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BTCUSDT.5L trade ideas

BTC ANALYSIS (4H)Last week, Bitcoin made a sharp bullish move upward, aiming for retail liquidity, which made the forecast path more difficult. The green zone is a support area where Bitcoin might react. To collect the ATH liquidity, Bitcoin needs to break through the red zone. Let’s see what happens | when the market direction isn’t clear, there’s no need to take unnecessary risks. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
2
BTCUSDT Short Setup after Weak BreakoutThe BTCUSDT perpetual chart displays a bearish setup following a false breakout or weak retest of a descending wedge structure. After a strong bounce from the recent low, price surged but is now showing rejection at the $101,500 resistance level, marked by a key horizontal zone. This area coincides with: - The upper boundary of the falling wedge pattern. - A former support zone now acting as resistance. - A red candle signaling exhaustion from buyers. A short position is initiated with: - Entry: ~$101,500 - Stop Loss: ~$103,271 - Take Profit: ~$95,400 - Risk:Reward Ratio: ~1:3+ Unless price reclaims and holds above $103,271, this setup suggests a short-term bearish reversal is likely to unfold.
Short
by NakamotoZzzz
1
BTC H4 Range Play: Patience Until One Side Breaks✅ Price contracting within well-defined H4 range ✅ Clear lower highs and higher lows — coiled, ready to break either side ⚠️ FOMC incoming — possible volatility/surprise rate cut rumors 🎯 Trading Plan: Short Setup: If price spikes RH ($105,500) and H4 FVG (~$106,000), then re-accepts back inside the range Entry on confirmation back below RH/FVG Target: RL ($103,300) and $102,600 Stop: Above $106,300 Long Setup: If RL ($103,300) or $102,600 gets swept then reclaimed (M15/H1 SFP or strong reclaim) Entry on confirmation reclaim of RL/W Target: RH ($105,500) and beyond Stop: Below $102,200 🔔 Triggers & Confirmations: Only enter trades on confirmed sweeps/reclaims or acceptance back inside after spike No trade if price stays in chop between levels 📝 Order Placement & Management: Sell Limit: $105,500–$106,000 🛡️ Stop: $106,300 🎯 Target: $103,300 / $102,600 Buy Limit (on sweep/reclaim): $102,600 🛡️ Stop: $102,200 🎯 Target: $105,500 / $106,000 🚨 Risk Warning: Market coiled — can rinse either side FOMC could be a catalyst; manage risk, don’t overtrade
by Goldfinch_song
Skeptic | Bitcoin Deep Dive: Rate Hikes, War Tensions & TriggersInterest Rates: The Big Picture Let’s start with the Federal Reserve’s move—interest rates jumped from 4.25% to 4.5% . What’s the deal? Higher rates mean costlier borrowing , so businesses and folks pull back on loans. This drains liquidity from risk assets like Bitcoin and SPX 500, slowing their uptrend momentum or pushing them into ranges or dips. Now, mix in the Israel-Iran conflict escalating ? Straight talk: risks are sky-high , so don’t bank on wild rallies anytime soon. My take? BTC’s likely to range between 97,000 and 111,000 for a few months until geopolitical risks cool (like Russia-Ukraine became “normal” for markets) and the Fed starts cutting rates. Those two could ignite new highs and a robust uptrend. Let’s hit the charts for the technicals! 📊 Technical Analysis Daily Timeframe: Setting the Stage You might ask, “If 100,000 support breaks, does that mean we’ve formed a lower high and lower low, flipping the trend bearish per Dow Theory?” Absolutely not! Here’s why: our primary uptrend lives on the weekly timeframe, not daily. The daily is just a secondary trend. If 100K cracks, it only turns the secondary trend bearish, leading to a deeper correction, but the major weekly uptrend stays intact. Spot Strategy: No spot buys for now. Economic and geopolitical risks are too intense. I’ll jump in once things stabilize. 😎 Key Insight: A 100K break isn’t a death sentence for the bull run—it’s just a shakeout. Stay calm! 4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Triggers Zooming into the 4-hour chart, here’s where we hunt for long and short triggers: Long Trigger: Break above 110,513.92. We need a strong reaction at this level—price could hit it early or late, so stay patient for confirmation. Short Trigger: Break below 101,421.65. Same vibe—watch for a clean reaction to tweak the trigger for optimal entry. Pro Tip: These levels are based on past key zones, but time outweighs price. Wait for a reaction to nail the best entry. Patience is your edge! 🙌 Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D): Altcoin Watch As BTC dips, BTC.D (Bitcoin’s market share) is climbing, meaning altcoins are taking a bigger beating. Don’t touch altcoin buys until the BTC.D upward trendline breaks. They haven’t moved yet—you might miss the first 10-100%, but with confirmation, we’ll catch the 1,000-5,000% waves together. 😏 Shorting? If you’re shorting, altcoins are juicier than BTC—sharper, cleaner drops with more confidence. Patience, patience, patience—it’s the name of the game. Final Thoughts My quieter updates lately? Blame the geopolitical chaos, not me slacking . I’m hustling to keep you in the loop with clear, actionable insights. here, we live by No FOMO, no hype, just reason. Protect your capital—max 1% risk per trade, no exceptions. Want a risk management guide to level up? Drop a comment! If this analysis lit a spark, hit that boost—it keeps me going! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want next? Let me know in the comments. Stay sharp, fam! ✌️
by SkepticWise
1
BTC/USDT Technical Analysis, 2025-06-20 19:45 UTCBTC/USDT Technical Analysis, 2025-06-20 19:45 UTC 💡 Trade Setup Summary Pattern Detected: Bullish Hammer at local bottom Confirmed by bullish candle close above pattern high Volume Confirmation: Volume Flow Analysis → Increasing OBV Current Volume = 5.17, which although lower than the short-term mean, is paired with a positive trend Order Book & Whale Confirmation: Whale Bids > 2 BTC detected: 1 order, 3.54 BTC Order Book Imbalance: 36.84% favoring buyers Technical Indicators : ✅ Oversold region confirmed (likely RSI < 30, inferred by engine) ✅ Bullish pattern with volume trend confirmation ✅ Order book imbalance > 2% ✅ Whale bid presence ✅ Market pressure shows buyer dominance ✅ OBV increasing Entry Price: 103146.58 Target (TP): 105646.58 Stop Loss (SL): 102146.58 Risk:Reward Ratio: ~2.5:1
Long
by CryptoSignalsChannel
BTC – 15min Reversal Structure & Fibonacci ReclaimWe’re currently witnessing a potential short-term reversal on BTC’s lower timeframe after a volume-supported breakdown and sweep of local lows. 🔍 Key Observations: Price swept liquidity at local lows (~103,929.27) Entered into a clear reaccumulation box with responsive buyers Volume profile shows prior POC just above – room for fill Fibonacci retracement aligns with key structure: 0.5 = 104,372.94 0.618 = 104,268.23 1.0 = 104,816.60 (final high target for this impulse) 📈 Potential Play: Entry Zone: Just above the sweep candle (104,100–104,200) Target 1: 0.382 at 104,477 Target 2: 104,816.60 Invalidation: Close below 103,926 🧠 Mindset: This is a classic liquidity sweep → reaction → reclaim pattern. If BTC flips the 0.5 level with strong momentum, a short squeeze toward the 104.8K area becomes likely. Great opportunity for scalpers or day traders. Let me know if you want this turned into a long-form breakdown or sent in another format.
by SmartFlowsI
HTF Consolidation: Key Alerts, Vital Supports, FOMC & Geopolitic__________________________________________________________________________________ Technical Overview – Summary Points __________________________________________________________________________________ Momentum: Strong bullish signal across sector indicators (Risk On / Risk Off Indicator), especially on daily and 12H. Momentum remains robust within consolidation. Support/Resistance : Key zone at 104429–102600 (short- and long-term pivots); major resistance at 106000–109950. Volume : Normal to high, with peaks at major supports on 1H/2H (potential sign of absorption/defensive buying). Behavior across timeframes : ISPD neutral on most TFs, only 2H gives a buy signal (possible tactical bounce). All LTFs (≤1H) are down, HTFs (≥1D) are up → corrective structure, awaiting catalyst. __________________________________________________________________________________ Strategic Summary __________________________________________________________________________________ Overall bias : Underlying bullish, but market consolidates on key technical zones. Opportunities : Swing buy at 104429/102600, tight stop below 100k, take profit 109950+. Risk zones : Clear break below 100350/100000 invalidates the setup (risk-off or tactical short). Macro catalysts : FOMC, Iran–Israel tensions, economic calendar (monitor Jobless Claims, Crude, Fed statement). Action plan : Capital preservation before FOMC. Tactical entries only on key support; tight stops, prudent sizing. No breakout chasing without macro/fundamental validation. Hedge/volatility play via options possible (IV low, caution for post-event spike). __________________________________________________________________________________ Multi-Timeframe Analysis __________________________________________________________________________________ 1D/12H/6H : Supports: 104429, 102626, 100353. Resistances: 106000–109952. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator = Strong Buy. No extreme volume, ISPD neutral; mature range. HTF consolidation, bullish underlying momentum. 4H/2H : Key zone at 104429–102600 (technical defense); 2H is the first true behavioral buy signal. Very high volume at support, favoring a "spike bounce" scenario. “Up” confluence on Risk On / Risk Off Indicator, volume, and ISPD for short-term bounce. MTFTI: 2H is one of the “Up” TFs; LTFs remain Down. 1H/30min/15min : Structurally bearish, elevated volume (absorption/protection) on 1H. No behavioral excesses. Intraday weakness but supports tested and defended. __________________________________________________________________________________ Macro / Fundamental analysis __________________________________________________________________________________ Market in wait-and-see mode : FOMC upcoming, no hike expected but high impact from tone/forward guidance (increased volatility risk). Geopolitics : Iran–Israel escalation, risk-off climate, nervous risk assets. On-chain : Supports tested (STH ~97.6k). Persistent LTH accumulation. Low option IV → underpriced volatility risk. Risk/Reward swing : 2:1/3:1 buying 104429–102600, stop < 100k, take profit 109950+. __________________________________________________________________________________ Final synthesis: Bias, Opportunities, Risks __________________________________________________________________________________ Directional bias : Bullish on HTF, neutral/undecided on short-term. Wait-and-see until strong catalyst confirmed (FOMC, geopolitical de-escalation). Opportunities : Tactical buy on supports, profit-taking on resistance or confirmed breakout. Risks : Invalidation below 100k; sudden spike in FOMC/Israel–Iran escalation = risk-off or selloff. Recommended action : Protect capital before FOMC. Swing tactical entry only on confirmed support. No breakout chasing without macro validation. Leverage potential post-FOMC vol spike via options.
Long
by Ox_kali
Trade Plan Update #12: Navigating BTC’s Critical Levels *Conflicting timeframes (bullish 1H/Daily vs. bearish 4H/Weekly) are causing choppy price action. Here’s my 2-step game plan: * 📈 Scenario 1: Bullish 1H Play Key Support Zone: $100,314 - $102,000 (last line of defense for 1H bullish structure). Trigger: A strong rejection + bullish reversal signal in this zone. Action: INSTANT LONG ENTRY. No waiting—aggressively capitalize on momentum. 📉 Scenario 2: Daily Structure Fallback If $100,314 fails: 1- First Demand Zone: $93,300 - $98,000 Watch for a strong bounce → Go long if momentum confirms. Weak reaction? Hold and monitor lower. Second Demand Zone: $84,000 - $88,000 Ideal reversal zone for resuming the bull run. LONG on confirmed strength. Bull Run Lifeline: $74,600 Non-negotiable: A daily close below this invalidates the bull trend. ✅ Key Reminders: Patience is strategy: Only act when price confirms your thesis (no guessing!). Risk first: Define stops for every entry. Watch price action—NOT hopes. 👇 What’s your take? Which scenario seems more likely? Are you adding any key levels? Let’s discuss below! 👀
Long
by BTC-SWING-HOUSE
Bitcoin At Resistance: OMG! Not Another 20X SHORT!Sell at resistance; buy at support. Good morning my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, I hope you are having a wonderful day. Being able to adapt to changing market conditions is one of the signs of being a great trader. Being able to spot changes on a chart is also indicative of someone that can produce great results in this and other markets. How are you feeling today? It is no secret, we let everyone know; We sell when prices are high, we buy a lot when prices are low. Bitcoin is now trading below its 20-Jan 2025 peak price. And it is also producing a lower high. Both bearish signals that are pointing to a lower low. If the first drop settled around 100K, the second one should settle in the low 90s or right below 90K. It can go lower of course but we go step by step. I am not saying GO SHORT 20X again. This would only be possible for people who are smart, experienced traders and those that can take advantage of a changing situation without breaking their portfolio or long-term plans. Those can definitely SHORT this setup and profit short-term. A trader trades, it is what he/she does. You sell when prices are high if a drop is incoming, you buy when prices are low if a rise is next. This is a friendly reminder and it carries great entry prices and timing. Follow the chart. Trading volume is super low as Bitcoin trades near resistance and this is one of the biggest exchanges in the world. Low volume at this point reveals a pattern of distribution, distribution means lower of course. Both the MACD & RSI move on the bullish zone but trending lower, bearish at this point. What will it be: Will Bitcoin move down next? Will Bitcoin move up? My money is on down. Leave a comment if you agree. Thanks a lot for your continued support. Namaste.
Short
by MasterAnanda
58
BTC is still bearish (2H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section The red zone seems to have had enough orders to reject the price downward. It is expected that the price will drop at least to the green zone below. There will be some fluctuations along the way. A daily candle closing above the invalidation level would invalidate this analysis. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
Trading the Impulse Rally Retracement — Price and Time Symmetry The Stop Loss Triangle is back! This time with BITSTAMP:BTCUSD coming off its recent impulse rally. For those of you that aren’t familiar with my strategy — let me start from the beginning… This concept involves positioning against the opposing decline in price and time as a precursor to our theoretical projection. If the underlying enters our predetermined faded cross-section, the stop loss is triggered to prevent sideways consolidation and the erosion of contract premiums or leverage decay. This inherently ‘sclene’ triangle is constructed by drawing a straight trend line through the bottoming reversal candle and the furthest projection in price and time symmetry (78.6%) of the retracement. Once connected, draw a vertically positioned straight line from the highest or lowest point in the previously identified retracement to the bottom reversal candle area once again. To create a ‘right triangle’, now turn 90 degrees towards the final point, which is determined by the nearest projection in price and time symmetry (38.2%). This allows time after the imposed price and time date, yet not enough for premium or leverage decay to become significant. In its entirety, this forms the stop loss triangle. I encourage my followers to identify and explore the system on their own. As always, feel free to ask me anything related to it. We’ll follow along and you’ll be amazed at the precision of Fibonacci symmetry. CHEERS
Short
by splitmyIVandmelt
BTC: Scalp Long 18/06/25Trade Direction: Long BTC Scalp BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P Risk Management: - Risk 0.1% (very low risk due to market conditions) - Target approx 0.5% gain Reason for Entry: - 0.618 retracement - Sweep of recent low - M30 Fair Value Gap tapped (partially mitigated earlier) - Multi time frame Oversold - Market structure holding key support level Additional Notes: - Confidence level low low likely hood this succeeds but trading my plan - Very cautious trade in a volatile unpredictable market environment
Long
by Ryn8111
$BTCUSD: Bull or bear?Choose your adventure gents... If price breaks up today, it can ignite a daily timeframe trend signal pointing to a rally towards 114k within a few days. If it breaks down, it will hit 96k within the next two weeks. I've taken steps to reduce risk but I still trade futures actively in crypto pairs. There's good alpha in my long/short trading system and screening criteria, so I am comfortable trading it actively. Current techo/fundamental juncture is risky, the way I see it, so if you haven't, maybe consider taking some profits, getting rid of leverage, trailing stops higher, etc. Definitely not a time to be complacent with record exposure to US stocks from the public and foreigners, Gold hitting levels where it can purchase the same $ in real estate as in previous tops (1980, 2011), and companies buying into crypto to pump their failing business' stocks...to name a few red flags. There's some merit in long term bullish variables, but we might face some technical difficulties before that can materialize, and I rather be prepared by reducing risk in my long term exposure and max drawdown tolerance variables in my positioning and general strategy. Best of luck! Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
by IvanLabrie
3
BTC at 103K – Bounce or Breakdown?1. Overall Trend: The chart is currently within a descending channel, indicated by two parallel downward-sloping trendlines. The price continues to fluctuate within the boundaries of this bearish channel. 2. Current Price Action: BTC has just touched the lower green support zone (around 103,000 – 102,500 USDT) and is showing a slight rebound. → This suggests a potential recovery toward the nearest resistance zone. 3. Key Levels: ✅ Nearest Support Zone: 103,000 – 102,500 USDT → The price is currently bouncing from this area. If this zone holds, a short-term rebound toward resistance is likely. 🟥 Nearest Resistance Zone: 105,000 – 106,500 USDT → This zone has repeatedly rejected price advances in the past. Watch closely as price approaches this level. 🟪 Major Upper Resistance Zone: Around 107,000 – 109,000 USDT → If price breaks above the red zone, this will be the next target. 4. Potential Scenarios: 🔹 Scenario 1 (Bullish): If BTC holds the 103K support and breaks above the descending channel → price could aim for 105K – 106.5K. If that level is breached, the next target may be 107K – 109K. 🔸 Scenario 2 (Bearish): If the 103K support breaks → price may fall deeper toward the lower green support zone (around 101,500 – 100,500 USDT). 🎯 Summary: Short-term trend remains bearish. Price is reacting at support → a rebound is possible. Need confirmation from volume and candlesticks to determine if the current downtrend can be broken. Don't forget to like – follow – and share if you find it useful!”😁😁😁
by DatVinh84