BTC 07.06.25I would expect something like this to play out for BTC over the weekend. Until there is a BOS above 106.777$ i expect more lows to form an accumulation model.
BTCUSDT trade ideas
BTCUSDTP ADVANCE ANALYSISBelow mentioned is for educational purpose and is not a financial advise.
BTC seems to be very bullish. However if you look at it closely, you will discover that the larger time frames of 1 day, 4 HR and 1 HR are still bearish and all the bullishness in only in the internal structures. The price is currently in discounted range and we should wait for internal price action to align with external. You can wait for the liquidity sweep above the equal highs and a tap in any of the above two POIS which is 1 HR order blocks. Let the price shows us a choch on 15 mins time frame and a retest combined with additional confirmation will be our entry for shorts targeting as mentioned on the chart.
BITCOIN 2024/2025THE current chart of btc shows a strong sign of recovery into 118k and 120k after updating 111k daily RED ascending supply roof of the structure, we need one more buy confirmation to see strong bullish healthy candles.
the bulls defended 100k level as that level represents a strong demand floor and break and a close below it will follow another layer of demand 96k zone
#btc #bitcoin
BTC Showing Signs Of A Pullback In The Next 2 WeeksBTC is showing signs that it is getting ready for a temporary pullback. I suspect a descending triangle or pennant is forming on the 30min charts to signal the reversal and the best price to short will be between 109500-110000. This is confirmed with a daily close below 106300.
$BTC – Reclaim Test & Momentum Watch (4H)
📊 CRYPTOCAP:BTC – Reclaim Test & Momentum Watch (4H)
🔍 On the 4-hour timeframe, CRYPTOCAP:BTC is retesting the broken symmetrical triangle resistance. If price manages to reclaim this structure, it could open the gates for a bullish leg up.
🟠 At the same time, price is navigating within a descending channel. A clean breakout above the channel’s resistance — supported by strong momentum — would validate a potential trend shift and strengthen the bullish case.
⚠️ This dual structure — reclaiming the symmetrical triangle while challenging the descending channel — is critical for the next major move. If the reclaim fails, short-term bearish pressure could continue. However, if buyers step up, this could mark the start of a new impulsive wave.
👁️ Keep a close watch — the next move will shape market sentiment!
Bitcoin setup for next moveBTC 1day is in a larger accumulation range within a macro bull phase For a confirmed recovery from current levels price will need to break out of this 104.5k sideways move to reclaim the 106.8k level with a successful retest to move on upwards and test the ATH 112k area resistance If the 106.8k resistance breaks price down or the retest fails then we likely follow the red arrow to 100.5k first support level in the green box We would need to bounce hard from 100.5k in a classic bottom V pattern to follow the green line back to test the 106.8 resistance for the second time on this idea Obviously if support fails at 100.5k we follow the bottom red arrow down to the 95-93k high demand area in the green box In support of the 100.5k solid support area we see that this level will complete a local Head & Shoulders pattern for a solid bottoming The key levels are 106.8k resistance and 100.5k support creating this recent accumulation range It could also be argued that we are in a larger Head & Shoulders pattern with the bottoming at the 95-93k high demand area...have fun the Institutions are here in force and retail is nowhere to be found
BitcoinAm expecting more drop in price for btc and my buy green bar zone could be the demand you are looking for.
As the dollar index holds 98 $ firmly we could be seeing btc correct below 100k.
BTC/USDT Analysis – Breakout from Sideways Range
Hello everyone! This is the trader-analyst from CryptoRobotics with your daily market update.
As expected, Bitcoin dropped to the local low yesterday. At the time, there was no sign of buyer support, and the price moved down to the next support level.
Just around $300 short of a round-number level, a strong absorption of market sell orders occurred, and we saw a rebound.
At the moment, the price has reached the range of accumulated volumes within the sideways channel — $104,500–$105,800 — which is currently positioned short. Therefore, the priority scenario is another wave of decline toward the $101,600–$100,000 zone.
If there is no selling reaction in that area, we’ll then expect Bitcoin to move to the next supply zone.
Supply Zones:
$104,500–$105,800 (accumulated volumes)
$107,000–$109,800 (accumulated volumes)
Demand Zones:
$101,600–$100,000 (previous push-volume zone + current buyer defense)
$98,000–$97,200 (local support)
$93,000 level
$91,500–$90,000 (strong buy-side imbalance)
This publication is not financial advice.
BTCUSDT reversal is not yet complete -> 95k???Despite yesterday's mini-dump, which initially appeared to be the right shoulder of the head and shoulders breaking out, the immediate retracement means the trading range sits within the range seen in the left shoulder.
We are still inside the incomplete head and shoulders pattern, and a bearish parallel channel.
If the price breaks out to the downside of the channel and the left shoulder range, the target for the retracement would be the same as the distance from the head to the neckline of the H&S pattern (y). This puts it inside the support zone of the 78.6% fib level of the continuation of the swing in the head of the pattern, at ~95k.
If the bulls thought they're through worst of it, the pain may not have even begun yet.
Even breaking out of the parallel channel might not be enough. The only thing that would signal the failure of the head & shoulders pattern is a new ATH, and that would need to happen quickly to save BTC from further falls.
BTC Correction Watch: MA100 Retest, Channel Breakdown & MA200BTCUSDT looks poised for a corrective move.
Expecting a second test of MA100 since the rally from $73k.
A pullback to the rising channel support is likely next.
If the channel breaks, we could see a decline to the green channel, and ultimately a first-time test of the MA200 in this wave.
This scenario could trigger a declining BTC.D, potentially fueling an ETH rise towards the $3200 annual pivot.
Key Levels: MA100, Rising Channel, Green Channel, MA200.
Disclaimer: Trading involves risk. This is not financial advice. DYOR.
Bitcoin Update
Currently bitcoin is on our local support ranging at 100.8k - 102.2k area, Looks our bulls are defending those local supports panda fam but the movement for me is a obvious normal correction 👀
As you can see its a decent reaction bounce between local support + A good volume from buyers base also basic indicator divergence. 🚀
Patiently waiting for next following days if we will print a structure the indicates a next higher high above local support which is possibly first indication for first confirmation reversal for possible next impulse up. 🐂
Crypto market is like a game you will wait to finish the loading screen then the battle begin ! 🔥
Adjustments for Better ReadingsMany traders rely on technical indicators to identify opportunities for profit—that's the whole point of this game. Whether it’s scalping, day trading, swing trading, or shorting the market, most trading decisions are based on indicator readings—be it a single indicator or a combination of several.
But here’s the truth: not all traders truly understand what an indicator is. They don’t grasp its nature—let alone the fact that this nature can be adjusted.
Those who don’t understand how or why an indicator works often find themselves in stressful and uncomfortable situations. It’s no coincidence that we often hear the common phrase: “Only 1% of all traders succeed, while 80% blow their accounts, and the remaining 19% barely break even.”
Why? Because the elite traders understand something most don’t:
Whether an indicator is leading or lagging, it can be customized to behave differently across different timeframes.
These adjustments can be found in the settings section of every indicator.
Let’s take the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which I’ve mentioned in previous ideas. Some of you may have noticed that my RSI plot looks different from yours. That’s because I don’t use the default 14-period RSI, which averages out the last 14 candles.
RSI is naturally lagging by default—but that doesn’t mean it can’t be trusted. In fact, with the right adjustments, that lagging nature can become leading. Learn how to do this. Push yourself. Educate your mind. Master this, and you might just find yourself among the top 1%.
Markets react to signals—signals that are often hidden in plain sight, created by the big players who always leave behind footprints. This is the trader’s true skill: seeing the whole picture.
A good friend once told me: Be a detective.
Now let’s go to the chart.
We clearly see a bearish strength unfolding.
Not only is the 9-period RSI plot trending below the yellow 28-period Weighted Moving Average (WMA), but we also observe a healthy continuation of the downtrend, confirmed by the WMA itself.
Using a 9-period RSI gives faster signals, while the 28 WMA offers smoother confirmations. This combo is applied on the daily timeframe—but every timeframe has its own ideal settings.
Now, when the RSI plot trends above the WMA, this can act as a potential reversal signal or even a confirmation of a trend change, depending on the broader market structure and volume context. It's not just about the crossover—it’s about what follows next. That’s where the detective work begins.
What do we see today?
Looking solely at the daily timeframe, the downtrend seems far from over. But to analyze it professionally, we must wait for the candle of Friday, June 6th, 2025 to close.
Switching to the lower timeframes, we see something interesting—a sort of bullish dominance unfolding during this incomplete trading day. But the real question is: Is it actual dominance?
Let’s break it down:
We have a clearly formed Head & Shoulders pattern.
The bearish Marubozu candle from June 5th made a new lower low (LL).
But—it did not close below the key swing low at 100.718.
Therefore, the Head & Shoulders pattern is not confirmed—it hasn’t broken and closed below that swing level.
So what’s happening in the lower timeframes?
In the 4-hour timeframe, we’re seeing a real-time crossover above the WMA (though the session isn’t closed yet).
In the 1-hour timeframe, the crossover has already occurred.
Now, such a crossover—where the RSI plot moves above the WMA—can often act as an early signal for a reversal, or at the very least, indicate a strong pullback. But don’t take it at face value—context is king. This is why we pair it with other signals like divergence, price action, and volume behavior for confirmation.
Across the 4H, 3H, and 1H timeframes, we’re observing this bullish pullback, yet it’s accompanied by an RSI Hidden Bearish Divergence (see: Macro Noise vs Micro Truth: The Art of Hidden Divergences).
Is this pullback a true reversal?
According to Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) (read: VSA vs BTC: Into a Bearish Scenario or Not?), a new narrative is emerging—but not without contradiction.
Price is climbing, yes.
But bullish volume spikes are declining, supporting our RSI hidden divergence. This volume-price disagreement is a clue.
What will reveal the truth?
Today's closing candle.
If price action (PA) creates a higher high (HH) but RSI creates a lower high (LH) → Bearish Divergence
If RSI makes a HH but PA creates a LH → Hidden Bearish Divergence
And for those of you who truly understand market structure:
The 100.718 level was a buy opportunity to secure profits.
If you caught that—congratulations. You’ve done your homework.
Now, you can sit back, relaxed, and wait for the next signal.
The market is a breathing organism. If you’re in sync with it—you’ll feel it.
And for those who believe there’s more to learn—but are struggling to find answers—there’s no shame in asking questions.
Till next time, take care—and trade wisely.
P.S. RSI plot, WMA, candlestick patterns, and Volume Spread Analysis (VSA)—when combined and used properly—can become a powerful toolset. For those willing to go deeper, they’re more than enough.
BTC Double Bottom incoming?Short term analysis.
I think BTC will drop back to 101800 to make double bottom then bounce back to 105200
BTC Tactical rebound or flush? Decision point at $103700 support__________________________________________________________________________________
Technical Overview – Summary Points
➤ Strong overall momentum across all swing/weekly timeframes, clear advantage to buyers.
➤ Key support at 103,700–104,000 USDT (chart/on-chain confluence, maximum visibility on all timeframes).
➤ Major technical resistance zone at 111,000–112,000 USDT (ATH + HTF pivots).
➤ Volumes normal to moderate, no directional climax or emotional excess in short and mid-term.
➤ Risk On / Risk Off Indicator remains strongly positive, indicating persistent sector outperformance.
➤ Only short-term weakness detected: temporary bearish trend on 2H/1H/30min/15min, typical of a short-term flush within a bullish structural context.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Strategic Summary
➤ Main bias: Bullish for swing approaches as long as $103,700 holds on closing.
➤ Opportunity: Buy on support on any retest 103,700–104,000 USDT with stop <102,000 USDT.
➤ Partial target: Take profits at 105–106k, then 111–112k.
➤ Risk zones: Confirmed break below 103,700 USDT with high volume = potential flush to 97–98k or even 95–96k.
➤ Catalysts: Quiet macro calendar until NFP (06/06) & FOMC (mid-June) — increased monitoring as these events approach.
➤ Action plan: Tactical intervention on support pullback, reduce exposure before major events.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Multi-Timeframe Analysis
1D/1W : Major structure fully bullish. No underlying reversal, stable volume, solid momentum. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator fully “On Risk”, no behavioral excess.
12H/6H: Sector momentum and volumes validate all swing-long entries on dips. Key supports 103,700–104,000 USDT consistently defended across timeframes.
4H/2H: Bullish bias maintained, healthy structure. Slight intraday weakness: 2H softens, moderately high volumes without extremes.
1H/30m/15m: Short-term bearish bias across all LTF — profit taking impact, typical technical flush on support. Bearish signals do NOT invalidate HTF bullish trend, but require tactical vigilance.
Risk Summary: A fast drop below 103,700 USDT with volume would validate a flash liquidation scenario to 97–98k. Pullback in mature bull phase, strongly defended at the key support: timing for “mean reversion” on volume reaction, else wait for lower setups.
Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: Still “On Risk”, strong tech/growth sector momentum on daily/swing.
ISPD: No behavioral excess, neutral/median histogram across timeframes.
Volumes: Normal/moderate, no exhaustion spike nor major selling.
On-chain: Mature distribution, LTH profit-taking; key supports at $103,700, $97,100, $95,600.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Strategic Synthesis & Bias
Market in mature bullish consolidation, HTF structure robust as long as 103,700 USDT holds.
Active opportunity window until NFP & FOMC: prioritize swing/mean-revert setups.
Required stop for any trade: strictly below $102,000.
Smart monitoring of volumes & sentiment: confirmed support break + volume = wait for lower rebound.
No excessive panic or exuberance signals: strong RR if re-entering the main range.
Actively manage exposure approaching macro events.
Operational summary:
• Buy at 103,700–104,000 USDT, stop <102,000.
• Partial profits at 105–106k, final offload at 111–112k.
• Reduce exposure ahead of NFP/FOMC.
• If break of 103,700 USDT: stop and wait for $97–98k or $95–96k.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Bitcoin/USD Daily AnalysisThere is a Downtrend in Daily TimeFrame.
I've specified a Supply are in Blue color.
I expect that price would have a good reaction there.
I will update this idea when price moves there.
BTC/USDT Technical Analysis – 15-Min Chart | Short-Term Bearish The current price action of Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) shows a sustained bearish trend within a well-defined descending channel. Following a temporary bullish correction in the form of a rising channel, the price faced strong resistance around the $107,000–$110,500 supply zone and is now showing signs of a bearish breakout.
📉 Key Technical Observations:
A clear rejection from the upper resistance zone has led to a breakdown below the rising correction channel.
Immediate support zones are identified around $99,600 (TP1) and $94,300 (TP2), where price may potentially stabilize or bounce.
The bearish momentum remains dominant unless a strong reversal above $107,000 occurs.
📌 Scenarios to Watch:
Bearish Scenario: Price could continue falling toward TP1 and possibly TP2 if momentum holds and no strong reversal signals appear.
Bullish Reversal Scenario: A bounce from support levels with higher lows and a break above $107,000 could signal the beginning of a new bullish phase.
🔔 Disclaimer:
This analysis is intended for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research and risk assessment before making any trading decisions.
BTC v DXY📊 Updated Analysis: BTC vs DXY
🔺 BTC Chart (Top Panel)
Price is near previous ATH resistance (~$110k).
Momentum is slowing as shown by the bearish divergence on RSI (RSI trending lower while price stays flat or rises).
However, BTC has not broken down; it’s still in consolidation near highs — not rejection.
🔻 DXY Chart (Bottom Panel)
DXY had a mini rally from ~100 to ~110 but is now pulling back slightly.
If DXY forms a lower high and breaks down, that would typically support a BTC rally.
If DXY resumes strength, BTC may consolidate longer or correct.
🧠 Can BTC Sustain a Multi-Year Bull Run with DXY in View?
Yes — if DXY weakens.
🟢 Bull Run Case:
If DXY breaks below 100, this could trigger a major capital rotation into risk assets, including BTC.
BTC above $112k with falling DXY = probable start of a parabolic rally (think $150k+).
🔴 Bearish Risk:
If DXY finds strong support (~98–100) and begins rallying again, especially beyond 110–112, BTC could enter a mid-cycle correction.
🔭 Watch These Levels:
BTC: Break/close above $112k = bull continuation. Breakdown below ~$85k = caution.
DXY: Close below 100 = major BTC bullish signal. Close above 112 = danger zone for crypto.
Was that end of bull run? BTC Price action + signal!Hello everyone! i want share my idea + signal at bitcoin.
I'll make simple technical analysis, yesterday bitcoin test 106500 LVL but i think sellers are still strong and they will brake that support zone and then we have 101000-100000 support zone where we can see real buyers if we are still in bull trend. in my opinion bear trend will start soon.
Why bitcoin made new high? with technical it tested 1 week FVG and it worked well but what happened exactly?
Despite the high, profit-taking is evident. On-chain data shows $4.02B in volume from 1–5y holders (highest since February), suggesting old hands are selling into strength. ETF inflows slowed this week, and the Fear & Greed Index at 74 (“Greed”) signals potential overheating. If $100K fails, a deeper correction to $90K–$87K could confirm a short-term bear trend.
Institutional Adoption: Highlighted $40B+ ETF inflows and corporate buying (e.g., MicroStrategy), as these are major drivers of the $111,880 high on May 22, 2025.
Regulatory Tailwinds: Noted Trump’s re-election and SEC speculation, which markets priced in as bullish.
Halving & Scarcity: Linked the April 2024 halving to reduced supply, supported by on-chain data showing low exchange inflows.
Macro Factors: Tied Fed rate cuts and BTC’s “digital gold” narrative to the rally, as these are widely discussed in 2024–2025.
Added on-chain evidence ($4.02B volume from older holders) to support your view of profit-taking and seller strength.
Noted slowing ETF inflows and high Fear & Greed Index (74) to justify a potential correction, aligning with your bearish outlook.
Suggested $100K as a critical level to watch, with a break below signaling a deeper drop to $90K–$87K, giving traders a clear risk framework.
This is not long term, short signal but for few days it will be good, we have FOMC soon and it will show us real bitcoin price direction.
Open short at 1075000
Stop loss at 109000
Take profit at 101000
Always make your own research!!!!
for collaboration text me Private!!!
Bitcoin Analysis – Possible Scenarios🟠 Price is consolidating around 104,500, sitting right on the short-term ascending trendline. No clear breakout yet.
🔴 Supply Zones:
1️⃣ OB 1H:📍 107,800 – 108,600📌 Strong rejection zone that led to the current decline.
2️⃣ OB 4H:📍 106,100 – 107,500📌 Key resistance zone – a valid break above may trigger bullish continuation.
3️⃣ Upper OB 1H:📍 110,700 – 111,400📌 Higher resistance to watch in case of strong breakout.
🟢 Demand Zones:
1️⃣ FVG 1H:📍 103,900 – 104,300📌 Price is nearing this imbalance zone – bullish reaction expected if support holds.
2️⃣ Lower FVG 1H:📍 99,900 – 100,700📌 If current support fails, this is the next strong liquidity zone.
📊 Possible Scenarios:
1️⃣ Bounce from current trendline & FVG → move toward OB 4H (buy setup with confirmation)
2️⃣ Break below trendline → deeper pullback into 100K zone
3️⃣ Breakout above OB 4H → target next resistance at 108,600 and above
‼️ Wait for confirmation before jumping in – price action is at a decision point.
🔍 Insight by ProfitaminFX
If this outlook aligns with your bias, or if you see it differently, feel free to share your perspective in the comments. Let’s grow together 📈
Btc ran stopsQuick wick as a swing fail pattern and poked into the fair value gap inefficiency, looks like we might get a retest and we’ll see how it goes. We might get 150k BTC before GTA 6
BTC Current Structure and Future movesZemoG Trading Strategy: Market Structure, Major Wicks, and Cycle Completion
My trading strategy is centered around identifying major wicks on higher timeframes combined with numerology, 55 degree angles, cycles and volume.
As we all witnessed, BTC reached a new all-time high (ATH) of $111,970 on May 22, 2025. With that milestone behind us, BTC is now moving toward the completion of its broader market structure cycle.
Every asset follows a cycle. By observing price action and structural behavior, we can anticipate the next move—especially when major wick rejections serve as signals for market dominance and directional bias.
Current Market Observation:
At the moment, BTC is bouncing from a significant wick zone around 100.7k. This move upward appears to be mirroring the left side (shoulder) of the larger market structure, setting the stage for the formation of the right shoulder.
As BTC continues this path, we expect it to wick above previous major wicks (see levels below) before initiating a reversal back toward its midpoint level wick at 100.7k.
---
Long Setup (Bullish Scenario):
Key Support: 100.7k
Long Targets:
104.1k
104.9k
105.8k
Stop Loss: 103k
---
Short Setup (Bearish Scenario):
If BTC closes below the 100.7k level, it would confirm a shift in market dominance toward the downside. Below this level, there are few significant wick supports, allowing for a smoother drop through multiple levels with little resistance.
Key Break Level: Close below 100.7k
Short Targets:
96.8k
95.8k
93.4k
92.9k
91.6k
83.9k
81.1k
79.9k
78.5k
76.6k
Final Target & Origin Zone: 74.5k
This 74.5k level is crucial, as it would complete the entire market structure and possibly reset the next cycle phase.
---
Stay aligned with the cycles, watch the wicks, and follow the structure.
As above, so below.
– ZemoG Trading Group
