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BTCUST trade ideas

50x leverage no brainer short trade (easy profits) Keep in mind: With a big daily bearish engulfing candlestick we are most likely to continue the downtrend for the coming days. Looking at the RSI (daily timeframe) it is clear that we now are in a downtrend from previously being in overbought territory. We are most likely to go from overbought to oversold on the RSI and are now looking for a big downward movement! The MACD is showing weakness on the buy signal it has printed on the daily timeframe and is showing a strong sell signal on the 4 hourly timeframe. Most important information: Price action is the most important information you can get and trading on price action is what the pros do! What we can see is that the price of BTC now is inside a strong key resistance area. Combining this with the huge rising wedge we are most likely to fall back down to the 75k area. Keep in mind that we didn’t really get a good backtest of the 69k-75k support zone so we could be looking to make a good backtest of this zone before continuing the macro uptrend. I can also identify a failed bullish ascending triangle followed by a trend with lower highs. When the second lower high formed on the hourly I entered the 50x leverage trade at 108528,7 and placed the stop loss above that lower high. Keep in mind that the trend is your friend and that we most likely wont hit the SL. At least not before moving the SL into the profit zone (preferably above a lower high that will form). I have currently put my TP at 75950 (a long way down) because I want to ride this short as long as I possibly can. I also think that we are most likely to keep consolidating (until proven otherwise) between the given ranges (from 69k all the way up to 112k). What about the news? I think what president Trump does is the most important news we have to consider while trading. At the time of writing it is still unclear if the Musk VS Trump drama will continue. Bringing negativity into the market. The latest trade agreement with China was also not in favor of the United States (The relation between the two countries can strengthen but at a core financial view this ain’t good). Trump also kind of acted like a dictator in the Los Angeles event (this could bring negative energy into the markets). All in all I think that the news is a bit unstable and this strengthens the hypothesis that the price of BTC will consolidate until better times is around. Conclusion: I can always be wrong with either my complete analysis or parts of it. But I think that we at least is going to see a 1,65% move to the downside from my entry point. This move is extrapolated from the failed ascending triangle and seeing this move will give me the opportunity to make the trade risk free (I will keep you updated when this happens)!
Short
by Madmantrades
16
Wave (4) Correction Completed? Wave (5) ImminentBitcoin appears to be completing an Elliott Wave structure, currently sitting around the (4) pullback area with signs of a potential continuation into wave (5) to new local highs. The recent LH and bounce from demand could mark the beginning of the impulsive move. Key Observations: ✅ Elliott Waves Count (1–2–3–4–5) in Play Wave (3) completed near ~$113K Wave (4) correction retraced into the ~$98K support zone Structure looks corrective (ABC style), typical for wave 4 Wave (5) projection aims towards ~$120K+ based on symmetry ✅ Market Structure Higher High (HH) → Higher Low (HL) pattern intact Price respected a key demand zone and bounced Green dotted line shows potential consolidation → breakout behavior ✅ Support Zones ~$98K = key demand + previous HL ~$92K = macro structure support Holding these levels = bullish continuation scenario likely ✅ Resistance Ahead ~$113K = recent local high Break and close above this = wave (5) confirmed Final TP area ~$120K–124K based on Fibonacci extensions and wave symmetry 🎯 Trade Plan (Idea) Entry: On confirmation above $106K Targets: TP1: $113K (retest) TP2: $120K TP3: $124K
Long
by Augustinemoreau
BTC ENDED WITH ITS BULL RUN AND NOW IS THE STARTING LINE OF BEARMark my words down as BITCOIN started with its bear RUN!!! From the view, we can know that bitcoin is unable to break HH recently, and fall sharply align with Nasdaq100, which break through the bull trend from the 4hr view and also daily view. 4% SL and TP 27% pullback bear run is very beneficiary. When more and more big whale players come in to this game, you have to know who is the banker for now. Binance? Coinbase? Nope. The boss is CME.
Short
by DA_GinooBB
5
$BTC/USDT MAJOR PUMP? or MAJOR DUMP?BTC, the worlds biggest and fastest growing coin. With a market cap in the Trillions, we are facing a major moment. Will price dump? or will it pump and go above and beyond. Lets find out in this analysis! 1. Trend Overview HTF Bullish: Price remains above the long-term bullish trendline, showing strong macro support. Recent price action is consolidating within a major supply zone and liquidity cluster — signaling indecision before a breakout or breakdown. 📈 2. OBV (On-Balance Volume) Analysis OBV is coiling in a symmetrical triangle, indicating a volume squeeze. This tightening range typically precedes a major breakout or breakdown, matching the price consolidation near resistance. 🔄 Market Structure Price has formed a potential top just under the supply/liquidity zone (~$110,000–$112,000). Swing High is defined just below $112K. Key structure zones are: Resistance zone at current levels. Support zones: 1D FVG ($97K) and Weekly FVG ($87K–$93K) 🟪 Supply & Demand Zones Supply Zone: $100k - $112k — multiple rejections here indicate this is a key short-term ceiling. Demand Zone: Deep support between $50-$57K, aligns with trendline and historical value area. 🔵 Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) 1D FVG: $97K area — may act as magnet if price breaks below resistance. 1W FVG: $87K–$93K — stronger structural level to watch. If both are filled, price may meet the bullish trendline around $90K. 🧠 Liquidity Zones Above current price: ~$112K is marked as a liquidity grab area — stop hunts may occur before major reversal. Below: FVG zones could trigger a liquidity sweep downwards before reversal. 🔴 Volume Profile Strong high-volume node (HVN) around $80K–$97K: acceptance zone, likely to act as magnetic support. Above $110K is a low-volume node (LVN): if broken cleanly, price may accelerate quickly toward $120K+. ✅ Bullish Scenario Break above $112K → sweep liquidity → continuation toward $120K–$125K. (Price Discovery) OBV breakout upwards would confirm. Hold above FVG 1D if retested = healthy bullish continuation structure. ❌ Bearish Scenario Rejection at supply → drop to FVG 1D ($97K), then potentially Weekly FVG (~$93K). If OBV breaks downward, it confirms bearish volume divergence. Breakdown below trendline could target deeper into demand zone (~$70K+). 📌 Summary Bias: Neutral-bullish short term, bullish macro (above trendline). Key Breakout Level: $112K. Critical Support: $91K–$97K (FVG cluster). Confirmation: OBV breakout + clean structure break. Invalidation: Weekly close below long-term trendline and FVG zones.
by King_BennyBag
5
BTC weak wicks 🔎 Breakdown of Market Structure: Triple Top Region (Resistance Zone): Approximate level: $110,500–$111,000 Price failed to break this zone three times, forming rounded tops. Sellers are heavily active here. Neckline / Support Area: The horizontal level price was bouncing from before breaking down: around $108,800 This area has now been broken, confirming the Triple Top breakdown. Current Price Action: Trading at $108,819, just below the neckline — indicating potential continuation to the downside unless a reclaim happens.
Short
by TuffyBro
2
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) - Price Consolidating Inside Sym. Triangle - DBITCOIN (BTCUSDT) price has recently bounced up from above the 50EMA (yellow line). Since May 2025, price has been consolidating sideways and has now formed a symmetrical triangle (blue lines). 10% to 20% volatility could be incoming for Bitcoin this summer. The key resistance prices that Bitcoin has yet to breakout above are: $110000, $112000, $115000, and $120000+. Support prices are holding at this time, such as $105000, $104000, $102000, and $100000, $95000. If price holds above $100,000 to $105,000, there is still a chance that Bitcoin can continue to uptrend and rally higher this year in 2025. However, if $100,000 price and support levels are lost, a new downtrend could occur and price could possibly test the 200EMA zone (red line).
by NoFomoCharts
2
BITCOINThe Federal Reserve is likely to interpret the June 2025 University of Michigan (UoM) consumer sentiment and inflation expectations data as mixed but cautiously encouraging, with implications for monetary policy: Key Data Points Consumer Sentiment: 60.5 (vs. 53.5 forecast, prior 52.2) – a sharp rebound to the highest level since mid-2023. 1-Year Inflation Expectations: 5.1% (vs. 6.6% prior) – a significant decline, nearing pre-tariff levels. Fed Interpretation Improved Consumer Sentiment: The jump to 60.5 signals renewed optimism about the economy, likely driven by reduced trade tensions (e.g., tariff pauses) and stable labor markets. This aligns with recent upward revisions to April and May sentiment data. The Fed will view this as a sign of economic resilience, reducing urgency for near-term rate cuts to stimulate growth. Sharply Lower Inflation Expectations: The drop to 5.1% (from 6.6%) aligns with the New York Fed’s May 2025 survey showing declining inflation expectations across all horizons. This suggests consumers are growing more confident that the Fed’s policies (and tariff adjustments) are curbing price pressures, easing fears of a wage-price spiral. Policy Implications: Dovish Tilt Supported: Lower inflation expectations reduce the risk of entrenched price pressures, giving the Fed flexibility to cut rates later in 2025 if growth slows. No Immediate Cuts Likely: Strong sentiment and a resilient labor market (unemployment at 4.2%) justify maintaining rates at 4.25–4.50% in July. Focus on Tariff Risks: The Fed will remain cautious about potential inflation rebounds from Trump’s tariffs, which could add 1.5% to prices by late 2025. Market Reactions DXY (Dollar Index): Likely to dip modestly as lower inflation expectations boost rate-cut bets, but sentiment-driven growth optimism may limit losses. Key support at 98.00–98.20. Bonds: 10-year yields may edge lower (toward 4.00%) on reduced inflation fears, though strong sentiment could cap declines. Equities: Stocks (especially consumer-discretionary sectors) may rally on improved economic outlook. Conclusion The Fed will likely view this data as validating its cautious stance: inflation expectations are cooling, but strong sentiment and labor markets argue against premature easing. A September rate cut remains the base case, contingent on continued disinflation and no tariff-driven price spikes. Traders should watch for June CPI (July 11) and Q2 GDP to confirm trends. #bitcoin #dollar
Long
by Shavyfxhub
BITCOIN Short Position Update – June 11, 2025We are the SeoVereign Trading Team. With sharp insight and precise analysis, we regularly share trading ideas on Bitcoin and other major assets—always guided by structure, sentiment, and momentum. 🔔 Follow us to never miss a market update. 🚀 Boosts provide strong motivation and drive to the SeoVereign team. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Bitcoin downside perspective shared. Currently, Bitcoin appears to have entered an overheated zone based on both Elliott Wave Theory and harmonic pattern analysis. While it has been continuously setting new highs alongside Ethereum, the technical structure suggests the possibility of a short-term pause. Accordingly, a bearish idea is shared. The first target is set at 108,600. More detailed ratio analysis and additional reasoning will be shared through an idea update once the first target is reached. Flexible response according to market conditions is necessary.
Short
by SeoVereign
Signs of manipulation or ‘trapping’ behavior!Bitcoin (BTC) is currently approaching a key support level on the chart. This support zone is an area where price has historically shown a tendency to hold or bounce back upward due to increased buying interest. At this stage, there is a possibility that BTC could initiate a bullish move or a price pump from this level. However, it’s important to be cautious, as the market could also exhibit signs of manipulation or ‘trapping’ behavior. In such scenarios, what often happens is that before making an actual upward move, the market might perform a ‘fake move’—this means it could temporarily dip below the support level or show some downward pressure to shake out weak hands or trigger stop-losses. This false breakdown creates panic and uncertainty, only for the price to reverse and then begin moving upward shortly afterward. If the support holds and buyers step in with enough strength, BTC could gain bullish momentum and head toward the upper liquidity areas. These zones typically have a high concentration of pending orders (such as stop-losses or take-profits), which can attract the price like a magnet. This liquidity often sits just above recent highs or resistance levels, and reaching this area could result in further volatility. However, traders are strongly advised to remain vigilant and not rely solely on assumptions. The crypto market is highly unpredictable, and price action can be deceptive. Always perform your own in-depth analysis, consider various technical and fundamental factors, and manage your risk wisely. This is not financial advice please Do Your Own Research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Long
by Peter_Wade
BTC/USDT 4H Chart Update –BTC/USDT 4H Chart Update – After a strong rejection from the $110K+ zone, Bitcoin is now retesting a critical trendline support on the 4-hour chart. Key Highlights: Price dropped sharply to $103K, almost tagging the key ascending support zone. The previous breakout from the descending trendline is now being retested, which is a classic bullish retest pattern. If bulls defend this region successfully, expect a potential bounce towards $108K–$ 114 K. However, a clean breakdown below $102K would shift short-term momentum bearish. Eyes on this zone. High-probability decision area. Watch for reaction candles and volume spikes to confirm the next move. Thanks for your support! DYOR. NFA
Long
by CryptoSanders9563
BTC 4H – Critical Support Zones Being TestedCRYPTOCAP:BTC is currently retesting its $107.2k support, which has now turned into resistance after a decisive breakdown. Support Levels to Watch: - Upper Support Zone: $105k – $104.4k - Lower Support Zone: $101.4k – $100.7k Bounce from $104.4k–$105k will be a temporary relief, but it needs strength to reclaim $107.2k. If the upper zone is not held, the next leg will be towards the lower zone, near $101.4k—$100.7k. Breakout confirmation only above $110k (previous rejection zone). The market is showing signs of weakness, especially with increased selling around resistance. Avoid rushing into trades—better setups may come if key zones hold or break. Tip: Watch for bullish divergences or strong volume at the lower support for potential reversal setups.
by persis10t
When will #BTC hit a new high?📊When will #BTC hit a new high? 🧠From a structural point of view, we have come to the weekly resistance zone, so it is very reasonable to consolidate sideways here. Only if we successfully break through the resistance here and stabilize above the resistance zone, can we remain optimistic. ➡️The short-term support is around 108800. If we can hold here, then we have the opportunity to build an ascending triangle, which means that we will continue to hit new highs soon, otherwise we need to be alert to the occurrence of a pullback. ➡️106500-107000 is the conversion area of ​​resistance and support, and it is also the psychological defense line of long transactions. If we can't hold here, then we need to be alert to the occurrence of in-depth adjustments. ⚠️Currently in a complex consolidation stage, we need more patience!☕️ 🤜If you like my analysis, please like💖 and share💬 BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
Short
by wolf_king888