BTCUSD Breakdown Alert | Bearish Momentum Setup in PlayHello traders!
After a strong uptrend, BTCUSD has now broken below the ascending trendline and is retesting from the underside — a classic bearish continuation signal. This could mark a key shift in market structure.
🔍 Key Observations:
Initial consolidation acted as a launchpad for the prior move.
Clean uptrend with higher highs and higher lows.
Recent trendline break suggests weakening bullish momentum.
Price is currently retesting the trendline from below — often a signal of incoming downside if confirmed.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
If this retest holds, BTCUSD may drop toward $105,000, with the next major support around $102,400. A break below that zone could accelerate the downtrend.
Targets / Support levels
Short-term: $105,000
Major support: $102,400
⚠ Risk Management:
Stick to your trading plan — use stop-losses and size positions carefully. No setup is guaranteed. Follow price action, not the hype.
📊 What’s your bias? Bullish or Bearish?
👍 Like & 🔔 Follow for more technical setups!
#CryptoAnalysis #BTCUSD #TrendlineBreak #TechnicalAnalysis #BearishSetup #TradingView #SupportAndResistance #PriceAction
BTCUSDT trade ideas
Price tapped the low — but didn’t break structure. That’s all I BTC delivered a clean sweep into the 15M low, filled the imbalance, and now it’s reclaiming. If you’re still wondering whether it’s valid — you’re not reading structure. You’re chasing candles.
Here’s the setup:
Price swept a key low at 104,870.98, tapping into a precision FVG
That move also kissed the edge of a lower BPR — institutional order flow at work
Now we’re rotating back toward the 15M OB near 106,438.94, with the first real reaction zone at 105,779.08
Above that, fib confluence and the OB offer a decision point: either distribute from 106.4 or break higher into premium inefficiency zones.
If price stalls at 0.5 (105,831) and rejects hard, I’ll expect a revisit to the low. If we blow through with displacement — we’re heading higher.
Execution bias:
Longs are valid as long as price holds above 104,870
TP1: 105,779
TP2: 106,438
Failure to reclaim FVG = scenario invalid, stand down
This isn’t a “setup.” It’s a replay of logic. The market does this every day — if you know how to listen.
More trades like this? No noise, just precision — check the profile description.
Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to youBitcoin has seen a particularly strong rally recently, even breaking through the $110,000 mark, but has pulled back slightly in recent days. Given the current situation, the correction after the previous rapid rise is normal. However, from a long-term perspective, there are still many bullish factors. For example, with economic instability in many parts of the world, countries have been printing large amounts of money to stimulate their economies. As the supply of money grows, assets with a fixed quantity like Bitcoin become more valuable, leading to increased buying demand and upward price momentum. Additionally, more and more powerful institutional investors are taking an interest in Bitcoin. Financial giants like BlackRock are investing large sums of capital, and the influx of substantial funds can also drive Bitcoin's price higher.
From a technical perspective, although the price has declined slightly in recent days, it remains above the 20-day moving average (approximately $102,500) on the daily chart, indicating that the medium-term upward trend has not been disrupted. Another indicator, the RSI, is currently around 50—a neutral level—with an upward movement signaling renewed bullish momentum. Furthermore, the Bollinger Bands have begun to narrow, with the upper band at $106,000 and the lower band at $102,000. The price fluctuating within this range suggests that a significant breakout may be imminent.
Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you
BTCUSDT BUY@103000~104000
SL:101000
TP:105000~107000
Bitcoin 1H Breakout or Rejection?"Bitcoin is currently in a short-term uptrend, forming higher highs and higher lows on the 1-hour chart. The price is approaching a critical resistance area known as the Golden Zone.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
0.382 Fib: $105,712
0.5 Fib: $106,590
Golden Zone (0.618–0.65 Fib):
$107,469 – $107,707
Support: $103,775 / $102,869
📝 Trade Idea:
🚀 Long Setup:
Above $105,712 targeting $106,590 and the Golden Zone ($107,469–$107,707)
🔻 Short Setup:
Look for bearish rejection signals within the Golden Zone to target back down toward $103,775 – $102,869
⚠️ Reminder:
Wait for confirmation signals (candlestick patterns, break and retest, or indicators alignment) before executing any trades. Stay disciplined!
BTC 4H Analysis📈 BTC 4H Analysis – Symmetrical Triangle Breakout Loading
Bitcoin is currently consolidating inside a Symmetrical Triangle, forming higher lows and lower highs – a classic sign of volatility compression.
🔹 Structure: Symmetrical Triangle
🔹 Support Holding Strong – bulls defending the zone
🔹 Breakout Expected Soon
🔹 Major Resistance: $110,200
🔹 Breakout Target: $112,000+
Price is coiling up. Break above the triangle = strong bullish continuation likely.
🚀 Eyes on breakout — next move could be explosive!
NFA | DYOR
Next Volatility Period: Around June 22
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
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(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
The morning star candle that we often heard about when studying candles appeared.
However, since the candle has not closed yet, the shape of the candle may change.
In stock charts, there were cases where the movement could be predicted with the shape of these candles, but in the coin market, it is impossible to predict.
The reason is that trading is possible 24 hours a day.
Most candle shapes occur with gaps, allowing for a comprehensive interpretation, but in the coin market, gaps are not likely to occur, so I think there is nothing that can be known from the shape of the candles.
Therefore, it is recommended not to try to analyze the chart with the actual shape or pattern of the candles.
However, you need to study to be able to read the arrangement of the candles in order to set support and resistance points.
Even this is not difficult to indicate support and resistance points because there are indicators that indicate support and resistance points.
-
(1W chart)
The 104463.99 point is the DOM (60) indicator point, which corresponds to the end of the high point.
Also, the 99705.62 point is the HA-High indicator point, which corresponds to the middle of the high points.
Therefore, the 99705.62-104463.99 section can be interpreted as the high point boundary section.
The actual trend is likely to occur while falling from 99705.62.
The importance of the 99705.62 point is increasing because the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart is rising near the HA-High indicator point.
If it falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart, it is possible that the trend will be determined again when it meets the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
Also, if it falls from the HA-High indicator, it can meet the HA-Low indicator.
Therefore, if the price starts to fall, you should check whether the HA-Low indicator is generated.
The fact that the HA-Low indicator was created means that it rose from the low range.
That is, just as the HA-High indicator corresponds to the midpoint of the highs, the HA-Low indicator corresponds to the midpoint of the lows.
The end point of the lows corresponds to the DOM(-60) indicator point.
-
(1D chart)
For this reason, it is important to see support around 104463.99-106133.74.
The trend is likely to appear after the next volatility period, around June 22nd (June 21st-23rd).
Therefore, we should consider the 104463.99-106133.74 range as the middle range,
- and see if it falls below 99705.62,
- or rises above 108316.90.
Accordingly, we should create a response strategy and be prepared not to panic when a trend appears.
-
The OBV is currently below the Low Line.
Therefore, if it does not receive support at the 104463.99 point, it is likely to fall again.
Since the OBV oscillator is still below the 0 point, we can see that the selling pressure is strong.
However, looking at the overall movement of the oscillator, we can see that the selling pressure is decreasing.
Therefore, if there is another decline, the key issue is whether there is support near 99705.62.
-
In summary, the area around 104463.99 is playing an important role as support and resistance.
Therefore, after the next volatility period, around June 22, we need to check and respond to the direction in which it deviates from the 99705.62-108316.90 range.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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Most likely scenario for BitcoinI am tired of all analysts just saying that we are going down to 70k or up to 200k in one go.
So let me add a small informative chart for all people new or lost.
Don't get me wrong, i am bullish mid and long term but right now we are in the middle of a strong correction but shouln't last long.
We could have been super bullish above 106k but the price broke down with strength.
Now we see a super clear 5 wave movement down.
Currently we are in the 4 wave, trying to bounce back to the 106k area and doing a classic 4 wave ABC correction.
The bounce lacks volume so the most likely scenario is completing the 5 wave. We might get to the 101k area and ONLY THEN we can see what could happen.
If you are a futures trader, do it with caution and small leverage.
If you are a long term investor, these are perfect areas to buy more.
Good day to everyone.
Test the crucial round-number threshold of $100,000.Affected by sudden news factors, the Bitcoin market has seen sharp fluctuations. The price started a significant downward trend from the $108,900 level and has dropped to around $104,000 as of now. This decline has caused Bitcoin to break through multiple key support levels.
On the daily timeframe, the originally important support range of $106,000 - $107,000 was easily breached, with market bearish forces gaining absolute dominance. Bitcoin is facing significant downward risks and is highly likely to continue falling to test the crucial psychological level of $100,000.
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Trading Strategy:
sell@104000-104500
TP:102000-1025000
BTC - AnalysisWe’re currently back at the short-term trend reversal zone,
which has been reactivated after price moved 3% away from it.
The zone itself spans 1.6%, so a new reaction from this level is likely.
If the bottom at $102,500 holds,
we’ve activated a valid bullish structure that could take us up to the $119,000 target zone —
which also overlaps with a weekly target region.
We’ll see what the next few days bring...
Key events to watch right now:
1️⃣ Israel & Iran – Will the conflict escalate or calm down?
2️⃣ Tomorrow’s FOMC meeting – Will QT be addressed?
Feel free to drop any questions or feedback —
I’ll read and respond to everything.
LFG 🚀
BTC Bias Map: 17/06/25Daily Bias Map:
- Bitcoin lost key support at 106,500
- I am leaning more bearish now that this key support is lost.
- Market is heavily driven by news and uncertainty.
- Key levels like Monday low and monthly low cluster in the same region — likely last bastions of support.
- Expecting a possible larger shakeout toward weak lows nearby, which don’t look appealing for entries.
- Will watch for potential long scalp triggers around monthly open or Monday low but will likely stay side-lined. Unless I see a potential good short setup form.
- With FOMC news tomorrow I’m avoiding heavy involvement the risk is not worth it in this volatile environment.
Discipline means knowing when to step back. In all likelihood I'll let the market develop today unless a extremely clean trade develops.
BTC accumulates above 104,300 zonePlan BTC today: 17 June 2025
Related Information:!!!
Bitcoin (BTC) price falls to around $106,000 at the time of writing on Tuesday following a mild recovery the previous day. The decline comes as investors continue to digest the escalation of the Iran-Israel conflict and after US President Donald Trump highlighted concerns and asked his security advisors to meet in the Situation Room. While institutional interest in Bitcoin remains robust, any further escalation in the Middle East could impact global risk assets.
The US steps in to resolve the Iran-Israel war
Bitcoin price action remained broadly resilient on Monday despite escalating tensions in the Middle East. The four-day-old war between Israel and Iran, which began on Friday, has so far failed to trigger a sharp correction. The largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization held above its key psychological threshold of 100,000 despite the initial shock — a contrast to April last year, when BTC fell more than 8% amid similar Iran-Israel turmoil.
The New York Times reported on Monday that US President Donald Trump has encouraged Vice President JD Vance and his Middle East envoy, Steve Witkoff, to offer to meet with the Iranians this week.
personal opinion:!!!
Gold price continues sideways and accumulates in 2 trend lines, support 104,300
Important price zone to consider :!!!
support zone : 104.300 - 104.100
Sustainable trading to beat the market
Bitcoin Multiframe: Key clusters to watch before FOMC__________________________________________________________________________________
Technical Overview – Summary Points
__________________________________________________________________________________
Momentum: Dominant bullish structure across all major timeframes (MTFTI = Up).
Supports/Resistances: No HTF pivot engaged; key on-chain support at $97.6k, resistance at $115.4k.
Volume: Central oscillation within range; no major surges observed, consolidation on micro-TF.
Multi-timeframe behaviors: Bullish structure dominates, technical pullback on 4H-1H-15min without major breaks.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Strategic Summary
__________________________________________________________________________________
Overall Bias: Structurally bullish as long as key supports hold (97.6k–104.5k zone).
Opportunities: Buy confirmed dips on on-chain cluster/H4-H2 area, target 110–115k extension post-FOMC positive catalyst.
Risk zones: Extreme volatility expected around FOMC (June 17–18); strict risk management, avoid overexposure.
Macro catalysts: FOMC (rate decision, dot plot), Fed leadership stability, Israel-Iran geopolitical tensions.
Action plan: Patience until FOMC; favor setups on clear price reaction, tight stops below 97.5k (on-chain support).
__________________________________________________________________________________
Multi-Timeframe Analysis
__________________________________________________________________________________
1D: Bullish momentum, price at range center ($106k). Watch for pivot break.
12H: Persistent bullish bias, confluence with 1D.
6H: Expected consolidation, bullish structure.
4H: Technical pullback, bullish structure remains. Key anticipated support 105k–104.5k.
2H: Likely move towards lower range. Up bias confirmed.
1H: Technical correction within overall Up trend.
30min/15min: Seller sequence, trend intact, no major break.
Risk On / Risk Off Indicator remains “Up” across all frames, boosting the positive view despite short-term correction.
Executive summary:
Strong bullish convergence from Daily → 15min timeframes.
Ongoing short-term pullback, no HTF pivot breaks.
Any break below $97.6k would invalidate the swing bullish scenario.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Macro, Economic Calendar, On-chain & Risk Management
__________________________________________________________________________________
Macro:
FOMC imminent (June 17–18): waiting – volatility on rate/dot plot.
Geopolitical risk (Iran-Israel): sustained global risk-off may escalate.
BTC shows strong resilience at 106k.
Economic calendar (key points):
June 17–18: FOMC — maximum impact (stocks, FX, crypto)
June 17: Fed leadership rumors — potential volatility, BTC stable
June 17, 08:30 UTC: USA — retail sales (May/core)
On-chain:
Key support at $97.6k (STH cost basis), resistance at $115.4k.
Long-term holders are distributing, but bullish accumulation pressure intact.
Clustering may amplify short-term directional moves.
Key scenarios:
Bullish: Extension to 110–115k if FOMC positive, stop below 97.6k.
Bearish: Break of 97.6k = risk of drop towards 92.9–95.4k.
Management: Avoid exposure pre-FOMC, active monitoring, strict stops.
Patience & discipline: Only size up with post-FOMC validated reaction or confirmed breakout. On-chain cluster = invalidation radar for bullish bias.
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