BTCUST trade ideas
BitcoinBitcoin/TetherUS (BTC/USDT) Trading Analysis - Jul 15, 2025
Key Observations:
Price Movement:
Current Price: $117,692.46
24h Change: -2,148.72 (-1.79%)
Range: Low of $116,250.00 to High of $119,940.83
The price is currently near the lower end of the day's range, indicating bearish pressure.
Support and Resistance:
Support Levels:
Strong Support: $112,000.00 (marked as S/L)
Intermediate Support: $113,500.00 and $110,000.00
Resistance Levels:
Immediate Resistance: $119,900.00
Higher Resistance: $120,000.00 and $122,500.00
Profit Levels:
The "Profit" section lists potential take-profit targets, with the highest at $135,000.00.
The price has recently dipped below the $120,000.00 psychological level, suggesting weakening bullish momentum.
Trend Context:
The chart spans from June to September, but the current price action (July) shows consolidation after a potential pullback from higher levels.
The presence of multiple support levels ($112K–$116K) suggests a critical zone for buyers to defend.
Actionable Insights:
Bearish Short-Term: The price is below key levels ($119,900–$120,000) and has broken below $118,250.00. A retest of support at $112,000.00 is plausible.
Bullish Reversal Signal: If BTC holds above $112,000.00 and reclaims $120,000.00, it could target $122,500.00 or higher.
Risk Management: A break below $112,000.00 (S/L) may trigger further downside toward $110,000.00 or lower.
Conclusion:
The market is currently in a corrective phase. Traders should monitor the $112,000.00 support for potential reversals or breakdowns. A close above $120,000.00 would shift bias to bullish.
Bitcoin Trend Analaysis UP or DOWN?!Price capped in a wedge in Daily time frame.
There was a fake break from the bottom of this wedge last week and sharply got back to the top of it!
Now : break and confirm above 120 K in Daily would make the market BULLISH
break and confirm under 116.5 K in Daily would make the market BEARISH.
other wise market is still in a range mode...
#BTC Update #13 – Aug 01, 2025#BTC Update #13 – Aug 01, 2025
Bitcoin has approached the lower edge of its current channel and received a reaction from there. However, in the current timeframe, the ongoing candle seems willing to pull back again. The MA200 band held the previous candle well, which also represented the bottom of the current channel. There is high liquidity between the $113,200 and $121,000 zones. I believe Bitcoin will continue to move by sweeping through this region. Therefore, I think Bitcoin’s current target is to reach around the $118,000 level with a 3% push move.
If Bitcoin does not make this move and chooses to pull back instead, it may go as far as filling the imbalance at the $110,000 level. The last impulsive move was made around 20 days ago, and since then, the chart has been progressing with a correction of a correction. As long as there’s no close below $107,500, the uptrend will remain intact in the long term. However, if the $107,500 level is broken with a strong candle, we can say that Bitcoin has turned bearish on the 4-hour timeframe. For now, this doesn’t seem very likely. I believe Bitcoin’s next move will target the $118,000 region, continuing to clear out the liquidity accumulating in the upper ranges. However, this channel will need to break at some point.
How to Use the PCCE + False Breakout DetectorHow to Use the PCCE + False Breakout Detector to Catch Trap Zones in BTC
Chart: BTC/USDT (1H)
Tool Used: PCCE + False Breakout Detector
Type: Educational – How to identify false breakouts and anticipate trend shifts.
⸻
🧠 What the Indicator Does:
The PCCE + False Breakout Detector is designed to identify breakouts from coiling ranges and filter out trap moves that often fool traders.
🔹 Burst↑ / Burst↓: Valid breakout from a price coil with volume and trend alignment
🔻 Red X: Marks a bull trap — breakout failed and price reversed lower
🟢 Green X: Marks a bear trap — breakdown failed and price reversed higher
By flagging where breakout structure fails, the indicator helps traders avoid false entries and position early for reversals.
⸻
✅ Recent Performance Highlights (BTCUSDT 1H):
📈 From July 13–31:
• Burst↑ on July 13 led to a clean uptrend (+$1,500 gain)
• Red X on July 16 called a failed breakout — price dropped hard
• Green X on July 16 caught the bear trap — price reversed immediately
• Burst↓ on July 21 triggered a sharp decline, validating breakdown
• Red X on July 30 spotted the bull trap just before price reversed down
📉 Even in sideways ranges, Red/Green Xs signaled when the move lacked conviction, allowing traders to wait instead of chasing noise.
⸻
🔍 Current Interpretation:
• BTC is trading inside a choppy structure after a recent Burst↑ and Red X combo.
• The X mark zone (gray box) warns of instability — bulls attempted a breakout but failed.
• If price continues to stay below the Red X high → likely retracement ahead.
• If we see a Green X + rally soon → potential reversal setup in progress.
⸻
📚 How-To Use the Indicator:
1. Burst Signals (Breakouts)
🔸 Use these to enter when coil compression breaks with volume
🔸 Works best when aligned with EMA trend and breakout body
2. Red / Green X (False Breakout Detector)
❌ Red X: Price spiked above resistance but lacked follow-through → trap
✅ Green X: Price dipped below support but got bought → trap
3. Confirm with Price Context
🔄 Look for reaction candles after X marks
📏 Set tighter stops — traps often reverse fast
🔔 Combine with your S/R zones or order block theory
⸻
🧠 Final Thoughts:
The PCCE + False Breakout Detector isn’t just about spotting momentum — it’s about reading intent vs. failure in price action.
BTC’s current structure shows signs of indecision. Trust the Xs to tell you whether the move has legs — or is just another trap.
🎯 Learn to trade the trap, not fall into it.
Bitcoin held the $115k level ┆ HolderStatBINANCE:BTCUSDT is currently in a triangle formation just above key support near 112,000. The price recently dipped below short-term support, likely triggering stop-losses, but still holds inside a bullish structure. If momentum builds, a push toward 125,000+ is likely. The trend remains intact above 110,000.
$BTC - Swing Point RetestCRYPTOCAP:BTC | 2h
We've got a swing point retest at 115.7k after the deviation at 114.6k
For bullish continuation, holding above 117.3k-116.8k is key — any break below invalidates the setup.
A clean break above the 120k resistance, I'm expecting we could finally tag 121k–122k (untested supply zone).
BTCUSDT.P LONGThe price is squeezed and its Sunday we might get a big move Positive Lets hope for the best and plan our trading.
I have marked 2 entries I think the more we wait the more we get.
So entry 2 in my opinion will be more beneficial to trail this trade. Anyhow if we see any bullish momentum on these level we are IN guys.
WHY? why i planned this trade as we can see the we are on sunday and price squeezed and we are already in bull run and we can see the price break the curve resistance so i hope the price will retest the level and if we see bullish candle patterns than only we will execute it.
If you like my previous ideas and analysis please don't forget to follow me. We all need encouragement. The more followers the more encouragement.
BTC Testing Resistance Within Lower Timeframe Channel
⚠️ CRYPTOCAP:BTC is setting up a key short-term play, with structure tightening on the intraday charts.
📉 4H: Trading inside a clean descending channel, with sellers still capping moves
⏱️ 1H: Price is nudging against trendline resistance — an active breakout attempt is underway
If this breakout confirms, we could see short-term bullish momentum take over 🔼
But a rejection here may push BTC back toward the channel’s lower boundary 🔽
👀 This setup is packed with potential — quick reactions are likely either way.
Are you expecting a breakout or another fade from resistance?
Not financial advice.
Bitcoin's Natural Correction and the $141K Target Based on Fibonhello dear trader and investors
The cryptocurrency market is always accompanied by strong fluctuations and natural corrections. Bitcoin, as the market leader, requires corrections and liquidity accumulation after each significant rally to pave the way for higher price targets. In this article, we analyze Fibonacci structures and harmonic patterns to demonstrate that Bitcoin's next target could be $141K.
1. Bitcoin Corrections: A Natural Part of an Uptrend
Price corrections in bullish trends are a normal phenomenon that helps shake out weak hands and allows major players to accumulate liquidity. Historically, Bitcoin has experienced 20-30% corrections before resuming its upward trajectory. The current correction is no different and may serve as a base for the next strong move toward higher targets.
2. The $141K Target Based on Fibonacci
Fibonacci levels are among the most reliable tools for predicting price targets. Assuming Bitcoin's recent high was around FWB:73K and the ongoing pullback is a healthy retracement, we can use harmonic AB=CD pattern to project potential upside targets. Based on these levels, Bitcoin could reach $141K in the next bullish phase.
Confirmation Through Harmonic Patterns
Harmonic patterns like Butterfly and Gartley suggest that the current correction is forming a potential reversal structure. If this correction completes within the PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone), Bitcoin could see a strong continuation of its uptrend. The Fibonacci ratios in these harmonic structures indicate that the final price target for this bullish wave could be around $141K.
Volume and Liquidity: Key Drivers for the Rally
Bitcoin needs increased volume and liquidity inflows to reach higher levels. On-chain data shows that trading volumes are rising and large investors (whales) are accumulating rather than selling. This behavior typically precedes a strong bullish move.
Bitcoin's current correction is entirely natural, and technical structures suggest that it could be laying the foundation for a new bullish wave. Based on Fibonacci and harmonic pattern analysis, Bitcoin's next major target is around $141K. Traders and investors should consider these levels in their analysis and avoid emotional decisions during market corrections
good luck
mehdi
BTC 4H – Retest Holding, But Golden Pocket BelowBitcoin’s 4H chart is at a key decision point. After a strong breakout in early July, price has been consolidating just above the prior resistance zone — now acting as support. This white box represents a major reclaim level that has held multiple times, but buyers are starting to look fatigued.
Below this support lies a clean Fibonacci retracement zone:
0.5 at 110,971
0.618 (Golden Pocket) at 108,072
0.786 deeper pullback at 103,945
The structure remains intact for now, but a loss of the current level could trigger a deeper sweep into one of these fib levels — especially with momentum (Stoch RSI) resetting from oversold.
A potential bounce here keeps the uptrend alive. However, if the zone breaks, the .618 area may be the magnet.
📊 Watching for:
Strong reaction or absorption at this support
Bullish divergence forming
Sweep into golden pocket followed by reversal structure
This setup blends price action, key S/R levels, and Fib confluence — a great chart for anticipating the next move, not reacting to the last one.
Want to Know What Happens in Crypto? Check Silver InsteadThe Gold/Silver ratio is one of the key indicators that highlights major turning points in modern economic history. Similarly, the ETH/BTC ratio is widely followed as a gauge of strength in the crypto market and the beginning of altcoin seasons. Interestingly, these two ratios also appear to correlate well with each other.
As adoption of both Ethereum and Bitcoin has grown, the Gold/Silver and BTC/ETH ratios have started to move more closely together. They often follow similar patterns, with tops and bottoms forming one after the other. For clarity, this analysis uses the BTC/ETH ratio rather than ETH/BTC.
Historically, BTC/ETH tends to lead during market tops, followed by a similar move in the Gold/Silver ratio. This pattern has been observed repeatedly since 2020. When it comes to bottoms, the timing between the two ratios is usually tighter, as seen during the 2020, 2021, and 2024 lows.
The latest signal came from a top in the BTC/ETH ratio, and the Gold/Silver ratio now appears to be following that move. Given the cyclical nature of crypto markets, both ETH and silver could be at the early stages of new upward trends. For a potential trend reversal, it may be wise to keep a closer eye on silver in the coming weeks.
BTC/USDT Analysis — Hidden Buyer
Hello everyone! This is the daily analysis from the CryptoRobotics trading analyst.
Yesterday, Bitcoin continued its move toward the local low and formed a false breakout.
Throughout the decline, we observed a positive delta, which may indicate gradual accumulation of long positions. At the same time, the descending trendline has not yet been broken, and there was strong absorption of market buys around ~$118,400 and ~$118,800 — which makes entering long positions very risky at the moment.
Our main expectations are based on further rotation within the range marked in yesterday’s analysis. In the short term, we are watching for a test of two local zones to assess the reaction from sellers. If the reaction is weak, a test of the upper boundary of the new sideways range is quite possible.
Buy zones:
$116,200–$115,000 (volume anomalies)
$110,000–$107,000 (accumulated volume)
Sell zones:
~$118,400 and ~$118,800 (local resistances)
This publication is not financial advice.
BTC: Calm before the storm on market, or where we go?Sometimes the market is straightforward: there’s momentum, a trend, a clear direction. But other times—like now—there’s complete uncertainty. Over the past few days, Bitcoin has been trading in a tight range, lacking any pronounced momentum. The price moves back and forth, bouncing off local levels but not breaking out in any meaningful way.
📉 This is especially clear on the 4-hour chart: neither bulls nor bears can take control. Every move upward is quickly met with selling pressure, and attempts to drop are countered by buying. It’s like a “ping-pong” match in a sideways market.
📊 Indicators show low volatility and declining volumes, confirming that market participants are simply waiting. Likely, they’re anticipating an external trigger: news, macroeconomic events, interest rate decisions, ETF developments, or something else.
What could this mean?
Such conditions often precede a strong move. The question is—where to? Honestly, there’s no clear signal yet. Personally, I try not to rush in moments like these: if the market isn’t giving a clear direction, it’s better to take a pause.
That’s the essence of a professional approach: don’t trade just for the sake of trading, but wait until the market speaks more confidently.
What can you do now?
– Watch the range boundaries and wait for a breakout or trade bounces.
– Avoid entering positions based on emotions—pullbacks can be sharp and unexpected.
– Reduce trade sizes if you do enter, and set tight stops.
– Keep an eye on the news—sometimes even neutral news can spark a move.
Sometimes the best decision is to do nothing. This might be one of those times. In a sideways market, you’re more likely to lose than gain. But clarity almost always follows a consolidation.
BTC USDT Forming Head and shoulder in 5 MinChart Breakdown
🟢 Pattern:
Left Shoulder: 118,450
Head: ~118,600
Right Shoulder: ~118,400
Neckline: Sloping slightly upward, around 118,050
📌 Bearish Breakdown Scenario
If BTC breaks below the neckline (~118,000) with volume, the expected drop (measured move) is:
Height of pattern:
Head (118,600) – Neckline (118,000) = 600 pts
Target on breakdown:
118,000 – 600 = ~117,400
🔻 Target: 117,400–117,300
🔒 Invalidation: Price closes above 118,300 with strong volume.
$BTC Daily OutlookDaily Chart
Today’s close printed a small bearish doji; visually bearish but still another inside-day that keeps BTC boxed between the High-Volume Node / v-Level cluster at $116 860-$123 300.
Holding $116 860 remains critical; lose it on a daily close and price can easily slide to the weekly breakout shelf near $111 960. We are now 16 days inside this balance. Per Auction-Market-Theory rule #5, the longer price churns at the edge, the more resting liquidity is absorbed, eventually a decisive push will follow. If buyers defend $116 860 again, the path opens toward range high $123 300 and the prior ATH; if they fail, expect a fast flush to the weekly V-Level.
Footprint Read
Value Area High and Low span the full candle, with the POC parked mid-range, classic two-sided trade. Delta finished negative and the heaviest prints sit at session lows: sellers hit the bid hard, yet could not follow through. That absorption leaves shorts vulnerable to a squeeze if new selling momentum doesn’t appear quickly.
Fundamental Pulse – Week Ahead
ETF Flows: Spot-Bitcoin ETFs booked three consecutive inflow days to close last week (+$180 M net). Sustained demand under the range supports the bullish case.
Macro Data: U.S. FOMC & Federal Fund Rates prints for this week; expect more volatility starting from tomorrow.
Game Plan
Primary bias stays long while daily candles close above $116 860; upside trigger is a clean for now or shorts squeeze toward $123 300.
If $116 860 breaks with volume, prepare for a quick liquidity hunt into the weekly shelf at $111 960, where we reassess for swing longs.
Intraday: I’ll monitor the Intraday Chart on tomorrow's High impact events and look for best opportunities across the board. Alt window: a fresh downtick in BTC Dominance could spark rotation; watch high-Open Interest majors if BTC ranges.