BTCUSDT.PS trade ideas
Bitcoin Expecting Relief moveBitcoin Poised for 109K
Bitcoin is showing resilience around the key psychological support level of 100K which appears to be holding firm despite recent volatility. The current price action reflects a complex consolidation pattern, but overall sentiment remains bullish, driven in part by ongoing geopolitical tensions that are boosting Bitcoin’s appeal as a safe-haven asset.
If this support holds, the structure suggests a potential move toward the next resistance level at 109K.
You may find more details in chart Ps Support with like and comments for more analysis.
BTC is Bearish again?BTC 1W Overview
BTC is still trading above 100k despite the macro situation and ww3 situation in the Middle East , which is fine for the BTC maxis and institutions.
Weekly structure starting to shift in a bearish direction considering the weekly close below the structure and daily range is just a chop fest around the 104k area and so does the other assets getting chopped.
BTC.D is now over 1000 days uptrending and this is wild and not at all what many were expecting this point in the cycle.
Big concern on my mind is that what if BTC pulls back to the 90k area as I think may happen which I marked in the chart then altcoins will leg down another 20-30%.
Obviously everything is not about technical and the fundamental side is simply that there is an ongoing conflict in the middle East and the whole crypto market is waiting for a resolution one way or the other and crypto market lacks patience and even we do get the uncertainty then it still doesn't address the deeper market issues of altcoin weakness and continued dominance of BTC (BTC outperformed every single alt except MKR).
My best bet for LONG maxis will be around the 92k area Weekly FVG and Yearly Open, if we get more bad news from the middle East or Russia-ukraine or Sir powell comes with a bad news then this zone will be fast forwarded
And for short maxis or Beras my best bet will be S\R of 104k or monthly open is area to look for
All this planning will go down the drain if TRUMP comes with a good news regarding Tarrifs with china or other countries or any other news from the TRUMP because he's unpredictable
On the short time frame Scalps are possible on both sides and 100k is a psychological level to long but in bearish scenerio or war news will just wreck it
Final bias shifting Bearish
For alts instead of trying to long every dead cat bounce or predict the bottom we have to wait for it to happen and then react accordingly because reaction and execution is better than drawing predictions and getting chopped
Long trade
1min TF entry
🟢 Trade Journal Entry – Buyside Trade
📍 Pair: BTCUSDT
📅 Date: Saturday, June 21, 2025
🕒 Time: 11:45 AM (NY Session AM)
⏱ Time Frame: 1 Minute
📈 Direction: Buyside
📊 Trade Breakdown:
Entry Price 103,468.8
Profit Level 103,639.8 (+0.17%)
Stop Loss 103,420.3 (−0.05%)
Risk-Reward
Ratio 3.53: 1
🧠 Context / Trade Notes:
1-Minute TF Scalping Setup:
Trade executed on ultra-low time frame during late NY AM volatility window — ideal for short bursts of movement and precision entries.
Liquidity Sweep Below Minor Low:
Entry taken after price dipped below a small intra-session low, triggering a liquidity grab before a quick reversal.
Bitcoin– bearish momentum builds after rejection at $109KIntroduction
Bitcoin (BTC) is currently showing weakness after forming a lower high at $109,000. This level acted as a significant point of rejection, and since then, BTC has been moving lower. The price has broken through key support areas, indicating a possible shift in market structure. In this analysis, we’ll break down the recent price action, explain the technical signals behind the move, and discuss what could be expected in the short term.
Rejection from the 0.786 Fibonacci Level
The rejection at the $109,000 level aligns perfectly with the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement on the 4-hour timeframe. This level is often seen as a strong resistance point during corrective moves, and in this case, it held firmly. The precision of this rejection gives it more weight, and since hitting that point, BTC has been steadily declining. This move down suggests that buyers were unable to push through the resistance, leading to increased selling pressure.
Break of the 4H Bullish FVG
As BTC started its decline from $109,000, it broke through the bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) that had formed earlier on the 4-hour chart. This gap previously served as a support zone but has now been decisively broken with strong volume. The loss of this level is significant, as it marks a breakdown of the bullish structure and opens the door for further downside movement. In the process of this move lower, BTC has created a new bearish FVG on the 4-hour timeframe. This gap remains open and could potentially act as a magnet for price to revisit, offering a possible short entry if price retraces into that zone. However, the clear break below the previous bullish FVG indicates a shift in momentum and supports a more bearish bias for now.
Downside Target at $102.7K
Given the recent breakdown, the next key level to watch is around $102,700. This area marks the wick low on the 4-hour timeframe and stands out due to the size and sharpness of the wick. Such large wicks often leave behind unfilled orders, which markets tend to revisit over time. The presence of these resting orders makes this level a likely target for the ongoing move down. It also acts as a strong area of potential support, where buyers might step back in if the price reaches that point.
Conclusion
With the rejection from the 0.786 Fibonacci level and the failure to hold the bullish 4H FVG, BTC has shown clear signs of weakness. The breakdown in structure suggests a continuation to the downside is likely, with $102.7k being the most immediate target. This level could serve as a strong support zone due to the unfilled orders left behind by the previous wick. Until BTC reclaims key support levels or shows a shift in momentum, the bias remains bearish in the short term, and traders should remain cautious while expecting further downside.
Thanks for your support.
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Another drop for BitcoinHi traders,
Last week Bitcoin went exactly as predicted.
Price went up a little higher into the Daily FVG and after that it started the next wave down and smaller correction up.
Now we could see a small correction up and after that another drop.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for the correction up to finish to trade shorts.
If you want to learn more about trading FVG's with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
Bitcoin and the geopolitical news BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P
Advanced Technical Analysis of Bitcoin's Structure – Current Situation on Smaller Timeframes
We notice a symmetrical triangle forming on the small timeframes (1-hour and 4-hour), centered in a critical area. Historically, when this price pattern forms, Bitcoin takes no more than three days to confirm its trend. Therefore, the close of the third-day candlestick will serve as a pivotal turning point.
🔹 Immediate Support: 103,400
🔹 Strong Support: 102,500 — a daily low + institutional liquidity zone
🔹 First Resistance: 105,600 — associated with a convergence of moving averages (EMAs)
🔹 Main Resistance: 106,700 — a crossover with the 200-period moving average, which can be described as the largest psychological barrier
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Possible Scenarios:
☑️ Positive Scenario:
If 105,600 is breached, we are expected to witness an upward movement targeting:
108,000
110,000
118,000 (potentially later)
✅ Catalysts:
Positive US economic data
Regulatory news supporting the markets (such as institutional entry and cryptocurrency regulations)
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⚠️ Negative Scenario:
If the 102,500 support level is broken, the path will be open to:
100,000
99,000 (strong psychological support area)
❗️ Potential Triggers:
Negative inflation data
Major geopolitical escalation (especially if it directly involves the United States)
🔴 Important Note: I'm not a proponent of trading based on news, but I'm including the US factor because it's the only one I consider truly influential in geopolitical analysis.
The US entering a full-scale war would prompt American investors (who represent about 5% of active traders) to withdraw immediately for fear of long-term repercussions.
🔻 America is making history now, and Trump is managing the situation expertly. He is likely to avoid getting involved in long-term conflicts, focusing on concluding deals and wars strategically.
---
Current Sideways Trading:
Trading continues between the 103,400 and 105,600 levels within the symmetrical triangle.
The future direction will be determined by the following developments:
If the conflict ends and a deal is reached (especially if Iran surrenders), we will witness a strong upward breakout.
If the United States enters the war directly, we expect a downward breakout to levels that may reach 92,000.
---
Technical Conclusion: 💎
Bitcoin is in a critical consolidation phase with a delicate balance between institutional selling pressure at 106,700 and strong buying demand at 102,500.
The next breakout will depend on:
1. A clear breakout of the triangle pattern
2. The strength of the liquidity accompanying the movement
3. Official US developments—regulatory or political
---
Important Clarification:
❌ The recent decline is not directly related to the Iran-Israel war. Rather, it came as a result of:
1. Options expiry
2. Trump's statements about the possibility of direct US intervention, with the arrival of an aircraft carrier in the Middle East
🔍 A war between only two parties doesn't worry the market much, but US intervention is the decisive factor.
✅ America alone is the one that moves the markets.
Xauusd market This chart is a 30-minute BTC/USDT (Bitcoin/Tether) technical analysis from Binance, showing a potential bullish setup. Here's a breakdown of the key elements:
1. Descending Broadening Wedge
The blue trendlines forming a broadening wedge indicate a reversal pattern.
Price has been moving within this structure and recently broke out from the bottom back toward the upper resistance line.
This pattern typically ends with a bullish breakout, especially after consolidation near the lower boundary.
2. Key Zones
Support Zone: Around $102,275 – $103,680 (light green zone).
Resistance Zone: Between $106,128 – $107,351 (light red zone), with an extended resistance up to ~$109,591 (dark red line).
3. Pattern Suggestion
The blue zigzag lines suggest a possible Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern near the current price area, indicating a bullish reversal.
A projected price path (in dotted grey) hints at a bullish move targeting the upper trendline near $106,128–$106,157, potentially a 16th–21st June breakout setup.
4. Price Action
Current price: $103,982.63, with moderate momentum (+0.66%).
The arrow projection suggests a bullish move targeting the upper resistance zone.
---
Summary:
Bias: Bullish short-term outlook.
Target Zone: $106,100–$107,300.
Invalidation: Drop below $102,275 may negate the bullish setup.
Let me know if you'd like an entry/exit plan, risk/reward analysis, or a trading strategy based on this setup.
Skeptic | Bitcoin Deep Dive: Rate Hikes, War Tensions & TriggersInterest Rates: The Big Picture
Let’s start with the Federal Reserve’s move—interest rates jumped from 4.25% to 4.5% . What’s the deal? Higher rates mean costlier borrowing , so businesses and folks pull back on loans. This drains liquidity from risk assets like Bitcoin and SPX 500, slowing their uptrend momentum or pushing them into ranges or dips. Now, mix in the Israel-Iran conflict escalating ? Straight talk: risks are sky-high , so don’t bank on wild rallies anytime soon. My take? BTC’s likely to range between 97,000 and 111,000 for a few months until geopolitical risks cool (like Russia-Ukraine became “normal” for markets) and the Fed starts cutting rates. Those two could ignite new highs and a robust uptrend. Let’s hit the charts for the technicals! 📊
Technical Analysis
Daily Timeframe: Setting the Stage
You might ask, “If 100,000 support breaks, does that mean we’ve formed a lower high and lower low, flipping the trend bearish per Dow Theory?” Absolutely not! Here’s why: our primary uptrend lives on the weekly timeframe, not daily. The daily is just a secondary trend. If 100K cracks, it only turns the secondary trend bearish, leading to a deeper correction, but the major weekly uptrend stays intact.
Spot Strategy: No spot buys for now. Economic and geopolitical risks are too intense. I’ll jump in once things stabilize. 😎
Key Insight: A 100K break isn’t a death sentence for the bull run—it’s just a shakeout. Stay calm!
4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Triggers
Zooming into the 4-hour chart, here’s where we hunt for long and short triggers:
Long Trigger: Break above 110,513.92. We need a strong reaction at this level—price could hit it early or late, so stay patient for confirmation.
Short Trigger: Break below 101,421.65. Same vibe—watch for a clean reaction to tweak the trigger for optimal entry.
Pro Tip: These levels are based on past key zones, but time outweighs price. Wait for a reaction to nail the best entry. Patience is your edge! 🙌
Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D): Altcoin Watch
As BTC dips, BTC.D (Bitcoin’s market share) is climbing, meaning altcoins are taking a bigger beating. Don’t touch altcoin buys until the BTC.D upward trendline breaks. They haven’t moved yet—you might miss the first 10-100%, but with confirmation, we’ll catch the 1,000-5,000% waves together. 😏
Shorting? If you’re shorting, altcoins are juicier than BTC—sharper, cleaner drops with more confidence. Patience, patience, patience—it’s the name of the game.
Final Thoughts
My quieter updates lately? Blame the geopolitical chaos, not me slacking . I’m hustling to keep you in the loop with clear, actionable insights. here, we live by No FOMO, no hype, just reason. Protect your capital—max 1% risk per trade, no exceptions. Want a risk management guide to level up? Drop a comment! If this analysis lit a spark, hit that boost—it keeps me going! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want next? Let me know in the comments. Stay sharp, fam! ✌️
Trade Plan Update #12: Navigating BTC’s Critical Levels
*Conflicting timeframes (bullish 1H/Daily vs. bearish 4H/Weekly) are causing choppy price action. Here’s my 2-step game plan: *
📈 Scenario 1: Bullish 1H Play
Key Support Zone: $100,314 - $102,000 (last line of defense for 1H bullish structure).
Trigger: A strong rejection + bullish reversal signal in this zone.
Action: INSTANT LONG ENTRY. No waiting—aggressively capitalize on momentum.
📉 Scenario 2: Daily Structure Fallback
If $100,314 fails:
1- First Demand Zone: $93,300 - $98,000
Watch for a strong bounce → Go long if momentum confirms.
Weak reaction? Hold and monitor lower.
Second Demand Zone: $84,000 - $88,000
Ideal reversal zone for resuming the bull run.
LONG on confirmed strength.
Bull Run Lifeline: $74,600
Non-negotiable: A daily close below this invalidates the bull trend.
✅ Key Reminders:
Patience is strategy: Only act when price confirms your thesis (no guessing!).
Risk first: Define stops for every entry.
Watch price action—NOT hopes.
👇 What’s your take?
Which scenario seems more likely?
Are you adding any key levels?
Let’s discuss below! 👀
Bitcoin Short-Term 1H Timeframe, Next Target ConfirmedWe have two drops on this chart. The one of the left is more extended and long lasting compared to the one on the right. When a move is sudden with major force, it tends to end suddenly as well.
The recent drop was very steep and the force needed to keep pushing prices lower cannot be maintained, it requires too much energy; for this reason, a higher low is in place and the bulls win the game.
The action is happening above the blue line and space on the chart, this is the 0.618 Fib. retracement support. This is the most important level and so far it holds. Prices went below just to recover. Can be called a failed signal or a bear-trap, whichever you choose, the action is bullish above this level and bearish below.
Bitcoin's main support stands around $102,663, this level was not challenged. Since bears failed to push prices lower, the next logical move is a challenge of higher resistance. And the same pattern repeats, up and down, up and down... This is the short-term noise. When all is set and done, Bitcoin will resolve going up.
Patience is key.
Thank you for reading.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
BTC Approaching Key Confluence Zone: Pivot + PRZ + LiquidationsBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) appears to have broken the Support lines and is currently declining .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing a corrective wave C . The corrective wave structure is a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) .
I expect Bitcoin to start rising again from the Support zone($104,380-$103,660) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($104,471-$103,124) , Monthly Pivot Point , Support line , and 50_SMA(Daily) , and the small CME Gap($106,190-$106,150) will also fill.
Note: Stop Loss: $102,520
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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BTCUSD 1D | big consolidation
🧠 1. Pattern and Market Structure Identification
✅ Trend and Pattern: Bullish Flag
• Structure: Price forms a descending consolidation pattern (descending channel) after a sharp upward impulse — this is a classic characteristic of a bullish flag.
• Breakout volume occurred from the consolidation zone near the green support area → an early signal that bulls are active.
• However, the price is currently retesting the breakout area and is testing the demand zone again.
📊 2. Volume Analysis
• Volume spikes (purple arrows) occurred at several key points:
• Initial breakout
• Support retest
• High volume during the breakout = valid breakout confirmation.
• Currently, volume is slightly declining = a signal of consolidation and possible accumulation.
📉 3. Support & Resistance Levels
• Strong Support: 96,961 USDT (marked by the blue line and breakout volume).
• Major Resistance: 111,980 USDT (all-time high and projected target from the flag breakout).
• Current Price: 103,272 USDT → sitting between these two key levels.
🎯 4. Potential Price Direction
Bullish Scenario:
• If the 96,961 USDT support holds, price could continue upward → the bullish flag target = projected height of the flagpole.
• Conservative Target: 111,980 USDT (ATH)
• Aggressive Target (if ATH breakout occurs): 115,000+ USDT
Bearish Scenario:
• If price breaks below 96,961 USDT with strong volume, it could invalidate the bullish pattern and drop further to the 92,000 – 90,000 USDT range.
bitcoin bullish and bearish BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P
bullish
🔹 Technical analysis according to Elliott waves (time: 1 hour)
📌 The pattern shown on the chart shows a complex structure that includes a complex correction within the larger wave (B), and the following is clear:
🔸 Main waves:
Wave (1) up from the bottom has been confirmed.
It was followed by a corrective wave (2) that ended near the 0.786 Fibonacci level = 102,575.
Then the upward wave (3) started, and it seems that it has been completed or is about to be completed.
🔸 Current status:
The price is currently moving within a small corrective wave, likely wave (4).
Current major support is located at: 🔸 102,275.7 (very important level) 🔸 100,317.6 (in case the correction extends)
🔸 Critical resistance areas:
For the bullish scenario to be valid, the resistance must be broken:
106,759 (0.618 Fibonacci ratio)
108,948 (0.786 – peak of wave C)
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🔹 Important technical points:
🔸 The last correction (A)-(B)-(C) shows a clear triple structure, indicating that wave (2) has been completed.
🔸 The price is currently bouncing off the 0.5 - 0.618 Fibonacci levels (104,402 - 104,923), which reinforces the possibility that wave (2) has actually ended, and that we are currently starting an upward wave (3).
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✅ Conclusion:
✅ As long as the price is above 102,275, the upward scenario through wave (3) remains valid.
⚠️ Breaking 100,317 indicates the failure of the bullish scenario and a structural shift in the waves.
🔻 Alternative (Bearish) Scenario – Short-Term:
If the price fails to maintain the current support at 102,275, we may not be in wave (4) but rather at the beginning of a new downward wave within a broader corrective scenario, as follows:
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🔸 Wave Interpretation:
🔹 Wave (B), which completed at the peak near 108,948, likely marked the end of an upward correction.
🔹 The current downward wave from that peak could be:
Either wave 1 of C within a larger correction,
or the beginning of wave (C) within a bearish (A)-(B)-(C) pattern.
---
🔻 Potential Downside Targets in This Scenario:
1. Breaking 102,275 = Confirmation of the beginning of a new downward wave.
2. First Target:
🔸 101,484 (1.618 Fibonacci Extension – Wave 1 Expected)
3. Second and Stronger Target:
🔸 100,317 = Previous Major Support, Representing an Important Structural Test Area.
4. Third and Most Extreme Target in This Scenario:
🔸 98,800 – 99,260 = Possible Wave C Extension (Corresponds to a Larger Downside Scenario).
---
⚠️ Failure Signal:
Remaining below 105,926 (Previous Sub-Wave Resistance) maintains selling pressure.
Any weak bounce and lack of a clear wave 5 upwards = an additional sign of bearish dominance.
---
🔻 Conclusion:
✳️ The bearish scenario assumes that the peak at 108,948 was the end of corrective wave (B), and that we are now in a downward wave C targeting areas between 101,400 and 99,200, and possibly lower.
✳️ A break of 102,275 would be key to activating this scenario.
June 12, 2025 Historical Comparison Analysis [Wave Analysis]No one knows tomorrow but what if???
Here, we have a historical comparison between December 07, 2020 to June 13, 2022, and January 22, 2024 to present day.
December 07, 2020 to November 08, 2021:
• Uptrend
• Flag (retracement)
• Uptrend continuation
• Range
• Downtrend
• Range (W or Double bottom pattern)
• Uptrend
• Flag (retracement)
• Uptrend continuation
November 08, 2021 to June 13, 2022:
• Downtrend
• Flag (retracement)
• Downtrend continuation
January 22, 2024 to May 19, 2025:
• Uptrend
• Flag (retracement)
• Uptrend continuation
• Range
• Downtrend
• Range (W or Double bottom pattern)
• Uptrend
May 19, 2025 to present day:
• .......
JUST WHAT IF HISTORY REPEATS ITSELF
$BTCUSDT Eyes $120K After Key Support BounceBTCUSDT is holding strong above the ascending trendline and key support near $104K.
A fresh bounce suggests bullish momentum, with potential to break the $110K resistance.
If that happens, the next target could be around $120K. Trend remains bullish above support.
DYRO, NFA
continue to move accumulation: below 109,000💎 Update Plan BTC (June 20)
Notable news about BTC:
Semler Scientific (SMLR) unveiled an ambitious three-year strategy on Thursday aimed at significantly expanding its Bitcoin holdings to 105,000 BTC by the end of 2027. The announcement coincided with the appointment of a new executive to lead the firm’s digital asset initiative.
The Nasdaq-listed healthcare firm has named Joe Burnett as its Director of Bitcoin Strategy, a move it believes will strengthen its long-term treasury vision and enhance shareholder value. As part of this strategic shift, Semler Scientific plans to accumulate Bitcoin through a mix of equity and debt financing, alongside reinvested cash flows from its core business operations.
Technical analysis angle
BTC as well as XauUSD are trapped in the channel price 104k to 110k these are also two important milestones of BTC. Also congratulations to investors when detecting the bottom of 104k. The next expectation within the price channel is still maintained at 110k landmark
But with the recent moves of investors, the community is afraid that BTC will continue to adjust in the future.
==> Comments for trend reference. Wishing investors successfully trading
BTC/USDT Technical Analysis🔍 BTC/USDT Technical Analysis
📆 Chart Context:
Published on: June 18, 2025
Instrument: Bitcoin (BTC) vs Tether (USDT)
Timeframe: Appears to be 4H or 1H based on candle width and structure
🧠 Market Structure
🔸 Lower Highs Forming
Clear rejection from around 110,000–112,000 USDT
A sequence of lower highs suggests bearish momentum
Market is failing to break previous highs, signaling potential reversal
🔸 Strong Support Zone
Marked between $99,000 – $100,000
This level has previously caused price reversals (see June 6 and 13 wicks)
Currently being tested again — buyers have defended this area twice
🔁 Price Action & Candlestick Behavior
Recent candles show indecision and weakness after a mild bounce
Wick rejections near $106,000–$107,000 point to supply zone
Projected path (gray curve) implies a small pullback, then a breakdown into the support zone
📉 Prediction: Price Outlook
✴️ Short-Term (1–3 Days):
A likely pullback to $106,000, then a drop toward $100,000–$99,000
If support fails to hold, next target is $96,000–$94,500
✴️ Bearish Breakdown Confirmation:
Candle close below $99,000 with high volume = clear sell signal
In this case, bears may aim for $92,000–$90,000 next
✴️ Bullish Scenario (Less Likely):
If price holds above $104,000 and breaks $108,000, next resistance: $110,500–$112,000
📊 Key Technical Zones
Zone Type Price Level (USDT) Note
Resistance $110,000–$112,000 Previous top, major supply zone
Short-Term Resistance $106,000–$107,000 Weak bounce, possible entry area for shorts
Current Price ~$104,376 Weak consolidation
Support Zone $99,000–$100,000 Key demand area
Breakdown Target $96,000–$94,000 If support fails
✅ Professional Outlook Summary
Market Bias: 📉 Bearish
Action Zone: 🔍 Watching $106K as potential short entry
Support Critical: $99K must hold, or deeper drop
Risk Level: ⚠️ High volatility likely
#Bitcoin ( $BTC/USDT ) is forming a symmetrical triangle on the #Bitcoin ( $BTC/USDT ) is forming a symmetrical triangle on the 1H chart, with strong support near 103,800 and resistance around 105,100. Price is consolidating tightly, indicating a breakout is near. A bullish breakout above 105,500 could target 110,000, while a breakdown below 103,500 may lead to a drop toward 102,000. Key invalidation lies at 103,500. Wait for volume confirmation before entering —