BTCUSD trade ideas
BTCUSD Rejection Brewing? OB + 79% Fib Tap Could Trigger Short!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 30-Min Sell Setup – Order Block + Deep Fib Confluence
This is a classic Smart Money short setup. Price swept lows, rebounded into premium pricing, and is now approaching a high-probability rejection zone — just the way institutional traders like it. 🧠💰
🔍 Breakdown:
Market Structure:
Recent move formed a lower low ➝ market structure is bearish
Current retracement is corrective, moving toward premium sell-side levels
Key Confluences:
🔴 Order Block (purple zone): ~105,200–105,300
🔴 Fib Confluence:
61.8% = 105,178
70.5% = 105,298
79% = 105,388
🔴 Price is tapping OB + 70.5–79% fib zone = sniper territory for shorts
Liquidity Perspective:
Earlier liquidity grab below 104,500 triggered this move
Now climbing back into premium pricing — potential trap before drop
Above the OB: resting liquidity + stop hunts expected
Execution Strategy:
✅ Entry confirmation: Look for M5–M15 bearish engulfing / BOS in OB zone
🎯 Entry area: 105,280–105,388 (limit or confirmation-based)
🛡 SL above 105,400 (above OB & 79%)
💰 TP zone: 104,500 (liquidity pool + fib 0%)
⚠️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:3+ potential — ideal for scalpers and intraday traders alike
🧠 Chart Ninja Notes:
You’re not chasing highs — you’re stalking where Smart Money sells to the crowd. This is premium pricing in a bearish leg, and BTC is approaching the kill zone. Patience = profit. 😤💸
📈 Game Plan Summary:
🔹 Entry Zone 105,280 – 105,388 (OB + 70.5–79% fib)
🔻 SL Zone Above 105,400
📉 Target 104,488 zone (fib 0%, equal lows)
🎯 RRR Potential 1:3+
💬 Pro Tip:
Wait for price to enter OB and stall before pulling the trigger.
The best trades happen after liquidity is swept — not before.
You’re not a retail trader. You’re a sniper. 🥷💥
📥 Save this setup & review it post-trade
🔁 Share your entry plan in the comments
⚡️ Follow @ChartNinjas88 for daily Smart Money BTC plays
$BTC UpdateCRYPTOCAP:BTC #BTC $104,987 support in effect, previous weekly closed with bearish engulfing, 4h closed with bullish engulfing - current 4H trying to follow thru. $107,461 support needed to push for $110,423 resistance, and then the new ATH. $103,093 current support, $99,361 key support from here. Watch given S/R
BTC log pitchfork (re-up)the BTC Log scale Pitchfork shows perfect Fib levels being respected. I don't know what it means or how to interpret this, no price target or direction from this, but the levels seem significant so I'm just noticing and playing the levels being held. All I know is buy the yellow the line (SMA40), and I drew the next lower pitchfork levels according to proportions.
Also, last season's ATH is always the next bearmarket season's bottom.
When in doubt, zoom out.
BTC: Maintaining Strength Bitcoin continues to hover around the $105,000 level. In line with the primary scenario, we expect the advance in green wave B to extend toward the upper blue Target Zone between $117,553 and $130,891. This zone can be used to lock in partial gains or establish hedges via short positions. From there, a corrective wave C is likely to follow, driving prices lower into the blue Target Zone between $62,395 and $51,323 — marking the end of the larger wave a. A corrective bounce should unfold next, ahead of the final selloff completing blue wave (ii). The alternative scenario, with a 30% probability, envisions a breakout above $130,891 and the establishment of a new high as part of blue wave alt.(i).
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
BTCUSD - Further retracement to 97700 after protracted reversalOn the daily chart, a large head and shoulders pattern appears close to completion, suggesting a potential reversal of the recent uptrend. The formation is somewhat uneven, but in volatile markets like this one, clean textbook patterns are rarely seen.
Continued bullish sentiment has slowed the reversal, with buyers stepping in to support the price during each dip.
If we consider the April to May uptrend as a single move, the first Fibonacci retracement level aligns with support at 103,000. This level has been respected on both sides of the head and also serves as the neckline of the head and shoulders pattern. A break below 103,000 in the coming days could open the way toward the next support level near 98,000.
The right shoulder has not yet fully developed. Unless the price moves decisively above 106,900, we may continue to see the kind of sideways movement that formed the left shoulder, leading up to a potential breakout to the down side.
Should the price break above 107,000 with strong momentum, the pattern could fail, potentially triggering a bullish breakout and a long opportunity. However, recent candles appear more bearish than those of previous sessions.
Decreasing volume trend across the H&S pattern, along with a falling RSI and a bearish MACD crossover, provides further evidence of a reversal. The momentum appears to be shifting in favour of the bears, while the bulls are losing steam.
BTCUSDSo far i see nothing telling me that structure is about to shift to the upside on the lower timeframe, Anyway i might miss this trade ,I need to take a nap , I've done enough for the day. Will be posting more ideas soon, for now am done for the week.I've learnt to never be overconfident , Accept your wins or losses and move on.
BTCUSD BUY NOW ENTRY POINT 105,700BTC/USD TRADE IDEA – BUY NOW
Buy Entry Point: 105,700
🎯 Target 1: 106,000
🎯 Target 2: 107,000
🎯 Final Target: 110,000
📈 Bitcoin pushing higher – bullish signals are in play!
🟢 Entry level at 105,700 offers solid upside potential.
📊 Momentum building with room to run.
🧠 Smart trading starts with smart planning.
⚠️ Risk Management is CRUCIAL – don’t skip it!
🛑 Set a proper stop-loss to control risk.
📉 Avoid overleveraging – protect your capital.
🧭 Stick to the strategy, not emotions.
🚀 Ride the wave, but know when to exit.
🧮 Let the math guide your trade, not the hype.
💹 Focus on consistent gains, not lucky hits.
📌 Monitor key levels and global sentiment.
🗓️ Stay updated with economic and crypto news.
💬 Drop your thoughts and charts below!
🎓 Learn daily – the market is your teacher.
🙌 Wishing you clean entries and green profits!
#BTCUSD #Bitcoin #CryptoTrading #RiskManagement #TradingPlan
Next Tradable Cycle Turns (Intraday)This chart contains the timings for several turns and accelerations in Bitcoin for intraday setups.
Make sure the price is at a meaningful support or resistance when coincident with a vertical line.
This technique also derives some horizontal lines for support and resistance, but you should use your levels as well.
Bitcoin-is that it for now ? Lazy summer, take off in September?
Not posted this chart for a while but we may find it has become Very relevant to what to expect for the next few months
First thing to note is that PA is once again in TOP of range box and ALSO got rejected off the Long Term Blue line that has rejected BTC PA ATH since 2017. This also coincidened with the 1.618 Fib Extension.
Rejection here was highly likely and given how PA had pushed up, it is not surprising to see PA at least taking a breath.
For me, even though we do have the ability to push higher, I am not to sure we will just yet.
The weekly MACD could offer some credence to this idea
The Arrow points to an area that could turn out to be similar to what we are doing now.
The MACD has begun curling over after a prolonged push higher. While There was strength left, PA took a breath and regrouped.
The Chart below shows this period and how BTC PA reacted...and is circled
This was in Dec 2023 to Jan 2024.
PA had just had a sustained push higher and needed a break.and following a 7 week range, PA moved up another 67%
7 weeks from now brings us to near August.
There are charts that point towards a move in August / September
Here is another chart that offers some confluence to this idea.
The Dotted line is a line of support that PA has used as support numerous times this cycle and currently, is almost bang on the 50 SMA. Assuming that PA goes back down to that and bounces again, a 67% rise takes us back up to the Top of Range
Should we drop that far, to the 50 SMA again, we are in the 92K - 95K zone, scaring a LOT of people, wrecking Leverged players and putting Fear everywhere.
PERFECT FOR BUYING
This area also happens to be the 1.382 Fib extension on the main chart, the next Major line of support below us currently.
Should we fall through that, we reach the Bottom of Range and the intersection with the 50 SMA in.......August
So, we have to wait and see. We can push higher now but to do so would require breaking through that long term Blue line of resistance. I am not sure we can do that just yet.
Also, Should we post a RED June candle, Even a small one, the ideas in the Monthly candle post I recently posted also back up the idea of a lazy summer...... and a move higher around Mid to late August
Stay safe
BITCOIN Will Move Higher! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for BITCOIN.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 105,496.60.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 106,868.68 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Key Chart Elements Bitcoin (BTCUSD) on the 4-hour timeframe🟡 Key Chart Elements:
1️⃣ Strong Resistance Area
This is marked with a red zone at the top.
This area is where sellers have historically stepped in, pushing the price down.
Price action is currently testing this area, indicating potential rejection or consolidation.
2️⃣ Demand Area
Marked in green at the bottom.
This is a previous area where buyers stepped in with strong momentum.
Price could bounce from here if it retraces.
3️⃣ Trendline Support
An upward-sloping white trendline acts as dynamic support.
Price has been respecting this trendline; any break below it might signal bearish momentum.
4️⃣ Yellow Zig-Zag Patterns
These lines represent price action forecasts or possible scenarios.
They show:
An initial bounce off resistance and then a potential retracement.
A deeper pullback towards the demand zone.
A final strong bullish move after retesting the lower support.
🔑 Scenario 1: (Left Side of Chart)
✅ Price is currently testing the strong resistance area while riding the trendline.
✅ If price respects this trendline and breaks above resistance, a continuation to the upside is expected.
✅ A stop-loss would typically be placed below the trendline.
✅ A take-profit could target previous highs near $107,000–$108,000.
🔑 Scenario 2: (Right Side of Chart)
✅ Shows a deeper retracement scenario:
Price breaks the trendline, heading toward the demand area (around $99,000).
After bouncing from demand, price respects the trendline from below, forming a bullish structure.
Once price stabilizes and reclaims the trendline, a strong bullish breakout is anticipated.
🔍 Suggested Trading Plan:
🔹 Aggressive Bulls:
Look for a break and retest above the strong resistance area (red zone).
Enter on confirmation with a tight stop below the trendline.
🔹 Conservative Bulls:
Wait for a deeper pullback into the demand area and the yellow projected structure.
Enter near $99,000 after confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing candle or strong bounce).
🔹 Bears:
Watch for a strong rejection from the resistance area with a break of the trendline.
Consider shorting toward the demand area with a stop above the resistance zone.
💡 Conclusion:
Your chart suggests both bullish and bearish scenarios depending on price action near the key levels:
Strong resistance (~$106,000–$107,000)
Demand area (~$99,000–$100,000)
Trendline support (dynamic level)
Traders should watch for confirmation (e.g., break and retest, engulfing candles) before entering trades.
BTCUSD updateHi traders I shared this set up 1 January n started by predicting sells manipulation happen n market sells as you can see we predicted buys after we reach some zone now we've been going higher aswell n recovery those sells,soo amstil bullish until 125k as first target are tired of loosing money follow any trend I support God will release you from loosing streak to winning 👍
btcusd sell signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
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P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade