Bitcoin still ranging just under ATH line but be RealisticQuick post to show you very simply that the Odds are against a push above that Blue ATH right now.
The chance of a Dip is higher than the chances of a push higher.
That does not mean to say it will not happen, just be ready in case it does not happen
Charts do not lie.
BTCUSD trade ideas
Bitcoin - Plan for summer 2025 (no new ATH, big range!)Bitcoin's price action is statistically very boring during summer seasons! Usually high volatility kicks in in September. I think we cannot really expect a new all-time high in the next few weeks. Instead, we should see a big range. Why? Let's take a look at technical analysis.
On the chart we can clearly see a blue trendline, and price went below this trendline at the end of May. This indicates that the uptrend is over and a consolidation/distribution phase is in progress. This phase is usually represented as a bull flag, triangle, rectangle, or wedge. When we look at the current price action, it looks like a bullish flag consolidation pattern. In this case we will probably see multiple liquidity sweeps below the previous swing lows to kick out early longs.
There are 2 types of traders. The first one they love to trade ranges, and the second they love to trade breakouts and higher volatility environments. Currently I think Bitcoin is creating a range, so do not expect any crazy movements until this range is valid.
Bullish flags are usually bullish patterns, but often they break down and act like bearish patterns. So what would happen if this bullish flag breaks down? That would send the price of Bitcoin to the 0.618 FIB, which is at 88,882 USDT. What is this bullish flag breaks out? That would send the price of Bitcoin to 116,000 to 125,000, but to establish this price we first need to see low of the bull flag, which is not confirmed yet. I will definitely inform you in one of my next analyses, so write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response.
At the end of each post, I share my professional trading tips: "If you realize you’ve made a poor trading decision, exit before the stop loss forces you out."
Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
$BTC Holding But Still Bearish Bias Due to War Risk
Bitcoin is trading around $106K, but fear from escalating US–Iran–Israel tensions is keeping the market cautious.
🔸 Key Support Zone: $99,763 – $103,112
As long as BTC stays above this area, it's safe. But if broken, expect a move toward $90,209.
🔸 Upside Target: $110K (Paused)
Breakout chances remain low unless global tensions ease.
🔸 Risk Level: $99K
A daily close below this flips the chart fully bearish.
🔸 Action Plan:
We're still in a short bias zone due to war fears. Hedge remains active. Stay light, stay alert — volatility can spike fast.
₿itcoin: Continuing B WaveBitcoin has recently reclaimed the key $106,000 level. Under our primary scenario, we anticipate continued increases into the blue Target Zone between $117,553 and $130,891 – where green wave B is expected to conclude. From that corrective peak, we project a significant move lower in wave C, which should ultimately pull prices into the lower blue Target Zone between $62,395 and $51,323. This range is expected to mark the completion of orange wave a. We then foresee a brief corrective rally before wave (ii) completes its broader correction with a final sell-off.
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
BITCOIN TOPPED. ELLIOT WAVE LONG Long term outlook of Bitcoin using EWT. I personally think Bitcoin has topped and the btc.d charts support it as well as the actual chart shown here. We’re beggining the massive correction as it did way back and I kept the ratios the same so after wave C next year or whenever, we can all buy btc at around 30k and ride the next waves up.
BTC CONSOLIDATESBitcoin may be forming a *lower high* on the daily chart, with the most recent rally stalling at \$110,000 – just below the previous high near \$112,000. That failure to reclaim the prior high is an early sign of weakening momentum and suggests the strong uptrend that’s been in place since April might be losing steam.
The critical level now is \$100,000. That’s the most recent swing low, and it serves as the key structural support in this current move. A daily close below that level would confirm a *lower high–lower low* sequence, shifting the short-term trend from bullish to neutral or even bearish. If that happens, downside targets open up around \$97,000 – the next clear support – followed by \$95,500, where the rising 200-day moving average now sits.
Momentum indicators support this caution. RSI is trending down and making lower highs, showing a loss of bullish strength. Volume has also declined during recent rallies, hinting at buyer exhaustion rather than healthy consolidation.
For the bulls to retain control, the 50-day moving average near \$103,000 needs to hold. If that level fails, a test of \$100,000 is likely. On the flip side, a strong move back above \$110,000 would invalidate the lower high setup and put the breakout narrative back in play.
Right now, the market is at a decision point. The trend hasn’t broken yet, but structure is starting to crack. A confirmed lower high at \$110,000 – followed by a break below \$100,000 – would mark the first significant trend shift on the daily chart in months.
Bitcoin Consolidates Near Highs — Bullish Wedge Signals StrengthHolding Strong Amid Uncertainty:
Despite rising geopolitical tensions, Bitcoin remains resilient, trading near recent highs. This stability reflects strong institutional confidence and sustained accumulation by long-term holders.
Bullish Technical Setup:
The ongoing consolidation between $100,000 and $110,000 is forming a wedge pattern—a classic bullish continuation structure. This suggests the market is coiling for its next major move.
Key Levels to Watch:
Immediate Resistance: $112,500
Support Zone: Holding above $100,000 keeps the bullish case intact
Measured Move Target: $130,000–$135,000
Outlook:
This tight consolidation signals a healthy pause in a strong uptrend, positioning Bitcoin for a potential breakout and continuation higher. All signs point to the bulls remaining firmly in control.
#Bitcoin #BTC #TechnicalAnalysis #BullishWedge #CryptoMarket #InstitutionalBuying #PriceAction #Geopolitics #SupportAndResistance #BullRun
BITCOIN chart updated Bitcoin Buy Signal Triggered ₿🚀
BTC showing strong bullish momentum after holding key support.
Entered long position on breakout above short-term resistance with volume confirmation.
Higher lows forming a solid base — structure favors continued upside.
Targeting the next resistance zone around , with stop loss below recent swing low.
Watching closely for follow-through and potential scaling opportunities.
Market sentiment improving — let's see if the bulls can take control.
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #CryptoTrading #BuyTheDip #BreakoutTrade #CryptoSetup #BullishBias #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis"**
Bitcoin - Here we have the all time high!Bitcoin - CRYPTO:BTCUSD - is just getting started:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
It was really just a matter of time until we see a new all time high on Bitcoin. Consindering that over the past two months alone, Bitcoin rose another +50%, this was a clear indication that bulls are taking over. But this all time high is clearly not the end of the bullrun.
Levels to watch: $300.000
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
BULLMASTER MODE ACTIVATED🐂 BULLMASTER MODE ACTIVATED 🚀
BTCUSD ripping in a pristine up-channel 📈 – Wave (2) ✅, prime setup for monstrous Waves (3)→(5)!
Key support at \~\$108K, next barriers \$114K–116K 🔥
Lock in longs, tighten stops, and let’s stampede to the moon! 🌕💥
\#Bitcoin #Bullrun #ElliottWave
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-10 : POP PatternToday's POP pattern suggests a potential big price move will take place. Given the overnight activity on the ES (rallying higher then rolling over), I suggest today's price move may attempt to retest these overnight highs, then repeat the breakdown phase into the close.
The markets continue to try to melt upward. This trend will continue until the markets decide to break downward.
After the deep low created by the tariff news, the markets continue to try to rally to new highs. It is very likely that Q2 earnings data may push the SPY to new ATH levels before we see any big rotation in price.
The markets have a tendency to move just above recent highs, then stall and revert downward as a pullback. This move may be no different.
The continued stalling of price trying to move higher recently suggests the markets are running into moderate resistance and I believe traders are actively pulling capital away from this rally.
The trend is still BULLISH. Stay cautious of this upward move as a breakdown could happen at any time.
Gold and Silver are moving into an impressive rally phase. Silver and Platinum have moved considerably higher over the past 10+ days. I believe Gold is lagging and will make a big move higher over the next 5 to 10+ days.
Silver is targeting $41-44+. Gold should target $3400 to $3500+ near the same time.
Bitcoin made a huge rally yesterday - reaching my 110,500 upper resistance level. Now, we see if Bitcoin has the momentum to carry higher or if it will fail and rollover into a downtrend.
It seems we are right as a MAKE or BREAK level in the markets. I'm still a believer of MELT UP until it fails.
I continue to watch for technical failure - but I've not seen it happen yet.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
Unfolding the Final Chapter: A Possible Zigzag in Wave ZIn this chart, we are looking at a possible WXYXZ complex correction unfolding on the daily timeframe. After Wave W and a connecting Wave X, we saw a sharp drop forming Wave Y. The next bounce, which is labeled as Wave X2, appears to be a clean five-wave impulse. While it's not very common, impulsive waves can occur as connectors in complex corrections, especially when the market wants to retrace deeply before the final leg. This adds weight to the idea that the correction is not over yet.
What follows next is Wave Z, and it seems to be taking the form of a zigzag. Within this zigzag, the first leg, Wave A, looks like a textbook leading diagonal. This is something we often see at the beginning of zigzags where the market starts a move in the direction of the larger trend but in a choppy and overlapping way. After Wave A, we should expect a pullback as Wave B, and then a final drop as Wave C, which could mark the end of the entire WXYXZ structure.
This interpretation stays valid as long as price respects the invalidation level marked near the top of Wave X2. If that level is breached, the structure will need to be re-evaluated. Until then, the focus remains on monitoring how Wave B and Wave C unfold from here.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
BITCOIN LOCALLY OVERBOUGHT|SHORT|
✅BITCOIN will soon retest a
Key resistance level of 112,000$
Which is an all-time-high
And the coin is locally overbought
So I think that the price will make a pullback
And go down to retest the demand level below at 109,000$
SHORT🔥
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BTCUSD: H&S neckline invalidated! Heavily bullish.Bitcoin turned bullish again on its 1D technical outlook today (RSI = 58.910, MACD = 1101.600, ADX = 21.447) as it crossed over the neckling of the Head and Shoulders pattern and invalidated the bearish sentiment. This now targets the 2.0 Fibonacci extension to the upside on the short term, TP = 123,500.
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Bullish rise?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 101,052.23
1st Support: 94,702.53
1st Resistance: 110,959.87
Risk Warning:
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Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Super high risk setup BTC with 60 R:RIt looks like BTC is about to close the weekly candle above 106K.
If the bulls are still in control, they need to act very soon. The 100K support level has been successfully retested, and now could be the time for a move upward.
📈 Trade Setup (Educational Purpose Only):
Entry: 106,040
Stop Loss: 105,431
Target: 144,000
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:60
This is a super high-risk setup, but the potential reward is significant. Proceed with caution and always do your own research.
BTCUSD Sell Setup Entry Point: 105,500BTCUSD Sell Setup
Entry Point: 105,500
🎯 Target Levels:
1️⃣ First Target – 104,000
2️⃣ Second Target – 103,000
3️⃣ Third Target – 102,000
4️⃣ Final Target – 100,000
🛡️ Risk Management is Key
🔒 Always set your stop-loss
⚠️ Trade only what you can afford to lose
💰 Risk-to-reward ratio must align
🔍 Stick to your trading plan
🧠 Stay disciplined
📊 Monitor the price action
🔁 Adjust targets as needed
📉 Trend is your friend
⏳ Patience pays
📅 Short-term trade idea
📌 Not financial advice – do your own research
📈 Good luck and stay safe!
Will BTCUSD see $90,000 ever again? Phoenix FX mid term analysisBTCUSD 4-Hour Outlook: The Week Ahead
🔴 Key Resistance Zones
First Resistance
$107 000–$108 500
Recent swing highs where price stalled before the last leg down. Clearing and closing above $105 000 on the 4H would open the door toward this zone.
Final Resistance
$111 000–$113 000 (If broken expect a run to $115,000)
The all-time-high area. Heavy sell-side liquidity lives here and past price action shows repeated FVG fills and wicks into this region.
🔵 Critical Support & Buy Zones
Discount Buy Zone:
$92 000–$89 000 (50% at $89 150)
A deeper weekly FVG and longer-term trend support. The ultimate “buy the dip” area if the premium zone gives way.
Premium Buy Zone:
$100 000 – $99 000 (50% at $99 450)
A 4H Fair Value Gap that aligns with our higher-timeframe trend support. The recent bounce here signals strength—and a possible launchpad back into resistance.
📊 Weekly Price Action Scenarios
Bullish Theory:
If BTC can close cleanly above $105 000 on the 4H, look for a run into $107 000–$108 500 (First Resistance). A follow-through push could then target $111 000–$113 000 (Final Resistance) by week’s end with a potential further move to $115 000 where the 8 year trend will be tested again.
Bearish Theory:
Failure to reclaim $105 000, or a clear rejection in the $107 000–$108 500 zone, could usher in a retest of the Premium Buy Zone (~$100 000). A break below $99 000 would shift focus toward the Discount Buy Zone around $92 000–$89 000.
💡 Trade Ideas for the Week
Potential Long Ideas
Entry: 4H candle close above $105 000
Targets: First take-profit at $108 500; stretch target $112 000–$113 000
Stop-Loss: Below $103 000
Zone Re-Entry Long
Entry: Bullish 4H candle close in $100 000–$99 000
Targets: $107 000 then $112 000
Stop-Loss: Below $97 500
Potential Short Ideas
Entry: Bearish price action (e.g., engulfing candle or wick rejection) in $107 000–$108 500
Targets: $100 000→$92 000
Stop-Loss: Above $109 000
Just a Heads-Up:
This is my take on the charts—not gospel, not financial advice, and definitely not a crystal ball 🔮.
Trading is part skill, part patience, and part “what just happened?” 😅
We all see things a little differently, and that’s the beauty of it.
So if you’ve got a hot take, wild theory, or just want to drop some chart wisdom—hit the comments!
Let’s grow, learn, and laugh through the madness together. 🚀📈
Each one, teach one.
— Phoenix FX Team 🔥🦅
BITCOIN Log Channel and Waves show we're nowhere near the top.This is Bitcoin (BTCUSD) on its Logarithmic Growth Channel with the use of Rainbow Waves on it. This model accounts for the Halvings (light blue vertical lines) and with the use of Fibonacci Time extensions, it estimates the potential Cycle Bottoms (green vertical lines) and Tops (red vertical lines) within the Parabolic Growth Curve.
A fair value is estimated around the purple trend-line (zone top and bottom) as well as a maximum (red trend-line) and minimum (light blue trend-line) wave.
Interestingly enough, BTC hit that minimum wave trend-line on the April 07 2025 Low for the first time since June 17 2017, making it the strongest buy signal we could get at this stage of the Cycle.
So based on all the above, Bitcoin is nowhere near the top of its Cycle and this isn't just because it hasn't yet touched the next red vertical line (Time Fib 4.382) which is on October 27 2025, but also because it is currently trading below the Fair Value Zone (even below its bottom half).
Both previous Cycles topped considerably above that Fair Value Zone and almost hit the maximum wave. Even if by October 27 2025, Bitcoin 'only' hits the purple (Fair Value) trend-line, it would have reached $135000 and if earlier it can even hit $145000. That is the bare minimum based on that model. If it hits the top of the Fair Value Zone by October 27, then we can see prices as high as $180000 even.
Which price do you think we are more likely to see? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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