BTCUSDT.3L trade ideas
Evening BTC Market Analysis and Trading RecommendationsToday, U.S. markets are closed, leading to light trading activity and relatively limited overall market volatility. From a technical analysis perspective, the 4-hour K-line chart currently shows prices trading below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, exhibiting a classic range-bound consolidation pattern. Bulls and bears are locked in a tug-of-war between key support and resistance levels, with K-line formations alternating between bullish and bearish patterns.
In terms of chart structure, the lower support zone has demonstrated strong buying conviction, while the upper resistance level has exerted clear restrictive force. Multiple failed upward breakouts have formed a short-term top. This box consolidation—characterized by resistance above and support below—is expected to sustain sideways trading through Friday.
Against the backdrop of no major positive catalysts, bearish momentum may gradually dominate if no substantial bullish triggers emerge. Maintain a trading strategy of selling into strength.
BTCUSDT
105000-105500
tp:104000-103000
Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
continue to move accumulation: below 109,000💎 Update Plan BTC (June 20)
Notable news about BTC:
Semler Scientific (SMLR) unveiled an ambitious three-year strategy on Thursday aimed at significantly expanding its Bitcoin holdings to 105,000 BTC by the end of 2027. The announcement coincided with the appointment of a new executive to lead the firm’s digital asset initiative.
The Nasdaq-listed healthcare firm has named Joe Burnett as its Director of Bitcoin Strategy, a move it believes will strengthen its long-term treasury vision and enhance shareholder value. As part of this strategic shift, Semler Scientific plans to accumulate Bitcoin through a mix of equity and debt financing, alongside reinvested cash flows from its core business operations.
Technical analysis angle
BTC as well as XauUSD are trapped in the channel price 104k to 110k these are also two important milestones of BTC. Also congratulations to investors when detecting the bottom of 104k. The next expectation within the price channel is still maintained at 110k landmark
But with the recent moves of investors, the community is afraid that BTC will continue to adjust in the future.
==> Comments for trend reference. Wishing investors successfully trading
Bitcoin– bearish momentum builds after rejection at $109KIntroduction
Bitcoin (BTC) is currently showing weakness after forming a lower high at $109,000. This level acted as a significant point of rejection, and since then, BTC has been moving lower. The price has broken through key support areas, indicating a possible shift in market structure. In this analysis, we’ll break down the recent price action, explain the technical signals behind the move, and discuss what could be expected in the short term.
Rejection from the 0.786 Fibonacci Level
The rejection at the $109,000 level aligns perfectly with the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement on the 4-hour timeframe. This level is often seen as a strong resistance point during corrective moves, and in this case, it held firmly. The precision of this rejection gives it more weight, and since hitting that point, BTC has been steadily declining. This move down suggests that buyers were unable to push through the resistance, leading to increased selling pressure.
Break of the 4H Bullish FVG
As BTC started its decline from $109,000, it broke through the bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) that had formed earlier on the 4-hour chart. This gap previously served as a support zone but has now been decisively broken with strong volume. The loss of this level is significant, as it marks a breakdown of the bullish structure and opens the door for further downside movement. In the process of this move lower, BTC has created a new bearish FVG on the 4-hour timeframe. This gap remains open and could potentially act as a magnet for price to revisit, offering a possible short entry if price retraces into that zone. However, the clear break below the previous bullish FVG indicates a shift in momentum and supports a more bearish bias for now.
Downside Target at $102.7K
Given the recent breakdown, the next key level to watch is around $102,700. This area marks the wick low on the 4-hour timeframe and stands out due to the size and sharpness of the wick. Such large wicks often leave behind unfilled orders, which markets tend to revisit over time. The presence of these resting orders makes this level a likely target for the ongoing move down. It also acts as a strong area of potential support, where buyers might step back in if the price reaches that point.
Conclusion
With the rejection from the 0.786 Fibonacci level and the failure to hold the bullish 4H FVG, BTC has shown clear signs of weakness. The breakdown in structure suggests a continuation to the downside is likely, with $102.7k being the most immediate target. This level could serve as a strong support zone due to the unfilled orders left behind by the previous wick. Until BTC reclaims key support levels or shows a shift in momentum, the bias remains bearish in the short term, and traders should remain cautious while expecting further downside.
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#Bitcoin ( $BTC/USDT ) is forming a symmetrical triangle on the #Bitcoin ( $BTC/USDT ) is forming a symmetrical triangle on the 1H chart, with strong support near 103,800 and resistance around 105,100. Price is consolidating tightly, indicating a breakout is near. A bullish breakout above 105,500 could target 110,000, while a breakdown below 103,500 may lead to a drop toward 102,000. Key invalidation lies at 103,500. Wait for volume confirmation before entering —
BTC H4 Range Play: Patience Until One Side Breaks✅ Price contracting within well-defined H4 range
✅ Clear lower highs and higher lows — coiled, ready to break either side
⚠️ FOMC incoming — possible volatility/surprise rate cut rumors
🎯 Trading Plan:
Short Setup:
If price spikes RH ($105,500) and H4 FVG (~$106,000), then re-accepts back inside the range
Entry on confirmation back below RH/FVG
Target: RL ($103,300) and $102,600
Stop: Above $106,300
Long Setup:
If RL ($103,300) or $102,600 gets swept then reclaimed (M15/H1 SFP or strong reclaim)
Entry on confirmation reclaim of RL/W
Target: RH ($105,500) and beyond
Stop: Below $102,200
🔔 Triggers & Confirmations:
Only enter trades on confirmed sweeps/reclaims or acceptance back inside after spike
No trade if price stays in chop between levels
📝 Order Placement & Management:
Sell Limit: $105,500–$106,000
🛡️ Stop: $106,300
🎯 Target: $103,300 / $102,600
Buy Limit (on sweep/reclaim): $102,600
🛡️ Stop: $102,200
🎯 Target: $105,500 / $106,000
🚨 Risk Warning:
Market coiled — can rinse either side
FOMC could be a catalyst; manage risk, don’t overtrade
BTC – 15min Reversal Structure & Fibonacci ReclaimWe’re currently witnessing a potential short-term reversal on BTC’s lower timeframe after a volume-supported breakdown and sweep of local lows.
🔍 Key Observations:
Price swept liquidity at local lows (~103,929.27)
Entered into a clear reaccumulation box with responsive buyers
Volume profile shows prior POC just above – room for fill
Fibonacci retracement aligns with key structure:
0.5 = 104,372.94
0.618 = 104,268.23
1.0 = 104,816.60 (final high target for this impulse)
📈 Potential Play:
Entry Zone: Just above the sweep candle (104,100–104,200)
Target 1: 0.382 at 104,477
Target 2: 104,816.60
Invalidation: Close below 103,926
🧠 Mindset:
This is a classic liquidity sweep → reaction → reclaim pattern. If BTC flips the 0.5 level with strong momentum, a short squeeze toward the 104.8K area becomes likely.
Great opportunity for scalpers or day traders.
Let me know if you want this turned into a long-form breakdown or sent in another format.
Bitcoin will make a small upward move and then continue to fallHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Earlier, the price was confidently growing inside an Upward Wedge, showing a series of higher highs and higher lows. This rising structure was supported by consistent momentum until BTC reached the seller zone between 110300 and 111100, where the growth slowed down and started to fade. From there, the price rejected this resistance and shifted into a Range, bounded by 100500 and 110300. BTC has been fluctuating inside this horizontal structure for some time, unable to break above the seller zone or below the buyer support. Now BTC is showing signs of weakness, forming a minor correction and struggling to reclaim previous highs. Given this structure and rejection from the seller zone, I expect BTC to make a small upward move and then start a decline toward the support level at 100500, which also coincides with the bottom of the range and acts as a strong psychological level. For this reason, I set my TP at 100500 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Bitcoin, Good News & Good News —Bullish Confirmed (Retrace Over)First, the good news is that we have a higher low and a strong recovery in place. The current candle has a long lower wick and is already trading green, at the top of the session.
The second good news is how far down the retrace went. Last time Bitcoin bottomed around $100,300, this time the bottom happened at $102,660. This is an early signal of course because the week is not yet over. It can happen that prices move higher today and tomorrow they move back down, crash on Sunday and we get a bearish close. But, looking at short-term price action and other altcoins, also the volume—notice the volume—we can say that the retrace is over and we are set to experience immediately additional growth.
The volume is the most revealing signal right now.
The drop had no volume compared to today. Today's session has more volume than the last three red-days combined.
Another signal to consider is the amount of over-leveraged gamblers that were liquidated, a total of 1 billion dollars. When this much greed is removed from the market, there is no need for lower prices.
I will call it early, the retrace is over. Time to go bullish again.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
I will show you several more altcoins that are also looking ready to grow.
Namaste.
Geopolitical Tensions & Technical Pattern Point to BTC Decline!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) fell about -5% after tensions between Israel and Iran escalated. Unfortunately , these tensions are still escalating, but Bitcoin has managed to recover about +3% so far.
Bitcoin is moving near the Resistance zone($107,120-$105,330) and Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Bitcoin is completing a corrective wave . The corrective wave structure could be Contracting Triangle . In case of a sharp decline in Bitcoin again, we can consider these waves as five descending waves (if Bitcoin does NOT touch $106,600 ).
I expect Bitcoin to start declining again and at least drop to the Support zone($107,120-$105,330 ). The second Target could be the Support line and Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage .
Note: If Bitcoin can break the Resistance zone($107,120-$105,330), we can expect further increases in Bitcoin.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
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BTC/USDT Technical Analysis, 2025-06-20 19:45 UTCBTC/USDT Technical Analysis, 2025-06-20 19:45 UTC
💡 Trade Setup Summary
Pattern Detected: Bullish Hammer at local bottom
Confirmed by bullish candle close above pattern high
Volume Confirmation:
Volume Flow Analysis → Increasing OBV
Current Volume = 5.17, which although lower than the short-term mean, is paired with a positive trend
Order Book & Whale Confirmation:
Whale Bids > 2 BTC detected: 1 order, 3.54 BTC
Order Book Imbalance: 36.84% favoring buyers
Technical Indicators :
✅ Oversold region confirmed (likely RSI < 30, inferred by engine)
✅ Bullish pattern with volume trend confirmation
✅ Order book imbalance > 2%
✅ Whale bid presence
✅ Market pressure shows buyer dominance
✅ OBV increasing
Entry Price: 103146.58
Target (TP): 105646.58
Stop Loss (SL): 102146.58
Risk:Reward Ratio: ~2.5:1
BTC/USDT – Technical Outlook:
📊 BTC/USDT – Technical Outlook
🗓️ Published: June 21, 2025 | 🕰 Timeframe: H4
🔻 Market Sentiment: Bearish
The BTC/USDT pair is currently exhibiting strong bearish momentum after a failed breakout above the 106,000 resistance level. The price has sharply declined and is now trading around 103,485 USDT, confirming a breakdown from the consolidation phase.
🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
Ichimoku Cloud Analysis:
Price is trading below the Kumo, indicating a bearish trend continuation.
The future cloud is thick and red, reinforcing downside pressure.
The Chikou Span (lagging line) supports the bearish outlook.
Structure & Volume:
Market structure has shifted to lower highs and lower lows.
A visible volume gap exists between 103,000 and 101,000 – suggesting price could drop quickly into the next demand zone.
Support & Target Zone:
Strong demand zone identified between 100,000 – 101,000 USDT.
This area previously acted as a high-volume accumulation zone.
Projection Path:
Based on price action and market momentum, a continued move toward the 100K psychological support is likely.
🧠 Professional Insight:
"The breakdown below the cloud and recent support level confirms seller dominance. As BTC loses strength below 104K, we anticipate a potential drive toward the 100K demand area, where buyers may re-enter."
📌 Strategic Trade Setup (Not financial advice):
Short Entry: Below 103,200
Target: 100,000 – 101,000
Stop Loss: Above 104,900 (just above the cloud)
Risk/Reward: Optimal 1:2+
Bitcoin Mid-Term, 4H Timeframe, Bullish ($119,165 Next Target)On the 4H timeframe we have a consolidation pattern with a bullish bias. Bitcoin is aiming higher after a close above EMA8 & 13 with higher lows.
The drop 13-June found support perfectly at 0.786 Fib. retracement on a wick. The session closed above 0.618. The action turned bullish immediately and we are seeing slow but steady growth.
The recent drop was a market reaction due to a geopolitical situation. As soon as the event is priced in, the market seeks balance and goes back to its previous trend.
Bitcoin's bullish bias is not only supported by strong prices, $105,600 is very strong, but also by the altcoins and the cyclical nature of the market.
While Bitcoin already produced several new all-time highs this year the altcoins are yet to do the same. A bull market happens every four years or the year after the halving. For Bitcoin this is already true but this is a marketwide event and the altcoins are yet to go there and this is a bullish factor and soon this will be obvious on the chart.
We are 5-6 days away only from very strong bullish action. Notice that this isn't a long time, it is less than a week. The altcoins will reveal this bullish bias much sooner than Bitcoin but Bitcoin will also grow and hit a new all-time high soon. This new all-time high will be the catalyst for everything to boom.
» Ignore the short-term it is all noise—crypto is going up.
The next target is $107,558, followed by $109,508 on this timeframe. The latter being a mild resistance.
The main target here is $119,165 and this is a good resistance zone. It can be rounded up to $120,000. If this level gets hit it will only confirm additional growth. The target that follows is $130,000 and the minimum for this cycle is $160,000 but we are aiming higher.
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I will continue to detail Bitcoin on all the timeframes as well as many of the top, mid- and small altcoins.
Thank you for your support.
It is appreciated.
Namaste.
Long trade
1min TF entry
🟢 Trade Journal Entry – Buyside Trade
📍 Pair: BTCUSDT
📅 Date: Saturday, June 21, 2025
🕒 Time: 11:45 AM (NY Session AM)
⏱ Time Frame: 1 Minute
📈 Direction: Buyside
📊 Trade Breakdown:
Entry Price 103,468.8
Profit Level 103,639.8 (+0.17%)
Stop Loss 103,420.3 (−0.05%)
Risk-Reward
Ratio 3.53: 1
🧠 Context / Trade Notes:
1-Minute TF Scalping Setup:
Trade executed on ultra-low time frame during late NY AM volatility window — ideal for short bursts of movement and precision entries.
Liquidity Sweep Below Minor Low:
Entry taken after price dipped below a small intra-session low, triggering a liquidity grab before a quick reversal.
Check for support near 104463.99-106133.74
Hello, traders.
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Have a nice day today.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The next volatility period we should pay attention to is around June 22nd (June 21-23).
Currently, the HA-High indicator of the 1D chart is formed at 108316.90, so the key is whether it can rise above that point and maintain the price.
If not, there is a possibility that it will touch the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart.
In other words, we need to check whether there is support near 99705.62.
However, we need to check whether there is support near 104463.99-106133.74.
-
If we look at the auxiliary indicator OBV, the High Line is showing a downward trend.
This means that the high point is getting lower.
Therefore, if it rises above 108316.90 this time, we need to check whether the OBV can rise above the High Line and maintain it.
-
DOM(60), DOM(-60) indicators are displayed by the Close value.
HA-Low, HA-High indicators are displayed by the (Open + High + Low + Close) / 4 value.
Therefore, HA-Low and HA-High indicators represent the middle value, and DOM(60) and DOM(-60) represent the end point value.
This makes it difficult to trade when DOM(60) and DOM(-60) indicators are generated.
To make this clearer, I added an arrow signal.
DOM(60) indicator and HA-High indicator are indicators that represent high points.
In other words, the generation of DOM(60) indicator and HA-High indicator means that there has been a decline in the high point range.
However, as I mentioned earlier, the DOM(60) indicator is not easy to respond to because it indicates the end point, but the HA-High indicator indicates the middle value, so there is time to check whether there is support near the HA-High indicator and respond accordingly.
Therefore, you should check whether there is support in the section between the HA-High indicator and the DOM(60) indicator and respond accordingly.
On the contrary, the DOM(-60) indicator and the HA-Low indicator are indicators that indicate the low point.
You can think of it as the opposite of what I explained above.
-
By not indicating the support and resistance points according to the arrangement of the candles, but using the indicator points as the support and resistance points, anyone can see how the support and resistance points were created.
This will provide important objective information for trading.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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BTC/USDT 4H Technical Analysis UpdateCurrent Setup:
The price hovers within a range (highlighted in red), bouncing off its trendline support.
The RSI at 43 suggests it is close to the oversold zone, indicating a potential recovery.
Bullish Scenario:
If the trendline support holds, a breakout towards $108,000 is highly likely.
(Blue arrow points to the target zone.)
Risk Level:
Watch for a breakdown below the trendline, which could invalidate the bullish setup and send the price towards the $100,000 range.
Trade Plan:
Long entries near trendline support (around $102–103k), with a tight stop loss.
Target the upper trendline (~$108k), adjust as the price develops.
Stay alert!
BTC: Scalp Long 18/06/25Trade Direction:
Long BTC Scalp BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P
Risk Management:
- Risk 0.1% (very low risk due to market conditions)
- Target approx 0.5% gain
Reason for Entry:
- 0.618 retracement
- Sweep of recent low
- M30 Fair Value Gap tapped (partially mitigated earlier)
- Multi time frame Oversold
- Market structure holding key support level
Additional Notes:
- Confidence level low low likely hood this succeeds but trading my plan
- Very cautious trade in a volatile unpredictable market environment
Xauusd market This chart is a 30-minute BTC/USDT (Bitcoin/Tether) technical analysis from Binance, showing a potential bullish setup. Here's a breakdown of the key elements:
1. Descending Broadening Wedge
The blue trendlines forming a broadening wedge indicate a reversal pattern.
Price has been moving within this structure and recently broke out from the bottom back toward the upper resistance line.
This pattern typically ends with a bullish breakout, especially after consolidation near the lower boundary.
2. Key Zones
Support Zone: Around $102,275 – $103,680 (light green zone).
Resistance Zone: Between $106,128 – $107,351 (light red zone), with an extended resistance up to ~$109,591 (dark red line).
3. Pattern Suggestion
The blue zigzag lines suggest a possible Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern near the current price area, indicating a bullish reversal.
A projected price path (in dotted grey) hints at a bullish move targeting the upper trendline near $106,128–$106,157, potentially a 16th–21st June breakout setup.
4. Price Action
Current price: $103,982.63, with moderate momentum (+0.66%).
The arrow projection suggests a bullish move targeting the upper resistance zone.
---
Summary:
Bias: Bullish short-term outlook.
Target Zone: $106,100–$107,300.
Invalidation: Drop below $102,275 may negate the bullish setup.
Let me know if you'd like an entry/exit plan, risk/reward analysis, or a trading strategy based on this setup.