BTCUST trade ideas
BTC: Bias Map 22/06/25Previous Week:
BINANCE:BTCUSDT BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P
Bias:
Spot buyer within 93.5k–88k BTC zone. This is the key support region
Structure:
- Weekly fair value gap sits between 93.5k–88k
- Still trending lower, no reversal yet confirmed
- Weekly has swept previous ATH and rejected without displacement
Plan:
- Watch for Bitcoin to move into 93.5k–88k
- No trading Monday - sitting flat
- Iran’s retaliation risk still unpriced — major global risk looming
- Structure or weekly reaction will determine next steps
Macro:
- Global risk extremely elevated with increased escalation risk from a potential Iranian response
- Risk assets like crypto are broadly unattractive in this environment
- Capital preservation is still critical
A key issue I dislike about this structure is the similarities it shares with the 2021 bull run, where we swept previous ATH, failed to displace and then rejected and moved -77%
I do not think we will see a -77% move however but a scenario where this shares similar structure and we visit the 70-60s is without doubt a clear probability and one that must be acknowledged
This week will be absolutely critical to be patient and watch how the middle east situation evolves. We are heading into a potentially very dangerous and uncertain era so caution is critical
Need to wait for the key turning point.The Bitcoin market has currently broken below the key support level of 100,300, confirming a downward trend reversal. A daily-level recovery rally is now underway, and the 4-hour wave structure has not yet concluded. First, the downside target is seen at 95,000 to 98,000. Next week, the key turning point at 92,000 will likely determine the low of a rebound. Although this rebound low is not the ultimate bottom, it will trigger a relatively strong rebound after formation.
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Trading Strategy:
buy@95000-95500
TP:97500-98000
BTC MACRO PLAY - SHORT TRADE SETUP📉 BTC/USDT SHORT TRADE SETUP – WEEKLY TIMEFRAME
🔍 Trade Idea Overview:
We are seeing a bearish divergence between price and volume on the weekly chart — while price makes higher highs, volume is decreasing, signaling a potential reversal or weakening trend.
Further confluence is seen with the VMC Cipher indicator. If a red dot prints, it will confirm the short entry. If not, the trade idea should be abandoned.
📊 Trade Plan:
Entry Zone: Around $106,300–$107,000 (wait for confirmation)
TP 1 🎯: $102,000
TP 2 🎯: $97,500
TP 3 🎯: $93,000
🛑 Risk Management:
Stop-Loss: Above recent highs at $111,800 (or adjusted based on your entry)
⚠️ Disclaimer:
Once TP 1 is reached, move stop-loss to breakeven to protect capital and eliminate risk.
TP 3 may never be reached, but it remains part of the plan to capture extended downside if momentum continues.
If no red dot prints, there is no confirmation — be ready to abandon the trade.
$BTC 50 EMA Analysis – Daily Timeframe Price is currently hoverCRYPTOCAP:BTC 50 EMA Analysis – Daily Timeframe
Price is currently hovering just above the 50 EMA (blue line), which sits around $103,164, while BTC trades slightly higher at $103,774. Historically, as shown by the chart, BTC has respected the 50 EMA as dynamic support in uptrends and resistance in downtrends. Recent touches on the 50 EMA have triggered bounces, indicating it's a strong technical level.
🔸 Key Support Zone at $103,000 – $102,000:
If BTC holds above this zone, continuation toward previous highs is likely.
🔸 Upside Target: $108,000 – $110,000
Should the 50 EMA act as a springboard again, BTC could retest recent highs.
🔸 Risk Level at $101,500:
A daily close below this level may invalidate the bullish structure and trigger a deeper correction.
🔸 Outlook:
Watch for confirmation of a bounce above the 50 EMA. Bullish entries can be considered on strong daily candles above the moving average with tight risk management.
btc short now you have a very clear view of whats gonna happen
101k is inevitable. And if 101 dosent hold, 98 will be our balance point where market will go for making lower high and if price action changes we can go for a new ATH, which i guess will be our final ATH before we drop for a fresh new bear cycle.
thanks
$BTC - Protected LowBINANCE:BTCUSDT | 1D
Price got strongly rejected at 106.5k
It deviated below the 4-hour mini-range. We now need to see a reclaim of 105–105.1k. If not, a retest of the value area low at 101.4k is likely.
100k remains to be the protected low, and it would be critical if we won't get a valid retest at 101.4k
local resistance: 105-105.5k
local support: 101.4k
protected low: 100k
BTC Squeezed to the Edge – Will $102K Support Hold or Crack?Bitcoin is pressing into the apex of a descending triangle, anchored at $102K. Volume is drying up, EMAs are compressing, and liquidity pools sit just below. This structure rarely resolves quietly — a volatile breakout is imminent.
🔻 Bearish Case (Primary Bias):
Breakdown below $102K = short trigger
Targets: $98K → $94K
Stop: Above $106K
Confluence: Bearish pattern + volume dry-up + liquidity below
🟢 Bullish Reversal (Alternate):
Breakout above $107.5K = short squeeze likely
Flip bias only if trendline is reclaimed on volume
🎯 Final Take:
BTC is at a decision point. Don’t trade the bias — trade the breakout. Volatility is coming. Be ready.
📣 What’s your setup? Breakdown or fakeout rally? Share below!
BTC Testing Crucial Support – Breakdown or Bounce ?Bitcoin is currently testing a critical support zone around $103,573 – a break below could trigger a sharper move toward $101,400.
Price rejected from ~$105.8K
Support holding... for now
RSI dropping fast – now near 34 (1H TF)
Weakening momentum visible
This level is the last line of defense for bulls. If it cracks, expect volatility.
Watch closely. Break = panic or buying opportunity?
DYOR. Not Financial Advice.
HolderStat┆BTCUSD ready for the next leg upBINANCE:BTCUSDT on the 3h chart is showing a textbook sequence of consolidation phases, each acting as a launchpad for further gains. The price action is respecting both the ascending and horizontal support lines, with each dip being bought up quickly. The current consolidation is forming a tight triangle, indicating that volatility is about to return. The structure favors a bullish breakout, with the next resistance levels at 107,000 and 110,000. As long as BTC holds above the 104,000 support, the uptrend remains strong and the probability of a new rally is high.
BTC/USDT Technical Analysis, 2025-06-18 09:45 UTC📘 BTC/USDT Scalping Setup – Whale-Assisted Dip Buy
This strategy is designed for high-precision, short-term long trades on BTC/USDT using the 15-minute chart. It targets oversold conditions with signs of reversal, confirmed by whale activity, volume spikes, and key support levels.
The edge comes from combining retail technicals (RSI, Stoch, MACD, candlestick patterns) with institutional confirmation (order flow, OBV, and large bids from whales).
✅ Key Strategy Components:
Oversold Technicals: RSI and Stochastic suggest price exhaustion.
Support Zone Alignment: Price is dipping near major support (pivot S1 or local low).
Reversal Candlestick: Clean bullish signals like Hammer or Engulfing show shift in sentiment.
Smart Money Confirmation:
Whale buyers (>5 BTC bids)
Bid dominance (>3%)
OBV rising = silent accumulation
Timing is Critical: Trades are only taken in the first 2 minutes of the 5-min candle with a volume burst.
🎯 Trade Management
Entry: On close of confirming candle (when all criteria align)
Take Profit: +1.2% (or ~1200 pts)
Stop Loss: -0.6% (or ~600 pts)
Risk/Reward: 1:2
📈 Why This Works
This is not just a basic RSI/Stochastic play — it’s a multi-confirmation strategy tuned for whale detection, volume acceleration, and institutional footprints. It’s ideal for high-volatility sessions and works best in range or retracement phases of a broader uptrend.
⚠️ Pro Tips
Avoid entries during extreme news volatility
Be disciplined – all filters must align (this is a precision setup)
The Nature of Zones — Reversals, Continuations, and the FlowWe’ve all heard trading terms like Major Trend and Major Counter-Trend levels. These are zones where price either breaks through and continues (Trend Levels) or sharply reverses (Counter-Trend Levels). In the crypto world, these levels are often separated by enormous gaps, due to the nature of the space — as I’ve mentioned in a previous idea: Crypto Charts Whisper—Are You Listening?
Let’s get one thing clear from the start. These levels are not just thin lines that traders casually draw across a chart. They are zones. So, as a skilled trader, anytime someone mentions support or resistance, keep in mind: interact with these as zones, not levels.
Why? The answer lies in the nature of the candlestick itself. Most support and resistance areas — 99% of the time — are defined by candlesticks such as inverted hammers, shooting stars, etc. For instance, in an uptrend near its peak, you’ll often spot an inverted hammer with a rejection wick that’s at least 25–50% of the candle’s body. The longer the wick, the stronger the rejection. In that sense, the high and the close of that candle form the zone. And what better tool to use for this than the rectangle?
Now, to slowly return to our main point — many of you might’ve noticed that zones often change their nature, especially resistance zones. If you’re experienced, you already know: price tends to go higher by nature. So when a counter-trend zone gets broken and price pushes above it, it shifts — it becomes a trend zone. Later, if price retests it from above, it often turns into support, and with another reversal, it can shift again — becoming a counter-trend zone once more.
But my point goes deeper than what you’ll hear in lessons or YouTube videos. Like I said in another post — A Follow-up to “Adjustments for Better Readings & VSA vs BTC” — if it’s already out there, it’s probably old news.
A skilled trader keeps an open mind — merging everything into one system. And it's part of this oneness mindset that elite traders follow, which I want to share now.
So I ask you:
What if the idea of trend and counter-trend zones didn’t just apply to major levels?
What if this concept applied everywhere on the chart?
For me, this isn’t just a question anymore — it’s a fact. A fact that made me a better trader. I won’t lie — before I got good at this, I failed over and over. But I never quit. That’s not the point though. The point is to expand your vision and train yourself to react just like the elite do.
Take double or triple tops/bottoms — standard or rounded. These formations also act exactly like trend and counter-trend zones. And they stay relevant well into the future. Every level is tested at least twice, from both directions. Maybe not immediately, but eventually — across multiple time frames.
And just like that, a level becomes a major zone for future use — especially if you trade across multiple time frames. So be careful: if you’re only looking at the 1-hour chart, you might miss something important that’s playing out on the 3-minute. And that can trigger psychological discomfort... leading to FOMO — and all the mistakes that come with it.
Also remember — double and triple tops/bottoms are zones, not exact lines. Many traders lose trades by a single tick, just because they forget that rule.
Let’s go a bit deeper now.
Think about all the small highs and lows that appear between those tops and bottoms on a 3-minute chart.
How can they help you trade better? The answer goes back to my previous idea: Location, Location, Location — Consistency and Alignment.
I get it — staying observant 24/7 is hard. That’s why institutions and big players work in teams, in shifts. They’re never alone. You shouldn’t be either.
There’s a lot more that could be said about these levels and zones — how they reveal future trend behavior, a flow! even without indicators or VSA. It has to do with how specific highs and lows behave at certain points in time... but let’s leave that for now.
For the outro, remember this:
The real edge isn’t in indicators.
It’s in your ability to catch the flow of price,
And to read strength or weakness through the simple structures within the zones Big Players create — whether visible or hidden.
A chart isn’t a single truth.
It’s a battlefield of conflicting zones and mixed signals.
If this mindset resonates with you and you want to go deeper — whether it’s building confidence or spotting hidden signals early — I work with a small circle of traders, sharing TA privately every day. Feel free to reach out.
Until next time, be well and trade wisely.