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BTCUSD trade ideas

BTC #The chart depicts a 15-minute Bitcoin (BTC/USD)The chart depicts a 15-minute Bitcoin (BTC/USD) price action forming a cup and handle pattern, which is generally considered a bullish continuation pattern. The rounded base signifies consolidation, followed by a potential breakout above the $120,250 resistance zone (blue line). A breakout with volume could confirm upside momentum. The shaded grey area below (~$117,000) represents a support zone, crucial for invalidation of the pattern if breached. thanking you
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by Abdulkaleem
Use Base-Anchored Fibonacci Retracement Formula🔹 Step 1: Base-Anchored Fibonacci Retracement Formula 🧮 Retracementₓ = Base + (Range × x) Inputs: • 🟢 Base = $74,458.42 • 🔴 High = $112,006.33 • 📏 Range = $112,006.33 − $74,458.42 = $37,547.91 📐 BTC Retracement Levels (Upward from Base) 1️⃣ Fib 0.236 = 74,458.42 + (37,547.91 × 0.236) = 74,458.42 + 8,862.92 = $83,321.34 2️⃣ Fib 0.382 = 74,458.42 + (37,547.91 × 0.382) = 74,458.42 + 14,362.66 = $88,821.08 3️⃣ Fib 0.500 = 74,458.42 + (37,547.91 × 0.500) = 74,458.42 + 18,773.96 = $93,232.38 4️⃣ Fib 0.618 = 74,458.42 + (37,547.91 × 0.618) = 74,458.42 + 23,285.25 = $97,643.67 5️⃣ Fib 0.786 = 74,458.42 + (37,547.91 × 0.786) = 74,458.42 + 29,597.78 = $104,056.20 6️⃣ Fib 1.000 = 74,458.42 + 37,547.91 = $112,006.33 🚀 BTC Extension Levels (Beyond High) 📈 Extensionₓ = High + (Range × x) 1️⃣ Fib 1.618 = 112,006.33 + (37,547.91 × 0.618) = 112,006.33 + 23,285.25 = $135,291.58 2️⃣ Fib 2.618 = 112,006.33 + (37,547.91 × 1.618) = 112,006.33 + 60,767.17 = $172,773.50 3️⃣ Fib 3.618 = 112,006.33 + (37,547.91 × 2.618) = 112,006.33 + 98,249.08 = $210,255.41 📊 Final BTC Levels 🎯 Target 🧭 Fib Level 💰 Price TP1 0.236 $83,321.34 TP2 0.382 $88,821.08 TP3 0.500 $93,232.38 TP4 (High) 1.000 $112,006.33 TP5 1.618 $135,291.58 EXT2 2.618 $172,773.50 EXT3 3.618 $210,255.41
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by Avangelina
BTC/USD Technical Analysis — Educational BreakdownBTC/USD Technical Analysis — Educational Breakdown 🧠 Key Observations: 🔹 Market Structure: Break of Structure (BOS) Confirmations The chart highlights multiple BOS points, showing clear transitions in market structure – a strong indication of bullish momentum building up after prior consolidation and retracements. 🔹 Support Zone (Demand Area): 115,355 – 117,403 This area has acted as a liquidity pool where buyers previously stepped in, forming the base for new BOS formations. A retest of this level could offer a high-probability long entry. 🔹 Resistance Zone (Supply Area): 123,375 Region This marked level is a prior high and expected profit-taking or potential short-trigger zone. Price is likely to target this level if bullish momentum continues. ⸻ 📈 EMA Analysis (20/50/100/200) • Stacked Bullishly: EMAs are layered with the shorter-term EMAs (20/50) above the longer-term ones (100/200), suggesting trend continuation to the upside. • Price reclaiming above all EMAs signals momentum is shifting from accumulation to expansion. ⸻ 🔮 Potential Scenario: 1. Bullish Retest Play A pullback toward the demand/support zone (116k–117.4k) can present a high-RR entry. 2. Continuation Toward Resistance If price holds above the EMAs and structure, we could see a push toward 123,375, where profit booking may occur. ⸻ 📌 Market Sentiment Bias: Bullish • Structure: Bullish BOS • Momentum: Above all EMAs • Volume Profile: High acceptance near
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Mentor_Michael03
1
Revsiting $150k - $200k Bitcoin (AND Next Bear Market Bottom)In this video I revisit my 2-year old study showing the potential path for Bitcoin to $150k to $200k and not only how we might get there, but the 11 reasons WHY we can this cycle. This is the same Fibonacci series that predicted the 2021 cycle high at the 3.618 (Log chart) and used the same way this cycle, with some interesting 2025 forecasts of: 1.618 - $100k 2.618 - $150k 3.618 - $200k There are quite a few confluences that we get to $150k like the measured moves from both the recent mini bull flag, but also the larger one from earlier this year. ** Also I touch on revisiting my study from 2 years ago where I may have discovered the retracemebnt multiple that correctlty predicted and held the 2022 lowes around $16k. ** It's a VERY interesting number you all will recognize (buy may not agree with). Let me know what you think.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by BrettFogle
1
key area for bullsif bulls cant hold this we're going to test previous range VAH which is 110k holding this will need to reclaim VAL if it rejects Range VAL as a bearish retest we may lose this area. if VAH (which is a CME gapfill) wont hold (imo if we go this far down it will nuke) theres a likelyhood to 103k Im bullish i think we reclaim here but thought is not edge. for now we have decent oscilator data. SP will be king here, if it will pump btc will pump also. i longed here
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Captainobvious5454
1
BTCUSD Daily Analysis – Golden Pocket Hold Before a Bullish?🧠 Chart Description & Market Structure: The BTCUSD daily chart is showing a consolidation phase after forming a local high near $123,231. Currently, the price is retracing and approaching a key Fibonacci retracement zone between the 0.5 level ($115,557) and 0.618 level ($113,740) — also known as the Golden Pocket, which is often a strong reversal area. --- 📈 Bullish Scenario: If the price holds within or just above the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci zone (highlighted in yellow) and forms a bullish reversal candlestick (like a hammer, bullish engulfing, or pin bar), there’s a high probability for BTC to resume its uptrend. Bullish upside targets include: $119,842 as minor resistance. $123,231 as the previous swing high and a key breakout confirmation. A successful break above $123,231 could send BTC toward the next major targets around $128K–$132K. --- 📉 Bearish Scenario: If the price fails to hold the 0.618 Fibonacci level ($113,740) and breaks down below the key psychological support at $111,500, a deeper correction may occur. Downside targets: $108K–$106K as the next major support zone. A break below this could lead to the formation of a lower high structure and potentially trigger a bearish continuation. --- 📊 Pattern Observations: Potential Bullish Flag or Rectangle Consolidation: The price action suggests horizontal consolidation after a strong rally — possibly a re-accumulation zone before a bullish continuation. Golden Pocket Retest: Price is currently testing the Fibonacci 0.5–0.618 zone, often targeted by institutional buyers and technical traders as a potential entry point. --- 🧭 Key Levels to Watch: Major Resistance: $123,231 (swing high) Minor Resistance: $119,842 Fibonacci 0.5: $115,557 Fibonacci 0.618: $113,740 Key Support: $111,500 --- 🔖 Conclusion: BTC is currently in a decision zone. Price action within the $115,500–$113,700 range will be crucial. Will this be a healthy retracement before the next leg up — or the beginning of a deeper correction? #BTCUSD #BitcoinAnalysis #CryptoTA #FibonacciRetracement #CryptoChart #BitcoinDaily #BullishSetup #BearishSetup #CryptoMarket
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by CryptoNuclear
1
BTC/USD – 4H Technical and Fundamental AnalysisBTC/USD – 4H Technical and Fundamental Analysis BTC/USD saw sharp downside pressure today, driven by a wave of long position liquidations—exceeding $800 million across the crypto market in the past 24 hours. The sudden shift triggered panic selling, dragging Bitcoin below its psychological and technical support near $116,000. Broader crypto market sentiment turned risk-off as large investors reduced exposure, accelerating the sell-off. Fundamentally, the market remains cautious amid a lack of positive macroeconomic catalysts for risk assets. Speculation about stricter U.S. regulatory oversight and declining inflows into crypto ETFs also dampened sentiment. Combined with hawkish remarks from Fed officials, which keep interest rates elevated, appetite for high-risk assets like Bitcoin weakened further. From a technical perspective, BTC/USD broke below the major support level of $116,000, confirming bearish pressure. This breakdown followed a period of consolidation, with price failing to maintain bullish momentum. A liquidity hunt appears to be underway, with price revisiting the zone to trap breakout traders before resuming its move. We are now watching for a confirmed 4H candle close below the liquidity zone. Once confirmed, a short setup is validated, with targets aligned with the next key support zone. 📍 Sell Setup Entry: Sell Limit at 115,980.00 Stop Loss: 117,985.00 Take Profit: 111,940.00 📌 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage risk wisely and trade what you see—not what you feel.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by RebornFXTrader
Bitcoin- 175-200k by year's endEvery major Bitcoin move over the last decade — whether a jaw-dropping bull run or a brutal crash — has shared one silent macro trigger. It’s not the halving. It’s not ETF hype. It’s not Twitter sentiment or TikTok FOMO. 👉 It’s global liquidity. And right now, this powerful force is expanding fast — the same setup that previously drove Bitcoin from $5K to $70K in under a year. But here’s the twist: as of today, Bitcoin is already trading near $120,000, not $20K or 30k. That means the engine is already roaring — and if this macro thesis holds, the next stop might just be $175,000-200.000 by year's end. ________________________________________ 🧠 What Is Global Liquidity, Really? Global liquidity = the total money sloshing around the financial system. It’s often measured through M2 money supply, combining: • Cash • Checking/savings deposits • Easily accessible liquid assets The most comprehensive view comes from Global M2, which aggregates liquidity from 20 of the world’s largest central banks. Right now, Global M2 is not just rising — it’s breaking to all-time highs. And if history repeats itself, Bitcoin tends to follow this wave closely. ________________________________________ 📅 Past Performance: Bitcoin and Liquidity Walk Hand in Hand Let’s break it down: • 2016–2017: Liquidity surges → BTC +5,000% • 2020–2021: Post-COVID easing → BTC $5K to $69K • 2018 & 2022: Liquidity dries up → BTC crashes ~70% It’s a recurring pattern: Liquidity drives the crypto cycle. ________________________________________ 💡 Why Liquidity Moves: Interest Rates and Central Banks Central banks control the tap. • 🟢 Cut rates → Easier credit → More lending → More liquidity • 🔴 Raise rates → Tighter credit → Less spending → Liquidity contraction In 2022, the Fed tightened hard. 🧊 U.S. money supply shrank. 📉 Bitcoin fell from $70K to $15K. But starting August 2023, the Fed paused, then pivoted. Since then: • 🟢 The U.S. M2 supply rebounded • 🟢 Global M2 began expanding again • 🟢 Over 64 global rate cuts were made in just six months — one of the fastest global easing cycles in history The last time we saw this much cutting? 2020. And we all know what happened to Bitcoin then. U.S M2 ________________________________________ 🟢 Today’s Setup: The Engine Is Already Running Fast forward to mid-July 2025: Bitcoin is no longer at $30K — it’s already testing $120K. Intraday highs have touched $123K, with a current consolidation zone between $117K–$120K. This isn’t a "recovery rally" — we’re already in price discovery territory. The question now becomes: Is $150K and above next… or are we topping out? ________________________________________ 📈 Charting the Path: Bitcoin vs Global M2 When we overlay Bitcoin price over global liquidity trends, one thing becomes crystal clear: 📊 Bitcoin tracks liquidity direction. • When money supply expands, Bitcoin rallies. • When money dries up, Bitcoin tanks. Given that global M2 is at record highs, and liquidity conditions are easing globally, the chart suggests there’s still plenty of fuel in the tank. And if we follow the same growth, Bitcoin could realistically reach $175,000 before 2026 kicks in. ________________________________________ Technically: As we can clearly see from the posted weekly chart, you don’t need to be an expert to recognize the strength of the current uptrend. While last week printed a small bearish Pin Bar, this alone shouldn’t raise major concerns — especially considering the presence of multiple key support levels, starting from the 110K zone. In the context of a strong and well-established trend, such candles often reflect normal short-term profit-taking, not a reversal. 🎯 Conclusion – Don’t Fight the Tide This isn’t about hopium. It’s not moon talk. It’s about macro flows and monetary velocity. Ignore the noise. Watch what the central banks are doing. Because Bitcoin moves not on wishful thinking, but on waves of liquidity — and the tide right now is rising fast. Whether $175K comes by year-end, one thing is clear: We are in the middle of a liquidity-driven expansion phase, and Bitcoin is already responding. Stay focused, manage your risk, and don’t chase — ride the wave. 🌊
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
10
BTC Ready to Start to 125KMorning folks, Better if you combine this update with previous idea. Now it seems that BTC stands in swamp action, flirting around 116K, which might be looking a bit bearish. But by our view, this is not quite so. First is, triangle patterns as on daily chart as on 4H chart are look great and quite bullish. Pay attention that on 4H chart all sell-offs were bought out. Our 1.16 lows that we set as vital ones for this scenario area still intact. So, it means that butterfly with 125K target that we discussed last time is also intact. I would say more. If you take a careful look at 1H chart - you could recognize reverse H&S pattern that could trigger all this stuff. It means that we're not in swamp, but at the point where the decision on long entry has to be made... Take care S.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Sive-Morten
BITCOIN Will Fall! Short! Take a look at our analysis for BITCOIN. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 118,337.45. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 113,068.85. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TRADENATION:BTCUSDShort
by SignalProvider
1
Bitcoin - Bearflag Structure Taking ShapeBitcoin is showing signs of weakness after a clean rejection from a 4H fair value gap, where price also swept the previous swing high. This aligns well with a broader bearish context as the market failed to sustain above the upper bounds of the trend channel, indicating potential exhaustion of the bullish correction. Rejection Zone and Fair Value Gap The rejection took place precisely within a 4H imbalance, adding confluence to the idea that this was a premium retracement in a bearish leg. The high formed inside that zone has now been swept, setting up conditions for distribution. A smaller 1H fair value gap was also left behind during the displacement move down, creating a clean area for price to return to and potentially react from. Channel Structure and Bearflag Formation Structurally, price has been climbing in a rising channel that resembles a bearflag pattern. The recent market structure shift broke the channel low, confirming that the rising structure is likely corrective. The rejection from the top of the flag and the subsequent breakdown align with a typical bearflag setup, suggesting a continuation move to the downside. Short-Term Retracement Expectation Before the next leg down, price may retrace to fill the unmitigated fair value gap while possibly sweeping the minor swing high that caused the current drop. This retracement would offer a premium shorting opportunity in alignment with the bearish bias, especially if internal structure remains weak on the lower timeframes during the return to the FVG. Draw on Liquidity and Price Objective The main objective for this setup is a sweep of the last equal lows near 115950, which represents a strong draw on liquidity. If the bearflag setup plays out fully, this area is highly vulnerable and could be the next significant target once the FVG is filled and lower timeframe distribution confirms. Conclusion Price has rejected from a 4H imbalance and swept liquidity to the upside, forming a clean bearflag structure. As long as price remains below the recent high and fills the 1H FVG without invalidating the shift, the path of least resistance looks to be down toward the liquidity resting below 115950. I’ll be watching for signs of weakness during the return to the FVG for a potential short trigger. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
TRADENATION:BTCUSDShort
by TehThomas
37
BTCUSDT pauses before the next big moveAfter a strong breakout in early July, BTCUSDT is now consolidating within a clear range between 116,000 and 120,000 USD. The price has repeatedly bounced from the bottom and faced rejection at the top, forming a well-defined sideways pattern on the H4 chart. The EMA34 and EMA89 are providing solid support to this accumulation phase. If the 116,000 support zone holds and volume confirms, Bitcoin could resume its previous uptrend and aim for the 124,000 level. At the moment, this looks like a “breather” zone before the market picks its next direction. Personally, I’m still expecting another bullish leg—how about you?
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Kevinn_Nguyen
1