BTC/USD: Multi-Timeframe Breakdown & Retest of Key Demand ZoneThis multi-timeframe analysis for BTC/USD highlights a significant bearish breakdown from prior support levels and a rising trendline. Price has entered and is currently consolidating within a major demand zone around 116,675 - 118,828.8. The analysis focuses on the current price action at this critical support, looking for either a confirmed bounce for a retest of broken resistance, or a decisive breakdown for further downside. Key observations include the strong bearish impulse, the breakdown of a long-term trendline, and the current consolidation at a multi-timeframe demand area. The upcoming 4-hour candle close/open at 16:30 (after 4hr) is a critical time for potential volatility and confirmation of direction.
BTCUSD trade ideas
Bitcoin Blow-Off Top?Bitcoin’s daily chart is flashing caution after a sharp reversal candle on Monday was followed by downside continuation today. Yesterday’s session printed an unmistakably ugly candle – a long upper wick signaling rejection at the highs near $120K, with a close well off the top of the range. Crucially, that candle came on elevated volume, adding weight to the move and suggesting a possible blow-off top in the short term.
Today’s follow-through confirms that sellers are taking the reins, at least for now. Price is currently sitting around $116,800 after dropping over 2.5%, with the next major support zone near $112,000 – a level that previously capped price throughout early June before the breakout. If that fails, the 50-day MA and horizontal support around $105,800 should act as the next line of defense.
Volume has remained elevated, showing that this pullback has real participation – not just apathy or a lack of buyers. Bulls need to see price stabilize above $112K and reclaim lost ground quickly, or risk a deeper retrace after such an aggressive upside move.
For now, momentum has clearly stalled, and the risk of a more meaningful correction is on the table.
BTC/USD Technical Analysis — Educational BreakdownBTC/USD Technical Analysis — Educational Breakdown (July 13, 2025)
🔍 Market Context
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is currently trading around $117,913, exhibiting a clear reaction from a well-defined resistance zone between $118,439 and $119,000. This resistance aligns with a previously unfilled 4H Bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) — a price inefficiency left behind during a strong bullish move — which has now been filled, triggering a pause and reaction in bullish momentum.
🧠 Key Concepts Explained
📘 1. Fair Value Gap (FVG)
In Institutional Price Delivery models (often used in Smart Money Concepts), a Fair Value Gap represents an imbalance in price action — usually between the wicks of candles where price moved too quickly, leaving inefficient trading zones. Price often retraces to these areas before resuming its direction. Here, BTC has filled the 4H Bullish FVG, which acts as a magnet for price and a potential reversal point once filled.
📘 2. Liquidity Sweep
The chart highlights a Sell-Side Liquidity Sweep — this occurs when price dips below a key short-term low or consolidation range to trigger stop-losses and collect liquidity before making its next move. This move is typically engineered by larger market participants to capture orders before deciding on true directional intent.
📘 3. Resistance and Support
Resistance ($118,439 – $119,000): This area is acting as a supply zone where sellers are stepping in after price filled the FVG.
Support ($115,580): This level has previously provided demand and also holds liquidity (stop-losses from long positions), making it a probable target if bearish pressure follows through.
📈 Potential Trade Insight (Educational)
⚠️ This is not financial advice but an educational scenario based on the current technical setup.
Bearish Setup: If price rejects from resistance and forms a lower high, a short entry targeting the support zone at $115,580 could be considered, using a stop above $119,000.
Bullish Invalidator: A break and hold above $119,000 would suggest bullish continuation, potentially targeting higher time frame imbalances or resistance.
📚 Summary & Takeaway for Learners
This chart presents an excellent case study in understanding how institutional concepts like FVGs, liquidity sweeps, and key supply/demand zones interact in real price action. Traders can learn the following from this setup:
Price doesn’t move randomly — it often targets liquidity and imbalances.
Patience is key — waiting for confirmation at known reaction zones can improve trade accuracy.
Market context matters — a filled FVG at resistance combined with a liquidity sweep gives confluence to a bearish outlook.
BTCUSD Analysis : Bitcoin Trend Shifted/Bullish Pattern + Target🧭 Overview:
Bitcoin’s recent price action has delivered a textbook sequence of institutional liquidity play, volume-driven breakout, and supply zone rejection. After rallying on increasing volume, BTC tapped into a significant 3x Supply Zone—which also served as a previous reversal point—and was swiftly rejected. The market is now trading around a key decision zone where traders must stay alert for a confirmed bullish reversal, or risk getting caught in further downside.
🔍 Step-by-Step Technical Breakdown:
🔸 Liquidity Grab + Volume Expansion
The move began with a liquidity sweep, as BTC pushed above recent highs, hunting stop-losses and inducing breakout traders. This kind of price manipulation is typical of smart money accumulation/distribution zones.
Immediately following that, we observed a volume expansion—a strong signal that institutional players had stepped in, propelling BTC upward with conviction. This expansion pushed price sharply into the 3x Supply Zone, a critical zone of interest from a previous bearish reversal.
🔸 3x Supply Zone – The Turning Point
Once price entered the 3x Supply Zone, bearish pressure resumed. No bullish continuation pattern appeared on the second attempt into this zone—confirming that sellers were defending it aggressively. This area has now been validated as a strong supply barrier, capable of initiating trend reversals.
🔸 Major BOS – Structural Shift Confirmed
Price broke below key support around $120,500, which marked a Major Break of Structure (BOS). This BOS is crucial—it represents a shift from a bullish to bearish market structure and is often the signal that retail longs are trapped.
This BOS was followed by a mini reversal zone, but again, no bullish confirmation appeared there—highlighting market weakness.
🔸 Minor BOS & Trendline Breakdown
Further downside action led to a Minor BOS near $117,800, reinforcing the bearish sentiment. Additionally, the ascending trendline—which had supported BTC’s rally—was decisively broken and retested from below. This confirms a shift in momentum, now favoring sellers.
📍 Current Price Action – Critical Decision Zone
BTC is currently hovering around $117,000, right at a potential demand zone. While there was a brief bullish reaction, the market hasn’t formed a valid bullish reversal pattern yet.
There’s a clear message from the chart:
“We want a bullish pattern here—otherwise, support will break and supply will double.”
In simple terms, unless bulls step in with structure (higher low, engulfing candle, etc.), sellers will likely take over, and price may test deeper support levels.
🎯 What to Watch Next:
✅ Bullish Case:
If BTC forms a strong reversal pattern (e.g., double bottom, bullish engulfing, or inverse head & shoulders), we can expect a short-term recovery back to:
Target 1: $118,500
Target 2: $120,000–$120,500
❌ Bearish Case:
Failure to hold this zone and no clear bullish pattern = likely continuation to the downside, potentially targeting:
$116,000
Even $114,500 in extended moves
🧠 Trading Insights (Educational):
Volume + Structure = Edge
Don’t rely solely on candlestick signals—combine them with structural breaks and volume to get confluence.
Supply Zones Aren’t Just Rectangles
The 3x Supply Zone was powerful because it had historical context, volume convergence, and psychological resistance. These layered factors make zones more reliable.
BOS Isn’t a Trendline Break
BOS means real structural shift. In this case, lower highs and lower lows confirmed the change.
💡 Final Thoughts:
BTC is at a make-or-break level. The recent rejection at the 3x supply zone has shifted the momentum, and buyers must prove their strength now—or risk watching the price unravel further.
Stay patient, wait for structure, and never fight momentum.
July 14 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello
It's a Bitcoin Guide.
If you "follow"
You can receive real-time movement paths and comment notifications on major sections.
If my analysis was helpful,
Please click the booster button at the bottom.
This is a Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
There is no separate Nasdaq indicator announcement.
Nasdaq upper gap reversal condition and
Bitcoin is moving sideways after a sharp rebound until the afternoon.
I created today's strategy based on the vertical decline condition based on the 5-minute trend reversal in Tether Dominance.
On the lower left, I connected the long position entry section of 117,451.1 dollars that I entered on the 11th.
* In the case of the red finger movement path,
This is a one-way long position
current position chase purchase strategy.
1. Chasing purchase at 121,897.1 dollars / Stop loss price when the green support line is broken
2. 124,639.5 dollars long position 1st target -> Good, Great in order of target price
Since I left a simulation in the middle,
I think it would be good to use it for re-entry after liquidating the long position.
The movement within the 1st section at the top and the 2nd section at the bottom
is an extreme sideways movement, and from a long position,
if it succeeds in rebounding within the 2nd section, it becomes a strong upward condition.
From the 3rd section breakout today,
the low point is broken in the newly created weekly and daily chart candles this week,
so please note that the upward trend may be delayed.
The next support line is the Gap8 section created last week.
Up to this point, I ask that you simply refer to and utilize my analysis
and I hope that you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss prices.
Thank you.
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT): Trade Wave 5—Next Stop $127,000?Bitcoin’s current structure is lining up for a classic Elliott Wave fifth wave scenario, and the setup could offer a high-reward trade as we look for a measured push toward the $127,000 area. Here’s what’s standing out in the recent price action:
What the Current Structure Shows (Primary Scenario)
Wave 4 Correction Complete: After peaking in wave iii near $124,000, BTC pulled back and has potentially completed a wave iv correction. Price respected the Fibonacci retracement zones bouncing near the 38.2% retracement at $117,116.
Preparing for Wave 5: With support confirmed, price action is stabilizing and looks primed for a final motive push—wave 5—to the upside. The target projection for wave 5 is around $127,000, in line with both the 61.8% extension of the previous swing and the common equality projection for wave 5 vs. wave 1 when wave 3 is extended.
Why the Count Is Labeled This Way
The advance from early July kicked off with impulsive movement, subdividing cleanly into smaller waves that align with classic Elliott structure.
Wave iii is the clear standout—steep, extended, and carrying most of the move’s energy, which checks the box for a strong third wave.
The cluster of Fibonacci and previous resistance/support near $127,000 offers strong technical confluence for the next objective.
Trade Setup: Riding Wave 5 to $127,000
Entry Zone: Consider longs on breakouts above the current consolidation, ideally after confirmation of support holding near $117,100–$116,000.
Stop Loss: Place stops just below $113,300 (the 61.8% retracement), or tighter for risk management depending on your position size and timeframe.
Target: $127,000—where wave 5 projects to equal the length of wave 1 and aligns with multiple Fibonacci targets.
What to Watch Next (Confirmation or Invalidation)
Confirmation: An impulsive move above the interim high at $120,000–$121,000 with strong volume would confirm wave 5 is underway and that bulls have regained control.
Invalidation: A break below $110,500 would invalidate this setup and suggest a more complex correction is taking shape.
Final Steps: Monitor for impulsive character in the rally—wave 5s can sometimes truncate, so don’t get complacent at resistance.
Alternate Count
If price fails to hold support and breaks down, BTC could still be in an extended or complex fourth-wave correction—possibly a running flat or triangle—before wave 5 eventually resumes.
Bitcoin: Support at $112K Holds Key to Bullish ContinuationFenzoFx—Bitcoin is bullish, trading above $112,000.0 after forming a new all-time high at $123,231.0. The current dip may offer a strong reentry if $112,000.0 holds as support, aligning with a bullish fair value gap.
Price remains above the ascending trendline, reinforcing the bullish outlook. If momentum continues and BTC breaks past $123,231.0, the next target could be $130,000.0.
A fall below the trendline would invalidate the bullish setup.
BTCUSD H4 Potential DropHi there,
BTCUSD H4: As long as the 85,119.33 level holds, the overall trend remains bullish in a larger scope.
Currently, the price is trading below the diagonal dotted trendline. The further it stays below this trendline, the stronger the bears' position.
The level of 101,574.21 is open for a bias towards 93,511.35.
Happy Trading,
K.
Not trading advice.
BTC Rebounds From Channel Support With Critical Levels In Focus BTC Rebounds From Channel Support With Critical Levels In Focus 🟢📉
Structure remains firmly bullish, and price action is still unfolding within our previous analysis. After the breakout above the yellow trendline, BTC has entered a new ascending channel, and we’re now testing the lower boundary of this rising structure.
The main support sits at 114,921, the level from which the breakout occurred—an essential zone that may or may not be revisited. Based on market behavior and momentum, I currently do not expect this level to be retested, but it's one that must always be respected.
🟩 A deeper correction could lead us toward the previous ascending channel support near 112,400. This would be the last resort for bulls to hold structure intact.
⚠️ A break below 112K changes the narrative completely. That would mean we’re stepping into a potential trend reversal zone—so the market could be setting up for something more significant if that unfolds.
That said, my expectation leans toward a rebound from current levels. The sell-off may have flushed out late long entries, creating space for renewed bullish momentum. Let’s follow the levels and trade what we see—not what we feel.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
Liquidity Sweep PossibilityFrom the chart provided (BTC/USD on the 15-minute timeframe), here are the **key points** and notable observations:
---
🔑 **Key Technical Points:**
1. **Price Level**:
* Current price: **\$116,942.23**
2. **Supply/Demand Zones**:
* **Supply Zone (Resistance)**: Gray zone near the **\$117,000** level
Price entered this zone and rejected, indicating selling pressure.
* **Demand Zone (Support)**: Lower gray zone around **\$115,900–\$116,100**
This area may act as a bounce point if price drops further.
3. **50% Level**:
* A red horizontal line is marked at **50% of the last impulse leg**, just above **\$116,800**.
This is likely used as a **midpoint retracement** zone and is acting as resistance.
4. **Bearish Candlestick Structure**:
* Series of lower highs and lower lows after the price failed to break the resistance area.
* Momentum appears to be favoring the downside.
5. **Liquidity Sweep**:
* A long wick can be seen below \$116,800, indicating a **liquidity grab** before a bounce.
* This often signals stop-hunting activity.
---
📉 **Potential Scenarios:**
* **Bearish Bias**: If price continues below \$116,800 (50% level), it could target the demand zone near **\$116,000**.
* **Bullish Rejection**: If price bounces sharply from the current gray zone, watch for a re-test of the **\$117,200+** area.
---
thanking u
BTCUSD - REBOUND FROM ATHYesterday BTCUSD has reached new price level slightly above 123,000.00 and started to decline afterwards on big selling volume. Also we see some divergence on momentum oscillator and MACD has crossed into a red zone. I still think that bitcoin is overbought and needs the correction before next growth, so I decided to go short with
🔽 a market sell order at 117461.25 with
❌a stop loss at 123894.15 and
🤑a take profit at 110587.70
A stop loss is above the ATH, take profit just above the support level of 110,000.00. It is a counter-trend trade, so it's a bit more risky than usual.
Trade cautiously! Preserve your deposits!
Bitcoin Hits New Highs: Is The Institutional Money Here To Stay?Bitcoin Hits New Highs, Gains Stability and Scale in Its Institutional Era: Will It Last?
From a volatile and often misunderstood outsider, Bitcoin has embarked on a remarkable transformation, evolving into what many now see as a foundational financial layer. This new era is not fueled by the fleeting whims of retail hype, but by the calculated, long-term strategies of professional capital. The steady influx of institutional investors is profoundly reshaping Bitcoin's character, taming its notorious volatility and broadening its accessibility to everyday individuals. This seismic shift begs the question: is this newfound stability and scale a permanent feature of the financial landscape, or a transient phase in Bitcoin's tumultuous history?
The Dawn of a New Epoch: The Institutional Stampede
For years, the narrative surrounding Bitcoin was one of a grassroots monetary experiment, a digital curiosity championed by cypherpunks and early internet adopters. Wall Street remained a skeptical spectator, wary of the asset's wild price swings, its lack of regulatory clarity, and its disruptive potential. However, Bitcoin's unyielding resilience and its core value proposition of a decentralized, finite digital asset gradually wore down this institutional resistance. The floodgates did not just creak open; they were blown apart with the regulatory approval of spot Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs). This landmark decision marked a clear and decisive tipping point, a formal invitation for mainstream finance to embrace the world's first cryptocurrency.
This regulatory green light has had a profound and cascading impact. It has, in a single stroke, legitimized Bitcoin in the eyes of the most conservative financial establishments. More importantly, it has provided a familiar, regulated, and highly accessible entry point for a vast and previously untapped ocean of capital. Exposure to Bitcoin is no longer confined to specialized crypto-native platforms, which often carried a steep learning curve and perceived security risks. Now, it can be seamlessly integrated into the traditional investment portfolios that millions of people rely on, managed through their existing brokerages, pension funds, and even insurance products. This growing wave of institutional adoption is not merely inflating Bitcoin's price; it is fundamentally anchoring it more firmly within the global economy, weaving it into the very fabric of the system it was once designed to challenge.
The numbers illustrating this shift are staggering. In a remarkably short period, spot Bitcoin ETFs have amassed well over $138 billion in assets. This figure is not static; it represents a dynamic and growing pool of capital, reflecting sustained institutional interest. Registered Investment Advisors (RIAs), who manage the wealth of millions of Americans, along with sophisticated hedge funds and forward-thinking pension funds, represent a growing share of this investment. These are not speculative day traders but entities with long-term horizons and rigorous due diligence processes. Their participation signals a deep conviction in Bitcoin's future.
This institutional embrace extends far beyond the realm of ETFs. Major corporations have continued their aggressive accumulation of Bitcoin, viewing it as a treasury reserve asset superior to cash. This trend of corporate and institutional adoption is a key driver of Bitcoin's maturation, lending it a newfound sense of legitimacy and stability that was unimaginable just a few years ago. The current market cycle is thus being defined not by the frenetic energy of individual retail investors, but by the methodical and powerful currents of professional capital.
Taming the Beast: Volatility in the Institutional Age
One of the most significant and welcome consequences of this institutional influx has been the taming of Bitcoin's infamous volatility. For most of its history, Bitcoin's price chart resembled a dramatic mountain range, with breathtaking peaks and terrifying valleys. This volatility was its defining characteristic and its biggest barrier to mainstream acceptance. Institutional capital, however, operates on a different wavelength. With its longer time horizons and more systematic, data-driven approach, it behaves differently from the often emotionally-driven retail market.
While individual investors are more prone to panic-selling during sharp price dips or piling in during euphoric rallies, large institutions are more likely to employ disciplined strategies like dollar-cost averaging. They see price corrections not as a reason to panic, but as a buying opportunity. This behavior provides a stabilizing force, creating a floor during downturns and tempering the irrational exuberance of market tops.
This shift in market dynamics is evident in the flow of funds into the new financial products. These investment vehicles have frequently seen strong net inflows during price corrections, with major asset managers absorbing billions in capital even as retail sentiment soured. This institutional buying pressure acts as a powerful buffer, moderating the extreme price swings that have historically characterized the Bitcoin market.
While Bitcoin's volatility remains higher than that of traditional assets like gold or global equities, its trajectory is one of marked and consistent decline. This decline is a natural consequence of its growing market capitalization. As the total value of the network expands, the relative impact of new capital inflows or outflows is diminished, leading to smoother price action.
Interestingly, Bitcoin's volatility has at times converged with, and even fallen below, that of some mega-cap technology stocks, which themselves can exhibit significant price swings. This convergence is making traditional investors take a closer look, as the risk-reward profile of Bitcoin becomes more palatable and understandable. Historically, investors have been well-compensated for taking on Bitcoin's volatility, with its risk-adjusted returns often outperforming major stock indices over multi-year periods.
From Digital Gold to a Financial Base Layer: An Evolving Narrative
For much of its existence, Bitcoin has been championed as "digital gold." This narrative is powerful and intuitive. Like gold, it has a finite, predictable supply. It is decentralized, meaning no single entity can control it or create more of it at will. And it is censorship-resistant, offering a store of value outside the traditional financial system. This narrative has been a potent driver of adoption, particularly among those seeking a hedge against inflation, currency debasement, and geopolitical uncertainty.
However, the increasing stability brought about by institutional investment is fostering a new and complementary narrative: Bitcoin as a potential medium of exchange and, more broadly, as a foundational settlement layer for the global financial system. Lower volatility is a crucial prerequisite for any asset to function effectively as a currency. When prices are relatively stable, merchants and consumers can transact with confidence, knowing the value of their money will not drastically change overnight.
The development of Layer 2 solutions, most notably the Lightning Network, is a critical piece of this puzzle. These protocols are built on top of the Bitcoin blockchain and are designed to enable faster, cheaper, and more scalable transactions. They address the primary technical hurdles that have hindered Bitcoin's use for everyday payments, such as coffee or groceries. As this technological infrastructure continues to mature and gain adoption, Bitcoin's utility beyond a simple store of value is poised to expand significantly.
Furthermore, Bitcoin's historically low correlation with traditional assets like stocks and bonds makes it an exceptionally valuable tool for portfolio diversification. In a world where asset classes are becoming increasingly interconnected, Bitcoin offers a unique return stream. Adding even a small allocation of Bitcoin to a traditional 60/40 portfolio can potentially enhance returns over the long term without a commensurate increase in overall risk. This diversification benefit is a key part of the thesis for many institutional investors.
Navigating the Market's Pulse: Price, Psychology, and Predictions
As Bitcoin navigates this new institutional era, the question on every investor's mind is: where does the price go from here? The recent surge to new all-time highs above the $123,000 mark has been met with a mix of bullish enthusiasm and cautious optimism. After reaching this peak, the market saw a natural retreat, with bulls pausing for a breath and prices consolidating. The price action has been dynamic, with a fresh increase starting above the $120,000 zone before finding temporary resistance and trading near the $118,500 level. This kind of price discovery, including breaks below short-term bullish trend lines, is characteristic of a market absorbing new information and establishing a new support base.
Technical analysis suggests that the current rally may have further to run. Having decisively broken through key psychological and technical resistance zones, some analysts see a clear path toward $135,000 or even $140,000 in the medium term. The price trading well above key long-term moving averages confirms that the underlying momentum remains strongly bullish.
However, a closer look at market sentiment and on-chain data reveals a more nuanced and perhaps even more bullish picture. Despite the record-breaking prices, the market has yet to enter the state of "extreme greed or euphoria" that has characterized the absolute peaks of previous bull cycles. Key metrics that track the profitability of long-term holders remain below the "euphoria" zone, suggesting that the smart money is not yet rushing to take profits. This could indicate that the current rally, while impressive, is still in its early or middle phases, with more room to grow before reaching a cyclical top. A delay in the full-blown bull market euphoria could ultimately push Bitcoin higher than many expect.
Of course, the market is not a one-way street. The spike to $123,000 was followed by an increase in Bitcoin flowing into exchanges, a potential sign of short-term profit-taking and a cooling-off period. Even large, strategic players may take profits during rallies. The news of Bhutan's sovereign wealth fund strategically unloading a portion of its holdings is a prime example. While these sales can introduce short-term selling pressure, they are also a healthy part of a functioning market. The fact that inflows, even at the peak, were just a fraction of those seen in earlier parts of the year suggests that the selling pressure is not yet overwhelming.
The Sustainability of the Institutional Era: A Critical Analysis
The institutionalization of Bitcoin is undoubtedly a paradigm shift, but its long-term sustainability is not a foregone conclusion. While the current trend is one of increasing adoption and stability, there are several factors that could challenge this new status quo and must be considered by any serious investor.
One potential risk is the concentration of Bitcoin in the hands of a few large institutions. While this brings stability in the short term, it also introduces a potential point of centralization in a decentralized system. If a handful of major asset managers were to simultaneously decide to sell their holdings—perhaps due to a change in their own internal risk models or a major macroeconomic shock—it could trigger a significant market downturn. Such a move would likely be exacerbated by retail investors following the lead of these financial giants.
Regulatory risk also remains a significant and unpredictable concern. While the approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs in the United States was a major step forward, the global regulatory landscape is a complex and evolving patchwork. Any future crackdowns, unfavorable tax treatments, or restrictive regulations in major jurisdictions could dampen institutional enthusiasm and hinder further adoption. The path to full regulatory clarity is likely to be long and fraught with challenges.
Furthermore, the narrative of Bitcoin as an inflation hedge has yet to be definitively proven across all possible economic conditions. While it has performed well during recent periods of high inflation and monetary expansion, its correlation with risk assets means it can also be sensitive to economic downturns and tightening financial conditions. A prolonged period of global recession or stagflation could test its resilience as a store of value in new and unexpected ways.
Conclusion: A Maturing Asset in an Evolving World
Bitcoin has come an immeasurably long way from its obscure beginnings as a niche digital currency for a small community of technologists. The influx of institutional capital has ushered in a new era of stability, accessibility, and legitimacy. The launch and wild success of spot Bitcoin ETFs has been the primary catalyst, providing a regulated and familiar on-ramp for a vast pool of professional money that is reshaping the asset's very DNA.
This institutional embrace is about far more than just price appreciation; it is fundamentally changing the character of Bitcoin. Its volatility, while still present, is on a clear downward trend, making it a more viable contender as both a global store of value and a neutral settlement network. The long-held dream of Bitcoin as a foundational layer of a new, more transparent financial system is slowly but surely taking shape.
However, the road ahead is not without its challenges. The risks of institutional concentration, regulatory uncertainty, and macroeconomic headwinds are real and should not be underestimated. The sustainability of this new era will depend on a delicate interplay of market forces, regulatory developments, and continued technological innovation on its network.
What is clear is that Bitcoin has earned its place on the world's financial stage. It is no longer an outsider looking in, but a maturing asset that is being progressively integrated into the global economic fabric. Whether this institutional era will be a lasting one remains the defining question of our time. But one thing is certain: Bitcoin's journey is far from over, and its evolution will continue to be one of the most compelling and consequential stories in the world of finance for years to come.
15.07.2025 - Bitcoin, DAX, Dow Jones, WTI-Öl - GBE MarktcheckWelcome to a new GBE market-insight
My name is Raphael Dreyer, charting expert at GBE brokers, and this is what you can expect in today's video.
- Bitcoin reaches new all-time high
- DAX remains above 24,000 points
- Dow Jones with momentum towards all-time high?
- WTI oil bounces off the downward trend
I wish you a successful trading day, until the next GBE market check.
Risk warning:
CFDs are complex instruments and carry a high risk of losing money quickly due to leverage. 76.61% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the risk of losing your money.
BTCUSD – Breakout Plan from Demand Zone (CHoCH + OB Setup)🔹 Current View:
I'm closely watching the 107,240 zone, where we have a strong Demand + Order Block + CHoCH (Change of Character) setup. This is a key support area that could trigger a fresh bearish move if broken.
🔹 My Plan:
I'm waiting for a clear breakout below 107,240 to enter a short position.
➡️ Entry: 107,240 (after confirmed breakout)
➡️ Stop Loss: 109,750 (above supply + BOS zone)
➡️ Target: 105,000 (previous inefficiency zone)
🔹 Supply Zones Noted:
- 109,250–109,500: Supply + FVG + BOS
- 110,000–110,500: Strong Supply + FVG
This trade is based on price breaking demand structure and retesting key supply areas above. Volume profile also shows heavy activity above, indicating possible resistance on any pullbacks.
Btcusd techinical analysis.This chart shows the Bitcoin (BTC) / USD 1-hour timeframe on OKX, with several technical analysis elements:
Key Observations:
1. Price Action:
Current price: $117,334.1, showing a −2.14% decline.
Price has dropped from around $123,000 down to $117,000, indicating a sharp bearish movement.
2. Harmonic/Pattern Zones:
The chart contains harmonic pattern structures with Fibonacci ratios:
The large upswing has a retracement level of 0.9655, nearly a full retracement.
A downward channel/retracement touches 0.8416, indicating a deep pullback.
Another smaller retracement at 0.3716, a shallower correction.
3. Support and Resistance Zones:
Multiple horizontal purple zones mark areas of past price reactions:
Around 121,000, 119,000, and 117,000 levels.
Price is currently testing the 117,000 support zone.
4. Projected Price Path (Yellow Arrows):
The projected movement shows a potential bullish recovery:
Minor pullbacks are expected, followed by higher highs.
The target appears to aim back toward the 119,000 – 120,000 resistance zone.
5. Icons on Chart
BTC at pullback support in H1 timeframe! Possible rebound?BTC reacted a pullback support of 117,140 this is a crucial point where we look forward to seeing a rebound. We anticipate a bullish rally from this week. Keep an eye at this level as the week progresses. A rebound indicates possible gains. A break below might take us back to 110k level.
Bitcoin – Rising channel with critical support at $119.000!The chart presented shows Bitcoin in a well-defined rising channel, highlighting a strong bullish momentum over recent trading sessions.
Rising channel
The price action is currently oscillating within the boundaries of this upward sloping channel, marked by parallel trendlines. The channel suggests that Bitcoin has been consistently making higher highs and higher lows, with the current price hovering around $121,794. The upper boundary near $123,200 acts as potential resistance, while the lower boundary of the channel provides dynamic support, suggesting a continuation pattern if this structure holds.
Uptrend
The overall uptrend is clearly visible and remains strong, especially since July 10th, where a significant bullish breakout occurred. The breakout was followed by steady gains, with minimal pullbacks, indicating strong buying interest and market confidence. The momentum shows a healthy bullish structure with minimal price overlap, characteristic of a trending market, which favors continuation as long as critical support levels remain intact.
Support area
A critical element in this chart is the key support area, highlighted in green. This support zone is located between approximately $118,500 and $119,600. This zone was previously a resistance level that has now turned into support following the breakout. It also aligns with the mid-level of the rising channel, reinforcing its significance. Should the price retrace, this area is likely to act as a cushion where buyers may step in again to defend the trend.
Fibonacci
Additionally, the chart features a Fibonacci retracement drawn from the swing low to the current swing high. The 0.618 Fibonacci level is particularly noteworthy, sitting at around $119,623. This level is known as the “golden ratio” in technical analysis and often acts as a strong retracement level during corrections. Below it, the 1.0 level is marked at $116,669, which represents a full retracement of the move and a deeper correction scenario if the support fails. These Fibonacci levels coincide with the key support zone, further validating it as an area of high confluence and likely buying interest.
Final thoughts
Overall, the technical structure remains bullish within the rising channel, with key levels of interest lying around $119,600 for support and $123,200 for potential resistance. A successful defense of the support area could propel the price higher toward the channel’s upper bound, while a breakdown may lead to a test of deeper Fibonacci retracement levels.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
Bitcoin H1 | Potential bounce off a pullback supportBitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 116,469.00 which is a pullback support that aligns closely with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 114,600.00 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit is at 119,650.00 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
BTCUSD • 1H ABCD Completion at Key Confluence – Long Bias1) Macro → Micro Context
Daily / 4H Trend:
Still a clear up-trend on the daily & 4-hour: higher highs / higher lows above the 8, 34 & 55 EMA ribbon.
The $120 K–$121 K zone houses the largest Volume-by-Price node in two weeks, now acting as near-term support.
1H Context:
X→A: $106 100 → $118 950 impulsive run
A→B: ~15% pullback into $117 000 (≈0.15 XA)
B→C: 3.06× extension to $123 230
C→D: Retrace into $119 900–$120 300, matching 0.618 BC & ~80% XC Fib
2) Structural & Momentum Breakdown
AB=CD & Fib Confluence: D at $119 900–$120 300 aligns perfectly with both 0.618 BC and ~80% XC retracements.
1H Bullish Order Block: $119 900→$119 750
20-period SMA (mid-BB): ≃$120 100
VRVP High-Volume Node: Centered ≃$120 400
RSI (14): Holding 47–50 on the hour, flattening and poised to curl up
PVT: Flat-to-up on the pullback—sign of absorption
Volume: Contracts into D, then a slight uptick on the last 1 h bar
3) Exact Trade Plan
Entry: $119 400 - $120 300
Stop-Loss: $117 300 - $118 000
Take-Profit 1: $121 800 → $122 200
Take-Profit 2: $123 000 → $123 500
Optional “Hype” TP instead of TP 2: $125 000 → $126 500
(for a parabolic push if the upcoming House vote prints strong headlines — targets at 78.6%–100% BC extensions)
Entry Confirmation (any one):
1 h bullish engulfing or inside bar within entry zone
RSI (14) closes back above 50 on the hourly
PVT prints a higher low with renewed buy-side volume
ROS #Repeat of structureROS #Repeat of structure
The chart you've provided is a 15-minute candlestick chart of **Bitcoin (BTC) / USD**, showing a recent price action pattern followed by a significant drop. Here are the **key points** identified on the chart:
**Key Support Zone**
* Highlighted in **light gray** at the bottom.
* Range: **\~116,800 to \~117,500 USD**
* This zone has acted as **support multiple times** (seen around July 11–12 and now again on July 15).
* Price **bounced** off this area during the most recent dip, but the current candle is testing it again.
---
**Chart Pattern: Bearish Triangle (ABCD Structure)**
Marked by the labels **A, B, C, D**, forming a **descending triangle**, typically a **bearish continuation pattern**:
* **A to B:** Sharp drop (initial leg down).
* **B to C:** Rebound, but fails to reclaim highs.
* **C to D:** Tightening price action inside the triangle.
* After **D**, there’s a **breakdown**, leading to heavy selling.
---
**Breakdown and Sharp Decline**
* Price **breaks below the triangle support** with a long red candle.
* Massive sell-off continues, pushing BTC below **\$118,000**.
* The current price is around **\$117,481**, hovering near the key support zone.
---
**Trend Observation**
* Before the triangle, there was a **strong uptrend** leading up to \~\$123,000.
* The triangle acted as a **distribution zone** before the **reversal** began.
* The trend has shifted from **bullish** to **bearish** post-pattern.
---
🔍 Summary of Key Levels:
| Level Type | Price Range |
| ---------------- | ------------------- |
| Resistance (Top) | \~\$123,000 |
| Breakdown Point | \~\$120,400 |
| Support Zone | \~\$116,800–117,500 |
thanking u