₿ Bitcoin: Push to the Upside! Bitcoin has made a significant push to the upside, which brought it closer to the upper blue Target Zone between $117,553 and $130,891, where we primarily expect the corrective rise of green wave B to conclude. We consider this price range an opportunity to take partial profits or to open short hedges for tactical protection of existing long positions — thus, we don't plan to sell all our Bitcoin holdings there. Potential short hedges could be secured with a stop 1% above the upper edge of the zone since there's a 30% chance that price could exceed this zone to develop a new high for blue wave alt.(i) before reversing later. Primarily, however, green wave C should commence in the upper blue zone and drive BTC down into the lower blue zone between $62,395 and $51,323—and thus to the low of orange wave a.
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
BTCUSD trade ideas
BITCOIN (BTCUSD): Waiting For BreakoutIt appears that ⚠️Bitcoin is gearing up for a bullish trend.
Analyzing the 4H time frame, I spotted a bullish flag pattern and a confrimed breakout of its upper boundary.
The final hurdle for buyers is the resistance level between 105,880 and 106,934 on the 4-hour chart.
A successful break and close above this range would signal a significant bullish indication, potentially leading to a continuation towards at least 111,500.
Bullish momentum to extend?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 108,446.67
1st Support: 106,491.59
1st Resistance: 111.566.95
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Shorting Opportunity EmergesBTC has seen significant volatility recently. 📊 After failing to break below 100,000 yesterday, it rebounded sharply to 108,500 immediately. ⚡ Now is precisely the opportunity to go short. 📉
⚡️⚡️⚡️ BTCUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Sell@ 109000 - 108500
🚀 TP 105000 - 103000
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
Building Liquidity: What It Really Means🔵 Building Liquidity: What it really means
Professional traders often need liquidity (buyers and sellers) to enter/exit large positions without moving the market too much.
This means manipulating the market within a pre-determined range, which serves as the operating center for everything that follows.
🔹 How is liquidity built
Price Ranging: Sideways consolidation before big moves attracts both buyers and sellers.
False Breakouts (Stop hunts): Price may briefly break support/resistance to trigger retail stop-losses and fill institutional orders.
News Timing: Pro traders often execute during or just before major news when volatility brings liquidity.
🔹 How can you spot a Liquidity-building zone
🔸 Volume
Unusual spikes in volume: Often indicate institutional activity.
Volume clusters at ranges or breakouts: Suggest accumulation/distribution zones.
Volume with price divergence: Price rises but volume falls = possible exhaustion. Volume rises and price consolidates = potential accumulation.
🔸 Price Action
Order Blocks / Imbalance zones: Sharp moves followed by consolidations are often pro trader footprints.
Break of Structure (BoS): Institutions often reverse trends by breaking previous highs/lows.
Liquidity sweeps: Price moves aggressively above resistance or below support then reverses = stop-loss hunting.
🔸 News Reaction
Watch pre-news volume spikes.
Look for contrarian moves after news — when price moves opposite to expected direction, it often reveals smart money traps.
Analyze price stability post-news — slow movement shows absorption by pros.
Wick traps and reversals around news events = stop hunting.
🔸 Narrative is Everything
Higher timeframe trends show intent.
Lower timeframes show execution zones.
Look for alignment between timeframes in a specific direction.
🔹 Why do whales move the market in an orderly manner
To fill large positions at optimal prices.
To create liquidity where there is none.
To trap retail on the wrong side of the move.
To trap other whales on the wrong side of this move.
To rebalance portfolios around economic cycles/news.
🔹 Professionals never forget what they've built
When you track price, volume, and news, you’ll find specific bars that form areas that are the foundation for the short-term direction.
This is pure VPA/VSA logic, the interplay of Price Analysis ,Volume Analysis and News, where each bar is not just a bar , but a clue in the story that professionals are writing.
When you monitor volume, price, and news together and perform multi-timeframe analysis, it becomes clear what the whales are doing, and why.
🔹 From the chart above
The market reached a weekly resistance level and then pulled back slightly after whales triggered the stop-losses of breakout traders.
Prior to the breakout, whales had accumulated positions by creating a series of liquidity-rich buying zones on the daily timeframe.
It's essential to understand the broader context before choosing to participate alongside them—whether you're planning to buy or sell.
🔴 Tips
Use volume and price analysis together, not separately.
Monitor any unusual volume bars before economic market news.
Monitor news and volatility spikes to detect traps and entries.
Combine this with liquidity zones (support/resistance clusters).
Build a "narrative" per week: What is smart money trying to do?
A smart trader understands the tactics whales use, and knows how to navigate around them.
BTC will botom now(sorry I wrote this took quite a long time so the price has moved first)
Summary:
The recent drop in Bitcoin is primarily due to geopolitical tensions specifically the conflict between Israel and Iran. This is interpreted as a short-term market shock rather than a fundamental breakdown. Structurally, the bias remains bullish with expectations of a near-term rebound.
Why is BTC dropping?
The sell-off is driven by global risk aversion due to the geopolitical escalation. Investors are temporarily fleeing into cash and defensive assets like gold. However, this behavior is emotional and not based on a fundamental shift in Bitcoin’s outlook.
Bullish Thesis:
* Bitcoin’s recent decline is not structurally bearish; it's a reaction to short-term uncertainty
* Historically, Bitcoin has shown strength and recovery following global shocks
* The current correction may provide a setup for a relief rally before any further downside movement
* Even if a deeper correction is ahead, the price is likely to move upward first to sweep liquidity or test resistance
Technical View:
* The current price level is a key area from a price action perspective
* BTC is showing signs of rejection at this key support, indicating potential buyer interest
* This level has acted as a significant pivot in previous swings, making it technically important for short-term direction
* If this rejection holds, it may serve as the base for a short-term recovery leg
Correlation Insight – BTC vs. Gold:
* Bitcoin has been showing a moderate positive correlation with gold, particularly during periods of heightened geopolitical risk
* Currently, gold is approaching its major resistance or all-time high level
* If gold reaches this zone, it may trigger profit-taking or sell pressure, prompting a rotation of capital out of gold into BTC
* This potential rotation strengthens the case for a bullish move in Bitcoin, especially if BTC stabilizes around current support
Expectations:
* Near-term bounce or consolidation, followed by a potential breakout toward key resistance levels
* A shift in capital from traditional hedges like gold to crypto could act as a tailwind
* As volatility from the conflict settles, Bitcoin could regain its role as a risk-on asymmetric bet
Conclusion:
The pullback appears to be a temporary, sentiment-driven move rather than a trend reversal. BTC remains fundamentally strong, and the potential reversal in gold adds confluence to a bullish Bitcoin thesis. With price currently showing rejection at a key technical support level, this may be a strategic accumulation zone for mid- to long-term investors.
BTCUSD LONG✅ Analysis: BTCUSD has successfully broken its last 15m high (Break of Structure), signaling a potential shift in momentum. I’m looking at the pullback of this break to enter a long position and ride the upward move. Entry is at the demand zone. It might mitigate the fvg and return immediately.
✅ Target: Next key resistance or liquidity area above.
✅ Stop Loss: Just below the last low to minimize risk.
Favorite Fibonacci ChannelI posted about the Fibonacci Channel I regularly use to set my stop loss, mean reversal TP, and breakout TP. It's typically 0.5 for a mean reversion, and the breakout is typically confirmed with a strong move past the 1.27 or -0.27 threshold, with 1.88 as the expected move and Euler's e and Pi as the followed profit targets. The vice versa is true for negative Tp below the zero line. I trade it as low as the 1-minute time frame to as high as weekly, as it works very well, especially when it's preparing a squeeze.
BTC/USD..chart pattern..BTCUSD trade setup based on the chart pattern details
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🟠 Trade Idea: BTCUSD Sell
Sell Entry: 105,500
Resistance Level: 101,000
Target 1: 99,000
Target 2: 93,000
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🔍 Interpretation
Pattern Implied: Although you didn't name the exact chart pattern, this setup suggests a bearish reversal — potentially from a double top, head and shoulders, or bearish rising wedge.
Sell Entry at 105,500 implies BTC has recently bounced or failed at a resistance zone.
Resistance at 101,000 being below the sell entry might be a typo — or possibly meant to show a recent break above a now-invalidated level.
Targets at 99,000 and 93,000 suggest a step-down approach — taking partial profits or expecting continued selling pressure.
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📊 Risk/Reward Overview
Entry Stop Loss (assumed) Target 1 Target 2 R:R (to 99K) R:R (to 93K)
105,500 ~107,000 (1.5K risk) 99,000 93,000 ~4.3:1 ~8.3:1
> Note: These R:R figures are rough estimates assuming a 1.5K stop loss above entry.
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🔔 Key Considerations
Confirm Chart Pattern: Ensure there’s a confirmed bearish pattern with volume confirmation.
Check Momentum Indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD) for bearish divergence or trend exhaustion.
Support Levels: Watch for buying reaction near 99,000 and stronger support near 93,000.
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Would you like me to:
1. Analyze the actual BTCUSD chart and validate this pattern?
2. Draw the setup visually?
3. Suggest a better stop-loss level or trailing strategy?
Let me know!
Market Moves Ahead? | DXY, Gold, and Bitcoin 📊 The markets are on edge—and this week’s economic data could trigger major moves in the US Dollar Index (DXY), Gold (XAU/USD), and Bitcoin (BTC/USD).
In this video, we break down:
✅ The latest CPI inflation expectations
✅ Fed interest rate outlook and Trump’s pressure on rate cuts
✅ U.S.–China trade negotiations and what they mean for global risk sentiment
✅ Technical levels to watch for DXY, Gold, and BTC
✅ Key events to watch this week (CPI, PCE, Fed speeches)
Whether you're a trader, investor, or just market-curious, this analysis will keep you one step ahead. 🧠💹
🔔 Don’t forget to like, comment, and subscribe for real-time market insights!
#DXY #XAUUSD #BTCUSD #Inflation #GoldPrice #BitcoinNews #FedWatch #MarketUpdate
BTC SHORT TP:105,000 16-06-2025Back from a quick break and we’re jumping straight into action 😎
Short and sweet setup — we’re looking for a fast move down.
Entry: 106,500 – 107,000
Target: 104,800 – 105,100
RR: 3.0 average
Timeframe: 2H
Duration: 20–24 hours
Context: Quick and clean short after a small vacation break — let’s stack more green.
📌 Use a tight stop or adjust based on your strategy.
If the move doesn’t play out within the time range, the setup is invalid.
We don’t use indicators, we’re not out here drawing lines or cute little shapes — I just give you a clean trade.
Bitcoin life cycle-stage One ending-Next cycle has to start NOW
There are 3 things to see in this chart
1) The Orange Arc of resistance. I have talked about this previously but to recap a little, it has its origins in Oct 2009 and has rejected EVERY ATH since then, as you can see on the chart. The Arc itself is part of a Fibonacci Spiral.
This Arc has begun to Squeeze PA against the lower trend line, that was formed in 2011.
And we are now in a position where PA MUST react or get pushed below the Long Term line of support.
This could be called Make or Break time for Bitcoin.
The Apex of this pennant is around Jan 2026
PA always reacts before the Apex.....99% of the time.
2) The Vertical Coloured bars are Trend Based Fibonacci Time, It begins on the 1st ATH in the channel that Bitcoin created. This channel is shown in the chart below
See how the Runs to the 2017 & 2021 ATH were all in a Bullish Green zone and how PA never retouched the lower trend line of support in this time
Since Mid 2021, we entered a Bearish Zone.
On the main chart, you will notice how this Fib Time has just ended.
3) The Trend based Fibonacci Extensions. Every single ATH rejected off a Fib extension.
The Root is at the 2009 Low and 1 is at the First ATH in the Bullish Fib time Zone.
The numbers here are all based off the 3,6,9 number sequence.
Lets look a little closer at the weekly chart
As we can see, PA got repeatably rejected off this orange Arc of Resistance and Current PA has been up there, trying to break through since 2024.
Many people have also commented on how PA has been so subdued this cycle and could this be reflected in the Fib Time showing us that we are in a Red Bearish Zone.
See how, from Mid 2021, when we entered a Strong Red zone, PA took a Deep dive off the Nov 2021 ATH.
Also note how this zone ended in late 2022 and in Jan 2023, PA began its current cycle Run. See the change in Colour ?
And Currently, while Bitcoin tries to break out of this squeeze, we were in a Red zone again....that just ended.
AND we can also see that we have not yet reached the 6 Fib Extension at 120,251 usd
The situation we face here is that if PA gets rejected off that Fib line, having just broken through the Arc, we could get pushed right back down under the Arc again. It is VERY STRONG RESISTANCE
This next move from Bitcoin HAS to be strong enough to take us up to the 9 fib line at 180,391 usd at a minimum. This way we can use the 6 Fib extension as support when PA cools off from a big push and so remain above the Arc and begin the Next long term cycle.
The Daily chart below shows us where we are right now
You can see how PA has repeatably tried to break above the Arc and been rejected Firmly Every time...so far, PA has avoided going right back down to the Lower trend line and has remained in near distance to this Arc..But we are running out of Time.
Recent attempts by PA have been Strong and I am sure that we will make it over but the real question is can we also get over that 6 Fib extension and stay above.
The weekly MACD certainly has enough strength to cope
Should we have a subdued Summer trading on Bitcoin, we will see this MACD cool off and be stronger before a sustained push near Autumn maybe.
To conclude, Bitcoin is under pressure to move out of its First Full Cycle.
It is getting Squeezed and now it is time for Bitcoin to prove it can cope with its new found "Adulthood"
The Next Big push, maybe later in the year, could very realistically reach 200K or more and this would place us Above that 9 Fibonacci extension I talked about earlier.
Of course, events could change and we could see PA collapse back below the Arc.
If this happens, all is NOT lost but it would certainly weaken the case for Long Term holders to continue doing so.
This then could create a Snownall effect and prices may tumble....And I will buy MORE....
Either way, we are in a HUGE moment for Bitcoin and I am privileged to be able see this all unfold...
Lets see what happens but, for me, I am Still VERY Bullish though Cautious....
We may have to revisit low 70K in the near future if Pa cannot get over this Arc and the 6 Fib extension
BTC/USD Analysis – 4H Interval (Sample Workflow)BTC/USD Analysis – 4H Interval (Sample Workflow)
Note: I do not have access to the exact 4H chart from your screenshot, so I will perform the analysis based on the current market situation and typical price zones and setups that are worth following (you can apply them to your chart in TradingView).
📊1. Support and resistance zones
Resistance: 110,000 USD
(the last local peak and the place where a strong supply reaction was visible)
Support: 105,000 USD
(the place of the highest volumes and previous bounces, supported by POC levels from your screenshot)
Next support: 103,000 USD
(important level resulting from previous consolidations)
🔍2. Trend & Price Action
Direction: In the short term, the uptrend dominates (a series of higher lows and highs), but a stronger supply wick has appeared - a local pullback is possible.
Observe: Possible correction to the nearest support zones, rebound from POC/VAL/VAH levels.
Price channels: You can draw a rectangle (channel) between 107,000 and 110,000 as the current volatility range.
📌3. Indicators
Stochastic Oscillator: Close to the overbought zone (above 75) - a signal of a possible short-term pullback.
CHOP (Choppiness Index): Low - suggests that the market has just moved from consolidation to a trend (another strong movement after the correction may develop).
📊4. Candlestick structures
Last H4 candle: Long upper shadow (a possible signal of demand exhaustion).
Watch:
Reversal patterns (e.g. pinbar, engulfing) on support/resistance zones.
🧠5. Scenarios and levels to watch
Bull scenario
Breakout of resistance 110,000 USD → possible quick move to 112,000–114,000 USD.
Condition: Increased volume and closing of 4H candle above resistance.
Bearish scenario
Bounce from 110,000 USD and drop to 107,000 or 105,000 USD.
If 105,000 USD is broken, possible retest of 103,000 USD.
BITCOIN ATH INCOMINGI want us to fill these imbalances. Not just wick them or graze them, but truly fill them. Sit in them. Let price spend time there.
Because time inside inefficiency is what gives others the chance to participate. It creates space for real transaction, not impulsive chasing but deliberate positioning.
Ideally, I want to see price return to the imbalance in discount, a zone where price is considered cheap. That’s where buyers are most willing to step in. That’s where the opportunity lies.
From there, I want to see a weekly body close inside the imbalance. Not a shallow reaction, but commitment. That confirms intent. Then we move, continue the bullish orderflow, and leave a fresh daily imbalance behind.
We’ve seen this play out before. In the example we studied, price initially wicked into the imbalance, then came back and raided the low. That second move was the invitation. It gave the market time to transact. You could clearly see volume building, buyers stepping in, and the imbalance being filled with purpose. Only after that did we get the explosive move to the upside. Not before. The strength came after the market gave participants time to load up.
Now, there is a top-side scenario on the chart where price could continue higher and form an imbalance above first. If the market is truly bullish, that’s possible, but it isn’t my preference. I’d rather see price reload deeper, offer value, and then expand.
The roadmap is simple: return, fill, confirm, and climb.
This isn’t just bullish continuation. This is controlled, calculated momentu