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BTCUSDT trade ideas

BTC long if it reclaims or holds ### 🔍 Breakdown of Chart: * Timeframe: 15m BTCUSDT (Bybit) * Current Trend: Sharp downtrend from the recent highs * Zone Marked in Blue: Bullish Order Block / Demand Zone * Yellow Path: Anticipated reclaim and reversal scenario * White Curve: Possible double bottom (liquidity sweep) --- ### ✅ Why Long Plan Makes Sense: 1. Demand Zone (Blue Block): This zone has previously caused a strong bullish reaction. It's likely institutional demand may rest here again. 2. Liquidity Grab Below: Price might sweep the recent low (creating a trap for shorts) before reclaiming. That’s your “double bottom” logic. 3. Reclaim = Confirmation: Waiting for a reclaim above the zone before longing shows patience and discipline — a smart move to avoid catching a falling knife. 4. Clear Invalidations: If price fails to reclaim and breaks below the blue zone with momentum, your setup is invalidated — perfect risk control. --- ### ⚠️ Caution: * If the red bearish OB above (around 104.6–104.8K) is respected, you might face rejection there. Consider partial profits before that area. * Use confirmation (like a bullish engulfing, BOS, or FVG fill) after reclaim. * If breaks blue zone then we might enter short
by TuffyBro
Wave (4) Correction Completed? Wave (5) ImminentBitcoin appears to be completing an Elliott Wave structure, currently sitting around the (4) pullback area with signs of a potential continuation into wave (5) to new local highs. The recent LH and bounce from demand could mark the beginning of the impulsive move. Key Observations: ✅ Elliott Waves Count (1–2–3–4–5) in Play Wave (3) completed near ~$113K Wave (4) correction retraced into the ~$98K support zone Structure looks corrective (ABC style), typical for wave 4 Wave (5) projection aims towards ~$120K+ based on symmetry ✅ Market Structure Higher High (HH) → Higher Low (HL) pattern intact Price respected a key demand zone and bounced Green dotted line shows potential consolidation → breakout behavior ✅ Support Zones ~$98K = key demand + previous HL ~$92K = macro structure support Holding these levels = bullish continuation scenario likely ✅ Resistance Ahead ~$113K = recent local high Break and close above this = wave (5) confirmed Final TP area ~$120K–124K based on Fibonacci extensions and wave symmetry 🎯 Trade Plan (Idea) Entry: On confirmation above $106K Targets: TP1: $113K (retest) TP2: $120K TP3: $124K
Long
by Augustinemoreau
BTC Bias Update tug-of-war between key liquidity zones • Liquidity Magnets: • Upside: Identified Draw on Liquidity (DOL) at higher levels (e.g., 111,968.0 (4H), 111,340.3 (30m)) and an "Ongoing" BSL 4H at 110,0996.3 present resistance and potential targets for bullish moves. • Downside: Prominent DOLs (e.g., 105,252.6 (2H), 103,463.9 (30m)) and a critical SSL zone between 100,500.0 - 100,000.0 (4H, 2H, 1H) act as significant downside targets. Bias Assessment: • Bearish Bias: 65% • The immediate price action suggests a likely "Draw on Liquidity" towards the substantial Sellside Liquidity (SSL) zone around $100,000, consistent with recent minor bearish momentum. • Bullish Bias: 35% • The bullish case hinges on a potential strong reversal from the confluence of the $100,000 SSL and the powerful Bullish Order Block, which could then target the overhead Buyside Liquidity.
by Senku010
3
BTCUSDT | Neutral to Bearish Bias | Range Top | (June 8, 2025)BTCUSDT | Neutral to Bearish Bias | Range Top + Money Flow Out | (June 8, 2025) 1️⃣ Insight Summary: Bitcoin is currently ranging near the top of a multi-day structure, but money flow has been consistently negative on the daily — hinting at hidden weakness. I'm now preparing for a potential move lower despite recent bullish sentiment. 2️⃣ Trade Parameters (Risk Management Focus): Bias: Neutral to short-term bearish Key Level to Watch: ~$94,000 (potential support target) Risk Strategy: — Reducing altcoin exposure by 50% — Moving stop losses to entry across open positions — Hedging if downside momentum increases (This is not financial advice — just a view on how I’m managing risk.) 3️⃣ Key Notes: ❌ Money Flow Weakness: Daily outflows have been persistent across the entire consolidation — a warning sign even if price holds range highs. 📊 4H Structure: Still within a clean range. Currently at the top, which historically has triggered rejections. 🔥 Exchange Behavior: We're seeing flows back into exchanges, not out — which could suggest increased sell pressure or rotation rather than long-term accumulation. 🧠 Sentiment Caution: While many are still targeting higher levels (like $100K+), this current range and flow data suggests a pause or pullback before continuation — if it happens. 4️⃣ Follow-Up: Will stay cautious and flexible. If BTC breaks above the range cleanly with strong volume and inflow data flips, I’ll re-evaluate bias. Until then, managing exposure tightly. Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
by Risk_Adj_Return
Support and resistance zone: 104463.74-106133.74 Hello traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1W chart) When a new candle is created, you should check if the HA-High indicator is created at the 99705.62 point. The reason is that the HA-High indicator was created, which means that it has fallen from the high point range. In other words, it also means that it can fall to around or below the 97705.62 point. Since the current candle fell to around 99705.62 and then rose, it can rise like this when a new candle is created. We have several indicators that can determine the high point. Representative indicators include DOM (60), StochRSI 80, and HA-High. Therefore, the high point range is 104463.99-104984.57 and 97705.62. Therefore, in order to turn downward, it is likely to start when it falls below 104463.99-104984.57 and shows resistance, and it can be interpreted that the downtrend is confirmed when it falls below 97705.62. If we think about it the other way around, if the price stays above 104463.99-104984.57, it will eventually create a new high. - When we first study charts, we start to become curious about charts as we learn about price moving averages. As such, when we look at charts, our understanding of charts changes depending on how well we understand the average value. However, when we first learn about price moving averages in chart analysis, we start to study all sorts of different analysis techniques as we realize that there are ambiguous parts in conducting transactions. As a result, chart analysis becomes more and more difficult, and we end up giving up on chart analysis. If you have studied chart analysis in your own way without giving up on it, you will realize that it will eventually converge to the average. No matter what indicator or analysis technique you use, you will eventually converge to the average and then diverge. Therefore, we should try to analyze the chart using the easiest and most convenient method. The reason is that chart analysis is ultimately just a means to create a trading strategy and has no other meaning. - The basic trading strategy on my chart is to buy near the HA-Low indicator and sell near the HA-High indicator. The HA-Low and HA-High indicators are indicators created for trading on the Heikin-Ashi chart and ultimately represent the average. The HA-High indicator is the average value that represents the high point range, and the HA-Low indicator is the average value that represents the low point range. Therefore, if it is supported and rises near the HA-Low indicator, it is a buying period, and if it is resisted and falls near the HA-High indicator, it is a selling period. However, since it is an average, if it is supported and rises near the HA-High indicator, it is likely to show a stepwise upward trend, and if it is resisted and falls near the HA-Low indicator, it is likely to show a stepwise downward trend. Because of this, we need to adopt a split trading method. - The auxiliary indicator, StochRSI, is an indicator that moves based on the 50 point. Therefore, when the StochRSI indicator value is below 50, we need to focus on finding a buying point, and when it is above 50, we need to focus on finding a selling point. A decisive hint for this is when it enters the overbought or oversold zone. The auxiliary indicator, OBV, is an indicator that adds up the difference in trading volume according to price. If you divide the OBV indicator into High Line and Low Line and understand the movement of OBV, you can understand the movement of the price to some extent. However, since not all indicators follow the price trend exactly, you should not try to judge everything with just one indicator. If you express the OBV indicator in the form of an oscillator, it will look similar to the MACD oscillator. As I mentioned earlier, this is because the chart eventually converges to the average value. Using this characteristic, we combined the OBV indicator with a MACD-type oscillator. If it is located below 0 based on the 0 point, it means that the selling pressure is high, and if it is located above 0, it means that the buying pressure is high. No matter what indicator or analysis technique you study, you must have a solid basic understanding of the average value. If not, no matter how good the indicator or analysis technique you learn, you will not be able to analyze it as you studied and create a trading strategy when you actually trade. - (1D chart) It is highly likely that the uptrend will resume if it rises above the HA-High indicator point of 108316.90. To do so, it is important to see if it can receive support and rise around 104463.99-106133.74. If it fails to rise, it will eventually show a downward trend again. If it meets the HA-High indicator and falls, it is likely to fall until it meets the HA-Low indicator. Currently, the HA-Low indicator is formed at the 89294.25 point, but as the price falls, the HA-Low indicator is likely to be newly created. Therefore, we need to check if the HA-Low indicator is newly created when the price falls. Since the OBV of the auxiliary indicator is located near the Low Line and the OBV oscillator is also located below the 0 point, we can see that the selling pressure is strong. Therefore, we need to check whether the OBV rises above the High Line when it is supported near 104463.99-106133.74 or whether the OBV oscillator rises above the 0 point. - I think that all indicators or analysis techniques are ultimately tools that confirm whether there is support at the support and resistance points or sections drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts. Therefore, in order to use indicators or analysis techniques, it depends on how well you understand and draw the support and resistance points or sections according to the arrangement of the candles. Therefore, you need to first check how reliable the support and resistance points you drew are and practice creating a trading strategy accordingly. Ultimately, it can be seen that how well the support and resistance points are drawn depends on how well the chart analysis or trading strategy is made. - If you look at the 1W chart and the 1D chart, you can see that the important volatility period is around June 22. The volatility period of the 1W chart is from June 16 to 29. The volatility period of the 1D chart is from June 10 to 14 and from June 21 to 23. Therefore, when the HA-High indicator of the 1W chart is generated at the 99705.62 point, it is important to maintain the price above 99705.62 after passing the volatility period of the 1W chart. Since the HA-High indicator on the 1D chart is formed at 108316.90, we need to see if it can be supported and rise near 108316.90. In summary, we can see that the important support and resistance range in the volatility period is 99705.62-108316.90. Among these ranges, it is expected that the wave will start depending on whether the current price is supported in the 104463.99-106133.74 range. In other words, the 104463.99-106133.74 range corresponds to the middle range of the 99705.62-108316.90 range, the average value. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful transaction. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​This is an explanation of the big picture. (3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern) I will explain more details when the bear market starts. ------------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
1
Bitcoin to revisit $100k | Summer price target = $120kGeopolitical tension is causing fear in the markets. Today, Bitcoin fell from $107.7k to current price $105k with no sign of buyer support whatsoever, printing 11 consecutive H1 red candles intraday. Like a hot knife through butter. At $105k, there is very little support. Sell volume absolutely overshadowed the tiny buy volume. Bulls have yet to close a green candle. I believe in the next few hours Bitcoin will be trading at $104k, followed by the first stop $102k. $102k can serve as an entry point, depending on how price reacts. $100k is the optimal entry point for maximum profit, after mass liquidations. Retail traders are confident that the liquidity hunt is over after the initial tap, placing stops and liquidation levels at $100k. Invalidation level will be beyond the 200SMA. The 200SMA have historically proven itself time and time again as a safe zone during rallies after golden crosses.
Long
by gunhy
$BTC 4hr - The Calm Before Bitcoin’s Next Move💡 In bull markets, triangles break UP more often than down. But volume + macro + ETF flows > patterns. Set alerts, manage risk, stay nimble. #BTC #CryptoAlpha #RiskManagement 🎯 Key Levels Analysis: ✅ Resistance: 106.3K → This level matches the upper bound of the symmetrical triangle and is reinforced by multiple recent rejections. Also aligns with previous highs. ✅ Support: 103.7K → Mid-range horizontal support. Price reacted here multiple times. It's also near the triangle base. ✅ Support: 99.6K → Clean psychological + technical level. A previous consolidation zone. Would likely trigger a strong reaction. ✅ Last Line of Bull Defense: 95.2K → Major horizontal support from the April/May breakout structure. Losing this would likely invalidate the bullish structure.
by Vandallet
Bitcoin (BTC): Markets are Cooked | Big Volatility IncomingYes, markets are cooked....all those tensions and news that are pressuring markets from every corner might result in a very explosive movement. Now we've been looking for a new ATH to form near $120K and we still keep that game plan as long as buyers keep the dominance above the 200EMA line. There is not much we can do now but just speculate. Speculate that when the war between Russia and Ukraine happened, what markets did exactly was they dumped and then shot highly up (talking mainly about Bitcoin). So we might see similar things in the markets depending on what will happen next in the world, but one thing is sure: some will make a lot of money soon and some will lose a lot. Be sure to have proper risk management, as this is crucial! Swallow Academy
Long
by SwallowAcademy
bitcoin is pumpingBitcoin has been pumping in the past few days pretty massively. Why? There are 2 main reasons - the first reason is that Bitcoin has finished a major WXY corrective wave, and the second is that Bitcoin swept liquidity below a triangle (see my previous post for details). That was a very good opportunity to buy/long Bitcoin at that specific level I described in the previous analysis. But let's focus on the present and future! We always want to find strong levels on the charts so we have a great entry point/take profit target. The next strong level is definitely the 0.618 FIB, which Bitcoin can hit in the very short term. Also, below the 0.618 FIB, we have a strong horizontal zone, which can also act as a strong resistance. Bitcoin should definitely go there and retest this zone. We want to see how Bitcoin is going to react in the zone and FIB, but you can create a new limit order to short Bitcoin there so you don't miss anything. So currently I am temporarily bullish on Bitcoin, and in the next update I will make a big analysis on Bitcoin and a very likely scenario for the next months. What will the price of Bitcoin be in December? Please like/boost my idea right now. Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
by paltena
BTCUSD | Short Bias | Liquidity Grab | (June 16, 2025)BTCUSD | Short Bias | Liquidity Grab Setup | (June 16, 2025) 1️⃣ Short Insight Summary: Bitcoin hit a solid take-profit earlier, but now I’m watching for a potential liquidity grab near the highs to set up a short opportunity. The next key zone to watch is around 1:11 PM if price quickly spikes and reverses. 2️⃣ Trade Parameters: Bias: Short Entry: Around 113 (after a confirmed liquidity grab at the top) Stop Loss: Just above the liquidity grab zone TP1: Around 103900 (Point of Control zone) TP2: Final target at 97900 Partial Exits: Possible scaling out at POC zone 3️⃣ Key Notes: Spot selling is active, but there's also a lot of buying interest—especially from those trying to long this dip. That mix can lead to a fast liquidity grab, flushing out early shorts before a reversal. Open interest suggests there's still a lot of activity, so I’m being patient and only acting on confirmation. 4️⃣ Optional Follow-up: I’ll keep an eye on this setup and update if the reversal confirms after the grab. Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
Long
by Risk_Adj_Return
Market Overview WHAT HAPPENED? Strong sales resumed last week after a short period of growth. This was provoked by the escalation of the conflict in the Middle East. After testing and fixing the $105,800-$104,500 zone (accumulated volumes), strong volume deviations appeared, which should be perceived as protection on the part of the buyer. WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT? At the moment, an attempt is being made to position the volumes accumulated in the range of $105,600-$104,700 in the direction of growth. Strong support has already been formed in the area of $104,000-$102,900 (abnormal volumes). When the four-hour candle closes above the $106,400 mark, it’ll be possible to additionally consider the zone of accumulated volumes for buys (if there is a reaction from it). The main scenario is a long position with targets up to the nearest resistance. In case of easing of geopolitical tensions, there remains the possibility of updating the ATH. Alternative scenario: correction to the support zone of $101,600-$100,000 (volume anomalies). With this development, a prolonged rebound is possible. Sell Zones: $109,000–$110,000 (accumulated volume) Buy Zones: $105,600–$104,700 (accumulated volume) $104,000–$102,900 (volume anomalies) $101,600–$100,000 (significant volume anomalies) $98,000–$97,200 (local support) Level at $93,000 $91,500–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance) IMPORTANT DATES Macroeconomic developments this week: • Tuesday, June 17, 03:00 (UTC) — publication of the Japanese interest rate decision; • Tuesday, June 17, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the core retail sales index for May in the United States, the volume of retail sales for May in the United States; • Wednesday, June 18, 06:00 (UTC) — publication of the UK consumer price index compared to May last year; • Wednesday, June 18, 9:00 (UTC) — publication of the consumer price index in the Eurozone compared to May last year; • Wednesday, June 18, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial applications for US unemployment benefits; • Wednesday, June 18, 18:00 (UTC) — publication of FOMC economic forecasts, FOMC statement, US Federal Reserve interest rate decision; • Wednesday, June 18, 18:30 (UTC) — US FOMC Press Conference; • Thursday, June 19, 7:30 (UTC) — publication of the Q2 interest rate decision in Switzerland; • Thursday, June 19, 8:00 (UTC) — press conference of the National Bank of Switzerland; • Thursday, June 19, 11:00 (UTC) — publication of the June interest rate decision in the UK; • Thursday, June 19, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial applications for unemployment benefits in the United States; • Friday, June 20, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the Philadelphia Federal Reserve's index of manufacturing activity for June in the United States. *This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience. #analytics
Long
by Crypto_robotics