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Here’s Why Bitcoin Price Could Rewrite History in AugustBINANCE:BTCUSDT price is currently hovering at $118,938, within a consolidation range between $117,261 and $120,000 . While this range has held steady, the possibility of breaking through $120,000 is high if investor sentiment remains strong. The current sell-side risk ratio for BINANCE:BTCUSDT is at 0.24, well below the neutral threshold of 0.4 and closer to the low-value realization threshold of 0.1. This suggests that the market is experiencing consolidation, with investor behavior indicating a pause in large sell-offs. Historically, August has been a bearish month for BINANCE:BTCUSDT , with the median monthly return sitting at -8.3%. However, given the current accumulation trend and the low sell-side risk, Bitcoin may defy its historical trend this year. If Bitcoin can secure $120,000 as support, it would likely push past $122,000 and move toward the ATH . However, there remains a risk that the market could turn bearish if investors shift their stance due to unforeseen market factors. In this case, BINANCE:BTCUSDT could lose support at $117,261 and slide to $115,000, reversing the bullish thesis.
by aaryamann_shrivastava_bic
Strategic Multi-Swing Analysis – Pivots and Post-FOMC Outlook__________________________________________________________________________________ Technical Overview – Summary Points ➤ Sustained bullish momentum on BTCUSDT across all swing timeframes. ➤ Key supports: 116400–117400 (likely rebound), major supports: 105047–114674. ➤ Main resistances: 119000–120000 (short term), major ceiling at 123240 (1D/12H). ➤ Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: "Strong Buy" signal – tech sector leadership confirmed. ➤ Volumes normal to moderately elevated, no excess or behavioral anomaly (ISPD "Neutral"). ➤ No euphoria or capitulation flags; general wait-and-see attitude, FOMC event ahead. __________________________________________________________________________________ Strategic Summary ➤ Strategic bullish bias remains as long as 116400/117400 supports hold. ➤ Opportunity window: buy pullbacks towards 117400–116400 with tight stops; clear invalidation below 115900. ➤ Risks: FOMC-induced volatility, increased leverage on alts, potential capitulation if key support breaks. ➤ Catalysts: FOMC communication, geopolitical context (no immediate threat), background risk-off climate not yet triggered. ➤ Action plan: Prioritize post-event reaction over anticipation; maintain strict technical protection. __________________________________________________________________________________ Multi-Timeframe Analysis 1D: Uptrend confirmed. Price above all major supports. Strong resistance at 123240, key support at 105047, normal volumes, Risk On / Risk Off Indicator "Strong Buy", ISPD "Neutral". 12H: Bullish bias. Resistance cluster 120002–123240. Intermediate supports 114674/111949. Momentum/volume supported, no excesses. 6H: Bullish near range top, supports at 114674/111949, ceiling at 120002–123240. Solid Risk On / Risk Off Indicator. 4H–2H: Up momentum, resistance 119003–120002–123240, supports 116474/117800. Moderate/normal volumes. 1H: Strong uptrend, thick resistance at 119000–120000, immediate supports 117800/116474. Slight volume uptick ahead of FOMC. 30min–15min: Resistance 119003–120000 (~H4 pivot). Intraday support 117400–117800/118200. Both Risk On / Risk Off Indicator and ISPD neutral, normal volumes, bullish as long as 116474 holds. SYNTHESIS: Broad bullish confluence on MTFTI from 1H to 1D/W. Supports at 116474/117400 are key pivots for maintaining bullish swing view. No behavioral alerts or extreme volumes. Consolidation/waiting likely before FOMC release – monitor reactions at pivot zones. __________________________________________________________________________________ Strategic decision & macro Opportunities: Swing bullish scenario favored as long as key supports hold, buy strategic pullbacks, reverse on clear break. Main risk: FOMC volatility, altcoin excesses, possible post-announcement fake moves. Active monitoring essential. Macro/on-chain: No excess, BTC realized cap > $1T; aggressive rotation into alts, high open interest. No capitulation. Major on-chain & technical support aligned at 114500–118000. Action plan: Favor reactivity (post-FOMC), tight stops, progressive take profits at 119500–123240 resistance. No aggressive pre-positioning. __________________________________________________________________________________ Macro catalysts overview FOMC expected: status quo, market sensitive to any Powell tone shift. Global macro: latent risk-off, geopolitical drivers closely watched. BTC stable, no technical disruptor in the immediate term. __________________________________________________________________________________ Final Decision Summary Robust technical setup with a clear bullish bias. Optimal entries on 117400-116400 pullbacks, stops below support, active management needed during FOMC. No on-chain excess; constructive background unless exogenous shock or resistance failure (119000–123240). Stay alert for breakout/reject pivot. __________________________________________________________________________________
by Ox_kali
Market overview 📈 WHAT HAPPENED? Last week, a less priority but expected scenario was realized for Bitcoin. We broke through the sideways in a downward direction and fell to the area of pushing volumes ~$115,000. At this level, strong volume anomalies were recorded, and a rebound occurred. On Friday, the daily analysis on TradingView indicated a point to join the long movement, which confirmed its accuracy. The price reached the accumulated volume zone of the sideways at $117,600-$119,200 and was able to consolidate above without any significant reaction, which strengthens the buyers' position. 💼 WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT? At the moment, the first protection from sellers has appeared. Let's consider possible scenarios: 1. A decline to the mirror zone of $118,300-$117,300, from which, if the buyers' reaction is confirmed, buys are expected to resume. Next, a narrow sideways formation within the mentioned zone and a local sell zone of $119,500-$119,000 is possible, followed by a long position. Another option is to develop a further long divergence from the current levels. In this case, the local sell zone of $119,000-$119,500 will provide additional support. 2. A less priority scenario is a decline to the volume anomaly zone of $116,200-$115,000, with a test of the local minimum. In this case, the recovery will take longer. Buy Zones: $118,300–$117,300 (mirror volume zone) $116,200–$115,000 (volume anomalies) $110,000–$107,000 (accumulated volumes) Sell Zone: $119,500–$119,000 (potential resistance if a correction develops) 📰 IMPORTANT DATES Macroeconomic events this week: • July 29, Tuesday, 14:00 (UTC) - publication of the US Consumer Confidence Index from CB for July; • July 29, Tuesday, 14:00 (UTC) - publication of the US Job Openings and Labor Turnover (JOLTS) for June; • July 30, Wednesday, 08:00 (UTC) - publication of Germany's GDP for the second quarter of 2025; • July 30, Wednesday, 12:15 (UTC) — ADP's July change in the number of non-agricultural employees in the United States; • July 30, Wednesday, 12:30 (UTC) — U.S. GDP for the second quarter of 2025; • July 30, Wednesday, 13:45 (UTC) — Canada's interest rate decision; • July 30, Wednesday, 18:00 (UTC) — US FOMC statement and announcement of the US Federal Reserve interest rate decision; •July 30, Wednesday, 18:30 (UTC) — US FOMC press Conference; • July 31, Thursday, 01:30 (UTC) — publication of the Chinese Manufacturing PMI for July; •July 31, Thursday, 03:00 (UTC) — announcement of Japan's interest rate decision; • July 31, Thursday, 12:00 (UTC) — publication of Germany's July Consumer Price Index (CPI); • July 31, Thursday, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the United States' June Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index and Initial Jobless Claims; • August 1, Friday, 09:00 (UTC) — publication of the Eurozone Consumer Price Index (CPI) for July; • August 1, Friday, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the average hourly wage, changes in the number of employees in the non-agricultural sector, and the unemployment rate in the United States for July; • August 1, Friday, 13:45 (UTC) — publication of the U.S. Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for July. *This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience. #analytics
Long
by Crypto_robotics
BTC Price Prediction and Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends, >> Thank you for joining me in my analysis. I think we will finish the 1st wave A in pink X wave as Gray ABCm. I am waiting for its confirmation. >> Reminder about our previous confirmations: * Day TF: Breaking 118451 for today and the next couple of days, and keep on above it, leads to ending the B wave successfully. * 4Hr TF: Breaking 118451 for the past hours and keep on above it, we ended W wave successfully ( maybe also B ?) Keep liking and supporting me to continue. See you soon! Thanks, Bros
by MASCryptoAna
BTCUSDT Range-Bound Market: Short-Term Bearish MoveBTCUSDT has failed to break through the descending resistance near 120,000 and is now forming a lower high within the broader resistance zone. The price action follows an impulsive leg up and is currently tracing a potential reversal pattern under key structural resistance. As long as the market remains capped below 120,000, continuation toward 117,500 is likely. The downward bias is supported by weakening momentum after the bull trap and resistance rejection. 📉 Key Levels Sell trigger: Breakdown below 119,000 Sell zone: 119,400 – 120,000 Target: 117,500 Invalidation: Break and close above 120,500
Short
by SinoheTrader
28/07/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $120,241.80 Last weeks low: $114,776.00 Midpoint: $117,508.90 As we approach the end of the month BTC continues to trade sideways during a cooling off period as altcoins finally take the stage. Last week Bitcoin saw a relatively flat net inflow via ETFs of $72m, ETH on the other hand posted the second largest net inflow week ever at $1.85B! The concentration has certainly shifted... This IMO is still a very bullish structure for BTC, very shallow pullbacks being bought up/absorbed by still happy to purchase at these levels. As long as this continues altcoins have a strong base to continue growing on, if BTC breaks structure and price accepts below ~$110,000 then the altcoin rally will be over for now I believe. This week some major altcoins are set to reach HTF resistance areas, ETH has already tagged $4,000 which looks to be a battleground level of major importance. TOTAL2 which is the combined market cap of all altcoins is currently ~8% from the highs, keeping this in mind for where altcoins may run out of steam... Good luck this week everybody!
by ProR35
2
Daily Market Analysis – BTC, ETH, and Key Indexes 💎🔥 Daily Market Analysis – BTC, ETH, and Key Indexes 🔥💎 🚀 Don’t forget to FOLLOW & smash the ROCKET 🚀 button if this helped you! 💬 Drop your thoughts in the comments ♦️ Hello everyone! On this page, we follow a daily and weekly crypto routine: 🟡 Daily: • Structural and technical analysis of BTC, ETH, and overall market indexes. 🟡 Every Sunday: • Analysis of the Top 10 Altcoins (excluding BTC & ETH) • 🆕 Weekly Watchlist to be introduced soon! 💛Your likes and follows are my fuel to keep posting daily insights 💛 ⭕️ We’re currently in a super critical zone across all markets: • BTC, ETH, major Altcoins • Key indexes like BTC Dominance (BTC.D), USDT Dominance (USDT.D), TOTAL, TOTAL2, and TOTAL3 All are at major turning points. ❗️Also, this week brings critical macro news: • U.S. Interest Rate decision – expected to remain unchanged, but political pressure may push Powell to surprise the markets. • Reports on U.S. GDP, Japanese Yen interest rate, and Canadian Dollar are also coming. ⚠️ This is a HIGH-IMPACT WEEK – stay alert. We might even be at the edge of a bull run. ♦️ BTC As mentioned yesterday, to confirm long positions on altcoins and restart their rally, we need a breakout above 120,300 on BTC and a drop in BTC.D. ✅ Break of 120,300 would inject strong bullish sentiment and possibly trigger high momentum. 🚫 Until then, my focus is strictly on bullish setups only. 📌 If BTC ranges before the U.S. session opens, the entry triggers shared in yesterday's watchlist will be ideal to activate. ♦️ BTC Dominance (BTC.D) While BTC price rises, BTC.D is dropping – a great signal for altcoin entries. BTC.D is testing two key levels: 1️⃣ 60.83 2️⃣ 60.42 📉 A full breakdown of 60.83 would be the first signal of an altcoin reversal. ❗️If 60.42 breaks too – do NOT stay out of altcoins! ♦️ TOTAL (Market Cap) Currently struggling with the 3.91T level. A clean break here could bring in serious volume and momentum. 💡 Missed some entries from the watchlist? Look for major breakout levels on other coins. ♦️ TOTAL2 (Altcoin Cap excl. BTC) Also testing its key level of 1.48T. Breakout = confirmation of altcoin strength. ♦️ TOTAL3 (Altcoin Cap excl. BTC & ETH) Yesterday, gave us its first bullish signal breaking above 1.03T. Because ETH has moved already, TOTAL2 reacted faster. ⏳ That means: we still have time for altcoin setups (excluding BTC & ETH). ♦️ USDT Dominance (USDT.D) Broke 4.23% – which was the first early sign of a bullish shift. Before it breaks 4.13%, we should already be in long positions on BTC and alts. ⚠️ Once 4.13% breaks, sharp altcoin rallies may happen quickly – entry opportunities may disappear. ♦️ ETH/USDT Although ETH has bullish candles, volume and trend strength are weak. My preferred entry was around $3,750 – that would give us room toward the $4,000 resistance. Right now, no valid entry trigger in ETH. If it reacts to $4,000 and forms a lower low, then we might scout for bullish setups. ⛔️ $4,000 is likely to cause some chop – which is why $3,750 was a better buy zone. ♦️ Outlook & Strategy ♦️ 1️⃣ Consider the chance that all coins may bounce exactly from current levels – that's what I’m personally positioning for, accepting the risk. 2️⃣ If BTC and ETH break 120K and 4K then consolidate, and BTC.D continues to drop — ➡️ Get ready for an Altcoin Party. 3️⃣ Monitor the daily watchlist triggers closely. 4️⃣ If BTC fails to break 120.3K, we won’t get the explosive rally. 5️⃣ If BTC ranges while BTC.D continues dropping, alts will still perform — ⚠️ But not as strong as a full bull run. 🚀 Hit the ROCKET if this helped you stay ahead of the market! 🟡 Follow me for daily BTC, ETH & index updates. 💬 Let me know your market view in the comments!
Long
by trade-pro-mind
BTC-----Buy around 119000, target 120000-1205000 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on July 28: Today, the daily level of the large cycle closed with a small positive line yesterday, the K-line pattern continued to rise, the price was above the moving average, and the attached indicator was dead cross. The general trend of rising is still very obvious, but from the trend law, it is not a very strong trend at present. The trend of oscillating upward and range is highly likely. In this case, we must find a good rhythm for trading, keep short-term, and don’t be greedy, otherwise it is easy to have profit-taking problems; the short-term cycle hourly chart yesterday’s US market rose and then fell under pressure to correct the low position near the 118700 area. The current K-line pattern is continuous, and the price is at a high level. The attached indicator is golden cross and shrinking. In general, the trend is still strong and the retracement is relatively small. If we look at the continuation of the rise today, it is still the old rule. The retracement cannot be large and cannot break the intraday low. Today’s BTC short-term contract trading strategy: Trade in the 119000 area when retreating, stop loss in the 118500 area, target 120000 and break to the 120500 area;
Long
by NicolaZhu
Double Bullish Flag on Bitcoin — Next Rally to $135K?📊 BTCUSDT (12H) In-Depth Analysis: Major Momentum Brewing Bitcoin (BTC) is currently exhibiting a very promising technical structure — a Double Bullish Flag, a rare yet powerful continuation formation that often precedes strong upside momentum. This dual-pattern structure reflects market strength and smart accumulation, with bulls maintaining control while allowing for healthy pauses before potential expansion to higher levels. --- 🔍 Technical Breakdown: Double Bullish Flag Structure 🔸 1. Primary Bullish Flag: Formed after a sharp rally from around $95,000 to $113,000 (flagpole). Price then consolidated within a clear descending channel, forming a classic Bullish Flag pattern. Breakout from this pattern occurred in early July, confirming bullish continuation. 🔸 2. Secondary Bullish Flag (Mini Flag): After the breakout from the main flag, BTC formed a second smaller flag pattern — a narrow descending channel from ~$123K to ~$119K. This is known as bullish flag stacking — a pattern of "flag on top of flag", signaling trend strength and smart consolidation. This mini-flag now acts as a launchpad for the next potential breakout. --- 🚀 Bullish Scenario: Preparing for a Breakout If BTC breaks above the upper resistance of the mini flag (~$123,200), it will signal a fresh bullish continuation. 🎯 Potential Upside Targets: Conservative target: $126,000 – $128,000 Full measured move target (from flagpole): $132,000 – $135,000 ✅ Confirmation criteria: Strong candle close above $123.2K Accompanied by rising volume and upward RSI momentum (but not overbought) --- 🧨 Bearish Scenario: Breakdown and Retest If BTC fails to break above the flag and instead drops below the flag support (~$119,400), we may see a short-term correction. 🔻 Key Support Levels: $117,000 – minor horizontal support $113,000 – $115,000 – strong demand zone and previous breakout area ⚠️ As long as price holds above $113K, the broader bullish trend remains intact. A pullback to this zone could offer a prime retest-buying opportunity. --- 📌 Key Price Levels to Watch: Level Role $123,200 Mini-flag resistance (breakout trigger) $121,600 Mid-range resistance $119,400 Flag support $117,000 Horizontal retest zone $113,000 Major support (trend invalidation if lost) $132K – $135K Projected breakout target --- 💡 Conclusion: BTC in Critical Zone Before Potential Expansion This Double Bullish Flag formation is one of the most technically constructive setups BTC has shown in weeks. It reflects a strong, patient market — with bulls preparing for another leg higher. If the breakout from the second flag confirms, Bitcoin could rally toward $135,000, backed by momentum, volume, and clean structure. However, a breakdown would only signal a short-term cooldown unless support at $113K is lost. 🧭 Stay focused on breakout confirmation, volume spikes, and market sentiment. This could be the calm before a bullish storm. #BTCUSDT #BitcoinBreakout #BullishFlag #TechnicalAnalysis #DoubleBullFlag #BTCMomentum #BitcoinRally #CryptoOutlook #BitcoinTo135K
Long
by CryptoNuclear
BTC & ETH Structural Market Analysis🚀 Don’t forget to hit follow and smash the 🚀 button if you enjoy this analysis! 🚀 BTC & ETH Structural Market Analysis ⭕️Methodology: • Dow Theory • 1D: HWC • 4H: MDC • 1H: LWC Market Outlook: Yesterday's structural analysis remains valid for today, but let’s review the key levels again. Today’s approach: 1️⃣ Wait for Total2 to react at 1.53 – if it breaks upward, we hold our positions. 2️⃣ Take profits quickly – if weakness is spotted in the trend, close positions without hesitation. Note: There’s a chance of fake breakouts on long positions, but personally, I’m willing to take this risk. If TOTAL breaks its key resistance, we may see a strong rally. Key Levels & Scenarios: ♦️ BTC ♦️ • Important levels: 115 and 120. • A breakout of these levels will define bullish or bearish scenarios. • Long trigger remains at 120. ♦️ BTC.D ♦️ • Bullish above 61.44 and 62.17 – bearish momentum in altcoins. • Bearish below 60.83 and 60.42 – bullish rally in altcoins. • If BTC dominance climbs, 62.74 is the limit where we stay bullish on BTC pairs. Beyond that, focus shifts fully to BTC itself. • If BTC breaks 119,500 while dominance drops, it confirms holding or entering longs on altcoins. ♦️ TOTAL ♦️ • Still struggling with the 3.85 resistance level. ♦️ TOTAL2 ♦️ • Successfully broke 1.48, leading to the recent altcoin move. • Next critical level: 1.55 – a breakout could trigger a strong altcoin rally. ♦️ USDT.D ♦️ • Breakdown of 4.22: keep positions open. • Breakdown of 4.13: start of a new bullish trend in BTC & altcoins. • Fake breakout around 4.13: expect range-bound movement between 4.13 – 4.37. • If 4.37 breaks upward: expect corrections in BTC & altcoins. ♦️ ETH ♦️ • Weakness visible in ETH/USDT chart; candles are not giving strong signals. • ADX oscillator suggests a sharp move is coming (direction TBD). • If RSI climbs above 70 with current ADX conditions: expect a sharp bullish move. 🔥 If this analysis helps you, hit that follow & smash the 🚀 to support my updates! And share your comments 🔥
Long
by trade-pro-mind
#BTC Update #10 – July 27, 2025#BTC Update #10 – July 27, 2025 Bitcoin continues to move between $116,400 and $118,900, and staying within this range is actually a positive sign, even in bearish scenarios. A decisive close below $114,000, however, could open the door for a deeper and more prolonged correction. Although BTC hasn’t broken to new highs yet, its ability to hold here means the trend isn’t broken. A strong breakout above $118,900 could lead to a rally toward $123,300 and possibly even $128,000. 🔹 On the 4H chart, BTC seems to have completed its minor correction. 🔹 On the daily chart, the correction remains incomplete – despite dipping to $114,700, the key $112,900 zone hasn’t been tested. In lower timeframes, BTC remains squeezed within a symmetrical triangle. While it occasionally pokes out, it quickly returns inside — showing indecision. 📌 Direction is unclear at the moment. There’s no strong signal for Long or Short. Waiting for confirmation with volume and a clear breakout is the safer play.
by BTCETH2X