BTCUSD trade ideas
Bitcoin triangle signals drop toward 95kBitcoin is forming a clear triangle pattern after a failed breakout above all-time highs.
The pattern suggests a move down to 95k if price breaks below 103k. Some signs even point to a head and shoulders, with targets near 93k.
Fundamentals back the bearish case. ISM Services fell below 50, ADP jobs missed badly, and NFP could be the trigger.
Will weak data send BTC lower or hold the line? Watch the full analysis and share your take.
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BTC BREAKS DOWN... AND BOUNCESThe Bitcoin daily chart is presenting a technically rich picture, with clear structure and key moving average interactions. Most notably, we’ve seen a breakdown from a classic head and shoulders pattern. The neckline has been broken decisively and is now being retested from below – a common behavior when former support becomes resistance. Traders often watch this level closely for rejection or reclamation.
Despite the breakdown, price is currently finding support at the 50-day moving average, which is rising and suggests underlying trend strength. This bounce has brought Bitcoin back to retest the neckline zone, offering a potential inflection point. A reclaim above the neckline could invalidate the bearish pattern and reignite momentum. Conversely, if price is rejected here, the head and shoulders may play out further, with targets aligning near the $92K level.
Momentum is still neutral to slightly bullish, and volume has picked up on the bounce – which is a positive sign. All in all, this is a key moment for Bitcoin. Holding above the 50 MA and reclaiming the neckline would shift the bias back toward the bulls.
Losing the 50 MA could invite further downside.
BTCUSD at Decision Point – Rejection or Breakout Ahead? (4H)Bitcoin is currently trading around $103,500, and the price action is presenting a textbook technical scenario with multiple confluences. This chart is rich in structure — from rejection zones and trendlines to channel breakdowns and historical support retests — making it a critical area for traders to observe.
🔍 1. Previous Reversal Zone
The chart shows that Bitcoin previously faced a strong rejection near the $110,500–111,000 level. This created the first lower high, signaling the end of bullish momentum and the start of a trend shift. Every subsequent touch of that zone resulted in rejection, confirming it as a major supply zone.
📉 2. Descending Trendline – Dynamic Resistance
After multiple failed attempts to break above, price has formed a clean descending trendline that is acting as dynamic resistance. Each touch along this trendline has led to a short-term selloff, and price is now approaching this line again, near the Next Reversal Zone.
📌 This confluence increases the probability of another rejection unless there's a strong bullish breakout with volume.
📊 3. Bearish Channel & Breakdown
Before the recent fall, Bitcoin was trading inside a small bearish channel. This type of consolidation often results in continuation — which we saw with the downside breakout. This breakdown also increased bearish momentum and pushed BTC into the major support area.
🧊 4. Major Support Zone – The Battle Ground
Marked around the $101,000–102,000 range, this zone has acted as a strong demand area multiple times. The most recent bounce suggests that buyers are still active here. This could be the last defense for bulls in the short term.
🧠 If this zone breaks, we could see price falling toward the psychological level of $100,000 or even lower.
🌀 5. Ellipse Zone – Accumulation Structure
Early on the chart, an ellipse highlights a horizontal accumulation zone where price moved sideways before breaking out upward. This shows how smart money often enters during quiet phases before explosive moves. Watching for similar signs can provide strong trade setups.
🔄 6. Next Reversal Zone – Watch Closely
Price is now approaching the Next Reversal Zone near $104,500–105,000, which aligns perfectly with the descending trendline. This is a high-probability rejection zone where traders should be watching for bearish confirmations like wicks, pin bars, or bearish engulfing candles.
📌 Two Possible Scenarios
🟥 Bearish Scenario (High Probability):
Price touches the Next Reversal Zone and gets rejected.
We could see a drop back to the Major Support Zone.
If support breaks, expect a move toward $100K–99K in the coming sessions.
🟩 Bullish Scenario (Low Probability Without Volume):
Price breaks and closes above the trendline with strong bullish candles and increased volume.
In that case, BTC could rally toward the $107K–108K resistance and potentially flip the trend bullish.
💡 Trading Insight:
Fridays usually have low volume, leading to unexpected wicks and false breakouts. That’s why it’s important to:
Use small lot sizes
Wait for confirmations
Avoid overtrading before weekend closes
🧠 Final Thoughts:
This is a classic setup — consolidation after trend, rejection zones, trendline resistance, and strong support areas all in one chart. Whether you’re a price action trader or a structure-based analyst, this chart offers a powerful decision point.
Stay patient. Let the market reveal its hand. The next few candles around this trendline will likely dictate the next 1–3 day direction for BTC.
“NFP Showdown: Will the Dollar Crumble or Come Back Swinging?”🔥 It’s Nonfarm Payrolls Friday – and this month’s report could be a game-changer for the markets. With the U.S. economy showing signs of fatigue, could this be the catalyst that finally breaks the dollar? Or will a surprise upside shock flip the script?
In this video, I break down the key drivers behind today’s NFP, how DXY, Gold, and Bitcoin are likely to react, and exactly how I’m positioning myself before and after the release.
Whether you’re trading the spike or waiting for the dust to settle, this is a market moment you can’t afford to miss.
📈 Trade smart. React fast. Let’s dive in.
BTC update: are we dropping to 93k?As you can see btc has formed a head & shoulders on the daily chart and although we are going up a bit more I think it is just the retest of the neckline of the H&S. This is in line with my previous analyses of btc where I already indicated that we are going to correct to the support zone around 93k where we also have the 0.5 fobonacci level I hate to say it but for now I remain bearish on btc. I will keep you informed (don't forget to like my analyses) tradingview.sweetlogin.com
CHECK BTCUSD SIGNALS READ CAPTAIN BTCUSD sell limit zone
TRADE
entry point 104.368
Take profit Target 100.421
Stop loss 105.000
Follow money Menagment
BTCUSDBTCUSD is showing strong bullish momentum across indicators, suggesting a potential push toward $104,000. A trigger wave has just printed—indicating a fresh momentum leg up. VWAP has crossed above the zero line, further confirming the shift in momentum. As long as money flow stays positive and VWAP holds above zero, the trend looks intact. Targeting $104K as the next major psychological and technical level.
The deeper the dip, the more precise the entry.BTC didn’t break. It reloaded.
This isn’t fear — it’s efficiency. And the market just offered a second chance to those who didn’t hesitate.
Here’s the logic:
Price is holding above the 4H OB, and the entry zone aligns perfectly with the Daily FVG — a textbook reaccumulation base
Below that sits another 4H OB — clean invalidation and maximum risk definition
The bullish thesis stays intact as long as price holds above 101,511 — anything between here and that OB is just noise
Above, the first objective remains 107,739, then a sweep into the Daily OB around 111,861. That’s where real distribution begins — not before.
Execution view:
Long from 103k–104k with conviction
Invalidation: 101.5k
TP1: 107.7k
TP2: 111.8k
Beyond that? We follow structure
They’ll panic on the retrace. I’ll build position. Precision isn’t about calling tops — it’s about knowing where price wants to rebalance.
More like this? The profile description holds the rest.
Bitcoin Breaks below $102,500 Support : Watch For RejectionIf you have been following my research on Bitcoin, you already know I published a prediction of a Double-Top pattern and a potential breakdown in Bitcoin on May 20, 2025.
TradingView selected this video as an Editor's Pick and it received thousands of views.
Thank you for all the great comments and questions from everyone.
Now, after about 3+ Weeks, we are starting to see BTCUSD move below my $102,500 support level (my breakdown level) and this could be the start of a broad downward price phase for BTCUSD and US/Global assets.
If you have followed any of my longer-term research, you'll quickly understand why I believe the US markets will struggle through most of 2025 as the world attempts to adjust to Trump leadership. This uncertainty will likely result in a sideways-consolidation phase in many global markets and a disruption of hard and soft assets.
In this regard, you can read the content of my original post (May 20).
Right now, I want to warn you that an immediate price rejection of the breakdown move is likely - possibly targeting $105k or higher.
This type of rejection is very common before price makes a much bigger move. So, be prepared for BTCUSD to attempt to reject and move back above $105k, then stall and break downward very hard - trying to move below $80k in an initial downward price phase.
It's going to be very interesting to see how this plays out with my broad cycle research. I'm still expecting a July 2025 and October 2025 MAJOR LOW cycle phase to play out.
Buckle up.
Get some
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BITCOIN Risky Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
BITCOIN keeps falling down
And the coin is almost 9%
Down from the recent highs
So BTC is oversold and
After it hits a horizontal
Support of 100,800$
We will be expecting a
Local rebound and a move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
BTC NEWS 1DAs lower price 104.5k is most likely to get touched and then 106k will be achived in the end of today !
this is only an idea everyone should do their own research
𓄀𝓈𝓉𝒶𝓎 𝓉𝓊𝓃ℯ𝒹 𓃓
The price of Bitcoin is set to experience a major collapse!Based on its historical price action, bitcoin might crash to 55K in next one year.
Market next move Disruptive Bearish Scenarios:
1. Support Area Breakdown
The recent strong bearish candle with high volume shows aggressive selling pressure.
If the price fails to hold above the support area and closes below it, especially on high volume, it could invalidate the bullish recovery.
> Bearish Alternative: Price breaks below 103,000, retests it as resistance (bearish flip), and continues down toward 101,000–100,000.
---
2. Lower High Trap
The projected bounce could form a lower high below the 106,000 resistance, creating a classic bearish structure.
> Disruption Path: After a minor recovery toward 104,500–105,000, sellers regain control, and BTC resumes the downtrend.
---
3. Fake Support Bounce
The support area could create a fake-out bounce, tricking long traders before a sharper reversal.
The move up may lack follow-through due to diminishing bullish volume.
BTCUSD BUY ALERT Entry Point: 104,900BTCUSD BUY ALERT
Entry Point: 104,900
🎯 Target 1: 106,000
🎯 Target 2: 107,000
🎯 Final Target: 109,000
🛡 Risk Management First!
– Always use a stop-loss
– Never risk more than you can afford to lose
– Stick to your trading plan
📊 Trade Rationale:
– Bullish momentum building
– Key support holding near 104,900
– Potential breakout in progress
💡 Tips for Traders:
✔ Secure profits at each level
✔ Don’t let FOMO take over
✔ Scale in wisely, don’t overleverage
📌 Stay focused, stay disciplined
📌 Trust the process, not the noise
📌 Risk small, think big!
📢 For educational purposes only – trade safe!
A rocket is fueling on the launch padNever before has Bitcoin so thoroughly built a launch pad. Retail interest is still low after the 2024 top and corporate/governmental interest is through the roof. This is going to be a massive bubble playing out over the next 3-6 months, possibly even over $300k Bitcoin at the end as the narrative shifts from "BITCOIN IS SPECULATIVE" to "BITCOIN IS A MUST HAVE ASSET" and retail will FOMO in as they always do.
The higher it goes, the more brutal the bear market will be. in late 2026-2027 the narrative will be "CRYPTO IS A SCAM". Corporate treasuries that jumped in late will be dumping bitcoin from their balance sheet and all these leveraged longs will fully unwind. Whales will start to accumulate and the 2029 cycle will be epic.
I'll believe cycles are dead when i see evidence of it. I haven't yet. Play this one right boys! Life changing money is coming.
BTCUSD: Consolidation is about to be over.Bitcoin remains neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.429, MACD = 1547.600, ADX = 23.123) as so far it is failing to stage a proper breakout from the consolidation of the last few days. Based on the long term comparison with the previous Channel Up at the time of the 1D Golden Cross, the consolidation could be over soon, resembling November 4th 2024. As long as the 1D MA50 holds, stay bullish, TP = 165,000.
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BITCOIN IS DUMPINGbitcoin is dumping looking for smart money liquidity , before it reach some new all time high levels. its has to dump all the smart money lquidity laying around 95k and slightly above 102k
BTC/USD: The Big Player’s Pullback Strategy – Steal Profits!🚨 BITCOIN HEIST ALERT! 🚨 The Ultimate Bullish Raid on BTC/USD (Master Plan Inside)
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Based on the 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥 (technical + fundamental analysis), we’re plotting the GREAT BTC/USD HEIST! Time to LONG & escape near the Red Zone—where bears lurk & traps snap shut! Overbought? Risky? Perfect for a slick exit. 🎯 Take profits & treat yourself—you’ve earned it! 💰🏆
🔑 Heist Blueprint:
🎯 Entry: "The raid begins!"
Buy MA Pullback near Big Players’ Zone (102,000)
OR Buy above pullback—bullish momentum = green light! 📈
🛑 Stop Loss:
Thief’s SL = Nearest swing low (or under wick) → 4H candle rules!
Adjust based on risk, lot size & multiple orders.
🏴☠️ Target: 115,000 (Cha-ching! 💵)
⚡ Scalpers’ Quick Strike:
LONG ONLY!
Rich? Strike hard. Not? Join swing robbers!
Trailing SL = Your money’s bodyguard. 🔒
💥 Why BTC/USD?
Bullish fuel pumping! Fundamentals + Macro + COT + On-Chain Data = 📈🚀
👉 Full analysis? Check our bio links! 🔗
⚠️ WARNING: News = Market Chaos!
Avoid new trades during news.
Trailing SL = Profit protector!
💖 Support the Heist!
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🚀 Daily market heists = Easy money. Stay tuned—next raid coming soon! 🤑🐱👤
BTC M2 CorrelationMaybe Raoul is right and it was M2 all along.
Monetary policy driving all markets, see correlation and time-lag (offset) on chart.
BTC Market Structure Summary🔹 Market Structure Summary
🔼 The impulsive structure (1–5) confirms bullish dominance in the medium term.
🔽 The ongoing ABC correction is healthy and expected in Elliott Wave Theory before continuation.
🔵 Once wave (c) completes at the projected zone (78.6%), a new bullish impulse could start, targeting higher highs above the previous ⑤ peak.
