BTCUST trade ideas
June 12, 2025 Historical Comparison Analysis [Wave Analysis]No one knows tomorrow but what if???
Here, we have a historical comparison between December 07, 2020 to June 13, 2022, and January 22, 2024 to present day.
December 07, 2020 to November 08, 2021:
• Uptrend
• Flag (retracement)
• Uptrend continuation
• Range
• Downtrend
• Range (W or Double bottom pattern)
• Uptrend
• Flag (retracement)
• Uptrend continuation
November 08, 2021 to June 13, 2022:
• Downtrend
• Flag (retracement)
• Downtrend continuation
January 22, 2024 to May 19, 2025:
• Uptrend
• Flag (retracement)
• Uptrend continuation
• Range
• Downtrend
• Range (W or Double bottom pattern)
• Uptrend
May 19, 2025 to present day:
• .......
JUST WHAT IF HISTORY REPEATS ITSELF
Bitcoin's Latest Market AnalysisThe recent escalation of the situation in the Middle East has triggered a surge in risk - aversion sentiment across global financial markets. As a risk - on asset, Bitcoin has faced certain selling pressure in a market environment dominated by risk - off sentiment.
From a technical chart perspective, Bitcoin has made multiple attempts to break through the key resistance range of $108,800 - $110,000 in the recent period, but has encountered significant selling pressure each time. On the other hand, the area between $105,000 - $103,000 forms an important support zone. When the price drops to this area, it attracts some bargain - hunting capital inflows, which provides a certain degree of support for the price.
The price of Bitcoin is expected to fluctuate within a relatively narrow range. If it can hold the key support level of $105,000 and the bulls can regain strength, the price is likely to rebound to the range of $106,000 - $108,000. However, if the $105,000 support level is effectively breached, it may trigger additional selling pressure, potentially driving the price down further to $103,000. In extreme cases, if market panic sentiment spreads further, it may test the psychological threshold of $100,000.
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BTC BITCOIN ,we are watching every step and price action,the next clear directional bias on long will be on the break and close of daily supply roof at 111k, while the sell confirmation will be on the break and possible retest of the daily ascending trending line holding buyers for today 16th.
Israel and Iran war could be seeing liquidity into crypto especially bitcoin
Bitcoin StructureBTCUSDT — day
Now we clearly respect the supply zones . The price has already beaten off the zone twice, and there is no desire to go higher yet.
Also by structure:
There was an explicit Break of Structure, then Market Structure Shift (MSS) - impulse change
Below in the region of 93k - the discount zone, where there is a large liquidity (according to calculations - stops by about 17 billion)
→ Continuation of the rollback down
→ Liquidity collection from 93k
→ And only after that a possible turn up
❗️So far, I'm only looking for shorts from the offer zones - on junior TF, with confirmation on 4H.
Another drop for BitcoinHi traders,
Last week Bitcoin went exactly as predicted.
Price went up a little higher into the Daily FVG and after that it started the next wave down and smaller correction up.
Now we could see a small correction up and after that another drop.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for the correction up to finish to trade shorts.
If you want to learn more about trading FVG's with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
Bitcoin Holds Strong as Market Consolidates — No Bearish DivergeUpon analyzing CRYPTOCAP:BTC price structure across multiple timeframes, I don't see any bearish divergence at the moment. Instead, the chart continues to print a series of bullish formations, including inverse head and shoulders patterns, signaling continuation of the macro uptrend.
The current movement between $100,000 and $109,000 appears to be a classic case of a choppy or ranging market — in simpler terms, a bullish consolidation phase just below resistance. This kind of sideways price action, especially after a significant rally, often serves as a base for the next breakout leg.
Despite geopolitical tensions like the Iran-Israel conflict, Bitcoin remains remarkably resilient. If such macro-level risk had any real impact, BTC would likely have already broken below the $100K mark. Instead, the price is holding firm, which is another sign of strong bullish sentiment in the market.
The chart structure remains highly constructive — multiple bullish reversal and continuation patterns are playing out, and as long as BTC holds above the $98K–$100K support zone, the broader trend remains intact. This ongoing consolidation below all-time highs is a healthy sign of strength —
bitcoin bullish and bearish BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P
bullish
🔹 Technical analysis according to Elliott waves (time: 1 hour)
📌 The pattern shown on the chart shows a complex structure that includes a complex correction within the larger wave (B), and the following is clear:
🔸 Main waves:
Wave (1) up from the bottom has been confirmed.
It was followed by a corrective wave (2) that ended near the 0.786 Fibonacci level = 102,575.
Then the upward wave (3) started, and it seems that it has been completed or is about to be completed.
🔸 Current status:
The price is currently moving within a small corrective wave, likely wave (4).
Current major support is located at: 🔸 102,275.7 (very important level) 🔸 100,317.6 (in case the correction extends)
🔸 Critical resistance areas:
For the bullish scenario to be valid, the resistance must be broken:
106,759 (0.618 Fibonacci ratio)
108,948 (0.786 – peak of wave C)
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🔹 Important technical points:
🔸 The last correction (A)-(B)-(C) shows a clear triple structure, indicating that wave (2) has been completed.
🔸 The price is currently bouncing off the 0.5 - 0.618 Fibonacci levels (104,402 - 104,923), which reinforces the possibility that wave (2) has actually ended, and that we are currently starting an upward wave (3).
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✅ Conclusion:
✅ As long as the price is above 102,275, the upward scenario through wave (3) remains valid.
⚠️ Breaking 100,317 indicates the failure of the bullish scenario and a structural shift in the waves.
🔻 Alternative (Bearish) Scenario – Short-Term:
If the price fails to maintain the current support at 102,275, we may not be in wave (4) but rather at the beginning of a new downward wave within a broader corrective scenario, as follows:
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🔸 Wave Interpretation:
🔹 Wave (B), which completed at the peak near 108,948, likely marked the end of an upward correction.
🔹 The current downward wave from that peak could be:
Either wave 1 of C within a larger correction,
or the beginning of wave (C) within a bearish (A)-(B)-(C) pattern.
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🔻 Potential Downside Targets in This Scenario:
1. Breaking 102,275 = Confirmation of the beginning of a new downward wave.
2. First Target:
🔸 101,484 (1.618 Fibonacci Extension – Wave 1 Expected)
3. Second and Stronger Target:
🔸 100,317 = Previous Major Support, Representing an Important Structural Test Area.
4. Third and Most Extreme Target in This Scenario:
🔸 98,800 – 99,260 = Possible Wave C Extension (Corresponds to a Larger Downside Scenario).
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⚠️ Failure Signal:
Remaining below 105,926 (Previous Sub-Wave Resistance) maintains selling pressure.
Any weak bounce and lack of a clear wave 5 upwards = an additional sign of bearish dominance.
---
🔻 Conclusion:
✳️ The bearish scenario assumes that the peak at 108,948 was the end of corrective wave (B), and that we are now in a downward wave C targeting areas between 101,400 and 99,200, and possibly lower.
✳️ A break of 102,275 would be key to activating this scenario.
BTCUSD – Range Scalping Zones IdentifiedPrice tapped into a previous short zone near 108.6 and showed rejection. We’re watching for downside follow-through toward the 104.2 to 104.5 range where a potential long opportunity may form.
This chart outlines clean range-based levels for scalping. These zones line up with prior liquidity sweeps and local structure shifts. Scalpers can look to react at these levels depending on how price behaves when we get there.
Ideal for traders on lower timeframes like the 15m, but the concept applies across intraday setups. Always wait for confirmation before entering.
The Pattern That Could Launch BitcoinSpotted a long-term inverted head & shoulders pattern forming over a 7–8 month stretch on Bitcoin — much more reliable than short-term setups. If this bullish structure plays out, we could be looking at a breakout that pushes BTC firmly into price discovery.
I’ve included local Fibonacci levels on the chart, though I couldn’t fit the macro one (going from $4k → $69k → $15k — the 1.618 extension of that larger swing lands at $119,800. That could be a key resistance target if we clear the ATH and continue the uptrend. After that, there's the smaller timeframe, but more recent, fib ext 1.618 sitting at $131k.
I'd be very cautious of a failed pattern if $101k doesn't hold. As a last support, 95k and the red 20EMA might hold.
Let’s see how this plays out 🚀
#BTC URGENT UPDATECRYPTOCAP:BTC Update:
Keeping it simple, yesterday’s daily candle printed a nice hammer, but today’s candle looks rough.
That said, things can flip fast in this market.
🔹 Close above previous day’s high: Trend remains intact
🔹 Close above $103,500K: Bullish structure holds
🔹 Break below $102,600: Bearish, could open the door to low $90Ks in the coming weeks
We’re stuck in a tight zone. It's best to stay patient until we get a breakout in either direction.
DYOR, NFA
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Thank you
#PEACE
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #114👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s go over Bitcoin analysis and the key crypto indexes. As usual, I’ll break down the futures triggers for the New York session.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
On the one hour timeframe, as you can see, a trading range has formed between the levels of 108617 and 110256. This has happened after a strong upward move with significant buying volume, and now we’re in a market correction phase.
📊 Market volume is decreasing during this corrective phase, which shows the strength of the buyers and supports the ongoing uptrend. RSI has exited the Overbuy zone and is now cooling off, which indicates that the bullish momentum has weakened for now.
📈 For a long position, the 110256 trigger seems very suitable today. If the price forms a higher low above 108617 before breaking this level, the probability of breaking 110256 increases significantly.
💥 If this trigger is activated, it’s crucial that volume rises as well. That would confirm the strength of the trend and increase the chances of the uptrend continuing. The current target for this position is 111747.
🔽 In the correction scenario, if the price stabilizes below 108617, this scenario becomes more likely and a deeper correction could follow.
✨ Personally, I won’t open a short position unless we get confirmation of a trend reversal. But if you want to go short, a break below 108617 is not a bad option and could signal a downward move.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Bitcoin dominance has continued its downward movement, stabilized below 64.12, and is now heading toward 63.93.
⭐ If the 63.93 low is broken, the bearish move in dominance will likely continue. If it pulls back, a break above 64.12 will confirm that retracement.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Let’s look at Total2. Yesterday, it broke through the 1.2 level and is now moving toward 1.24. A breakout above this level could start the next bullish leg.
🎲 If a correction occurs, the price may drop back to 1.2 or even 1.18.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Now for Tether dominance. This index is still sitting at the 4.56 support and is currently being held there. If 4.56 breaks, the next bearish leg can form.
🔔 In case of a retracement, USDT dominance might rise to 4.64.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BTC BITCOIN Bitcoin buy level on the green structure to watch will be on the 100k and my next buy watch zone will be 97-98k .
Growing institutional participation, including the launch and approval of Bitcoin ETFs is increasing liquidity and legitimizing BTC as an investment asset.
Macroeconomic Environment , Persistent low real interest rates by central banks and concerns about inflation support demand for Bitcoin as a store of value.
Geopolitical uncertainties and currency debasement fears boost Bitcoin’s appeal as a digital gold.
Bitcoin’s network security, hash rate, and active addresses remain robust, underpinning confidence in its decentralized infrastructure.
Continued development in scaling solutions and layer-2 technologies enhances usability.
Increasing regulatory clarity worldwide, including clearer frameworks for crypto exchanges and custodians, reduces uncertainty and encourages adoption.
However, regulatory risks remains a factor that can cause short-term volatility.
#bitcoin #btc
Bitcoin - Breakout incoming towards $115k?Introduction
Bitcoin (BTC) has been consolidating just below a key resistance level over the past several days. This period of sideways movement, without any significant pullbacks, reflects notable strength in the market. Such price behavior often precedes a strong directional move, and in this case, the technical setup continues to favor the possibility of a bullish breakout.
1H BullFlag Pattern
On the 1-hour timeframe, BTC is forming a well-defined bull flag pattern, which is typically a bullish continuation signal. This flag began to develop after BTC surged from approximately $105,000 to $110,000, creating the flagpole that represents the initial wave of upward momentum.
Since that move, price has entered a consolidation phase, forming the flag portion of the pattern with declining volume and tighter price action. If BTC breaks out above the upper boundary of this flag, the measured move target projects a rally toward the $115,000 level. Reaching this target would represent a new all-time high for Bitcoin, signaling a continuation of the broader uptrend.
4H Fair Value Gap (FVG), Downside Scenario
Although the overall structure favors a bullish outcome, it is important to acknowledge the potential for a short-term retracement. On the 4-hour chart, there is a Fair Value Gap (FVG) between $105,700 and $106,800. If BTC fails to break out immediately, this zone becomes a logical area to monitor.
Price may revisit this imbalance to fill the gap left behind by the recent upward move. A dip into this area could present a strong opportunity for long entries, particularly if buyers step in with conviction. Filling this FVG would allow for a more balanced structure before BTC attempts a sustained move higher.
Conclusion
BTC continues to show impressive resilience as it consolidates near its prior highs. The presence of a bull flag on the lower timeframes, coupled with minimal downside volatility, suggests that a breakout above resistance is becoming increasingly likely.
However, reclaiming the previous all-time high remains a critical step before targeting the projected $115,000 level. How BTC reacts to that key resistance area will provide important insight into the strength of this rally.
At this stage, the bullish case remains the higher probability scenario, while any short-term pullback into the FVG zone could offer a healthy reset and a potential long setup for continuation toward new highs.
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BTC H4 Range Play: Patience Until One Side Breaks✅ Price contracting within well-defined H4 range
✅ Clear lower highs and higher lows — coiled, ready to break either side
⚠️ FOMC incoming — possible volatility/surprise rate cut rumors
🎯 Trading Plan:
Short Setup:
If price spikes RH ($105,500) and H4 FVG (~$106,000), then re-accepts back inside the range
Entry on confirmation back below RH/FVG
Target: RL ($103,300) and $102,600
Stop: Above $106,300
Long Setup:
If RL ($103,300) or $102,600 gets swept then reclaimed (M15/H1 SFP or strong reclaim)
Entry on confirmation reclaim of RL/W
Target: RH ($105,500) and beyond
Stop: Below $102,200
🔔 Triggers & Confirmations:
Only enter trades on confirmed sweeps/reclaims or acceptance back inside after spike
No trade if price stays in chop between levels
📝 Order Placement & Management:
Sell Limit: $105,500–$106,000
🛡️ Stop: $106,300
🎯 Target: $103,300 / $102,600
Buy Limit (on sweep/reclaim): $102,600
🛡️ Stop: $102,200
🎯 Target: $105,500 / $106,000
🚨 Risk Warning:
Market coiled — can rinse either side
FOMC could be a catalyst; manage risk, don’t overtrade
BTC falls below $101K! And it will keep falling!
A day after President Trump publicly confirmed the US airstrike on Iranian military facilities, Bitcoin showed investor indecision, although its market value still held above the key support level of $100,000. Currently, Bitcoin is trading between $101K and $100K. Price fluctuations remain within the intraday range of $100K to $101K, highlighting the market's balance between geopolitical risks and technical boundaries.
The recent sell-off was accompanied by a prominent volume peak, suggesting either retail panic or institutional exit. While some buying was shown, follow-through was weak. If the retest of $100,945 is carried out on reduced volume, it may provide a speculative long opportunity, but failure to hold this area may trigger a new round of bearish trend.
Bitcoin remains in a bearish posture, showing a clear downtrend channel, and a bullish reversal around $100,000 to $101,000 could be valid if supported by a reversal pattern such as a bullish engulfing and with increasing volume as confirmation. In the absence of such confirmation, a break below $100,000 would open the door to a downside move towards $96,000 to $98,000.
Bearish view:
While the technical setup shows the possibility of a rebound, Bitcoin remains vulnerable to further declines given the ongoing bearish momentum and lack of volume confirmation. The dominance of sell signals from short-term and medium-term moving averages and oscillators highlights the ongoing weakness. The geopolitical shock of the US airstrike on Iran introduces higher systemic risk; if this evolves into a wider conflict or market panic, Bitcoin could fall below $100,000 and slide towards $96,000 or lower in the short term.
BTC: Short 19/06/25Trade Direction:
BTC Short
Risk Management:
- Risk approx 0.25%
Reason for Entry:
- M30 + M15 Bear Div
- Rejected off Monday low
- Failure to break weekly open
- H1 overbought
- Market is choppy, HTF Bearish
Additional Notes:
- Compounding shorts to maximize edge if trade confirms, currently have a risk free SOL short running. Moving my risk to this.