the Mean Support level of 105500. This downward trend may necessitate heightened resilience to address the Key Resistance point at 111700 and the emerging historical price action of the Outer Coin Rally at 114500 and beyond. Nonetheless, it remains essential to acknowledge the possibility that current prices may experience an uptick from this juncture, bolstering the rally mentioned above.
BTCUSD Chart Analysis (Daily Timeframe)Chart Analysis – BTC/USD (Daily Timeframe)
Trend Overview:
* The chart shows **Bitcoin (BTC/USD)** on the **daily timeframe**.
* Price is in a **clear uptrend**, making **higher highs and higher lows**.
* The recent breakout above **\$111,000** suggests a **bullish continuation**.
Moving Average Analysis (EMA 7, 21, 50):
* **EMA 7 > EMA 21 > EMA 50** — this alignment confirms **strong bullish momentum**.
* Price is **well above all EMAs**, especially the 50 EMA (\~\$105,546), showing trend strength and possible institutional support.
* EMAs are **sloping upward**, which further confirms the upward momentum.
Recent Breakout:
* BTC broke out of a **short-term consolidation zone** between \~\$108,000–\$111,000.
* Today’s candle shows a **strong bullish close**, indicating fresh buying interest.
* If this breakout holds, price could extend toward the **next psychological level of \$115,000–\$117,500**.
Support Zones to Watch:
* **Minor support:** \~\$109,000 (EMA 7 + breakout retest area)
* **Stronger support:** \~\$105,500 (EMA 50 and previous swing low)
A break below **\$105,500** could signal a trend shift or deeper pullback.
Summary:
Bitcoin is showing **strong bullish structure** on the daily chart with EMAs aligned upward and a recent breakout above \$111,000. If momentum holds, next upside targets are around **\$115,000–\$117,500**. The bullish trend remains intact unless price breaks and closes below **\$105,500**.
BTC POTENTIAL BULLS TRAP IN DEVELOPMENTI am inspecting the 4 hour candle in comparison to the daily chart on BTC and it seem we have all the characteristics of a bulls trap on the chart. If the next 4 hours candle does not close bullish, it will confirm a bulls trap and price will likely pullback into the triangle. So be cautious trading at this resistance level.
Bull Trap Chart Characteristics
Look for:
A strong bullish candle that breaks above recent highs or resistance.
Volume spike on the breakout — signs that traders are buying.
Followed by a sharp bearish candle (like a shooting star, bearish engulfing, or long wick).
Price falls back below resistance, turning the breakout into a fakeout.
Cheers !!
Trading Recommendations for BTC/USDBitcoin and Ethereum are demonstrating stable growth amid new forecasts regarding the number of interest rate cuts expected from the Federal Reserve this year. Another dovish stance from the Fed Chair and criticism from Trump over Powell's inaction triggered buying on the U.S. market, which also impacted the cryptocurrency market.
Investor enthusiasm is fueled by expectations of more accessible financial resources, which typically drive capital into riskier assets like cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin, as the flagship of the crypto market, traditionally reacts first to changes in macroeconomic conditions. However, one should not forget the inherent volatility of the crypto market. Even positive macro signals do not guarantee sustainable growth-especially as Bitcoin has been hovering near its historical highs, where buyer interest has been waning recently. It's essential to c consider technical factors, market sentiment, and regulatory risks, all of which can significantly influence price dynamics.
Meanwhile, alongside Strategy, Japanese investment company Metaplanet purchases Bitcoin for its balance sheet. Data shows the company acquired an additional 1,234 BTC for approximately $132.7 million just one day after announcing a $515 million capital raise to fund its Bitcoin treasury strategy. The Tokyo-listed firm stated that this latest purchase at around $107,557 per Bitcoin raised its total holdings to 12,345 BTC. The company holds about $1.3 billion worth of Bitcoin based on current market prices. This makes Metaplanet the seventh-largest publicly listed corporate holder of Bitcoin, surpassing Tesla, which holds 11,509 BTC.
As for intraday strategy in the cryptocurrency market, I will continue to act based on any major pullbacks in Bitcoin and Ethereum, expecting the medium-term bullish market to persist
For short-term trading, the strategy and conditions are described below.
Buy Scenario
Scenario #1: I will buy Bitcoin today if it reaches the entry point around $106,227 aiming for a rise to $ 107,042. Near $107,042 I plan to exit the long position and sell on pullback. Before buying on a pullback, ensure the 50-day moving average is below the current price and the Awesome Oscillator is above zero.
Scenario #2: If the market does not react to a breakout, Bitcoin ca also be bought from the lower boundary at $105,039 with targets at $106,221 and $106,748.
Sell Scenario
Scenario #1: I will sell Bitcoin today if it reaches the entry point around $107,695 aiming for a drop to $106,008. Near $106,008, I plan to exit the short position and buy on a bunce. Before selling on a breakout, ensure the 50-day moving average is above the current price and the Awesome Oscillator is below zero.
Scenario #2: Bitcoin can also be sold from the upper boundary at $106,753 if there is no market reaction to a breakout, targtion the $104,651 and $103,888 levels.
Bitcoin Roadmap to $144K by September – Daily Chart Breakout SetHello traders,
I'm sharing my current outlook on Bitcoin using the daily timeframe. Price is ~109K below a key descending trendline (in red), which has defined the structure since 21 May.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $111,000
Support: $91,000
Current Price: ~$109,000
⚡ Breakout Scenario:
If Bitcoin closes above $111K on the daily chart, backed by strong volume (ideally 30% above the 20-day average), I expect the next targets to unfold as:
✅ $122,000
✅ $133,000
✅ $144,000
🗓️ Target date for $144K: Around 22 September 2025
This projection is based on a pivot structure I’m tracking:
🟢 25 March 2025: Pivot low at ~$84K
🔴 12 June 2025: Pivot high
🟡 Expected pivot high: ~4 September 2025 (if symmetry holds)
This pattern suggests a 1-2-3 formation that could lead to a breakout move.
🧯 Failure Scenario:
If BTC fails to break out, I’m watching for a pullback toward the $91K support zone.
🛑 Current Stance:
I’m not in a position yet. Waiting for a daily candle close above $111K with volume confirmation and momentum indicators.
📣 Stay Updated
I’ll be sharing daily updates as the price action evolves.
Follow me here on TradingView, and feel free to share your analysis or ask questions in the comments!
🏷️ Hashtags:
#BTCUSD #BitcoinAnalysis #CryptoTrading #BTC #TechnicalAnalysis #SwingTrade #BreakoutSetup
Let me know your comments.
BITCOIN Golden Cross going to slingshot it to $130kBitcoin (BTCUSD) has completed a Golden Cross on the 4H time-frame and is attempting to keep the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) as Support. If successful, it has high probabilities of staging a Channel Up similar to April - May, which peaked on the 2.618 Fibonacci extension.
So far, the bases of those to fractals are virtually identical, with a Lower Highs trend-line initially acting as a Resistance, which broke and on the current one it is testing the final Resistance (dotted trend-line).
This is the green circle, which on April 21 staged a quick consolidation before breaking aggressively upwards. If the pattern continues to repeat itself, we can get $130k (Fib 2.618 ext) at the end of the Channel Up.
Do you think it will? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTC 2HORS BEARISH ANALYSIS
The image suggests that the trader is using technical analysis to identify potential trading opportunities in the Bitcoin market. The use of specific patterns and indicators, such as the descending triangle and target price level, indicates a systematic approach to trading. However, it's important to note that trading carries inherent risks, and past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
BTC Just Hit the Brakes – Is the Pump Over?Bitcoin just tagged the upper Bollinger Band on the 1H chart while Stoch RSI maxed out and crossed down — a classic signal of volatility exhaustion combined with a momentum slowdown.
Technical Breakdown:
Bollinger Band Top: Price tapped the upper band, often a sign of near-term overextension
Overbought Stoch RSI (July 9th): RSI hit 97+ and flipped — momentum may be shifting
Cooling Phase? Price is stalling inside a tight range with low follow-through
arget Zone: $109K or BB midline as a possible mean reversion area
This is a high-probability zone for a pullback setup or a more attractive long opportunity if momentum resets.
BTCUSD Heading Yesterday's Resistance Zone, Price Will React After a recovery to 107.500 BTCUSD is recovering to the upside again towards the resistance of 1.09500. This is the convergence zone between the trendline and yesterday's high. BTCUSD price may correct lower from this zone. Then find some new bullish momentum at strong support zones towards an all-time high.
Support 107.500 - 105.300
SELL Trigger: Break bellow 107.500
Resistance: 109.500- 110.500
Wish you successful trading, leave your comments about BTC.
BTCUSD| Bitcoin’s Historic Parabolic Pattern🔥 Parabolic Pattern | Institutional COINBASE:BTCUSD Demand Mirrors Gold ETF Era 🔥
COINBASE:BTCUSD vs SP:SPX vs TVC:GOLD
The market is whispering something big — and it's not retail noise this time. For the third straight quarter, listed corporations have outpaced ETFs in Bitcoin purchases, a seismic shift that echoes one key moment in history: the launch of the Gold ETF. Companies like NASDAQ:MSTR contiune to buy and others are following. Will NASDAQ:AAPL NASDAQ:META and NASDAQ:GOOG be next ? Let me know in the comments who you think will be next to buy?
Back then, companies rushed to gold as a hedge against inflation and a store of value as fiat cracks widened. Fast forward to now — we're seeing the same institutional footprints in Bitcoin. The buy-the-dip narrative isn't just alive — it's being driven by corporate balance sheets.
Rumors are circulating that the U.S. government plans to buy 1 million BTC — a move that would shake the global financial system to its core. If true, this isn’t just bullish — it’s historic. The last time governments got this aggressive with a hard asset was during the Gold Reserve buildup. Bitcoin isn’t just digital gold anymore — it’s becoming sovereign-level collateral. 📈💥
💬 Drop your thoughts below. Is this the beginning of the next parabolic era?
In this episode, we break down the parabolic pattern forming on the chart, why it may signal the next explosive leg up, and how history is repeating with BTC playing the role of digital gold.
📊 Technical breakdown. On-chain behavior. Smart money moves.
Don’t blink. Parabolas end in fireworks.
I've been trading for 17 years
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Best Regards
MartyBoots