BITCOIN Will it catch up to the rising Global Liquidity again?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is attempting to stage yet another short-term rally on its Tariff War recovery Bullish Leg but the picture is even more interesting on the long-term.
This is a simple yet very powerful and explanatory chart where it shows that every time the Global Liquidity (blue trend-line) led the uptrend and started rising before BTC on this Bull Cycle (since the November 2022 bottom), BTC eventually caught up to the trend and closed the Gap.
This time Global Liquidity has been rising since the start of the year (early January) while Bitcoin only started to do so since April 07. Even if the Global Liquidity pauses here, Bitcoin still has the potential to continue rising irrespectively.
How high do you think this can go? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTCUSD trade ideas
BTC/USD 1H Short-Term🔍1. General Context and Short-Term Trend
Short-Term Trend: The last dozen or so candles have shown strong fluctuations — a typical sideways market (consolidation) after a clear upward impulse and a quick drop. The price is currently trading in the range of around $104,900–$106,500.
Recent Strong Move: Clear upward impulse from around $104,900 to around $106,900, followed by a quick correction.
📌2. Supports and Resistances (H1)
Supports:
$105,000–$105,200 — Bottom of local wicks and several demand tests.
$104,900 — Lowest point of the last few hours, clear buyer reaction.
Resistances:
$106,200–$106,400 — Upper area of several candles, strong price rejection.
106,900–107,000 USD – The peak of the last impulse, a place of clear supply.
✅3. Candlestick formations and price action
Pin bar / long wick: Candles with long lower wicks are visible around 105,000 USD, which suggests that buyers are defending support.
Double top? (Double top): Peaks around 106,900 USD (03.06 and 04.06) – a classic signal of a potential change in direction to the lower.
Possible consolidation: The last few hours have been a series of alternating candles, signaling the lack of a clear advantage of bulls or bears.
🧠4. Technical indicators (MACD and RSI)
MACD (lower panel)
The MACD line crossed the signal line from the bottom to the top, then a quick correction and currently the MACD is close to zero – no clear trend, momentum has slowed down.
MACD Histogram: Declining, close to zero, suggesting potential lack of strong trend and possibility of further consolidation.
RSI (middle panel)
RSI value ~44–48 – not overbought or oversold, neutral market state.
No divergence – RSI generally follows price, no strong divergences are visible.
RSI bounced off 30 (tested oversold zone and returned to neutral range).
🧠5. What could be important?
Volatility Squeeze: Low volatility after a sharp move often heralds another impulse.
Potential Fakeout: If support at $104,900 is broken falsely (e.g. quick wick and return), a move up could occur.
No clear trend on the hourly chart, rather sideways market in the short term.
📊Summary and scenarios
Scenario 1 (bullish):
If the $105,000-$104,900 level holds, we can expect a test of $106,200-$106,400 and perhaps another attempt to approach $107,000.
Scenario 2 (bearish):
If the $104,900 support is broken (with a candle closed below this level), the next target is around $104,500 and below.
What to watch out for?
Timing of macro data releases - may increase volatility.
Sudden breakouts from consolidation - no trend = higher risk of sudden, false moves.
BTC FRACTAL : Has BTC been following THIS EXACT PATTERN?The only difference in terms of the first peak, is the duration. But even the pullback size has been similar:
Interestingly, in terms of the second peak, the increase from the corrective bottom to the new ATH is almost exact at 122%:
Here's why we MAY still have a small push upward:
- The previous time, the peak was at least 6% higher. Currently, that would put us around 116K.
- The current pennant pattern is different from the previous bearish flag.
2%:
Pattern:
Do you think the bearish cycle is starting, or is another push up likely?
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BINANCE:BTCUSD
$BTCUSD - DIP INCOMING *I don't place trades based on trend lines but just act as a guide of how price action behaves.
Diagonal trend line which supported price on the way up is now broken and currently being tested as resistance.
That being said price is holding up pretty well as the MA is acting as a support which will be my trigger to go SHORT if broken. Add to that the weekly open resistance confluence and 100K retest is the first Short target and if markets overreact which they normally do then sub 89K is not off the books.
Stay safe
BTC - RUN TO RESISTANCE, WHAT NEXT ?Good Morning Everyone,
Hope all is well. BTC still has some strength left in this push upwards. Odds are that it will squeeze to get to that resistance. Expect either a strong break and further push up or lots of rejection at the resistance zone which will force BTC to renegotiate its supports below.
ENJOY!
BTC - UPDATE - $84,500 target BTC appears to reluctantly be topping, with a while probability of having already topped at $112,000. My best estimate of the next on boarding price for BTC is in the $84,500 area. Prices above $108,632 indicate I was wrong. Pros could consider shorting to the same number. This is just conversation. And not trading advice. Murrey Math, Elliot Wave , Kumar Wave being employed. See past charts for how we got to here.
BTC/USD (demand zone), confirming the pullback.Timeframe: 4H (4-Hour)
Asset: BTC/USD
Current Price: ~$105,408
Trend Direction: Currently in an upward trajectory with a recent Break of Structure (BoS) confirming bullish intent.
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🧠 Technical Analysis Details
1. Market Structure
Break of Structure (BoS): Highlighted in a circle — this marks a significant shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish.
Higher Highs and Higher Lows are forming post-BoS, which is typical in a bullish market structure.
2. Fair Value Gaps (FVG)
Two FVG zones are marked (rectangular green areas):
First FVG: After a rapid move downwards, this gap suggests an inefficiency that price eventually returns to.
Second FVG: Also gets filled, showing institutional-style price action respecting inefficiencies.
3. Support Zone
A broad green support zone was respected in the March-April range, leading to a strong bullish push — a likely area of demand accumulation.
4. Entry & Target Zones
Entry Box: Red shaded region between ~$96,000 to ~$100,000. Suggests a potential pullback entry zone.
Target Box: Green shaded region ending at ~$120,951. A likely take-profit zone.
The projected movement is shown with a squiggly arrow indicating a bullish move from the entry zone to the target.
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💡 Strategy Summary
Bias: Bullish
Entry Plan: Wait for retracement into the red zone (demand zone), confirming the pullback.
Target: Ride the move toward $120K+ region.
Stop Loss (Implied): Below the entry zone, possibly under $95K.
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⚠️ Other Observations
Chart is Clean: No excessive indicators, focusing on price action, structure, and liquidity concepts.
Institutional Style: Uses ICT/Smart Money Concepts — BoS, FVG, and mitigation.
Time Anchor: Projection points toward mid-to-late June (e.g., Fri 20 Jun 2025 as a key area).
BTC Daily & 4H Technical Analysis- Daily Chart :Three consecutive bearish candles retrace to the prior rebound starting point, now consolidating near lows with shrinking volumes—indicating the correction hasn't reversed the uptrend.
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- 4H Perspective :Pressured by the Bollinger Bands midline within a descending channel, RSI in oversold territory and weakening MACD bearish momentum suggest a potential rebound.
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- Trading Strategy :Go long after confirming support at 103,000-104,000 USD, targeting 106,000-107,000 USD. Maintain a dip-buying approach as the primary trend remains bullish.
BTCUSD
buy@103500-104500
tp:106000-107000
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BTCUSD Analysis | is 100k the Next Target?🔍 Chart Breakdown:
Price previously formed a range under key resistance at $108,800.
A Triangle Pattern emerged after a sharp rejection from the resistance zone.
The recent breakdown from this pattern signals bearish momentum.
Support Level: $100,513 — Key level to watch for a potential bounce or further breakdown.
📊 Scenarios to Watch:
🔴 Bearish Case (Preferred):
Breakdown continuation below $104,000 could trigger a move toward the $100,500 support.
Clean rejection from triangle breakdown area confirms the bearish structure.
🟢 Bullish Case (Less Likely):
If BTC holds above $104,000 and breaks above the mid-range zone (~$106,500), a retest of $108,800 is possible.
Watch for fakeouts at the top of the range.
💡Trade Ideas:
Short opportunities on breakdown retest or rejection from $106,000–106,500.
Potential long only if $108,800 is broken with strong volume confirmation.
🛑 Risk Management:
Always use stop-loss. Monitor BTC dominance and macro sentiment for confluence.
💬 What do you think? Bearish breakdown or fakeout trap? Let’s discuss below!
BTC – Rising Wedge Breakdown Raises the StakesCRYPTOCAP:BTC is slipping below the rising wedge structure on the 4-hour chart 📉 — a move that demands attention.
Is this a real breakdown signaling a deeper drop, or a deceptive shakeout to trap late bears? 🤔
Momentum is shifting fast. The next few candles will decide whether this move holds weight or flips direction.
Stay sharp — volatility ahead ⚠️
Bitcoin buying today Hi traders. Tonight is FOMC and Bitcoin daily candle opened above yesterday closing making it a clear buy for the day. My secret for FOMC is to analyse the market at 6h30 and start trading at 7h00 to catch the direction that FOMC is going to take as this happen every month during this event.
Bitcoin H1 | Pullback resistance at 61.8% Fibonacci retracementBitcoin (BTC/USD) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 106,682.50 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 107,900.00 which is a level that sits above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and a swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 103,612.00 which is a swing-low support.
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BITCOIN BEARISH DIVERGENCE CRYPTOCAP:BTC ,this is concerning me a little..markets can remain in an uptrend longer than expected so,im not calling anything in here but to be more positive about the outcome I would like to see new highs on price,supported by volume and a RSI breaking above previous peaks!
BITCOIN UPDATE: Not looking good for Bitcoin ladies and gentlemen . Its going down too fast and it just started the 1hr Bearish TIME Cycle, bears have plenty of TIME to do damage to the trend.
This is the drop that I was talking about the one that can cause serious damage to the trend.
Will see how it ends up at end of week.
Bitcoin 30-Minute Chart –Bearish Reversal After Triple top formThis 30-minute Bitcoin chart shows a clear bearish reversal pattern following a triple top formation near the $109,000 resistance zone. The price broke below the ascending trendline support, confirming bearish momentum. A highlighted potential bounce zone is around $103,000–$104,000, suggesting short-term support. A minor retracement is expected before any further downside continuation, as shown by the projected path. The chart indicates a potential shift in sentiment from bullish to bearish, emphasizing caution for long positions.