BTCUSD Technical Analysis – Bearish Momentum Towards Fair Value BTCUSD Technical Analysis – Bearish Momentum Towards Fair Value Gap
Bitcoin is showing clear bearish pressure after rejecting from the previous resistance zone around 118,800 – 120,000. The market structure and smart money concepts indicate potential for further downside.
🔍 Key Observations:
Previous Resistance Respected: Price failed to break through the strong resistance zone marked near the 119,200–120,000 level, showing strong institutional selling interest.
Market Structure Breaks:
BOS (Break of Structure) and CHoCH (Change of Character) confirmed bearish shift.
Price has maintained lower highs and lower lows, signaling a bearish trend.
Liquidity/Fair Value Gap Zone: The market is currently targeting the liquidity/FVG zone between 116,400 – 116,100, which aligns with price inefficiency and unfilled orders.
Support Zone Ahead: A strong support zone is visible near 115,600 – 115,200. Expect a potential reaction or consolidation here.
📌 Strategy & Bias:
Short Bias Active until price reaches 116,116 (target).
Watch for possible bullish reversal signs in the support/FVG zone.
Ideal for scalp-to-swing short trades, with tight SL above recent EQH.
📚 Educational Notes:
Fair Value Gaps (FVG) indicate institutional imbalances and are often revisited by price.
CHoCH and BOS are early signals of smart money moves – always monitor them in confluence with volume and zones.
BTCUSD trade ideas
WAIT FOR A TRIPLE CONFIRMATION AND CAPITALIZE ON THE TARIFFS
Analysis and Prediction by DunnInvesting
Market Overview
The BTCUSD chart on a 1-hour timeframe shows a recent consolidation phase following a sharp decline. Key technical indicators suggest a potential reversal or continuation pattern. The price is approaching a critical support zone around $113,792.86, with a descending trendline acting as resistance.
Thought Process
Support Zone Identification: The $113,792.86 level aligns with a historical support zone and the 50-period EMA, indicating a strong area for potential buying interest.
Trendline Resistance: The descending trendline has capped recent upward movements. A break above this level could signal a bullish reversal.
Triple Confirmation: Wait for three confirmations:
A bullish candlestick pattern (e.g., engulfing candle) at the support zone.
A break above the trendline with increased volume.
A retest of the trendline as new support.
This setup offers a clear entry point with defined risk below the support zone, making it understandable and actionable.
Trade Plan
Entry: $114,500 after triple confirmation.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): $118,505 (4.5% gain).
Take Profit 2 (TP2): $123,051 (7.5% gain).
Stop Loss: $112,000 (below support, ~2.2% risk).
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2.04 (TP1) and 1:3.41 (TP2).
Profit Targets and Stop Loss
TP1 at $118,505 targets a conservative 4.5% move.
TP2 at $123,051 aims for a more ambitious 7.5% upside.
Stop loss at $112,000 protects against a breakdown below support.
Clarifying Notes
This idea leverages the current market uncertainty around tariffs, which could drive volatility and create trading opportunities. Monitor volume and news closely for validation.
Disclaimer
This is not financial advice. Trading involves risk, and you should only trade with capital you can afford to lose. Consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
BTCUSD Technical Analysis (Smart Money Concepts) BTCUSD Technical Analysis (Smart Money Concepts)
Market Structure Overview:
Break of Structure (BOS) observed multiple times confirms a strong bearish trend.
Change of Character (CHoCH) around 30th July indicated initial shift from bullish to bearish intent.
Price has been forming lower highs and lower lows, respecting the bearish structure.
Key Zones:
🔴 Previous Resistance Zone (119,000 - 120,500)
Strong supply area from where price sharply reversed.
Also aligned with a Strong High marked at ~$120,000 – key for any future bullish invalidation.
🟫 Current Target Zone – 116,000
Acts as an immediate imbalance fill/FVG retracement zone.
Target highlighted as potential retracement point before continuing lower.
🟦 Liquidity / Fair Value Gap (FVG) Zone
Located between ~115,800 and 114,500.
Price may aim to revisit this zone on pullback, filling inefficiencies.
🟩 Support Zone (~113,000)
Price currently reacting near this zone.
This area has acted as a demand zone in the past and is expected to provide short-term support.
Volume Profile & Order Flow:
Visible Range Volume Profile shows heavy activity near the resistance cluster, indicating strong distribution by institutional players.
Low volume in the FVG area further confirms inefficiency and potential for a retracement move.
Smart Money Perspective:
The current structure reflects distribution at highs, followed by markdown phase.
Price swept liquidity below local lows and may now seek to mitigate previous supply or FVG around 116,000 before resuming bearish trend.
📌 Conclusion:
Bias: Bearish until 116K is tested and rejected.
Next Move Expectation: Possible liquidity sweep → bounce to 116K → short continuation.
Invalidation Level: Break and close above 117K would signal strength returning.
✅ Educational Note:
This is a classic Smart Money trap setup — liquidity grab near lows, fakeout pump to FVG, and potential short continuation. Traders should be cautious of fake rallies into known supply zones.
BTC FOMCOnce Again Ive the same view on BTC
There is a chance that it will go down now towards 113.500 straight so the internal buy towards 122.600 should be taken with low risk
if that level is reached the sell to 113.500 is prettyu much asured and also on 113.500 the buy to all time highs 127.500 and 133.000
GG
BTCUSDT BUYING SETUPBTCUSDT is showing a strong bullish setup as price holds above key support. A bounce from this zone could trigger the next upward move.
Traders should wait for confirmation signals such as bullish candlestick patterns or a break above short-term resistance before entering.
Stay patient, follow the trend, and manage risk properly! 📈🔥
Bitcoin prediction (no fluff)I made this trend many months ago.
Thought I would share it with anyone considering BTC as a hedge against fiat inflation.
No candle sticks movement predictions.
No wedges.
No Fibonacci sequence.
The real mover of BTC is basically Stock-to-Flow corrected (downward) by BTC movement which doesn’t occur on exchanges (which is challenging to quantify).
But vague data suggests that OTC inventory is dwindling by the week.
Therefore, once OTC transactions go to zero, BTC will break upward through the top of this channel and approach the S2F.
BTC/USD Buy Setup (6H Chart)📈 BTC/USD Buy Setup (6H Chart)
Strategy: Trendline Support Bounce
🔹 Entry
Price: $118,674.3
Reason: Price is bouncing off a supportive trendline and holding above the 1st Support zone.
🔻 Stop Loss (SL)
Price: $114,470.6
Reason: Below the 1st Support zone to protect against breakdown.
🎯 Take Profit Targets
TP1: $123,269.6
Reason: Near recent swing high, good for partial profit.
TP2: $127,661.4
Reason: Next resistance zone, ideal for full exit or trailing stop.
#MJTrading
#Bitcoin
BTC Plummets Post-NFP; Go Long for Rebound to 116500BTC has plummeted significantly under the influence of the non-farm payroll data 📉, and now is an excellent opportunity to go long. Its Support level is around 112800, and according to the current trend, we can wait for a rebound to around 116500.
⚡️⚡️⚡️ BTCUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@ 113000 - 113800
🚀 TP 114500 - 115500 - 116500
Daily updates bring you precise trading signals 📊 When you hit a snag in trading, these signals stand as your trustworthy compass 🧭 Don’t hesitate to take a look—sincerely hoping they’ll be a huge help to you 🌟 👇
Bitcoin Are We Heading to 140K or 80K ??? Here is the Analysis Based on what is happening here is what we currently see with Bitcoin
Idea 1: If we can break 119K then here are the following levels Bitcoin can go to :
122K
126K
135K
140K
Idea 2: If we continue and break further bearish here are the levels BTC can go to
115,600
114,500
112,800
If we go below this level then a larger correction thesis would point us with a deeper bearish level
Happy Trading
Trade Smarter Live Better
Mindbloome Exchange
Kris
BTCUSD Bullish continuation breakoutThe BTCUSD remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 114,850 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 114,850 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
122,900 – initial resistance
124,420 – psychological and structural level
126,250 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 114,850 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
112,860 – minor support
110,825 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the BTCUSD holds above 114,850. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
BTCUSD SHORTBTCUSD 6RR short | 15s entry | 5m confirmation | 4H trend bias
Caught the shift as 5m structure broke, creating a flip liquidity grab for the zone above — making it even stronger.
4H wasn’t clean, but the imbalance below gave full reason for lower prices — and that’s exactly what birthed the short.
Zero emotion. Risk defined.
Just posting what works.
BTC Short Term - BULL FLAG - Aug 1st $121,300 Regarding the daily price forecast from July 28, 2025 (Monday), through August 1, 2025 (Friday), the projections are derived from the bull flag continuation pattern, cross-referenced with aggregated analyses from recent market data, technical indicators (such as RSI and MACD showing neutral-to-bullish momentum), on-chain metrics (indicating accumulation at $115,000–$117,000), and a distribution of expert predictions. These include short-term consolidation with a potential dip for liquidity clearance, followed by a breakout, aligning with historical post-halving cycles and institutional inflows. Note that cryptocurrency prices are inherently volatile and influenced by factors such as Federal Open Market Committee outcomes, ETF flows, and macroeconomic events; these forecasts are speculative and not financial advice.
• July 28, 2025 (Monday): Anticipated consolidation within the flag channel amid low weekend volume. Expected range: $116,800–$118,500. Key targets: Support at $116,700 (lower flag boundary, potential entry for accumulation); resistance at $118,500 (upper flag line, breakout watch level). Average closing prediction: $117,800, reflecting neutral sentiment with minor downside risk if global markets weaken.   
• July 29, 2025 (Tuesday): Possible test of lower support amid early-week volatility, potentially sweeping liquidity before rebounding. Expected range: $116,000–$119,000. Key targets: Downside at $116,000 (critical on-chain accumulation zone); upside at $119,000 (initial breakout threshold). Average closing prediction: $117,500, with a 40% probability of a brief dip followed by stabilization.   
• July 30, 2025 (Wednesday): Breakout attempt likely if support holds, driven by mid-week momentum and potential dovish policy signals. Expected range: $117,500–$120,500. Key targets: Support at $117,000 (mid-channel level); resistance at $120,000 (psychological barrier and prior high). Average closing prediction: $118,900, assuming bullish confirmation above $118,500.   
• July 31, 2025 (Thursday): Extension of upward movement post-breakout, with volume potentially increasing. Expected range: $118,500–$122,000. Key targets: Support at $118,000 (retest of breakout level); resistance at $121,000 (flagpole projection start). Average closing prediction: $120,200, supported by technical alignment and ETF inflow trends.   
• August 1, 2025 (Friday): Momentum continuation toward weekly close, with risk of profit-taking. Expected range: $119,500–$123,500. Key targets: Support at $119,000 (new floor post-breakout); resistance at $123,000 (extended target based on pattern measurement). Average closing prediction: $121,800, aligning with broader bullish forecasts for early August.   
BTC The chart displays Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on the 1-hour timeframeThe chart displays Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe with clear horizontal support and resistance levels. A potential bullish harmonic pattern (likely a Bullish ABCD or Bat pattern) has formed, completing near the 117,200 support zone. Price is consolidating within a descending wedge, indicating potential reversal or breakout. Watch for a bounce from support or breakout above the wedge for bullish confirmation.
Bitcoin Bull Flag - will it collapse?Bitcoin is currently in a bull flag.
Will it hold — or collapse?
The weekly close will decide.
🔹 If BTC closes above the bull flag support: Possible continuation of the rally.
🔻 If BTC closes below the flag: Expect a deeper correction.
Stay sharp. The weekly close is key IMO.
No FA. DYOR! For educational purpose only.