BTCUST trade ideas
BITCOIN BEARISH SETUPBitcoin (BTC/USDT) – Breakdown from Double Top Confirms Bearish Trend Continuation
The 4-hour chart of BTC/USDT (Binance Perpetual Contracts) presents a textbook double top formation followed by a confirmed breakdown below structural support levels. The bearish trend has already met its first target, and technicals suggest the move could extend lower toward the key demand zone around $96,000.
🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
Double Top Pattern: Clear double top structure formed between $109,000–$110,000, followed by a strong rejection.
Support Break: Price broke down below key support at ~$105,000, triggering a sell-off and validating the bearish reversal.
Bearish Retest: After the breakdown, price retested the broken trendline (highlighted with a red zone) and failed to reclaim the range.
First Target Hit: Price achieved the first projected support zone at around $101,000.
Next Target: Based on measured move projection and previous structure, the next downside target lies near the $96,000 mark.
📉 Outlook:
The structure remains bearish as long as BTC trades below the broken support-turned-resistance zone (~$105,000). Momentum favors continued downside toward the next key zone unless a significant bullish reversal signal emerges.
BTC is squeezing between descending resistance.📊 BTC/USDT – 1H Chart Analysis: The Calm Before the Storm?
Bitcoin is currently coiling within a symmetrical triangle on the 1-hour chart – a technical pattern that often signals a strong breakout is just around the corner. The market is compressing, and momentum is building.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
🔹 Symmetrical Triangle:
BTC is squeezing between descending resistance and ascending support. This equilibrium usually doesn’t last long – expect a sharp move soon.
🔹 Demand Zone ($$$ / BPR):
A solid floor is forming near the BPR (Bullish Price Range), signaling potential buyer interest and liquidity resting just below.
🔹 Fair Value Gap (FVG):
To the upside, BTC is facing a liquidity pocket (FVG) that could act as a magnet if bulls take control.
⚡ Potential Scenarios:
📈 Bullish Breakout: A break and close above the triangle could trigger a rally towards the $105K–$106K zone. Watch for volume to confirm!
📉 Bearish Breakdown: Losing the lower trendline support might send BTC into a deeper correction toward previous demand zones.
🧠 Final Thoughts:
We're approaching a critical inflection point. The triangle is narrowing, and Wednesday, June 25 could be the date the market decides. Both bulls and bears should prepare for volatility.
🚨 As always: This is not financial advice.
🧠 DYOR – Do Your Own Research.
Manage risk. Trade smart. Stay sharp. 💹
BTC/USD – Price Rejected at ATH | Key Support in PlaY Bitcoin recently reached a new all-time high at $111,942, but the daily candle closed lower around $109,550, signaling a potential rejection.
On the 1D timeframe, we are now watching the $100,725 level closely. A confirmed break below this support would be a strong signal to consider short positions.
Until then, BTC may consolidate or attempt another push higher. Patience is key here — wait for confirmation.
📌 Key levels:
• Resistance: $111,942 (ATH)
• Support: $100,725 (critical break level)
🧠 Trade safe, manage risk, and follow for more analysis.
$BTC 4hr - The Calm Before Bitcoin’s Next Move💡 In bull markets, triangles break UP more often than down.
But volume + macro + ETF flows > patterns.
Set alerts, manage risk, stay nimble.
#BTC #CryptoAlpha #RiskManagement
🎯 Key Levels Analysis:
✅ Resistance: 106.3K
→ This level matches the upper bound of the symmetrical triangle and is reinforced by multiple recent rejections. Also aligns with previous highs.
✅ Support: 103.7K
→ Mid-range horizontal support. Price reacted here multiple times. It's also near the triangle base.
✅ Support: 99.6K
→ Clean psychological + technical level. A previous consolidation zone. Would likely trigger a strong reaction.
✅ Last Line of Bull Defense: 95.2K
→ Major horizontal support from the April/May breakout structure. Losing this would likely invalidate the bullish structure.
Bitcoin (BTC): Markets are Cooked | Big Volatility IncomingYes, markets are cooked....all those tensions and news that are pressuring markets from every corner might result in a very explosive movement.
Now we've been looking for a new ATH to form near $120K and we still keep that game plan as long as buyers keep the dominance above the 200EMA line.
There is not much we can do now but just speculate. Speculate that when the war between Russia and Ukraine happened, what markets did exactly was they dumped and then shot highly up (talking mainly about Bitcoin).
So we might see similar things in the markets depending on what will happen next in the world, but one thing is sure: some will make a lot of money soon and some will lose a lot. Be sure to have proper risk management, as this is crucial!
Swallow Academy
bitcoin is pumpingBitcoin has been pumping in the past few days pretty massively. Why? There are 2 main reasons - the first reason is that Bitcoin has finished a major WXY corrective wave, and the second is that Bitcoin swept liquidity below a triangle (see my previous post for details). That was a very good opportunity to buy/long Bitcoin at that specific level I described in the previous analysis. But let's focus on the present and future!
We always want to find strong levels on the charts so we have a great entry point/take profit target. The next strong level is definitely the 0.618 FIB, which Bitcoin can hit in the very short term. Also, below the 0.618 FIB, we have a strong horizontal zone, which can also act as a strong resistance. Bitcoin should definitely go there and retest this zone.
We want to see how Bitcoin is going to react in the zone and FIB, but you can create a new limit order to short Bitcoin there so you don't miss anything. So currently I am temporarily bullish on Bitcoin, and in the next update I will make a big analysis on Bitcoin and a very likely scenario for the next months. What will the price of Bitcoin be in December? Please like/boost my idea right now.
Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
BTCUSD | Short Bias | Liquidity Grab | (June 16, 2025)BTCUSD | Short Bias | Liquidity Grab Setup | (June 16, 2025)
1️⃣ Short Insight Summary: Bitcoin hit a solid take-profit earlier, but now I’m watching for a potential liquidity grab near the highs to set up a short opportunity. The next key zone to watch is around 1:11 PM if price quickly spikes and reverses.
2️⃣ Trade Parameters:
Bias: Short
Entry: Around 113 (after a confirmed liquidity grab at the top)
Stop Loss: Just above the liquidity grab zone
TP1: Around 103900 (Point of Control zone)
TP2: Final target at 97900
Partial Exits: Possible scaling out at POC zone
3️⃣ Key Notes: Spot selling is active, but there's also a lot of buying interest—especially from those trying to long this dip. That mix can lead to a fast liquidity grab, flushing out early shorts before a reversal. Open interest suggests there's still a lot of activity, so I’m being patient and only acting on confirmation.
4️⃣ Optional Follow-up: I’ll keep an eye on this setup and update if the reversal confirms after the grab.
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Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
Market Overview
WHAT HAPPENED?
Strong sales resumed last week after a short period of growth. This was provoked by the escalation of the conflict in the Middle East.
After testing and fixing the $105,800-$104,500 zone (accumulated volumes), strong volume deviations appeared, which should be perceived as protection on the part of the buyer.
WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT?
At the moment, an attempt is being made to position the volumes accumulated in the range of $105,600-$104,700 in the direction of growth. Strong support has already been formed in the area of $104,000-$102,900 (abnormal volumes).
When the four-hour candle closes above the $106,400 mark, it’ll be possible to additionally consider the zone of accumulated volumes for buys (if there is a reaction from it).
The main scenario is a long position with targets up to the nearest resistance. In case of easing of geopolitical tensions, there remains the possibility of updating the ATH.
Alternative scenario: correction to the support zone of $101,600-$100,000 (volume anomalies). With this development, a prolonged rebound is possible.
Sell Zones:
$109,000–$110,000 (accumulated volume)
Buy Zones:
$105,600–$104,700 (accumulated volume)
$104,000–$102,900 (volume anomalies)
$101,600–$100,000 (significant volume anomalies)
$98,000–$97,200 (local support)
Level at $93,000
$91,500–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance)
IMPORTANT DATES
Macroeconomic developments this week:
• Tuesday, June 17, 03:00 (UTC) — publication of the Japanese interest rate decision;
• Tuesday, June 17, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the core retail sales index for May in the United States, the volume of retail sales for May in the United States;
• Wednesday, June 18, 06:00 (UTC) — publication of the UK consumer price index compared to May last year;
• Wednesday, June 18, 9:00 (UTC) — publication of the consumer price index in the Eurozone compared to May last year;
• Wednesday, June 18, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial applications for US unemployment benefits;
• Wednesday, June 18, 18:00 (UTC) — publication of FOMC economic forecasts, FOMC statement, US Federal Reserve interest rate decision;
• Wednesday, June 18, 18:30 (UTC) — US FOMC Press Conference;
• Thursday, June 19, 7:30 (UTC) — publication of the Q2 interest rate decision in Switzerland;
• Thursday, June 19, 8:00 (UTC) — press conference of the National Bank of Switzerland;
• Thursday, June 19, 11:00 (UTC) — publication of the June interest rate decision in the UK;
• Thursday, June 19, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial applications for unemployment benefits in the United States;
• Friday, June 20, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the Philadelphia Federal Reserve's index of manufacturing activity for June in the United States.
*This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
#analytics
BTC Bitcoin: Where I'm buying this war crash. Buy in strategyBTC Bitcoin: Where I'm buying this war crash. Buy in strategy
We're in a buy zone right now but I'm looking for bullish divergences for entry. I'll add more if we start getting higher highs.
If we lose this zone, then I'm looking again around the 90k area.
I think this is a wonderful opportunity to get BTC under 100k.
btc 150/160 kSeveral key factors contributed to Bitcoin’s dramatic rise to $150,000:
Institutional Adoption: Major financial institutions, hedge funds, and even governments have started to invest in Bitcoin, seeing it as a hedge against inflation and economic instability.
Limited Supply: With only 21 million bitcoins that will ever exist, scarcity plays a major role in driving up demand and price.
Geopolitical Instability: As traditional currencies face pressure from inflation and political uncertainty, investors turn to decentralized alternatives like Bitcoin.
Public Trust and Awareness: Widespread education and acceptance of cryptocurrencies have led to more retail investors entering the market.
Support Tested: Can Bitcoin Withstand Global Fear?CRYPTOCAP:BTC is struggling to hold above the key support zone after losing its rising trendline.
This weakness comes as the Israel-Iran conflict intensifies, shaking global market confidence. While BTC has often acted as a hedge, rising geopolitical tension is pushing investors toward safety, causing hesitation even at critical support levels.
A breakdown here could trigger deeper downside.
DYOR, NFA
Bitcoin Key $103K Supports Tested, Swing-Bullish Opportunity?__________________________________________________________________________________
Technical Overview – Summary Points
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Strong bullish momentum on daily, fueled by the Risk On / Risk Off Indicator and MTFTI structure.
Major supports identified at $102,600 – $103,300, high confluence (4H, 12H, 1D).
Resistances clustered between $106,000 and $110,000 (240 & D Pivot High, W Pivot High).
Volumes generally neutral; no buyer/seller climax.
Directional trends diverge: overall swing remains bullish, short-term intraday still corrective.
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Strategic Summary
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Global Bias: Structured bullish as long as supports >$102,600 are preserved.
Opportunities: Longs on retest of major supports, favoring daily/4H trend-following. Reactive shorts only on rejection at $104,500–$106,000.
Risk zones: Below $102,600 = structure break. Prioritize cash/hedging.
Macro catalysts: Waiting for September FOMC. Monitor geopolitical risks (MENA).
Action plan: Gradual entries on pullbacks, disciplined stops below pivots, prudent sizing outside confirmed breakouts.
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Multi-Timeframe Analysis
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1D & 12H : Bullish trend confirmed by the Risk On / Risk Off Indicator and MTFTI. Major supports intact ($102,600–$103,300). Volumes neutral, market in wait mode. Swing long favored.
6H & 4H : Upward momentum, no significant bearish signals. “Buy the dip” valid above support; healthy structure as long as key levels hold.
2H, 1H : Early micro-divergence signals (MTFTI Down short term), increased caution. Favor entries on confirmed correction or breakout only.
30min, 15min : Intraday correction, neutral/bearish volumes, aggressive long setups discouraged. Scalping only on exhaustion spikes, strict stops.
ISPD DIV summary : No excess/panic, mature consolidation/range context.
Risk On / Risk Off Indicator summary : Bullish across all TF except very short-term (>15min neutral).
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Fundamental & On-chain Synthesis
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Fed: status quo, US macro softening, market waiting.
Geopolitical tensions: potential for increased volatility.
On-chain: institutional predominance, low network pressure, no panic selling or retail euphoria.
Off-chain: high derivatives volume, OI > $96B. Squeeze risk if catalyst emerges.
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Decision Matrix – Execution Plan
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Swing Long: Entry $103,200 – $103,800, stop <$102,400, target $107,000+ (RR>2:1)
Scalping Short: On confirmed rejection $104,500 – $106,000, stop >$106,400, target $103,400 (RR>1.5:1)
Strict risk management below major supports, position proactively on volatility/news.
Cash/out below $102,400 or with major geopolitical headlines.
Stay flexible; alternate range-buy/take profit until breakout volume or FOMC news.
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Future market trend predictionIn the short term, the price trend of Bitcoin is full of uncertainties. On the one hand, if the global macroeconomic environment continues to deteriorate, with slower economic growth and increased inflationary pressures, it may prompt more investors to seek safe-haven assets. As an asset with certain safe-haven properties, Bitcoin may attract some capital inflows, providing support for its price. However, if regulatory policies are further tightened in the short term, especially if more stringent restrictive measures are introduced in countries and regions where Bitcoin trading is active, then the price of Bitcoin may face significant downward pressure.
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