BTC/USD) Bullish Analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the 4-hour timeframe, with a focus on smart money concepts like FVG (Fair Value Gap) and support/resistance zones.
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Technical Breakdown:
1. Price Structure & Path Projection:
BTC is currently in a sideways range, but the drawn projection suggests a potential bullish reversal from the key support zone or the FVG level.
Two bullish paths are suggested:
One bounces from the key support zone (~114,725).
The other dips deeper into the FVG level, sweeping liquidity before heading higher.
2. Key Zones:
Key Support Level: Around 114,700–114,800, aligning with the EMA 200 and prior reaction levels.
FVG Level (Fair Value Gap): Just below the support zone — marked as a potential liquidity sweep area before bullish continuation.
Resistance Zone: 123,069.65, where partial profit could be taken.
Final Target Point: 130,312.02, projecting a strong bullish move from the base.
3. EMA 200 (Blue):
EMA sits around 114,685.97, acting as a strong dynamic support, supporting the bullish scenario.
4. RSI (14):
RSI is neutral at 51.10, providing room for bullish momentum without being overbought.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Trade Idea Summary:
Bias: Bullish
Entry Zone:
Conservative: Near 114,725.18 (key support + EMA 200)
Aggressive: Deeper at FVG level if price sweeps that zone
Targets:
TP1: 123,069.65 (resistance zone)
TP2: 130,312.02 (main target)
Invalidation: Break and close below FVG zone would negate the setup
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BTC TRADE PLAN 11/07/2025 - Diamond PatternDear traders,
Technical Analysis of BTCUSDT (Bitcoin/USDT) – July 11, 2025
🕐 Timeframe: 4H
Price has broken above the major resistance at $110,000 and is now trading around $118,000, forming a Diamond Top pattern — a classic reversal formation that may signal an upcoming downtrend or correction.
🔻 Key Highlights:
Major Resistance: $118,000 – current top and potential reversal point.
Key Support: $110,000 – if broken, next targets may lie around $95,000–$100,000.
Diamond Pattern: Typically a bearish reversal signal after a strong uptrend.
RSI Indicator: Currently in overbought territory (above 85), suggesting buyer exhaustion.
📉 Possible Scenario:
Price may reverse from $118,000 -120,000 and test the $110,000 support. A break below that could lead to a deeper correction in the coming weeks.
Regards,
Alireza!
BTC Analysis (2H)Bitcoin is currently consolidating within a symmetrical triangle, suggesting indecision in the market. However, a breakout is imminent — and when it comes, it will likely be sharp.
🔹 Bullish Scenario:
A breakout above $120K would likely lead to a new All-Time High near $124K.
🔹 Bearish Scenario:
A breakdown below $116,400 opens the door for a quick drop toward the $112K–$110K zone, which should be considered a buy opportunity.
⚠️ Pro Tip:
There’s a volume imbalance just below the $116.4K level. If price breaks below it, the move down may be faster and more aggressive than expected — so plan accordingly.
Regardless of short-term volatility, the macro trend remains bullish, and Bitcoin will rise again.
Thanks for reading.
The Only Bitcoin Chart You NeedUnderstanding Price Action is essential for successful trading as it allows traders to interpret market dynamics and make informed decisions based on pure price movements. By focusing solely on price movements, traders can eliminate noise and distractions caused by indicators or external factors, leading to a clearer understanding of market trends and patterns.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #138👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s get into the Bitcoin analysis. Today is the start of the week, and it’s very important to begin our trading week with the right analysis and outlook.
📅 Daily Timeframe
On the daily timeframe, as you can see, not much has changed compared to the previous analysis, and the price is still ranging near the supply zone.
✔️ The fact that no price correction has occurred so far shows the strength of the buyers, and even if a correction does happen, as long as the price stays above 110183, the trend will still be considered bullish.
🧩 The main trigger for trend continuation is either the price reaction to the curved trendline or the break of 122733. We can find more optimal triggers in the lower timeframes.
⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe
In this 4-hour timeframe, after a fakeout below 116829, the price corrected down to the 0.5 Fibonacci level and now has returned again to the box between 116829 and 120041.
🔍 The fakeout trigger is 120041, and I’ll try to have at least two positions open in the market when this level breaks — whether on Bitcoin or altcoins.
📈 The main trigger for the next bullish leg is 122733.
If RSI also breaks the 61.67 resistance alongside 120041, the likelihood of the move continuing will increase.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Is the #BTC pullback over?📊 Is the #BTC pullback over?
🧠From a structural perspective, a bearish structure has formed on both the 1-hour and 4-hour charts, so we should be wary of the risk of a further pullback.
➡️Resistance is the area formed by the two necklines (114675-115729).
Support is primarily the overlap between the yellow and green areas (110000-111688). If we can establish a bullish structure on the 1-hour chart here, we still have a chance of continuing the bullish trend.
🤜If you like my analysis, please like 💖 and share 💬 BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
$BTC /USDT – Breakdown from Channel, Bears Gaining ControlBitcoin has broken down from its descending channel on the 4H chart after repeated rejection from the upper trendline. Price is now hovering near key support at $111,785.
Key Technicals:
Rejection from the descending trendline resistance
Breakdown of the mini-channel structure
Current price: $113,637
Support levels:
$111,785 (Immediate)
$106,057
$101,409
$98,398
Bearish continuation is likely if $111,785 breaks with volume
If the $111.7k zone fails to hold, BTC could see further downside toward $106k and even $98k in the coming sessions.
Invalidation: Bullish only on reclaim of $117K+ with strength.
DYOR | Not Financial Advice
How to Capture Reversals/Breakouts with MAD IndicatorBTC/USDT 15M – Market Anomaly Detector (MAD) Captures Reversals & Breakouts
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Description:
On this BTC/USDT 15-minute chart, the Market Anomaly Detector (MAD) is actively highlighting high-probability market turning points and anomaly zones.
Key Observations from the Chart:
1. Green & Red Zones = Expected Price Range
• Green Line (Upper Band): Expected top of the range.
• Red Line (Lower Band): Expected bottom of the range.
• Price usually travels green → red → green, forming a natural oscillation.
2. Buy/Sell Signals = Breakout + Reversal Detection
• Buy Signal: Triggered when price closes above the green line or recovers from below the red line.
• Sell Signal: Triggered when price closes below the red line or rejects from the green line.
• This reverse psychology logic helps catch false breakouts and stop-loss hunts.
3. Performance on This Chart:
• Signals aligned with key reversals during the sideways-to-downtrend transition.
• The strong downtrend in the second half of the chart shows multiple accurate sell signals, confirming trend continuation.
• Sideways movements had minimal false signals due to cooldown + volume filter.
4. Unique Advantage (USP):
• Statistical approach using Z-Score & Standard Deviation.
• Multi-filter confirmation with RSI, volume, and higher timeframe trend.
• Visually clear anomaly zones:
• Green background = Bullish anomaly
• Red background = Bearish anomaly
• Gray background = Neutral range
Takeaway:
MAD helps traders anticipate anomalies rather than react late, offering high-probability trade entries and reversals in trending and volatile conditions.
BTCUSDT 1D – Retesting Key Support, Will Bulls Hold the Line?Bitcoin is retesting a crucial structural support level around $112K after its recent local top near $120K. This zone previously acted as resistance and is now being tested as support — a textbook bullish continuation signal if it holds.
Historically, these flips (from resistance to support) have triggered strong upside momentum, as seen after the $78K breakout earlier this cycle. However, failure to hold this level could open the door for a deeper correction toward $100K or even the $90K region.
This chart outlines the major structural zones:
Long-term accumulation base near $70–78K
Resistance flip zone at $110–112K
Local resistance near $120K
📌 If bulls defend this zone and reclaim momentum, we could see another push toward cycle highs. If not, patience is key — the next high-conviction entry may come lower.
How are you positioning around this zone? Let me know in the comments 👇
#BTC Update #14 – Aug 02, 2025#BTC Update #14 – Aug 02, 2025
Unfortunately, Bitcoin has closed below its current channel and now appears to be retesting that level. If this retest confirms, I expect a pullback down to the $110,000 zone. However, if Bitcoin manages to re-enter the channel, its first target will be $118,800. Although it’s a descending channel, moving within it suggests a relatively stable market. Closing below it may not end well and could deepen the retracement. That's why I recommend caution with all coins right now.
Even though it seems like a distant possibility at the moment, don’t forget there’s also an imbalance zone around the $103,500 level. A sharp wick or a significant drop could bring Bitcoin back to revisit that area. The probability is currently low, but it can’t be ruled out completely. I don’t recommend rushing into any long or short positions at this stage.
BTC - Not the End of the DropRather the beginning. Bitcoin has fallen below this bearish intersection. Anticipating price to fall rapidly on one of these two pathways to the Uber low liquidity levels.
DXY is retesting a major bearish breakdown - this is the conduit that will justify a flash crash of this magnitude prior to a 3-5 year bull run.
Happy trading.
#BTCUSDT – Healthy Correction, Not the End!Bitcoin is currently experiencing a healthy pullback after an impressive run, testing the neckline of the Inverse Head & Shoulders breakout on the 1D timeframe.
🔹 Current Market View:
BTC is retesting the neckline of the IHS pattern, which now acts as a strong support zone.
Price is holding near $113K–$115K, which is crucial for maintaining bullish momentum.
This dip is a healthy correction, flushing out over-leveraged positions and preparing for the next leg up.
🔹 Key Levels:
Support Zone: $113,000 – $115,000
Immediate Resistance: $120,000 – $122,500
Breakout Target: $165,000+ on the next bullish wave
🔹 Market Sentiment:
Holding above the neckline keeps the bullish structure intact.
If the support holds, we can expect continuation to new highs once buying pressure returns.
A daily close below $112K would signal caution and delay the next rally.
💡 Tip: Don’t panic on these red candles. Healthy corrections are part of a sustainable uptrend.
Bitcoin BTC price analysis by the end of 2025🕯 July is coming to an end, with 3 weeks of OKX:BTCUSDT consolidation between $117k–121k.
Tomorrow begins the last month of summer — and it promises to be "hot" as, according to our earlier published calendar Trump's administration plans to send letters with new, increased tariffs to "all countries" on 01.08.
💰 Also, take a look at Bitcoin Monthly Returns. In our view, 2025 resembles 2020 the most.
What do you think?
👉 According to this dynamic, the real "hot" may come not in summer, but late autumn.
💰 We've also tried to find a price fractal for #BTCUSD that fits the current structure — and for now, it looks plausible:
◆ In the coming days, CRYPTOCAP:BTC should not rise above $121k.
◆ A low of correction might hit mid-September around $93k.
◆ A cycle top for #BTC could arrive to the end of 2025, near $147k.
📄 Now that you've seen our version — share your forecasts on future #BTCUSDC price action in the comments 👇
Bitcoin: New All-Time High — What’s Next?Bitcoin had an incredible run, breaking the old all-time high ($111,980) with strong bullish momentum and setting a fresh ATH at $123,218 (Binance). We just witnessed the first major corrective move of ~6% and a decent bounce so far — but the big question is:
What’s next? Will Bitcoin break higher over the summer or form a trading range here?
Let’s dive into the technicals.
🧩 Higher Timeframe Structure
May–June Range:
BTC was stuck between $110K–$100K, forming an ABC corrective pattern. Using trend-based Fib extension (TBFE) from A–B–C:
✅ C wave completed at $98,922 (1.0 TBFE)
✅ Upside target hit at $122,137 (-1 TBFE)
Full Bull Market TBFE:
➡️ 1.0 → $107,301 → previously rejected
➡️ 1.272 → $123,158 → recent rejection zone
Pitchfork (log scale):
➡️ Tapped the upper resistance edge before rejecting.
Previous Bear Market Fib Extension:
➡️ 2.0 extension at $122,524 hit.
2018–2022 Cycle TBFE:
➡️ 1.618 at $122,011 tapped.
Macro Fibonacci Channel:
➡️ Connecting 2018 low ($3,782), 2021 ATH ($69K), 2022 low ($15,476) →
1.618–1.666 resistance band: $121K–$123.5K.
✅ Conclusion: Multiple fib confluences mark the $122K–$123K zone as critical resistance.
Daily Timeframe
➡️ FVG / Imbalance:
Big daily Fair Value Gap between the prior ATH and $115,222 swing low.
BTC broke the prior ATH (pATH) without retest → a pullback to this zone is likely.
Lower Timeframe / Short-Term Outlook
We likely saw a completed 5-wave impulse up → now correcting.
The -6% move was probably wave A, current bounce = wave B, next leg = wave C.
➡ Wave B short zone: $120K–$121K
➡ Wave C target (1.0 TBFE projection): ~$113,326
➡ Confluence at mid-FVG + nPOC
Trade Setups
🔴 Short Setup:
Entry: $120,300–$121,000
Stop: Above current ATH (~$123,300)
Target: $113,500
R:R ≈ 1:2.3
🟢 Long Setup:
Entry: Between Prior ATH and $113,000
Stop: Below anchored VWAP (~$110,500)
Target: Higher, depending on bounce confirmation.
🧠 Educational Insight: Why Fibs Matter at Market Extremes
When markets push into new all-time highs, most classic support/resistance levels disappear — there’s simply no historical price action to lean on. That’s where Fibonacci extensions, channels, and projections become powerful tools.
Here’s why:
➡ Fibonacci extensions (like the 1.272, 1.618, 2.0) help estimate where trend exhaustion or profit-taking zones may appear. They are based on the psychology of crowd behavior, as traders anchor expectations to proportional moves from previous swings.
➡ Trend-Based Fib Extensions (TBFE) project potential reversal or continuation zones using not just price levels, but also the symmetry of prior wave moves.
➡ Fibonacci channels align trend angles across multiple market cycles, giving macro context — like how the 2018 low, 2021 ATH, and 2022 low project the current 1.618–1.666 resistance zone.
In short:
When you don’t have left-hand price history, you lean on right-hand geometry.
That’s why the $122K–123K zone wasn’t just random — it’s a convergence of multiple fib levels, cycle projections, and technical structures across timeframes.
⚡ Final Thoughts
Bitcoin faces major resistance around $122K–$123K backed by multiple fib and structural levels. A retest of the prior ATH zone (~$112K–$113K) looks probable before the next big directional move. Watch lower timeframe structure for signs of completion in this corrective phase.
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BTCUSDT – Diametric G-Leg Underway?⏱ Timeframe: 4H / 1H
🔍 Method: NeoWave + Smart Money Concepts (SMC)
📍Posted by: CryptoPilot
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🧠 NeoWave Progression Update
As outlined in our previous analysis, we are tracking a potential Contracting Diametric structure (A–G) originating from the March 2025 highs.
🚨 The G-Leg may now be actively unfolding.
Here’s what just happened:
• Price rejected sharply from the supply zone near 119,000–119,500, exactly where Wave F was expected to end.
• After a drop to 115,780 (minor trendline), price bounced, but failed to make a new high, stalling at 118,700, forming a lower high → classic signature of a developing G-Leg.
• This G-wave likely aims to break below Wave E low, seeking imbalance fills and structural resets.
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📊 Smart Money Confluence (SMC / ICT)
• 🟥 Bearish Market Structure confirmed via MSS on 1H: Lower Highs + Internal BOS
• 🟨 Buy-side Liquidity above 120k was already swept
• 🔻 Price failed to reclaim OB block around 119.5k
• 🧩 FVGs remain open between 114.5k–113k, acting as magnet zones
• 📉 Expectation: Price may now break the ascending minor trendline and accelerate toward the major structure low
📌 Primary Scenario:
• Wave G of Diametric in motion
• Potential structure: Zigzag or Complex Combination
• Expectation: Bearish continuation to break below 113k
📌 Alternative Scenario:
• If price closes above 120.5k, diametric structure may be invalidated
• Watch for triangle/flat development instead
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⚠️ Risk Management Note:
Price action near 118.7k–119.5k is crucial. Reclaiming that zone with strength changes the bias. Until then, sellers remain in control.
💬 Final Thought:
We’re tracking the final stages of a multi-month complex correction. The rejection at supply, combined with SMC signals and NeoWave symmetry, suggests sellers may push price into deeper demand zones soon.
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📌 Follow CryptoPilot for advanced wave structure updates, market geometry insights, and ICT-style smart money traps.
💬 Share your views or alternate wave counts in the comments!
Three White Soldiers & Three Black CrowsHello, Traders! 😎
In technical analysis, not all candlestick patterns are created equal. While some merely hint at indecision or short-term corrections, others shout with conviction: "Trend reversal is coming…" Two of the most powerful momentum candlestick formations are the Three White Soldiers and the Three Black Crows. When they appear, traders PAY ATTENTION. In this article, we’ll dive deep into: What do these patterns look like? Why do they form? What do they tell us about market psychology? How to trade them?+ Their limitations 👇🏻
What Are Three White Soldiers and Three Black Crows?
These Are Multi-Candle Reversal Patterns That Suggest A Strong Shift In Market Sentiment:
Three White Soldiers. A 🐂bullish reversal pattern that occurs after a downtrend. It consists of three consecutive long-bodied green (or white) candles, each closing higher than the last, and ideally opening within the previous candle’s real body.
Three Black Crows. A 🐻bearish reversal pattern that shows up after an uptrend. It’s made of three consecutive long-bodied red (or black) candles, each closing lower than the last and opening within the previous candle’s real body. They signal not just a change in price, but a shift in power, from sellers to buyers (or vice versa).
Candles With a Message
Unlike most one-candle signals or minor patterns, these sequences tell a real story. They show that one side has taken clear control over the market — not for an hour, not for a single day, but for multiple sessions. And that kind of shift, especially on higher timeframes like daily or weekly charts, is something seasoned traders pay close attention to.
Let’s get into the psychology for a second. Imagine you’re a trader who just watched BTC drop for two weeks. Then out of nowhere, three strong green candles appear, each more bullish than the last. You’re seeing buyers push through resistance levels like they don’t even exist. That’s not just a bounce, that’s confidence. That’s the kind of thing that makes people FOMO back in, or finally close out their shorts. Same with the Black Crows. If the price has been climbing and suddenly sellers start hammering it for three days straight? That’s not retail panic. That’s big money exiting.
Now, How do Traders Trade Them?
Well, a lot of people jump in right after the third candle closes. If you’re going long on the Three White Soldiers, you’re betting that the breakout has legs. Same for shorting the Black Crows.
But, and here’s the trap, not all of these patterns play out. Sometimes, that third candle is the climax, not the beginning. So confirmation matters. Volume should increase. The move should break a recent key level. Indicators like RSI or MACD should support the shift. Otherwise, you might just be catching the end of a move, not the start of one.
Another mistake? Ignoring context. These patterns mean nothing if they’re forming in the middle of chop or during low-volume holiday trading. They work best when they signal the end of exhaustion.
And let’s be honest. Even if the pattern is clean, you still need a plan. Stops should go below the first green candle (for bullish setups) or above the first red one (for bearish setups). If price moves against you, it means momentum never really shifted. That’s your cue to get out fast.
Final Thoughts
Three White Soldiers and Three Black Crows are powerful tools in the hands of a patient trader. Of course, these patterns aren’t perfect. They don’t account for time, so a 3-day move might seem powerful, but if it happens slowly over 12-hour candles, it’s not as strong as the same pattern on a daily chart with volume.
The takeaway? These are patterns worth knowing, not because they’re magic, but because they reflect a real shift in market behavior. When Three White Soldiers or Three Black Crows show up in the right place, at the right time, with the right confirmation… that’s when charts stop being random and start making sense. But remember. They are indicators, not guarantees. The best traders use them in conjunction with other tools and a clear trading plan.