B/$The latest breakout of the top will give a good pullback, which is currently developing.
I think we will see a price below $100,000 again.
BTCUSD trade ideas
BTC RANGE-BOUNDBitcoin is once again pressing against the midpoint of its recent trading range after bouncing off the 50-day moving average near $105,000. Today’s candle shows solid follow-through from that bounce, reclaiming short-term structure and closing back above the key $105,787 level.
The broader structure remains a consolidation between $100,700 support and $112,000 resistance – with Bitcoin repeatedly testing both boundaries without breaking out. The most recent rejection at $112K marked the second failed attempt to clear that level, suggesting the presence of strong supply overhead. However, the continued defense of $105K and especially the higher low at $100,700 keeps the bullish structure intact for now.
The 50-day moving average has now been tagged multiple times and held as dynamic support, reinforcing its relevance in this trend. Meanwhile, the 200-day MA remains well below at $95K, and continues to slope upward, confirming broader trend health.
Volume remains relatively light during this bounce, which could be a cautionary signal for bulls hoping to see a breakout attempt. A move above $108K–$110K would likely re-ignite momentum toward the $112K top of range, while a clean break above $112K would open the door to a measured move toward $120K.
To the downside, the $100,700–$101,000 area is the line in the sand. A break below that level would invalidate the current higher low structure and put the $92,800 and $88,800 zones back in play as support.
In short, Bitcoin is still range-bound, but technically healthy. The bulls are defending key support levels and the 50 MA, while bears remain active at resistance. The next directional break – above $112K or below $100K – will likely dictate the next major move.
BITCOIN BOUNCES AT 50 MABitcoin continues to trade within a well-defined range, with price once again reacting cleanly off the 50-day moving average (blue) – a key dynamic support level that has consistently provided footing throughout this uptrend. Today’s candle is printing a modest bounce from that zone after briefly dipping below $105K, suggesting buyers are still defending trend structure despite recent volatility.
On the upside, $112,000 remains the key resistance. Price failed to break through this level twice in the past month, confirming it as a significant supply zone. A daily close above that threshold would mark a breakout and likely fuel momentum toward fresh highs.
Support is building around the $99,500–$100,000 region – a critical horizontal level that aligns with a prior breakout zone and marks the recent higher low. Below that, the next major support rests around $92,800, followed by $88,800, which served as the last major consolidation range before April’s breakout.
Momentum-wise, the rejection at $112K could still evolve into a lower high, but that scenario remains unconfirmed as long as price holds above $100K. The reaction off the 50 MA – the second clean tag in recent weeks – keeps the short-term structure intact. However, the lower volume on this bounce suggests some caution is still warranted.
From a broader trend perspective, Bitcoin is consolidating within a bullish continuation structure. As long as the 50-day MA continues to act as dynamic support and the $100K zone holds, the market retains a constructive bias. A strong daily close above $112K would likely signal the next leg higher – potentially toward $120K and beyond.
For now, this is a healthy range within an uptrend. Bulls want to see strength on the next test of resistance. Bears need a break of $100K to flip the narrative. Until then, this remains a textbook pause within trend – not a reversal.
BITCOIN so heres the reversal signal on it seen it on the daily chart this is a strong sign shes ready to drop my other time frame were weak but the daily is not,, like i said bitcoin is dropping for the next couple weeks simple break of structure and accumulation
general retreat to continue ascendinggeneral retreat to continue ascending
due to the fact that it has not had a main setback to then keep risigin
BITCOIN WEEKLY WYCKOFF — DISTRIBUTION OR REACCUMULATION?BTC has formed a textbook Wyckoff structure on the weekly chart — but are we entering Phase D markdown, or is this just a trap before continuation?
📉 Distribution Case (Primary Bias):
BC → UT → UTAD clearly defined
Bearish RSI divergence at UTAD confirms momentum exhaustion
Volume drying up = weakening demand
🎯 Targeting the 0.618–0.66 fib zone near 87k–89k, confluence with previous structure
🧠 Reaccumulation Possibility (Alternative Scenario):
Structure also mimics Reaccumulation Schematic #2
If support at 101k–104k holds and price reclaims 112k with strong volume → UTAD may prove to be a SOS, not a trap
⚠️ Levels to Watch:
🔺 UTAD: 112,087
🔸 BCLX: 108,496 → structural pivot
🔻 AR: 92,160 → distribution confirmation if lost
🎯 Target: 89,050 – 87,206 (fib + horizontal confluence)
🟠 Final invalidation for reaccumulation: weekly close below 87k
Whether we’re heading for Phase D markdown or one final shakeout before markup, this structure will define BTC’s path for the coming months.
Bias: Bearish unless price reclaims UTAD with strength.
Conviction: Grows with breakdown + volume spike under 101k.
bitcoin road map (4h)As I mentioned, the wedge has been broken, and this could push the price above $110,000.
previous analysis
Bitcoin summer of fun...If we are in a continuation pattern, and Bitcoin breaks the neckline soon.
We could be on the cusp of a very interesting and strong few months of price action.
Continuation upward sloping #inverseheadandshoudlers
Bitcoin is bullish now & many Traders don't see it !!!I currently expect the price to correct slightly, as indicated on the chart, and then pump by about 6% from the PRZ . This signal is reinforced by strong positive divergence and a wedge pattern. In summary, the PRZ is a solid entry point, derived from the confluence of touchlines and pivots. However, if the price ignores this zone and falls below it, my analysis will be invalidated.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
BITCOIN The beauty of structured patterns. $150k is next.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has invalidated all bias calling for a deeper pull-back after May's new All Time High (ATH), as yesterday it broke above the previous ATH Resistance, invalidating the short-term Head and Shoulders pattern, while rebounding last week exactly on the dashed Lower Highs trend-line, confirming it as a Support level.
Within BTC's 3 year Channel Up pattern, we have seen this price action structure another 3 times. The minimum rise on such pattern has been +101% and that wasn't even a Lower Highs rebound. The other two that were exactly like the current formation, increased by a lot more.
As a result, we expect Bitcoin to complete a minimum +101% rise from the April 07 bottom, which translates to a clean $150000 Target.
Do you think the structure ill continue to hold up to $150k and possibly beyond? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin: Break Out Or Fake Out Can Be Long.Bitcoin has adhered to my previous week's anticipated scenario almost exactly. While this may be a coincidence, I have called similar scenarios like this numerous times just see my previous articles, I left the illustration on the chart. From here, there are two scenarios to consider, one offering greater probability than the other. Let me explain.
First consider that the Bitcoin trend has never changed. The broader tend is bullish and the previous weeks only saw a brief corrective structure which found support in the 102K AREA )see my previous article). A reversal developed and confirmed and now we are in the process of rallying back toward the highs.
Scenario 1 The Breakout: IF the high 106's are cleared, it is possible price can break out to potentially test the next resistance around the 110K area. Since this environment is typically a lower volume time of year, I believe there is a greater chance of fake out. How you manage the risk all depends on the time frame you operate on. Smaller time frames can pin point more accurate signs of follow through while maintaining tighter risk while taking the breakout on this time frame exposes you to more risk. If taking the breakout on this time frame, consider mitigating risk with smaller size or being prepared to exit IF a conflicting signal appears like a bearish pin bar.
Scenario 2 The Retrace: IF price rejects the 106K area (fake out possibility) then I will be watching for a retest of the 104K area minor support. This is the level where I would be looking for confirmation patterns like bullish pin bars etc. This would not only constitute a higher low but also establish a classic inverted head and shoulders pattern. I do not put a lot of emphasis on the broader pattern, but it can help foster a self fulfilling prophecy. This reversal offers a greater probability since it is coming from a pullback within a broader bullish trend. Also the profit objective is greater since the 110K resistance would still be the same.
How you mange this again depends on the type of strategies you employ. My analysis is meant to provide an overall roadmap of the possibilities that I anticipate and nothing more. If you are a day trader this information will not be used the same way compared to if you are a swing trader. The key is how you define the risk and the confirmations. If the market rejects both scenarios, then we simply have to readjust to the new information that becomes available.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
The magic fractal wave of BTCWell it is very interesting pulsation of BTC. ATH > Crash > New ath > Biger crash > recovery > Old ath > crash
I have pretty accurately predicted this cycle. I think we will see 150K this year and then crash to 77K in 2026 and then climb up to 0.5 Mil.
Tell me what you see.
BTCUSD: Very aggressive rally to 130k has just started.Bitcoin turned bullish again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 61.233, MACD = 1503.700, ADX = 19.938) following yesterday's strong 1D candle, which is a result of the June 6th 1D MA50 rebound, and is even close to turning the day positive despite the correction early on. This rise is similar to the one that started after the April 7th rebound and eventually pearked just under the 2.382 Fibonacci extension. We remain bullish on Bitcoin, TP = 130,000.
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BTC Macro Cycle Outlook (Log Chart)Bitcoin continues to respect its logarithmic ascending channel that has defined every major bull and bear cycle since 2015. Each cycle top has historically aligned with the upper blue trendline, marked by sharp rejections (red arrows 🔴).
Currently, BTC is pushing within a steep short-term channel, mirroring previous parabolic phases. If the structure holds, we could see a final push toward the $300,000 zone, which aligns with the channel resistance — potentially marking the next cycle top.
📈 This chart captures the bigger picture — filtering out short-term noise and focusing on the rhythm of Bitcoin’s long-term cycles.
Do you think this cycle will end like the last two? Or are we in for something different?
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
BTCUSD: 4H Golden Cross kickstarting $119,000 rally.Bitcoin remains bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 58.982, MACD = 1643.700, ADX = 1643.700) despite today's high volatility. This volatility displays similar attributes to the Accumulation Phases that were formed since the April 7th bottom. If it follows the symmetry of the first two bullish waves around the first Accumulation Phase, expect a +10% rise from the Phase's bottom. Assuming today is the bottom, the next target of this pattern is 119,000.
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Bitcoin: weekly gains and dipsThere has been a sort of roller coaster with BTCs weekly price movements during the previous week. The week started with a strong move toward $110K. Although it seemed like a fresh new momentum toward the higher grounds, or eventually new all time highest level, the price soon began to tumble down, ending the week above the $104K level. On charts, it looks more like a “pump and dump” strategy, imposing a potential for a further correction. However, the reaction of BTC market on the negative news regarding the new unrest in the Middle East was exposed shortly on Friday trading session, when the price shortly reached the $102,9K level.
The RSI modestly dropped below the 50 level, ending the week at the 47. The MA 50 currently stands as a supporting level for BTCs price, while the indicator continues to diverge from its MA200 counterparty.
As per current charts, there is a high probability that weekly gains and dips will continue. The line connecting the lowest level from the beginning of April this year and lows from the beginning of June and from the previous week shows that there is a high probability for $104K to be tested. It also perfectly combines with MA50 as a currently supporting line. In case that the $104K is breached toward the downside, then it might bring some short bearish movements with BTC. In this scenario, the $100K might be again the target. However, if the $104K sustains the selling pressure, then the BTC will return toward the $108K.
Current BTC Trend Analysis and Trading RecommendationsToday's overall BTC market rebounded after hitting a low of 102,614 in the early trading session, with Bitcoin's price maintaining a slow upward trend throughout the day. The intraday high reached 105,912 but encountered resistance. As the weekend approaches, historical market data shows limited volatility during weekends, so range-bound fluctuations are expected for the weekend.
From the current overall market rhythm, the price has rebounded slightly today after the previous decline. The hourly chart shows consecutive upward candles, though the price movement remains relatively slow. As time progresses, the price is expected to sustain an upward trend after pullbacks, and breaking through the short-term resistance level is only a matter of time. In terms of short-term structure and pattern, despite slight resistance and minor pullbacks, the downward momentum has weakened. We can still focus on long positions at lower levels, paying attention to the 106,000 resistance level.
BTCUSD
buy@104000-104500
tp:106000-107000
Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
BTC PERPETUAL TRADE ,Sold From $106,800BTC PERPETUAL TRADE
BTC SELL SETUP
Currently $106,800
Sold From $106,800
(Trading plan IF BTC go up to $108,000
will add more shorts)
Expecting target $105,300 OR DOWN
In the event of an early exit,
this analysis will be updated.
Its not a Financial advice
NVIDIA Can Go PARABOLICMartyBoots here , I have been trading for 18 years and sharing my thoughts on NVIDIA here.
People are scared with war and high stock market but NVDA could go parabolic
Watch Video for more info
BTCUSD: Can it repeat the U.S. elections rally?Bitcoin is on a slight pullback, being only marginally bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 56.024, MACD = 1611.500, ADX = 23.439). Based on the 1W RSI we may be on the October 30th - November 4th 2024 pullback that preceded the U.S. elections. The decisive test will be on the 1D MA50 again, but as long as the S1 level holds, chances are we will see a similar +106.40% rally. We remain bullish on BTC, TP = 150,000.
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WW3 IS COMING?! Stop kidding me. Today in X and my PM there were a lot of people who were screaming: “Oh nooo war is coming!!!!”
Guys, don’t freak out ahead of time. The same events happened a year ago (13-14th of April 2024) .
I don’t speak any politics here, just facts: Israel attacked Iran, then Iran attacked Israel. Finish. Everyone was afraid that the WW3 is coming, but it ended in a couple of days.
Something similar I expect to happen now too. No one need this war, what’s more - no one has spare billions&billions of dollars to fund it.
As for the chart — some fluctuations above the $101,000 support won’t do any harm to the global picture. More to say, the current chart literally copies the one from 2024: pump from the horizontal support that ended up with dump, then another fake pump and quick massive dump.
Expect to see some consolidation in the $101,000 - $105,000 range, then we can ride upwards.
Peace ✌️
Bitcoin Whales Going On Summer Vacation🚨 Wake Up, Crypto World! 🚨
🔹 Bernstein calls $200K 🔹 CNBC eyes $130K 🔹 BlackRock boasts IBIT is the fastest-growing ETF 🔹 Saylor claims $1M BTC 🔹 Thiel-backed crypto exchange Bullish - has confidentially filed for a US IPO …
Does this sound like "Institutions secretly acquiring Bitcoin"?
NO. This sounds like a desperate call for exit liquidity.
The real accumulation already happened, behind closed doors, away from the headlines. Now they need buyers. Retail FOMO is their exit strategy.
Don't be fooled enjoy the Summer Vacation. 🌴
#Bitcoin #Crypto #ExitLiquidity #MarketCycles #TakeProfits
CRYPTO:BTCUSD INDEX:BTCUSD TVC:GOLD TVC:SILVER NASDAQ:COIN NASDAQ:MSTR
BTC to $100k?BTC retraced up to the 0.618 fib level in a 3 wave B. Soon it could resume the wave down to ~$100k. What do you think?
