BTC SHORT SET UP (only facts in the chart)📌 Chart Summary
Price: ~$115,000
Pattern: Rising Wedge (Bearish)
Macro Structure: Completed Cup & Handle
Stochastic RSI: Overbought + Bearish cross confirmed
Ichimoku Cloud: Price far above cloud – extended
EMA/MAs: Bullish but overstretched
🧠 Bias-Free Most Probable Setup (Weekly Outlook)
🟥 Bearish Sniper Setup — High Probability
The chart is showing rising wedge exhaustion + Stoch RSI bear cross in extreme overbought = probable correction ahead.
🔽 Short Entry Plan (Sniper Setup)
Entry (Short): $114,200 – $116,000
Ideal sniper zone inside the wedge breakdown area / resistance rejection zone
Stop Loss: $123,000
Above wedge top and key psychological resistance
Take Profit 1 Range: $96,000 – $99,000
Previous major horizontal resistance zone and wedge support retest
Take Profit 2 (final target): $80,500 – $83,000
Major structure zone + Ichimoku cloud top + high-volume node
Risk:Reward: 1:3.5 to 1:5+
📈 Alternate Scenario: Bullish Breakout Setup (Low Probability but noted)
If BTC breaks and closes above $123,000 on weekly, wedge invalidates and opens target:
Breakout Target: $143,000 – $150,000
Based on wedge measured move + Fib extension
⚠️ Additional Confluences Supporting Bearish Bias:
Weekly RSI + Stoch RSI overbought and curling down
Rising wedge near exhaustion
Bearish divergence risk with higher highs in price, lower oscillator momentum
Volume is declining despite price rising – exhaustion signal
🧩 Strategic Notes:
Avoid longing here unless $123K clean break + volume spike
Best play = wait for confirmation of wedge breakdown to enter short
Leverage carefully – this is a macro weekly timeframe setup
BTCUSDT.5S trade ideas
BTC/USDT Analysis – Continued Growth
Hello everyone! This is the daily update from a CryptoRobotics trader-analyst.
Yesterday, Bitcoin tested the local volume area at $115,800–$114,900 and then continued its upward movement, reaching the lower boundary of the strong resistance zone at $117,600–$118,600 (accumulated volume), followed by a pullback.
Currently, the price is hovering around the volume support zone near ~$116,400. Selling pressure is relatively weak and is being absorbed by buyers — which is confirmed by delta data. This makes it reasonable to expect another wave of buying and a deeper test of the resistance zone. After that, we’ll watch closely for the seller’s reaction.
Buy zones:
• ~$116,400 (local volume support)
• $113,300–$112,700 (local absorption of selling)
• $110,000–$107,000 (accumulated volume)
Sell zone:
• $117,600–$118,600 (accumulated volume)
This publication is not financial advice.
BTC 8H – Fib Support Holds, Will Bulls Defend This Reclaim Zone?Bitcoin is back at a key decision point on the 8H chart — retesting the exact zone it broke out from just two weeks ago. This former resistance has flipped to support, but with momentum cooling off, bulls need to step in fast to avoid a deeper retrace.
🔹 Structure & Levels
Price is hovering inside a reclaimed range (blue box), retesting it from above.
Just below sits the Golden Pocket (0.5–0.618) retracement zone from the July rally — a classic bounce zone if the reclaim fails.
The 0.5 level at $110,879 aligns with previous consolidation structure, adding extra confluence.
Further below lies the 0.786 at $103,802, which marks invalidation for most swing long setups.
🔹 Momentum Check
The Stoch RSI has started curling down from overbought, suggesting momentum may stall short term.
If bulls can’t defend the current reclaim zone, we could see a flush into the Fib pocket before trend continuation.
🔹 Bias & Trade Idea
Holding this level = bullish continuation toward $118K–$120K range highs.
Lose it cleanly = watch for signs of reversal inside the golden pocket.
Risk is defined, structure is clear — and BTC has a habit of reacting cleanly to these zones.
Are you buying the dip now — or waiting for a cleaner tag of the Fib levels?
Drop your thoughts 👇
Btc just hit the 1.618 golden fib no analysis keep posted Keep posted if interested, i just cant show it right now i want to have million of confirmation that it is accurate but i plotted it just right it really just hit it in red cherry just like in game of darts keep posted how i unfold it in coming months/years, it is still the same asset we know the only thing thats different is btc just trying hard to mimic the past moves but its clear as day that its shorthanded in terms of market capitalization. 🥏🐝✅✅..
BTC/USDT Bearish Continuation SetupChart Identification:
Timeframe: Likely 1H or 4H
Pair: BTC/USDT
Indicators: Ichimoku Cloud
Pattern: Price broke down from cloud resistance and is retesting previous support
Setup: Bearish continuation with consolidation before next leg down
---
✅ Trade Setup (Sell):
🔹 Entry Point:
Sell Entry: Below 113,500.84
This level marks the neckline of a small consolidation zone.
Wait for clean candle close below this level.
---
🎯 Target Levels (Take Profit):
1. TP1: 110,955.16
Previous minor support
2. TP2: 108,091.84
Key support/demand area
---
🧠 Optional Confirmation:
You can wait for:
Bearish candlestick pattern at 112.1K zone
Rejection of retest near 113.7K–114.3K (top of cloud)
---
📌 Summary:
> BTC/USDT Short Setup
🟢 Entry: Below 113,500.84
🎯 Target 1: 110,955.16
🎯 Target 2: 108,091.84
Bearish bias as price remains below the Ichimoku cloud and shows signs of continuation.
Bitcoin stop loss hunting end, entry for Long is now!!Hi on this chart that may happen with more than 70% possibility we have one of the easy setups and strategy which i call it FAKEOUT&LIQUIDTY this happen usually near trendline support or range zone support or even resistance and after a possible fakeout usually market kick sellers or Buyers and then with high volume market reverse.
I saw High volume and Fake breakout in my mind and i think it can be one of those times so we open long and lets now wait for this 1:2(Risk:Reward) signal to play.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
<<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
BTC/USDT | Bitcoin Eyes Rebound from $110K Support Zone! (READ)By analyzing the Bitcoin chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after reaching a new high at $123,218, the price began to pull back and has now corrected down to around $112,500. I expect the current volatility to ease soon. The next critical support zone lies between $110,500–$112,000 — watch price action closely here, as BTC could bounce from this area and push back toward $116,000+. Other key demand zones are located at $109,000, $107,900, and the $105,000–$106,000 range.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Bitcoin - Will the liquidity at $122K be the next target?Bitcoin is currently trading within a defined corrective channel, which has been developing over the past few weeks. Price action within this structure has been characterized by a sequence of lower highs and lower lows, suggesting a mild downtrend. However, these movements lack strong momentum, indicating that the market is consolidating rather than entering a deeper correction. This kind of structure often precedes a significant breakout, and given the nature of the current price action, a retest of previous highs remains a realistic possibility.
Bullish Scenario
Looking at the overall structure of the channel, a bullish breakout seems increasingly likely. For this scenario to unfold, BTC needs to hold the midline of the channel as support. If this level is respected, it could pave the way for a push towards the upper boundary of the channel and a potential break above the lower high structure near $120,000. A successful breach of that level could trigger a move toward the $122,000 liquidity zone, with the potential to challenge the all-time high (ATH) in the near future. Holding the midline and breaking above key resistance would provide confirmation of strength and continuation to the upside.
Bearish Scenario
On the flip side, if BTC fails to hold the midline as support and starts closing below it on the 4H timeframe, we could see a renewed move toward the lower boundary of the corrective channel. This could lead to a test of the unfilled 4H fair value gap (FVG) highlighted in the chart, located around the $112,000 – $113,000 area. This zone also coincides with a strong historical support level, making it a logical area where buyers might step in and provide the momentum needed for a more sustainable bullish reversal.
Final Thoughts
While both scenarios remain valid, the price structure within the corrective channel currently leans slightly more toward a bullish outcome. The lack of aggressive selling and the potential for liquidity above the previous highs support this view. However, trading is never about certainty but about preparing for various possibilities. Being aware of both bullish and bearish setups allows traders to react with flexibility and discipline depending on how the market unfolds in the coming sessions.
-------------------------
Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like 👍 and leave a comment 💬, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
BTC accumulates, slightly adjusts down💎 BTC PLAN UPDATE – START OF THE WEEK (04/08)
🔍 1. Current Technical Structure
Price Pattern: The chart shows BTC is forming a falling wedge pattern, with converging support and resistance lines.
False Break: There was a false break below the strong support zone around ~112,000, followed by a sharp rebound. This indicates buyers are actively defending this level, showing potential buying pressure.
Fibonacci Retracement: From the recent low to high, the 0.5 (115,559) and 0.618 (116,361) Fibonacci levels are acting as key resistance zones.
Key Price Levels:
• Strong support: 111,800 – 112,300
• Near resistance: 115,500 – 116,500
• Next resistance: downtrend line and previous high around 118,000 – 119,000
🔄 2. Possible Trend Scenarios
✅ Main scenario (bullish):
BTC made a false break below the wedge → rebounded toward Fibonacci resistance → potential:
• Continue rising to the 115,500 – 116,500 zone
• If it breaks and holds above this zone, BTC could break out of the wedge pattern and target 118,000 – 120,000
• A longer-term target could be the 1.618 Fibonacci Extension around ~123,159
❌ Alternative scenario (bearish):
If BTC fails to break above 116,000 and gets rejected:
• It may retest the 112,000 support zone again
• A breakdown below this support would bring back the downtrend
🔄 3. Bullish Supporting Factors:
• The false break signals a shakeout of weak sellers.
• A potential inverse head-and-shoulders pattern is forming, supporting a bullish reversal.
• Moving Averages (MA): Price is nearing the 200 MA (red) – a possible bullish crossover with shorter-term MAs may occur, signaling a buy.
🧭 Suggested Trading Strategy
• Safe buy zone: Around 113,500 – 114,000 if there’s a pullback.
• Take profit in stages: 116,500 – 118,000 – 120,000
• Stop-loss: Below 112,000 in case of a confirmed breakdown
Bitcoin Enters Correction Mode?Bitcoin is already trading at support in the form of the previous all-time high and EMA55. Bitcoin is down more than 8% since its 14-July all-time high. We can see that a correction is already in, a retrace. This retrace we consider part of the normal workings of the market, price fluctuations which invariably always show up. The end result is a higher high, a rising wave, higher prices on the long haul.
Support is strong at current prices but even stronger is the support zone right above $100,000. As long as Bitcoin trades above $100,000, we will continue with a strong bullish outlook. If Bitcoin manages to move and close below $100,000 monthly or weekly, we will consider the short-term, the mid-term and update our map if necessary. For now, the bulls are still in control.
When Bitcoin peaked 22-May it went sideways for an entire month. From a peak of $112,000 it hit a low of $100,000. Now we have a peak around $123,000 and prices can easily swing around in this wide range.
After a few weeks, or several months, exactly as it happened last time, Bitcoin will go up. So you can expect retraces and corrections, but this is only short-term long-term we grow.
Namaste.
Technical Analysis: All About Its Origin
Technical Analysis is the discipline that studies and graphically records the price and volume changes of a stock or asset, with the aim of exploiting recurring patterns and phenomena with predictive characteristics.
The origins of Technical Analysis date back to 17th-century Japan, in the rice futures markets of Osaka. After a century of internal wars among the daimyo—Japanese feudal lords—General Tokugawa emerged victorious at the Battle of Sekigahara (1600), initiating the unification of Japan. To maintain the loyalty of his subjects, Tokugawa, appointed Shogun, consolidated his power and ensured the allegiance of his followers by concentrating the political-military elite and their families in Edo (modern-day Tokyo).
At that time, the primary source of income for the daimyo was rice collected from the peasants working their lands. Since transporting rice to Edo was impractical, it was stored in the port of Osaka. The proximity of the daimyo in Edo sparked a competition for prestige, manifested through luxuries and other excesses. To sustain this lifestyle, the daimyo sold stored rice and even future harvests. For this “future rice,” warehouses began issuing contracts known as “empty rice.” These contracts were traded in a secondary market, giving rise to one of the world’s first futures markets.
The most prominent trader in this market was Munehisa Homma, who operated in the early 18th century. For Homma, markets were heavily influenced by the psychology of investors, who sometimes perceived a harvest differently from reality. In his book, *The Fountain of Gold*, he expressed ideas that remain highly relevant today, particularly what many Western traders know as contrarian opinion:
“When the price of rice begins to rise, orders come in from all directions at once, and soon the Osaka market joins the frenzy. The price of rice rises faster when people place orders even for stored rice, and it becomes clear that a buying fever is underway. But when you want to be in the position of placing buy orders like everyone else, it’s important to be on the side of those placing sell orders. When people move in unison, rushing westward with the determined intention of participating in the rise, that’s the moment for you to head east, and you will discover great opportunities.”
Steve Nison, an investor who popularized the use of Japanese candlesticks in the West, states in his book *Beyond Candlesticks*:
“In the material I translated, candlestick charts are often called Sakata charts, in reference to the port city of Sakata, where Homma lived. However, based on my research, it is unlikely that Homma used candlestick charts. It is more likely that these charts were developed in the early part of the Meiji period in Japan (late 1800s).”
It is worth noting that, although Homma may not have used candlestick charts, this type of graphical representation was the evolution of centuries of experience using price records for predictive purposes.
The Revolution of Japanese Candlestick Charts
The graphical representation of prices has been a determining factor in the evolution of technical analysis, marking a clear distinction between investment approaches in the East and the West. While traditional bar charts, predominant in the West, were limited to showing opening and closing prices, Japanese candlestick charts offered a more comprehensive view of investor psychology. These charts incorporated not only the opening and closing prices but also the highs and lows of each session, represented intuitively through the body and wicks of the candles.
Perhaps Western investors, constrained by the simplicity of bar charts, developed an approach more focused on studying price formations, while the Japanese could make decisions based on the analysis of small groups of candles. Over time, however, both approaches proved equally practical, and a multi-timeframe understanding became part of the operations of both Western and Japanese investors.
An example of the application of a multi-timeframe approach in the West is found in the father of modern technical analysis, Richard W. Schabacker, who, despite his short life, left a prolific body of work. In his book *Technical Analysis and Stock Market Profits* (1932), he classifies markets into major movements (monthly), intermediate movements (weekly), and minor movements (daily). In Japan, Goichi Hosoda, the creator of the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo indicator, is the best example of an investor who dedicated his life to cataloging and studying price formations beyond the use of candlestick patterns.
Over time, modern Western investment platforms adopted the innovations of Japanese candlestick charts, integrating the ability to display highs, lows, openings, and closings in a single format.
In the early 20th century, scholars of charts in the West were known as chartists, but today, “Chartism” is associated with a classical methodology popularized by journalist and investor Richard W. Schabacker (1899–1935) and later by the book *Technical Analysis of Stock Trends* (1948) by authors Robert D. Edwards and John Magee.
Theory on the Emergence of Technical Analysis
Since the dawn of humanity, people have sought to represent the phenomena around them to understand or communicate information. Whether through cave drawings, symbols, or written records, visual representation has been a fundamental tool for making sense of the world. Undoubtedly, price fluctuations were a phenomenon that invited analysis.
The earliest investors, using graphical representations, aimed to find order in chaos. By meticulously recording price movements, these pioneers likely discovered something surprising: repetitive patterns that seemed to predict future behavior. This discovery must have been thrilling, as it offered the promise of significant profits, often with seemingly low risk.
Without needing to understand market psychology, as later technical analysts would, these early investors found a practical advantage in these patterns. When enough of them identified and acted on the same pattern, it tended to fulfill itself more frequently, reinforcing its validity. Thus, what began as an intuitive observation evolved into a structured practice, laying the foundation for what we now know as Technical Analysis: a discipline that thousands of investors use to interpret market behavior and make informed decisions.
Fun Fact
The first work to describe the phenomenon of stock market investing is titled *Confusion of Confusions* (1688) by José de la Vega, set in Amsterdam, the financial hub of Europe at the time. More than a detailed study of the investment methods of the era, this novel seeks to entertain and inform readers about the risks of speculation.
Its author, moreover, employs a narrative style that surpasses even the florid prose of his contemporaries:
“They strive to perpetuate the unrest of those who frequent their dealings, and just as they imprison them in their towers, they cast the locks into the sea so that the hope of ever removing the bolts may never flatter them.”
Conclusions
Some might consider the history of technical analysis a curious but irrelevant tale for modern practice. However, history shows us that markets are more than just numbers—they are a reflection of human psychology. Far from being a mere catalog of tricks to memorize, technical analysis invites us to understand psychological dynamics to make informed decisions.
Recognizing that markets are shaped by historical patterns grants us a strategic advantage. By studying how past investors interpreted prices and emotions—from rice traders in 17th-century Japan to modern analysts—we can anticipate market movements with greater precision. This perspective not only enriches our trading but also positions us as more aware and prepared investors in an environment where collective psychology remains the dominant force.
References
Nison, S. (1994). *Beyond Candlesticks: New Japanese Charting Techniques Revealed*. New York, NY: John Wiley & Sons.
Schabacker, R. W. (1932). *Technical Analysis and Stock Market Profits*. New York, NY: B.C. Forbes Publishing.
Edwards, R. D., & Magee, J. (1948). *Technical Analysis of Stock Trends*. Springfield, MA: John Magee.
Rabassa, Y. (n.d.). *How to Master Japanese Candlesticks?* . YouTube.
BTC long with stop lossA leg of our strategy says price will return to broken threshold candle price levels. Meaning the corresponding price candle to the volulme bar that broke threshold will have price back within that candles open and close range; at some point in time. Things get kind of shaky below 15minute with my script but nonethe less we will use our stop loss just below the candles open at 114268. yellow line
How to use Free TradingView Indicator to detect Liquidity TrapsPerformance on Shared BTC/USDT Chart
Indicator : Liquidity Trap Detector (LTD)
Timeframe: 15-sec (as per chart)
Observation Period: Full session visible in the screenshot
1. Bull Traps Detected: 4
• Major traps occurred during local tops where price sharply reversed.
• Example: ~19:15 and ~21:00 marked strong reversals after fake breakouts.
2. Bear Traps Detected: 5
• Triggered near local bottoms, followed by short-term rebounds.
• Example: ~22:15 and ~00:30 triggered after sudden downward sweeps.
3. Accuracy:
• Approx. 70–75% of traps correctly led to meaningful reversals.
• A few signals occurred during trend continuation, indicating strong momentum rather than a trap.
4. False Signals:
• Some Bull Trap signals appeared during minor pullbacks that continued trending up.
• Filtering with cooldown periods or trend filters (e.g., EMA alignment) can reduce noise.
⸻
Key Takeaways
• Best Use Case:
• Short-term scalping and identifying liquidity sweeps before reversals.
• Works well in ranging or high-volatility conditions.
Caution:
• In strong trending markets, some signals may mark pause points, not full reversals.
• Combining LTD with higher timeframe trend confirmation improves reliability.
Bitcoin:Can Support at Point of Control Fuel a Move to New High?Bitcoin is currently consolidating at its local point of control, facing immediate resistance from a Fibonacci-aligned value area low. A critical reversal from here could pave the way to new all-time highs.
Bitcoin has entered a pivotal phase, trading at a key technical region that could determine its short-term direction. Over the past week, price action has hovered around the local point of control, showing signs of absorption and consolidation. With immediate resistance looming at a major confluence level, the next few daily candles may set the stage for either a breakout or a deeper retracement.
Key Technical Points:
- Local Point of Control: Bitcoin is ranging around this level, showing indecision
- Value Area Low + 0.618 Fib: Immediate resistance forms strong technical confluence
- Swing Low Critical: A break below the last swing low would invalidate bullish structure
Bitcoin’s current position around the local point of control reflects a phase of market equilibrium. This level represents the area of highest traded volume over the recent range, acting as both support and resistance at different times. The fact that price has revisited and hovered here for multiple days suggests active positioning from both bulls and bears.
Just above lies the value area low, which is in direct confluence with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement from the recent swing high to swing low. This dual-layered resistance is significant — if Bitcoin is able to break above and reclaim this zone, it could unlock the next leg higher.
However, traders must remain cautious. The most recent swing low, formed during the last pullback, now acts as the final line of defense for bulls. A loss of this low would shift market structure to bearish and potentially initiate a correction deeper into the prior range.
So far, the lack of high-volume breakdowns suggests sellers have not yet gained control. But without a decisive bounce and follow-through above resistance, the risk of a failed reversal increases.
What to Expect in the Coming Price Action:
If Bitcoin holds above the point of control and mounts a successful challenge of the value area low, a rotation toward a new all-time high becomes increasingly likely. However, failure to defend the swing low would invalidate the setup and favor further downside. All eyes remain on the current consolidation for clues on the next major move.
BTC Forecast For August & September. The Only Roadmap You Need !This is one is so obvious, its a no brainer , and would likely be very easy to trade as long as you follow this road map i have provided.
The Value Area High at 110k price range is most important upcoming battle line between bull vs bear. If bulls fail to get a strong bounce from 110k and we close at least 2 daily candles below it. Then it would mean bears have full control and the implication of that is that since we would at that point be closing back inside an established Value Area range, formed between Nov 20th to Jul 25th, then it would mean the probability of price selling all the way down to re-test the VAL (value area low) at $91.6k would instantly become very very high.
After re-testing $91.6k we'll watch and see what happens.
It'll either hold after grabbing some liquidity below and stay in the Value Area Range until further notice Or we lose it and the sell off continues. Bear market will be in full swing if that happens and you can bet a ton of weak hands will start to exit due to max pain & cascading long liquidations. Fear index will be back in the red at that point as capitulation starts to set in. Alot of new alts and meme coins will be completely obliterated.
Bullish Continuation Scenario
If bulls get a strong bounce from 110k and don't close back inside the Value Area Range below, then we could continue up to a make a new ATH for a classic trend pullback continuation trade. Once we get back above 115.4k, the dream of a new ATH will become much more realistic. There is an UFA(Unfinished Auction) at 120.8k which is only visible to traders using the market profile or footprint chart. This make poor high and needs to be taking out at some point.
For the Price target to the upside, we would be using the peak formation line of the ExoFade indicator.