BTCUSD trade ideas
BITCOIN✅ Trade Points
Parameter Value
Trade Plan BUY
Instrument BITCOIN
Entry-1 73,600
Stop Loss (SL) 66,798
Risk 6,802
Reward 34,922
Target (TP) 108,522
Risk-Reward (RR) 5.1
Last High 109,356
Last Low 74,434
🧠 Commentary
Entry at 73,600 aligns perfectly with the MTF Weekly & Monthly Proximal zone.
Stop Loss at 66,798 sits just below the MTF Distal zone, offering logical risk containment.
Target of 108,522 is slightly conservative vs. the Last High of 109,356, maintaining realism in upside expectations.
Risk-to-Reward ratio of 5.1 is strong — suggesting high reward potential for the risk taken.
📈 BITCOIN | Trade Plan Summary
🔵 MTF Demand Summary
MTF Zone Trend Logic Proximal Distal Average
HTF Yearly UP Support & Resistance 44,729 38,505 41,617
HTF Half-Yearly UP BUFL 73,794 49,577 61,686
HTF Quarterly UP DMIP 70,017 58,867 64,442
HTF Avg UP 62,847 48,983 55,915
MTF Monthly UP BUFL 73,600 66,798 70,199
MTF Weekly UP BUFL 73,600 66,798 70,199
MTF Avg UP 73,600 66,798 70,199
btcusd sell Scenario 2: SELL (Short Trade)
Trigger:
Price breaks below $105,498.93 (Support) with increased volume.
Rejection from $105,837.63 (Daily High) signals weakness.
Targets:
$104,900 (Strong Support)
$104,500 (Lower Range)
Stop-Loss: Above $105,837.63 (Daily High)
Rationale:
Failure to hold $105,700 could invite short-term sellers.
Low volatility and volume increase downside risks.
BTC/USD – 5-Wave Structure Completed | Bearish Divergence + Stru🕒 Timeframe: 30min
📅 Date: June 8, 2025
💱 Pair: BTC/USD (BITSTAMP)
📊 Indicator: Awesome Oscillator (AO)
🧠 Technical Analysis Summary:
A classic 5-wave Elliott structure (1–2–3–4–5) has completed. Key observations:
Wave (5) slightly pushes above Wave (3), but momentum weakens.
Bearish divergence is spotted on the Awesome Oscillator (AO) between Wave (3) and Wave (5), signaling exhaustion.
Price is currently holding above a key structure support (SNR) at 105415.
🔻 Sell Setup:
🟥 SNR = Structure level at 105415.
🧨 If price breaks below 105415, I will enter a short (sell) position.
🧠 This level acts as a confluence zone:
End of wave 5
Loss of bullish momentum
Bearish AO divergence
Potential trend shift
📌 Trade Plan:
💥 Action:
➡️ Sell only if price breaks and closes below 105415.
🎯 Potential Targets:
104200 – local structure support
102800 – deeper correction zone (possible wave A)
🛡️ Invalidation:
➡️ If price closes back above recent high (~105800) with renewed AO strength, I’ll reconsider the short.
🧰 Tools Used:
Elliott Wave Theory (1–5 structure)
Awesome Oscillator – Divergence Confirmation
Market Structure (SNR as key support)
💬 Conclusion:
Wave 5 is done. Momentum has faded. All eyes on the structure level at 105415.
➡️ Break = Sell.
If it holds, no trade.
📌 Stay patient. Let the market come to you.
🔔 Like & follow if you enjoy clean Elliott Wave and momentum divergence setups.
Got your own wave count? Drop it below! 👇
#BTCUSD #Bitcoin #ElliottWave #BearishDivergence #AO #CryptoTrading #StructureBreak #PriceAction #Wave5Complete
BTCUSD NEXT MOVE (EXPECTING MILD BEARISH)(02-06-2025)Go through the analysis carefully, and do trade accordingly.
Anup 'BIAS for BTCUSD (02-06-2025) (SHORT TERM)
Current price- 104500
"if Price stay below 1,07,000 then next target is 1,03500, 1,02500 and 1,00000 above that 1,11,000.
-POSSIBILITY-1
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening )
-POSSIBILITY-2
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening)
Best of luck
Never risk 2% of principal to follow any position.
Support us by liking and sharing the post.
BTC Short Setup! Break of Structure + OB + 70.5% Premium TapBitcoin (BTCUSD) | 30-Min Chart – Clean Bearish SMC Setup
BTC just delivered a textbook Break of Structure (BoS) to the downside, and price is now retracing into a high-confluence premium zone packed with Smart Money signals: a bearish Order Block (OB), Fair Value Gap (FVG) alignment, and multiple Fibonacci retracement levels. This setup is precision-crafted for patient traders who wait for institutional footprints before striking.
🔍 Trade Breakdown:
🔺 Market Structure Shift:
Price broke decisively below the internal range, forming a clear BoS (Break of Structure). The lower low confirms bearish intent. Any retracement into premium is now a potential short opportunity.
📉 Bearish Order Block:
Marked just above the 61.8% Fib
Originated the strong bearish impulse that created the BoS
This is where Smart Money likely entered the move — we look to join them
🟣 Fair Value Gap (Imbalance Zone):
Gap within the OB
Price is likely to rebalance this inefficiency before continuing the bearish trend
📐 Fibonacci Levels (Swing High to Low):
50%: 103,617 (current price)
61.8%: 103,963
70.5%: 104,800
79%: 105,200
This premium zone (104,400–104,951) overlaps with the OB and FVG — massive confluence.
🧠 Smart Money Playbook:
🔹 Entry Zone:
From 103,963 to 104,951 — OB + FVG + 61.8–70.5% retrace = sniper entry window
🔻 Stop Loss:
Above 105,000 (protect against OB invalidation and final liquidity sweep)
📉 Take Profit:
100,464 — aligned with the low of the full fib swing and prior liquidity pocket
⚖ RRR:
Over 1:4 — clean sniper risk-reward with clear structure validation
📉 Bearish Continuation Expectation:
Price enters OB → taps imbalance → reacts at 70.5% level
Expected move: Sell-off toward the discount zone + full swing completion
Look left — no major support zones until the 100,400–100,600 level, making it a liquidity magnet and realistic TP zone.
💬 Ninja Wisdom:
Structure + Liquidity = Foundation
OB + FVG + Fib = Precision Tools
Trade where Smart Money enters — not where retail hopes. 🥷💸
📍 Save this chart – this setup could play out fast
🔁 Share your thoughts: will BTC respect the OB or break above?
👣 Follow @ChartNinjas88 for daily sniper-level BTC/ETH/Gold trades
Bitcoin price prediction for the next 12 monthsMy simple analysis of Bitcoin, please don't hesitate to comment your feedback. Of course this is just drawings on a chart so don't take it too seriously. Hope everyone is having fun with Bitcoin it used to be harder to find assets like this but fintech has made it easier to build wealth.
BTC target months ago has been on point, "NEW" TargetsSo far our CRYPTOCAP:BTC 109 - 111k target has been MONEY!
Bitcoin hasn't been able to close above it all!!!
Showing Negative divergence on RSI & $ Flow on WEEKLY charts.
"New" CRYPTOCAP:BTC prediction?
Will stand by what we said previously. IMO there's good possibility we could see BTC going to the 170k area, extreme = 226K.
Monthly RSI doesn't peak until it hits 90's BUT there's Negative Divergence forming.
$ FLOW slowly diverging as well.
VOLUME DYING on SPOT. Not so bad on Futures.
Bitcoin at a Crossroads: 110k RejectionAfter the powerful rally that began in the last quarter of 2024, Bitcoin is now at a critical market juncture. The price has once again reached the 106,000–110,000 USD zone, an area that already showed strong signs of distribution back in February and March 2025. This isn’t just a typical resistance level—it’s a psychologically loaded zone, marked by previous highs and repeated selling pressure.
In May, the monthly candle revealed a clear rejection from this zone: a prominent upper wick and a bearish body, signaling the bulls' struggle to sustain new highs. This behavior suggests the beginning of a profit-taking phase or, more likely, a medium-term consolidation.
The picture becomes even more complex when we look at the COT Report dated May 27, 2025. Non-commercial institutional traders—speculative funds, hedge funds, and portfolio managers—have significantly increased their short positions, now exceeding 26,800 contracts. Meanwhile, long positions are hovering around 24,500, resulting in a net bearish exposure. The message is clear: smart money isn’t buying the breakout—it's selling into it.
Seasonality analysis reinforces this narrative. Historically, June tends to be a weak month for Bitcoin, often followed by renewed strength in the next quarter. The 2025 seasonal curve has mirrored the bullish pattern of 2021 up to May, but now—consistent with historical patterns—is showing signs of slowing. This supports the idea that the market might need a breather before potentially rallying again in Q3.
From a technical standpoint, the key levels are well defined. The 95,000–97,000 USD area is the first dynamic support zone, where the price might find short-term relief. However, the more significant support lies between 82,000 and 85,000 USD—this is the origin of the current rally and aligns with the old breakout structure. A return to this level would represent a healthy and natural correction within a still structurally bullish long-term context.
In summary, the current outlook calls for caution. Momentum is fading, seasonality is unfavorable, and institutional players are trimming long exposure while adding to shorts. Until the price can consolidate above 110,500 USD, the dominant scenario remains a corrective pullback, with interim targets at 95k and potential drops toward the 85k zone.
However, if the market surprises with a strong weekly close above the highs, it could pave the way for a new leg up toward the 125,000–135,000 USD range—potentially fueled by macro catalysts such as ETF inflows, Fed narratives, or broader adoption.
BTCUSD Descending channel breakout strong bullish BITSTAMP:BTCUSD Breakout Alert!
4H Timeframe Technical Analysis by Livia 😜
Bitcoin has officially broken out of its descending channel with strong bullish momentum! 📈
Entry Level: $105,500 ✅
📌 Technical Targets:
🎯 1st Target: $106,800
🎯 2nd Target: $108,700
🎯 3rd Target: $110,300
Momentum looks solid—watch for retests and continuation patterns for additional entries. Always manage risk. 🛡️
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#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #CryptoTrading #BreakoutAlert #TechnicalAnalysis #LiviaTrades
**Beginning of the Bear!**Fool me once... Fool me twice, shame on me. This looks like a good point of entry, but with the head and shoulders pattern completed as predicted, along with the following correction also anticipated, it is very likely that we are at the start of a bear market.
FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) is clearly evident in the market as leveraged traders predict high numbers, and key Bitcoin institutions are purchasing more. These companies have low average buy prices and can access additional liquidity. Retail buyers, on the other hand, find themselves trapped at high price points where they either have to sell at a loss or hold on (HODL).
It's essential to keep your liquidity safe, as Bitcoin (BTC) is expected to correct. With the average production cost of a BTC around $30,000, miner pressure and profit-taking in preparation for the next halving will come into play. Remember, miners need to sell to buy new rigs, and they create downward pressure on the market, especially when demand is low. Institutions will likely not continue buying in a bear market; instead, they may short BTC and related stocks.
Support is currently strong at $103,000, with the next levels at $101,000 and $97,000. If these support levels break, we could fall below the 200 MA (Moving Average) and enter a bear market, which would create additional selling pressure and could push the price down to approximately $40,000.
Bitcoin Approaches the $110,000 Zone Once AgainBitcoin has seen a strong bullish surge in recent trading sessions, climbing more than 7% and now trading back above $108,000 per BTC. The buying bias has been consistently fueled by the announcement from Metaplanet, which plans to raise over $5 billion to acquire Bitcoin — a move that has temporarily restored short-term confidence in the market. As euphoria continues to build in the short term, buying pressure may become increasingly relevant in the upcoming trading sessions.
New Uptrend Line Forming
Following recent upward movements, a new bullish rebound has formed on the chart, initiating a consistent uptrend as price action nears historical highs once again. If buying pressure remains stable, this emerging trendline could gain greater relevance in the short term.
MACD
The MACD histogram continues to oscillate below the neutral 0 line, which suggests that the primary market momentum still lies in bearish territory. If the histogram keeps showing lower values, the previously dormant selling pressure could begin to regain strength.
Bollinger Bands Width
The line measuring the width of the Bollinger Bands remains at low levels, indicating a steady decline in long-term average volatility. If this behavior persists, it could signal the beginning of a consolidation phase in Bitcoin’s price during the next few sessions.
Key Levels to Watch:
$111,000 per BTC: Previous all-time high zone. A breakout above this level could strongly reactivate the bullish bias and open the door to a more aggressive uptrend in the short term.
$106,000 per BTC: Nearby support that may serve as a buffer against potential selling corrections in the sessions ahead.
$100,000 per BTC: A key psychological support level, aligned with recent local lows. Price action falling below this level could put the current bullish formation at risk.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
BTC/USD 4H – Simple Price Action Analysis✅ Break of structure: Price broke above the last lower high, showing a shift from bearish to bullish.
🟦 Demand zone: Price is now pulling back into a previous consolidation area (blue box), which could act as support.
📉 Current move: The recent drop seems like a correction. If buyers defend the $103,800–$104,200 area, we could see another bounce.
📈 Potential: If support holds, next targets could be around $107,000 or higher.
Watch for bullish candles near support to confirm a possible continuation.
Buy Zones for Bearish ScenarioWeekly Chart is showing clear bearish divergence.
Knowing BTC, it might not mean anything, but I wanted to be ready for bear scenario.
1st buy zone: 61.8 from recent hike.
2nd buy zone: This area has strong support, also we had major bounce here at 74k area.
3rd buy zone (Aggressive Buy): I don't think we will see this area in the future, but it it does I will go very aggressive.
By having these areas, I know I will be ok when shit hits the fan.
Enjoy.
BTCUSD VIP Analysis – Clean Breakout Toward 109K + Target🧠 Full Technical Breakdown for TradingView & Minds
🗓 Date: June 9, 2025 | Asset: Bitcoin (BTC/USD) | Chart: 2H Timeframe
Bitcoin is currently staging a strong breakout rally after consolidating within a bullish structure. This move appears to be fueled by smart money accumulation and could lead us directly into a high-probability reversal zone just below 109K.
Let’s dive into the full structure and what traders should look out for next.
🔍 1. Previous Market Behavior (Left Side of Chart):
Before the breakout, BTC had been trading inside a bearish channel, experiencing sharp rejections and forming lower highs. This downtrend climaxed at the Previous Reversal Zone, where strong buyer interest kicked in — this is a textbook example of a liquidity grab followed by buyer absorption.
📈 2. The Reversal & Blue Ray:
From the Previous Reversal Zone, BTC formed a solid impulsive move upward — this is where the Blue Ray trendline was drawn. This level acted as the initial support for the new bullish structure.
The move from this point formed a new trend, indicating that buyers had successfully reclaimed short-term control of the market.
🟩 3. Central Zone – Bullish Reaccumulation Area:
As BTC progressed, it entered a green bullish channel, which we’ve labeled the Central Zone. This zone shows consolidation within a rising wedge, typically a continuation pattern if volume remains steady.
Notice how price respected both boundaries of the channel multiple times before exploding upwards. This is a sign of smart money reaccumulation, where institutions are quietly preparing for the next leg.
🚀 4. Breakout to the Upside:
BTC has now broken out cleanly from the Central Zone with an aggressive bullish candle, pushing price above 106,000. This breakout suggests a mid-move continuation, and current price action is heading straight for the Next Reversal Zone between 108,800–109,200.
Also note the clean cross above the 50% Fibonacci zone, which further supports the bullish thesis.
🔹 5. Next Reversal Zone (Target Area):
This is the most critical zone on the chart. Price may:
Reject sharply from this area (short opportunity),
Consolidate before continuation,
Or sweep liquidity above it and reverse hard.
This zone could act as a smart money sell zone, where large players unload positions, especially if retail traders jump in late.
🧮 6. Possible Scenarios Ahead:
Scenario A – Bullish Continuation:
Price breaks 109K cleanly with volume.
Next target: 111K–112K (extension level).
Scenario B – Rejection from Reversal Zone:
Price stalls near 109K.
Bearish engulfing candle forms.
Short opportunity back toward 106K–104K.
Scenario C – Fakeout Above 109K:
Price sweeps highs (liquidity trap).
Fast reversal back into Central Zone.
🎯 Trade Setups:
🚨 Breakout Buy (Already Triggered):
Entry: 105,500–106,000
Target 1: 107,500
Target 2: 108,800
SL: 104,800
🛑 Reversal Short (Pending):
Entry: 108,900–109,100 (with confirmation)
Target: 106,000
SL: 109,600
⚠️ Fundamental Awareness:
Multiple U.S. economic events this week (see calendar icons below the chart).
Increased volatility expected — use smaller positions or wider stops near data release times.
📌 Final Thoughts:
This is a classic example of smart money behavior — liquidity grab, controlled reaccumulation, then a breakout toward a magnet zone (reversal supply). If you're already in the move, manage your positions. If not, wait for price action confirmation near the key zone.