BTC SHORT BEFORE ATHLooking to first short BTC toward the weak low we created during Friday's Asia session. Price left it exposed clean liquidity. If we get the right confirmations.The fake BOS that will take place if we move higher just adds more conviction to my play in the case we do first push towards the daily BPR.
This move would clear the path, set the stage, and potentially give us the entry conditions we want for the higher timeframe play. Where we will be looking for longs towards ATH.
For the HFTF view and what comes after, check the other chart I posted earlier same blueprint, just higher up the ladder.
BTCUSDT.5L trade ideas
W pattern off the handle. #Bitcoin to 168K.From my most recent post of the Cup & Handle I see a W pattern. Price broke out of the handle to retest to confirm support creating a double bottom.
This is a very good sign to confirm the C&H for this bullish near future.
If we continue upwards and break the psychological resistance zone at 111K, I expect 168K within 3-6 months.
I attached the Cup and Handle analysis to the current.
DeGRAM | BTCUSD formed the rising bottom📊 Technical Analysis
● BTC rebounded exactly at the purple long-term trend-line and green 102.5-104 k demand, reclaiming the 105-106 k support band; the old wedge cap is now acting as a floor.
● Price is coiling in a 16-h bull flag beneath 108 k; its 1.618 projection intersects the channel roof/ red supply at 111.6-115 k, while rising lows keep momentum pointed up.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● U.S. spot-BTC ETFs attracted about $240 m of net subscriptions on 14 Jun, ending the outflow streak and signalling renewed institutional demand as exchange reserves slide to multi-year lows.
● Benchmark 10-yr Treasury yields are back under 4.45 %, easing dollar pressure and helping risk assets rebuild after the FOMC spike.
✨ Summary
Buy 105-106 k; flag breakout above 108 k targets 111.6 k → 115 k. Invalidate on a close below 101.8 k.
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BTC 4H Analysis📈 BTC 4H Analysis – Symmetrical Triangle Breakout Loading
Bitcoin is currently consolidating inside a Symmetrical Triangle, forming higher lows and lower highs – a classic sign of volatility compression.
🔹 Structure: Symmetrical Triangle
🔹 Support Holding Strong – bulls defending the zone
🔹 Breakout Expected Soon
🔹 Major Resistance: $110,200
🔹 Breakout Target: $112,000+
Price is coiling up. Break above the triangle = strong bullish continuation likely.
🚀 Eyes on breakout — next move could be explosive!
NFA | DYOR
Most likely scenario for BitcoinI am tired of all analysts just saying that we are going down to 70k or up to 200k in one go.
So let me add a small informative chart for all people new or lost.
Don't get me wrong, i am bullish mid and long term but right now we are in the middle of a strong correction but shouln't last long.
We could have been super bullish above 106k but the price broke down with strength.
Now we see a super clear 5 wave movement down.
Currently we are in the 4 wave, trying to bounce back to the 106k area and doing a classic 4 wave ABC correction.
The bounce lacks volume so the most likely scenario is completing the 5 wave. We might get to the 101k area and ONLY THEN we can see what could happen.
If you are a futures trader, do it with caution and small leverage.
If you are a long term investor, these are perfect areas to buy more.
Good day to everyone.
BTC-----Sell around 105500, target 104000 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on June 17:
Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small positive line yesterday, and the K-line pattern was a single positive line with continuous negative lines. The price was consolidating at a high level, but the attached indicator was dead cross, and the closing line yesterday was a long upper lead, and the high point was near the 109,000 area. Why is it difficult to continue the rise? The price did not break the previous high point, the continuity was poor, the technical indicators were not obvious, etc., which are all reference data; the short-cycle hourly chart showed that the European session rose yesterday, and the US session continued to break the weekend correction high position. The price fell under pressure, the intraday high was 109,000 area, and the intraday retracement low was 106,000 area. There is no obvious direction at present, so the European and American sessions are the focus, so pay attention to the strength and weakness of the European and American sessions and the breakout situation, and then we will layout according to the real-time trend. The European and American sessions are currently showing a downward trend.
Today's BTC short-term trading contract strategy:
The current price is 105,500 and directly short, stop loss in the 106,000 area; the target is the 104,000 area;
Bitcoin Retests Broken Channel | Bounce to $110k?Bitcoin is currently retesting the broken downward channel. This selloff was a market shock reaction due to Israel's airstrikes on Iran. Price found support around $103k, at the daily timeframe 50SMA. The daily 50SMA also served as support in the previous drop to $100k last week.
In the chart's red circle is likely where many long leveraged positions had their stop losses or liquidation levels. We can safely assume this event was a liquidity hunt as Bitcoin remains strong above $100k. A healthy pullback to retest.
Historically, we have seen similar market shock selloffs like this. One example is the 1st of October 2024 Iran strikes on Israel. Bitcoin crashed 5% from $63k to $60k. What followed after was a recovery to over $100k, never seeing $60k again.
Will Bitcoin recover?
We still have multiple bullish developments. Institutions are becoming increasingly interested in Bitcoin, the US Bitcoin reserve, SEC x Ripple case settlement, SOL ETF approval, Fed rate cuts, among others.
Provided that the conflict does not escalate, once the market panic reaction is over, we can expect a healthy bullish continuation, as long as Bitcoin remains above $100k.
We also have a massive pool of short liquidity above $111k. Once we break above this level it will be a short-squeeze to $120k.
BTC Rally in Play — Time to Lock In Profits and Wait for FOMC?📈 Bitcoin Rally in Play — Time to Lock In Profits and Wait for FOMC?
After the expected upward move, I believe now is a good time to either close your positions or secure partial profits, whether you're in Bitcoin or altcoins. The market will offer new opportunities, so there’s no rush.
With the upcoming FOMC meeting on Wednesday, I suggest holding off on new entries until the news is out and volatility settles.
Currently, the resistance at $108,347 isn’t confirmed as valid yet — but if we see a rejection from that level, it could become a short-term barrier. On the downside, to maintain this recent bullish momentum, the support at $106,568 must hold.
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💬 How are you managing your trades ahead of the FOMC? Took profits already or still holding? Drop a comment below — always good to hear your plan!
That wasn’t a breakout. That was the stop runBTC swept the high into 107,991 — precision tap of the premium fib. Now the delivery shifts. Price has already done its job: take liquidity, trigger late longs, and set up the real move.
Here’s the execution breakdown:
Price tagged the 0 level of the fib extension — 107,991 — and rejected
A clean 4H FVG sits just below around 106,195.9 (0.5), aligned with 0.382 and 0.618 fib levels (106,619.8 to 105,772.1)
This is the re-entry zone for Smart Money — not the top chasers
Expectations from here:
→ Rebalance into the 106.6–105.7k region
→ If that zone holds and price shifts structure bullish again, we retest 107.1 → 107.9 → break higher
→ If we lose 105.7 cleanly, I’m watching 104,399.9 — the deeper inefficiency magnet
This isn’t about confirmation. It’s about preparation.
More trades like this — clean, controlled, conviction-based — live in the profile description.
This isn’t a breakout. It’s a return to senderPrice didn’t rally from randomness — it tapped directly into a daily OB, respected it, and is now marching toward unfulfilled inefficiency above. What looks like recovery is really just Smart Money closing the loop.
The logic:
Price swept sell-side liquidity into a deep daily OB and rebounded sharply — not passively. The response wasn’t a bounce. It was intention.
Above? Two clean destinations:
TP1: 110,950 — inefficiency fill and EQ of prior supply
TP2: 112,033 — full delivery into unmitigated structure
No overlapping zones, no chaos — just precise levels that haven’t yet been claimed.
Execution:
Entry: 104,200–105,000 range
SL: Below 103,800
TP1: 110,950
TP2: 112,033
The risk is defined. The reward is prewritten.
Final thought:
“This move wasn’t built to excite you. It was built to deliver.”
Accumulate, BTC back above 110K💎 BTC PLAN UPDATE (June 16)
NOTABLE BITCOIN (BTC) NEWS:
Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Ripple (XRP) are showing signs of stabilization around key support levels following last week’s correction. BTC is attempting to regain momentum after closing below a critical support zone, while ETH and XRP are hovering near technical thresholds that could determine their next directional move.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS OUTLOOK:
Bitcoin could decline further if it closes below the 50-day EMA
Bitcoin closed below its daily support at $106,406 on Thursday, then bounced back after retesting the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $102,893 on Friday. BTC has since stabilized around the $105,000 level over the weekend. As of Monday, it continues to consolidate, trading near $105,788.
If BTC fails to close above the $106,406 resistance level and heads lower, it may extend its decline toward the psychologically significant $100,000 level.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart is hovering around the neutral 50 mark, signaling indecision among traders. Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator shows a bearish crossover on the daily chart, indicating selling pressure and a possible downtrend continuation.
At this stage, whether you're new or experienced, it's wise to spend more time practicing, deepening your technical analysis knowledge, and exploring educational content shared on the channel. Strengthening your foundation will help you protect your capital in this volatile environment.
==> This analysis is for trend reference only. Wishing all investors successful trades!
Monday trades of the day🔥 These are the scalps I’ve got my eye on today. 🔥
Mostly looking at continuation longs — unless structure tells a different story.
💡 Key Plan:
For each long setup, I’ll wait for an internal market structure (MS) flip before pulling the trigger. No confirmation, no entry. Precision is the priority.
📅 Class Schedule:
Monddaday | After 6 PM
BTC BITCOIN ,we are watching every step and price action,the next clear directional bias on long will be on the break and close of daily supply roof at 111k, while the sell confirmation will be on the break and possible retest of the daily ascending trending line holding buyers for today 16th.
Israel and Iran war could be seeing liquidity into crypto especially bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC): Gameplan Remains Same | Bullish Start of WeekBitcoin is showing signs of recovery, where buyers are taking over the Monday lows and pushing prices to upper zones. Now that we see the recovery, we are back in play, expecting the price to reach the ATH area once again, where we will be looking then for $120K.
Swallow Academy
Markets Crash: Gold Soars, Crypto Dips!Israel’s strikes on Iran shook markets—Bitcoin and stocks tanked, gold soared. What’s next? Let’s unpack the best trading moves for this chaos!
Hey traders, Skeptic here!👋 Yesterday’s Israeli strikes on Iran’s military and nuclear sites, plus high-profile casualties, sent markets into a tailspin. If your positions got stopped out today, don’t sweat it—that’s normal in this mess. Today, I’m breaking down the most likely scenarios for financial markets, especially stocks and crypto, with no FOMO, no hype, just reason. Stick with me to navigate this storm!
📉Right now, markets are screaming risk-off . Stocks like the S&P 500, indices, and crypto like Bitcoin are bleeding as buyers have zero confidence. Everyone’s piling into safe-haven assets like gold, the Japanese yen, and the Swiss franc. Last night’s news triggered sharp drops in Bitcoin and SPX500, while gold’s rallying hard. This is classic flight-to-safety behavior, and it’s why your stops might’ve been hit. Let’s dive into the geopolitical scenarios driving this and then get to the charts.
📍First, the big picture.
Scenario one: Iran retaliates for Israel’s strikes, and we’re stuck in a tit-for-tat escalation for weeks. Markets stay risk-off, stocks and crypto keep sliding, and safe havens like gold thrive.
Scenario two: The US-Iran nuclear talks on Sunday, June 15th, lead to a deal, tensions cool, and markets stabilize. If those talks fail, I’m not optimistic— recent US inflation relief, might’ve pushed the Federal Reserve toward rate cuts to boost markets. Without de-escalation, rate cuts won’t save risky assets, and we’re looking at muted growth for crypto and stocks.
But if a deal happens, markets could rip—Bitcoin might hit $130K short-term and even $170K as the bull run’s ceiling. For now, uncertainty rules, so let’s see what the charts say.
👀 Let’s start with Bitcoin on the daily.
The first major support is $100K-$101K. If we lose that, we’re looking at a 3-4 month time-based correction . I know some of you see Bitcoin’s dip and think it’s a bargain, but hold up—if tensions escalate, breaking $100K-$101K is almost guaranteed. We could slide to $95K (0.382 Fibonacci retracement) or even $86K (0.618 retracement). No buying until Tuesday’s clarity—too risky. Shorting? Also a bad idea. After this sharp drop, where do you put your stop-loss? An 8% stop is the minimum, which trashes your risk-reward ratio. Best move? Sit tight, no positions, and wait for the dust to settle.
📈 Gold’s the star in this risk-off market.
On the 4-hour, as we said in last week’s watchlist, it broke the descending channel’s ceiling at 3333.86 and pulled back. Using our trick of cloning the prior channel and placing it above, it’s reacting perfectly at the new channel’s midline. A break above 3434.35 could push us to the channel ceiling at 3550.13 . Personally, I’d wait for more ranging here before going long—stops are too wide right now for a clean entry. If you caught our 3340 long trigger from the watchlist, you’re sitting pretty— just hold . Gold’s got more upside potential, but if you’re not in, don’t FOMO. Wait for a better setup.
🎯 Our EUR/USD long trigger from last week’s watchlist at 1.14555 was a winner
if you took it, you hit your risk-reward target and likely locked in profits. Nice work! The new long trigger is a break above 1.16142 resistance. No short triggers here, just like gold. With both major and secondary trends screaming uptrend, shorting against the flow is nonsense. I’d wait for key levels to break and confirm a bearish shift before even thinking about shorts. Trade with the trend, always.
📝our plan: Gold longs above 3434.35 target 3550.13; hold 3340 entries or wait for a range. EUR/USD longs above 1.16142, no shorts. Risk max 1% per trade, set alerts, and stay patient—geopolitical chaos means no FOMO moves.
I hope for a day with no wars, where we can focus on what matters—building value and humanity.🤍
That’s today’s breakdown, traders!
If this helped, smash that Boost button and Follow for more no-hype analysis. Drop a comment—what’s your next move? Want a coin or market analyzed? This is Skeptic, stay safe, protect your capital, and see you next time! <3
BitcoinEntry Point:
Entry Level: 106,300 USDT
Price is currently slightly below entry (106,254.67), so the trade setup is still valid and could trigger soon.
Stop-Loss (SL):
Stop Level: 104,250 USDT
Defined just below the lower FVG zone, indicating where invalidation would occur.
Take-Profit Targets (TP):
TP1: 109,000 USDT (near minor resistance)
TP2: 113,250 USDT (major target)
The Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR) looks favorable — possibly over 3:1, which is strong.
Shift stop to entry after reaching TP1