BTCUSDT.5S trade ideas
BTC/USDT – 4H Bullish Structure Aiming for Liquidity Grab at $12On the Daily timeframe, BTC is consolidating under a major Liquidity Zone with a strong FVG + Fibonacci confluence below price.
Now, zooming into the 4H chart, we can see the structure more clearly:
🔹 Liquidity Zone (~$120K) – Marked in red, this area is likely loaded with buy stops from shorts. A push into it could be a classic liquidity grab before any reversal.
🔹 FVG + Dual Fibonacci Confluence (~$109K) – Marked in grey, this zone remains a high-probability demand area if price pulls back.
🔹 Bullish Structure – Price has been respecting the ascending yellow trendline. The recent bounce suggests bulls could target the liquidity zone before deciding the next move.
Possible Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Path: Hold above trendline → Push toward $120K liquidity zone.
🔁 Bearish Path: Break of trendline → Deeper retrace into the FVG/Fib confluence zone.
Bias: Short-term bullish unless trendline breaks. Watching $120K for reaction.
Note: This 4H view builds directly on my recent daily chart post for BTC, giving a zoomed-in perspective for shorter-term traders.
Our refinement gives result!After implementing major improvements to our trading system, we got an excellent result:
+8.5% in July - and this without increasing the risks!
How did we achieve this?
🔸In-depth Analysis: for a long time we have been studying already good result of our trading and have long begun to notice a number of patterns related to unrealised pnl.
🔸Using data systematization: AI models allowed us to find clear patterns that we managed to turn into a list of specific improvements to the trading system.
🔸 Risk control: we have not only preserved, but also reduced the level of risk with increasing profitability!
What does this mean for our investors?
✅ More profit is stable and more predictable. New average monthly profit target is now 5%. First month is ahead of him.
✅ Less risk - safety and comfort of investing remains one of our top priorities.
✅ Proven solutions - comprehensive tests were conducted before implementation of improvements, which confirmed the operability of improvements.
BTC - 1H Elliott Wave Analysis - 08.08.25 Greetings, here is an update on the Elliott Wave Count for Bitcoin.
I highly recommend looking at our last Analysis beforehand to get a better understanding of the case and the developments. As last time we also added some Callouts to try to make it more understandable as it is quiet a tricky situation with different possibilities.
Since our last analysis we got another high which doesn't change much regarding our scenarios.
We still assume that we are in a move upwards displayed as the green 5 Wave move.
Let's look into the more bullish case first.
In the first scenario we assume that we finished the green Wave 1, 2 and that we also finished green Wave 3 now. The 3rd Wave is a ABC displayed as yellow and we're looking for the green Wave 4 retracement before another move up in green Wave 5:
The support area for this green Wave 4 lies between the 0.236 FIB at 116'400 USD and the 0.5 FIB at 115'081 USD. Technically we could have finished the green Wave 4 with the recent low at around 116'400 USD which touched the 0.236 FIB of our support area but it looks rather short and we would prefer a bigger correction in the the turquoise ABC. This turquoise ABC would preferably take to or below 115'670 USD which is the 0.382 FIB of our support area and at the same time the green Wave 1 high. Due assuming this being a diagonal this case would be better as it is common to get overlap between Wave 1 and 4 in diagonals but it is not a must or given.
The alternative scenario is that the recent high was not the green Wave 3 but an overshooting B wave of the pink ABC which would be followed by a C wave down which would then reset green Wave 2. As already mentioned in our last analysis this would be an expanding flat as correction for the green Wave 2. Targets for the pink Wave C would be the 0.618 FIB at 115'673 USD the 1 to 1 FIB at 114'488 USD, the 1.236 FIB at 113'755 USD, the 1.382 FIB at 113'302 USD and the 1.618 FIB at 112'570 USD. Most commonly for such a C Wave is the 0.618 and the 1.618 FIB.
We got a lot confluence around the 115'670 USD price level as besides being the 0.382 FIB of our Wave 4 support area and the 0.618 retracement for our pink Wave C it is additionally the green Wave 1 high as well as the yellow A wave high.
We hope you enjoyed our analysis! :)
Thanks for reading.
Would appreciate a boost and follow if you're interested in more analysis in this style! ^^
NO FINANCIAL ADVICE.
Bitcoin Daily AnalysisIn the last Bitcoin analysis, I announced a price of $113,000 for entry, after which we saw the price grow to $117,000. Now Bitcoin is at the ceiling of a descending channel (of course, money back). If the channel ceiling breaks, it could move back towards the price ceiling of $124,000. Otherwise, it could move back towards $112,000.
This analysis is not a financial recommendation. Crypto is a very risky market and you may lose some or all of your money in it. Especially futures trading.
BTC 1H – Ascending Support Holding, Will Retest Launch Bulls?Bitcoin continues to respect its ascending trendline while pushing against the 116.8k–117k resistance zone. Price recently pulled back after a local high, setting up a potential retest of the prior breakout level near the blue support box.
A successful hold here could fuel another leg up toward the 119k target, while failure to hold may bring the trendline into play. Stoch RSI is approaching oversold territory, hinting at possible bullish momentum if buyers step in.
This setup offers a clean structure:
– Clear ascending support
– Defined resistance zone to break
– Stoch RSI nearing reset for potential upside
Traders will be watching the retest area closely for confirmation before committing to the next move.
BTC - 1H Elliott Wave Analysis - 07.08.25Greetings and welcome back to another Bitcoin Elliott Wave Analysis!
This Analysis is a bit more complex due to recent price action.
The probabilities of the impulsive structure we discussed last time decrease as the price touched the 0.618 FIB at 114'209 USD of our supposed to be Wave 4 support area which is a warning sign.
It invalidated the impulse we looked into last time. That doesn't mean we turn bearish yet. We are still looking for higher prices to come!
We got two impulsive scenarios.
The first is that we still follow the green count just that it now is a leading diagonal which means every Wave is a three wave move as ABC. For our green Wave 3 in which we currently are this would be the yellow ABC which could be finished but preferably we get another high to hit the 1 to 1 FIB target at 117'303 USD before finishing the green Wave 3 and starting the green Wave 4.
Condition for this count is that we don't move below the last low at 155'555 USD which would shift probabilities to the other cases as the pullback would be too deep.
The other possibility is that we get a reset of the green Wave 2 meaning that the recent move up we saw from the 5th August low is part of the green Wave 2 correction. In this case the move up would be an overshooting Wave B displayed as part of the pink ABC here. Unlike the other count we would prefer to start the move down in pink Wave C now as it would look better.
This doesn't meant that we can't get another high in this count too.
We want to make aware that in this kind of correction which is called expanded flat it is common for Wave C to either undershoot or overshoot Wave A. This means that usually we could get a shallow Wave C to around +- 115'000 USD or a long C Wave.
The overshooting C Wave isn't possible here as it would go beyond the Wave 2 support area and invalidate the count unless we get another high first.
Sadly we can't really calculate the C targets yet due missing price action but we wanted to make you aware of the possibility of it being shallow. :)
Thanks for reading.
We would appreciate if you boost the idea if you enjoyed it as we put extra work into this one. :D
NO FINANCIAL ADVICE.
BTC Daily (August 7, 2025)Structure Detected
Ascending Parallel Channel
Bitcoin has been consistently respecting a broad ascending parallel channel (yellow lines) with three clean touches on both upper and lower bounds. The price is currently sitting near the midline of this channel — historically a pivot zone between continuation and pullbacks.
Trend: Strong uptrend with a clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows. Recent pullbacks have all respected the mid-channel and rallied afterward.
Heikin Ashi candles are used, which smooth price action — this makes trend strength visually clearer. A few red candles suggest temporary cooling, but not a structural breakdown.
Market Bias
Bullish — The macro structure remains strong, and price is riding the midline of a clean, long-term ascending channel. No signs of major distribution or topping yet.
If price maintains above the midline (~$115k), upside continuation is favored. A break and close below it could trigger a mid-term pullback to lower channel bounds.
Bullish Targets
If price continues upward from here:
$130,000 → Next horizontal confluence within the channel top zone.
$140,000–$150,000 → Upper channel resistance; could attract long-term profit-taking or final parabolic push.
$170,000 → Extreme target near the top extension of the outer parallel — would imply mania phase or major breakout extension.
Bearish Levels
If midline fails and Bitcoin pulls back:
$100,000–$105,000 → Prior support and lower mid-channel zone.
$90,000 → Bottom channel support — clean historical touchpoints.
$85,000–$80,000 → Strong psychological + structural support cluster; high-confidence long-term demand zone.
Timeframe-Based Targets
Daily Swing Targets
Upside: $130k → $140k → $150k
Downside: $105k → $90k → $80k
Weekly Structure: The weekly mirrors this bullish channel. As long as weekly candles close above ~$100k, the long-term trend is intact.
Summary:
Bitcoin remains in a well-respected bullish channel, currently riding the midline — a typical pivot zone. Holding this zone supports further upside toward $130k+. A breakdown below ~$115k could trigger a deeper pullback toward $100k–$90k support. Macro trend remains bullish unless the lower channel breaks.
BITCOIN TRADE 07.08.2025After a correction by 10% from ATH, BTC finally closed a huge gap on CME on $114.000 level, we are ready to see another wave of growth. I was waiting for BTC to break out EMA-200 level on 4-hour timeframe, after seeing how the price was consolidating below of EMA-200 and trying to break out a few times in a row, I opened a long position on $115280. So far I'm expecting to see the price to break out the upper channel and then we can expect BTC to try to hit new ATM since there is a lot of liqudity from short traders, but for your calmness, you can completely close your position on $120.000.
BTCUSDT: The Fuse is Lit | Wedge breakout LoadingThis chart is screaming breakout.
BTC has been coiling inside this falling wedge for weeks and every dip into the demand zone near 110K–112K has been aggressively defended (check those green arrows). Now? Price is pressing hard against wedge resistance right at the top.
This is compression before expansion.
⚡What I'm Watching:
Bullish structure forming: higher lows ✔️
Price reclaiming key levels ✔️
Major breakout zone at 115,800–116,000 coming into play
Break and retest = rocket fuel to 122K and beyond
🎯 My Bullish Targets:
TP1: 122,000 (magnet level)
TP2: 128,328 (next HTF target)
🚨 Invalidation:
A clean break below 112K? I step aside. Until then bullish bias stays on.
#BTC/USDT Breakout needed #BTC
The price is moving within an ascending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is on track to break it strongly upwards and retest it.
We have support from the lower boundary of the ascending channel, at 114200.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, supporting the upside.
There is a major support area in green at 114000, which represents a strong basis for the upside.
Don't forget a simple thing: ease and capital.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
We have a trend to hold above the 100 Moving Average.
Entry price: 114700.
First target: 115106.
Second target: 115537.
Third target: 116130.
Don't forget a simple thing: ease and capital.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
BTC 4H – Retesting Trendline Support, Will Supply Reject Again?Bitcoin is retesting a clean 4H ascending trendline after forming a local higher low — with Stoch RSI starting to turn upward from the bottom. This trendline has acted as reliable support since early July.
If price continues to hold and flip the mid-range ($116K), the next major test comes at the overhead supply zone ($119K–$121K), where price was previously rejected multiple times.
Key levels to watch:
– Trendline support (currently holding)
– Mid-range reclaim (~116K)
– Supply zone rejection or breakout (119K–121K)
– Stoch RSI bounce = potential early signal
Bullish continuation hinges on strength through supply — otherwise, this may form another lower high. Watching for confirmation from price action + momentum.
BTC(20250806) market analysis and operationAugust 6th BTC Contract Technical Analysis:
Today, the large-scale daily chart closed with a small bullish candlestick pattern, with consecutive bullish candlesticks. However, the price remains consolidating at a high level, with no signs of an upward breakout. The accompanying indicator forms a death cross. Therefore, based on the current trend, the price is still within the range, with rising and falling prices unlikely to continue or break out of the range. Therefore, trading should be considered within the range. The short-term hourly chart showed yesterday's intraday gains, followed by pressure and declines in the European session, with the US session continuing its correction. Prices rebounded after finding support in the Asian morning. The current candlestick pattern shows consecutive bullish candlesticks, with the accompanying indicator forming a golden cross. Therefore, an intraday rise is highly likely, but the overall trend is stuck in a range-bound market, so a one-sided trend should not be considered.
Today's BTC Short-Term Contract Trading Strategy:
Buy on a pullback to the 113,700 area, with a stop-loss at 113,200 and a target of 115,000. Sell on a touchdown to the 115,200 area, with a stop-loss at 115,700 and a target of 114,000. Focus on the short-term range.
BTC - 1H Elliott Wave Analysis - 05.08.25Greetings, this is an update of our Elliott Wave Count for Bitcoin.
Today we are going to look at the bullish and bearish scenarios so everybody is well prepared for the upcoming price action.
We have seen a pullback since yesterday's update.
The pullback entered and is currently in our Wave 2 support area which is between the 0.5 FIB at 113'640 USD and the 0.786 FIB at 112'616 USD. The bulls would like to see a bounce now in green Wave 3 of which the targets are the 1 to 1 FIB at 116'418 USD, the 1.382 FIB at 117'883 USD and the 1.618 FIB at 118'789 USD which is also the optimal target for a Wave 3.
Due not invalidating the red Wave 4 we could form the red Wave 5.
Be aware that on the lower timeframes we did touch the 0.886 FIB of a smaller Wave 2 support area which does indicate weakness and usually is followed by another low. If we touch the 0.886 FIB of the Wave 2 support area at 112'287 USD it is also an invalidation of the green bullish count.
Red Wave 5 targets are the 1 to 1 FIB at 111'573 USD which is additionally right below the last low and the last all time high which could function as further support. Further targets would be the 1.382 FIB at 109'997 USD and the 1.618 FIB at 109'024 USD as well as another 1.618 FIB at 109'479 USD.
Be aware that the bigger Wave 2 support area goes down to 103'000 USD.
We think another low is more probable meaning the red count has the higher probability.
Yet we think the green count is a good opportunity as we have a clear set up and invalidation point.
Thanks for reading.
We would appreciate a follow and boost if you like the analysis! :)
NO FINANCIAL ADVICE.