BTCUSDT trade ideas
earish trand analysis Read The ChaptianSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of (BTC/USDT) based on the 4-hour timeframe. Here’s a detailed breakdown of the analysis and the idea behind it:
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Key Components of the Analysis:
1. Resistance Zone (FVG - Fair Value Gap):
The yellow zone marked as “fvg resistance level” indicates an area where price previously dropped quickly, suggesting inefficiency or imbalance in the market.
Price is approaching this zone again, which acts as a strong resistance.
2. Trendline & Lower Highs:
A descending trendline (with red arrows) shows consistent lower highs, indicating ongoing bearish pressure.
Each rejection from the trendline reinforces sellers’ dominance.
3. CHOCH (Change of Character):
The label “choch” signifies a market structure break, where bullish structure turned bearish.
This marks the transition to a downtrend.
4. EMA 200 (Exponential Moving Average):
The EMA (currently around 102,753) acts as dynamic support.
Price is currently trading above it, but a rejection from the resistance may push it below.
5. Target Zone:
A yellow box near 100,817.99 is labeled “target point”, indicating a possible short-term bearish target if price gets rejected at resistance.
6. RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI is around 47.11, slightly below neutral (50), suggesting bearish momentum could be building.
No clear oversold or overbought conditions yet.
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Trade Idea Summary:
Bias: Bearish
Scenario:
If price reaches the resistance zone (~106,800–107,500) and fails to break above, a sell-off is expected.
First target: 100,800–101,000 zone
Price may also dip below EMA 200 confirming bearish strength.
Confirmation:
Rejection candle or bearish engulfing pattern near resistance.
RSI staying below 50 and starting to dip.
Invalidation:
Clean breakout and close above the resistance zone and trendline (~108,000+).
Mr SMC Trading point
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Conclusion:
This chart sets up a high-probability short trade around the resistance area, leveraging both structural and momentum indicators. It suggests waiting for confirmation of rejection before entering, targeting the previous support and imbalance zone below.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Bitcoin Bullish Bias Becomes Stronger —New All-Time High EasyWith every day that passes and Bitcoin doesn't move below 100K the bullish bias becomes stronger. It is a death sentence for the bears. Bitcoin can't never move lower as long as the $100-$102,000 mega support barrier continues intact. And it hasn't been tested yet.
Good afternoon my fellow Cryptocurrency genius, how are you feeling today?
The market gives, the market also takes.
When looking at Bitcoin with a short-term mindset, everything is possible, it is hard to predict what will happen next but, when we focus on the actual price action, no doubt remains. Let me explain.
It doesn't matter if a candle is big or small...
It doesn't matter if Michael Saylor and the ETFs are buying or selling Bitcoin, what matters most is resistance and support.
Bitcoin's strong long-term mega-support remains intact and that is $102,000. Bitcoin is hyper-bullish above $100,000 and this is obvious. We are near the all-time high and the closer the action happens to resistance, the stronger the market. As Bitcoin moves sideways, consolidation, the altcoins will grow.
The altcoins cannot grow if Bitcoin is going to crash and yet the altcoins are starting to recover and some are looking great. I will continue to share more and the more I share the more convinced you will become that the next major move is up. We are set to experience growth long-term.
Aim higher, we are now-already in the 2025 bull market.
Never short Bitcoin within a bull market.
Namaste.
The inflow of funds provides momentum for the rise of Bitcoin.If market bullish sentiment surges and is fueled by new positive catalysts (such as increased institutional capital inflows or positive regulatory policy signals), the price of Bitcoin could break above the resistance level of $106,000. A successful breakout would open up new upside potential, with upward targets potentially reaching $107,500 or even higher.
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Market next target 🟢 1. Strong Support Zone Nearby
The region around $103,500–$104,000 has acted as a strong demand zone historically (look left).
BTC might bounce from this level instead of continuing the downtrend.
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🔄 2. Consolidation, Not Breakdown
The price action appears more sideways/choppy than strongly bearish.
Without a clean breakdown candle below key support, this might be accumulation, not distribution.
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📉 3. Bearish Momentum Weakness
Volume on the recent red candles is not significantly increasing.
This implies lack of strong conviction from sellers.
BTC 4H Setup – OB Rejection or Launchpad? Bitcoin is currently ranging below a 4H Order Block (OB) and forming a potential higher low. With price holding above the key 0.618 fib zone (104.1k), this could act as a springboard for continuation — or a trap.
Key Levels:
Support: 104.1k–103.6k (fib cluster & mid-volume node)
Immediate Resistance: 105.1k (OB 4H)
Breakout Target: 107.1k
Fail-safe: 103.0k
Scenarios:
🟩 Bullish Path:
Hold 104k zone
Reclaim 105.1k OB = confirmation
Push toward 107.1k & higher liquidity sweep
🟥 Bearish Path:
Rejection from OB + break below 104k
Eyes on 103.0k as next bounce zone
Plan:
Long scalp above 104.2k if volume sustains
TP1: 105.1k (retest OB)
TP2: 107.1k
SL: Below 103.6k (tight invalidation)
📌 “OB rejection or flip? Market’s next impulse hinges on this 104k–105k squeeze.”
FVG re-entry or fail – this level decides the tone.Bitcoin tapped the 0.618 fib at ~$104,100 and front-ran the 1H demand zone. Now it's hovering at a decision point just beneath the 1H Fair Value Gap.
What to watch:
→ Price is pressing into FVG (104.4k–104.7k), aiming for acceptance.
→ Value area high sits at 104,275 – acting as pivot.
→ Break + hold above 104.7k? Clean path to 105.8k.
Plan:
Entry: 104.1k–104.3k
SL: below 103.6k
TP1: 104.9k
TP2: 105.8k (liquidity sweep)
Invalidation: Rejection from 104.7k = probable retest of 103k
Narrative flip potential:
Buyers are defending the mid-range + FVG. Breakout would shift market structure bullish on the lower timeframes.
"Acceptance above the gap = momentum reclaim."
$BTC not finished yetHey!
I'm still me, just a quick rebranding honoring my father.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC cycle is far from over. Not saying we bottomed yet. I think prices bewteen 96 - 102k could be reached on the upcoming days.
Althought this bearish momentum, we should encounter a goooood support level which would lead us to a great short absortion. If price holds those levels this week (maybe next too) there is a high chance we will see a new leg above the ATH level.
Im long here. Stay tuned
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #105👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into Bitcoin and key crypto indices. As usual, in this analysis, I’ll walk you through the triggers for the New York futures session.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
On the 1-hour chart, as you can see, Bitcoin’s correction phase began after the breakdown of the 107010 level. Currently, after pulling back to the 105673 area, it seems ready to begin its next corrective leg.
✔️ One of the reasons Bitcoin has moved downward over the past few days is the escalation of war between Ukraine and Russia. As the conflict intensified, risk assets like Bitcoin dropped while safe-haven assets like gold surged.
🔍 Currently, price action is forming an expanding triangle and is trending downward. It was recently rejected from the triangle’s top and is now sitting on a key support at 103899.
💥 If 103899 breaks, a short position targeting 101750 could be triggered. Selling volume has increased significantly, confirming bearish momentum, so opening a short upon a break of 103899 appears logical. However, keep in mind that the primary market trend remains bullish, and there is a high probability that any short may hit stop-loss.
📈 For a long position, the first trigger would be a breakout above the triangle. In this case, breaking 105673 could justify entry. Key overhead resistances are located at 107010 and 110256.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Looking at Bitcoin dominance, the metric continued its upward move to reach 64.67 and has since been rejected from that level.
⚡️ If the bullish move continues, the breakout above 64.67 would act as a bullish trigger. On the other hand, a breakdown below 64.29 would confirm a bearish shift.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Total2 is currently ranging between 1.13 and 1.16. A breakout from either side could serve as a trigger for a directional position.
📊 If 1.13 breaks, a short position could be considered. Conversely, breaking above 1.16 would signal a potential long.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
After breaking above 4.70, USDT dominance has been ranging between 4.70 and 4.79. It’s now heading back toward the 4.79 resistance.
🧩 If 4.79 is broken, the next bullish leg in dominance may begin. A drop back below 4.70 would bring the dominance back into its previous range and could lead to further downside toward 4.49.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
btc 4h chart Resistance Levels:
~104,570.96: This red line is currently acting as immediate resistance. The price has interacted with this level multiple times.
~107,000 - 107,800: The middle green shaded area (labeled "Fvg" which might stand for Fair Value Gap, often acting as S/R).
~109,500 - 110,500: The upper green shaded area.
~112,004.43: The yellow horizontal line, marking a previous significant high.
Support Levels:
~103,000 - 103,800: The lower green shaded area.
If the price breaks below the current level, the next potential support could be around the lows seen near 102,000 (though not explicitly marked with a line/box, it's a visible swing low area).
HelenP. I Bitcoin can exit break trend line and continue to fallHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. After looking at the chart, we can see how the price declined and broke support 2, which coincided with the support zone. Then the price rose to the support zone but turned around and dropped to the trend line. After this movement, BTC started to grow inside an upward channel, where it soon rose to support 2, which soon broke it and continued to move up. In the channel, price rose to support 1 and some time traded near this level. Later, BTC broke it and rose to the resistance line of the channel and turned around, and dropped to support 1. And at the moment, it traded inside the resistance zone, which coincided with the support level. So, I expect that BTCUSDT will break the support level, which coincides with the trend line, and continue to decline, thereby exiting from upward channel. That's why I set my goal at 96000 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
BTC/USDT🔔 New Month Kicks Off — Caution with Futures
I wouldn’t rush into aggressive futures trading right now.
Key long zones to watch:
• Liquidity sweep near 100,700
• Entry into the weekly FVG zone
That’s where I’ll be monitoring closely for potential position building.
🧠 The logic is simple:
For a solid entry point, the market needs to define the monthly and weekly lows.
This reduces the risk of getting chopped in volatility and offers a cleaner market structure.
☀️ Seasonal Context:
Summer is here — market dynamics shift.
Don’t expect explosive volatility; a prolonged sideways phase is on the table.
📉 If BTC sweeps the lows from current levels — we can consider a continuation of the long setup.
Otherwise, it’s best to wait for confirmation before entering.
BTC: Both Scenarios Explained - Still BearishBTC: Both Scenarios Explained - Still Bearish
From our previous analysis, BTC fell by almost 2.7%.
Today the price stood again at 106K showing a slight upward momentum, but as we can see, everything disappeared.
The price created and corrected ABC with the current data and if this correction has already passed, it should fall further today. Otherwise, it may continue to rise and test 106K again.
You may watch the analysis for Further Details!
Thank you!
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