AAPL trade ideas
AAPL – Long Bias SetupWhy I’m Watching the Long Side:
✅ Clean Bounce from $190 Zone
That \$190–195 level has held multiple times since April. Last two dips got scooped with solid demand = solid base forming.
✅ Break of Recent Lower Highs
Stock finally pushed through prior resistance around $205–208. Structure shift. Possible start of a trend reversal.
✅ Buy Signal Triggered (Green "4")
Chart printed a buy signal near lows with follow-through = momentum may be shifting.
✅ Holding Above Short-Term Moving Level
Price is now holding above the short-term EMA (teal line), showing trend momentum flipping bullish.
✅ Vol Picking Up
Volume on the green days has increased, signaling interest from bigger players.
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Trade Plan:
• Entry Zone: \$208–211
• TP1: $220 (near previous supply)
• TP2: $230 (gap fill zone)
• TP3: $250
• SL: Just below $204 = exit
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⚠️ Caution:
Still under red resistance band ($220). Needs real strength to reclaim it.
Watch how price reacts there – could stall or squeeze.
📅 Next earnings 3 weeks out. Could build up into it.
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💬 Setup looks constructive. Playing the reversal with tight risk. Not chasing, just reacting. Trade your plan.
Breaking out!The price breaks through the purple resistance and is preparing to start an upward movement.
A compression triangle formation is taking shape, with the lows resting on the underlying purple trendline.
At $203.3, the weekly 100-period simple moving average (SMA100, green line) is located. A close above this level would be an important confirmation of the bullish reversal.
$AAPL Long Setup – Range Breakout Potential with Tight RiskApple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) is finally showing signs of strength after a prolonged sideways range. Price is attempting to break above the Ichimoku Cloud on the daily chart while MACD is starting to curve upward—indicating a potential shift in momentum. After holding the $190–$200 zone as support for months, this move above $200 could trigger a short-term breakout toward the $220–$226 levels.
The current setup has a clean structure with a 4.27 risk/reward ratio:
Entry: $200.30
Stop: $195.07 (below recent range lows)
Target: $222.61 (prior high + pivot cluster)
If this move holds, it could mark the start of a trend reversal in Apple following months of chop. Solid setup for a 2–4 week swing trade or as part of a core position rebuild.
Let me know if you're playing this one or waiting for confirmation above $208.
AAPL Options Sentiment (GEX) – Gamma Exposure Analysis* Gamma Wall / Call Resistance is forming between 213.55 – 216.23, aligning with major GEX levels (GEX7/8) and 2nd/3rd Call Walls. That area is a potential profit-taking zone or rejection spot for bulls if tested again.
* High Volume Level (HVL) at 202.5 is marked with strong support (from the green tag), meaning sellers must break below that level with force for a bearish continuation.
* Below that, we have layered PUT support walls at 200 and 195, reinforcing 198–202 as a major demand zone.
* Current IVR: 27.6, IVx avg: 31.4 — fairly low, suggesting neutral-to-slightly-bearish premium pricing.
* PUTs 3% weighted dominance also implies defensive positioning, but not aggressively bearish.
🔍 Options Insight:
If price stays under 213 and fails to reclaim 212.55–213.55 zone, the bias is toward a grind back toward 205–202.5.
Watch for volatility around July 11 expiration — if 202.5 fails, 200 strike puts may surge.
📈 Potential Options Trade Setup:
* Bearish setup (if rejection confirmed below 213):
* Entry: Near 212.5
* Target: 202.5
* PUT: July 12 or 19 $205P or $202.5P
* Bullish recovery scenario:
* Entry: Above 213.55 with strength
* Target: 216+
* CALL: July 12 $215C for short-term squeeze play
AAPL 1-Hour Chart – Price Action & Structure
* Break of Structure (BOS) occurred above 212.55 but was not sustained.
* Price is now pulling back from the mid-supply zone (purple box) and is attempting to hold above 209 support.
* Trendline support broken, and now retesting from below — suggesting a weakening trend unless 213 is reclaimed quickly.
* Major support at 199.26 aligns with a previous CHoCH zone, forming a clean demand zone.
* Volume is fading slightly on this decline, but there’s no strong absorption yet.
🧠 Intraday Bias Suggestion:
If AAPL can't reclaim 212.5–213 on bounce, the market may pull toward the HVL zone (205–202.5).
However, if we get a reclaim of 213.5 with volume, the trendline flip becomes bullish again — target 215–216.
Summary Recommendations
* For Options Traders:
* Favor PUT debit spreads or single directional PUTs if price stays below 212.5.
* Avoid naked CALLs until a break above 213.5 confirms strength.
* IV is low — good time to buy premium, not sell it.
* For Stock Traders (Intraday or Swing):
* Consider shorting pops into 213 with stop above 215.
* Look for long entries near 202.5–200 with tight stops if structure holds.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk carefully.
AAPL needs to break above 213 to start an upward moveAAPL needs to break above 213 to start an upward move
From our previous analysis, the price increased by almost +8% from 200 to 216.
The resistance zone, which was also our first target, stopped the price near 213.50, but again the bullish volume seems to be high and there is a good chance that AAPL will continue to rise further.
A clear move above 212.5 should push AAPL higher to 224.50; 240 and 257.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
Previous analysis:
Time to buy? Too much negative press. Buy in Fear- Updated 18/7Apple has significantly underperformed compared to the other Magnificent 7 stocks, but I don’t believe it’s a company you should bet against in the current climate. With a slow rollout of AI and recent statements from Apple, they may not always be first to market, but they generally execute well. The remarks regarding Sony, Samsung, and Netflix by Apple were very revealing and demonstrate a solid long-term strategy. However, there may be some bumps along the way as they work toward their goals, potentially involving acquisitions.
The fear spread in the media is similar to the FUD (fear, uncertainty, doubt) often associated with Bitcoin, and this is typically a good time to buy. Remember the saying: if retail investors miss the boat, it’s gone, but if institutions miss it, they often bring the boat back.
While this is not financial advice, based on the green weekly candle, it's hard not to pay attention, and Apple may now have a very positive year ahead! Especially with the weakening dollar and reports stating that this will benefit them greatly.
Apple has been consolidating in the 210 USD region, forming a smaller flag pattern that is nearing completion. Based on this previous pattern, the next upward move is expected to reach >$220, where consolidation will likely begin again. With Apple’s earnings rapidly approaching and stronger-than-expected results anticipated, July and August could be very positive months for Apple holders.
A golden cross appears likely, with the 50-day EMA just $5.50 below the 200-day EMA. This would be very bullish for Apple and could trigger significant interest from both institutional and retail investors. Additionally, Apple has been lagging behind the other “Magnificent Seven” stocks, experiencing considerable selling pressure; however, this trend is now reversing. Apple is shaping up to be a good short-term and long-term hold.
AAPL Set for a Breakout? | Technical Checklist & Projections
▍Observation & Context
▪ AAPL has been moving sideways within a clearly defined range for the past three months .
▪ On July 07 , price tested the range resistance decisively, showing some interest in the upside.
→ Let's first explore the bullish breakout scenario.
▍What Makes a Good Breakout ?
Before we talk about targets, let’s define what a good breakout looks like:
▪ A strong bullish candle breaking through the resistance in one clean move .
▪ Followed by a retest of the broken resistance (now acting as support).
▪ After that, price should ideally:
1. Form a higher low , and
2. Reach the next resistance or target zone before pulling back.
▍Target Price – Method 1: Extension of the Range
🔹 Near-Term Target: 1.5–1.618x Fibonacci Extension
- A common zone where momentum often pauses.
- Aligns with the previous high from the last downtrend.
- Technically, to reverse a trend, price needs to take out the previous high. Even though the range has “cooled off” the pressure, we still respect that level.
🔹 Ultimate Target: 2x Range Extension
- Represents a 100% projection of the previous range.
- Commonly used in range breakout targets.
🔹 Dream Target: 2.618x Fibonacci Extension
- Aligns with the start of the last downtrend , adding significance to the level.
- Often marks the exhaustion point of strong trends.
▍Target Price – Method 2: Projection from Higher Low
Note: The new higher low is not yet confirmed at the time of writing. The levels below assume an upward breakout without dropping below 207.22 . However, the same logic can be applied once the higher low forms.
🔹 Near-Term Target: Same as Method 1
🔹 Ultimate Target: 100% Projection of Prior Swing
- Projecting the prior swing (from previous low to recent high) from the new higher low .
- This level also aligns with the 1.5–1.618x Fibonacci extension of that swing, increasing its significance.
🔹 Dream Target: Another 100% projection
- Rare, but happens when momentum is very strong .
- In such cases, price might skip any retracement and launch directly into a second leg , equal to the previous swing.
- Here, the level aligns perfectly with the start of the last downtrend , just like the 2.618x extension in Method 1.
▋Mental Notes
▪ No one knows for sure if the breakout will be real or fake. But when it happens, knowing what to look for and where price might go next gives us a clear plan of action .
▪ The market will always find ways to surprise. Stay open and follow the flow.
▋Not Financial Advice
The information contained in this article is not intended as, and should not be understood as financial advice. You should take independent financial advice from a professional who is aware of the facts and circumstances of your individual situation.
The Crypto Market Shaken by USDe Collapse – What’s Next for BtcIn early July 2025, the crypto market was rocked by the sudden destabilization of one of the fastest-growing stablecoins — USDe by Ethena. In just a few days, the token lost over 10% of its value, dropping to $0.88. This triggered a wave of liquidations across DeFi protocols and a sharp decline in major crypto assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum.
Why USDe Collapsed
The main cause of the collapse was a weak collateral model. Unlike USDT and USDC, USDe lacked full fiat backing. Its reserves were partially based on derivatives and complex hedging strategies. When a few large wallets began withdrawing liquidity, panic spread quickly. The rush to exit USDe overwhelmed the system, breaking the $1 peg.
This led to an accelerated loss of trust and triggered cascading liquidations across multiple DeFi platforms.
Impact on DeFi and the Broader Market
DeFi was hit hard. The total value locked (TVL) across major protocols like Aave, Curve, and MakerDAO dropped by 17% in one week. Some platforms halted USDe-related activity to contain losses.
Bitcoin fell below $58,000, and Ethereum dropped under $3,000, driven not only by lower liquidity but also by renewed skepticism from institutional investors. The volatility in what was perceived as a “safe” asset reignited debates around the future of algorithmic stablecoins.
What Happens Next?
The fallout from USDe is a major stress test for the entire DeFi ecosystem. If the team behind Ethena fails to restore trust, other algorithmic stablecoins could come under pressure. There are already growing calls for greater transparency, independent audits, and stricter collateralization rules.
On the flip side, many see this as a healthy correction — a purge of undercollateralized, risky experiments. The long-term winners could be robust, transparent protocols, and Bitcoin, with its capped supply and increasing institutional demand, may once again be seen as a flight-to-safety asset.
AAPL PREPARING FOR A LARGER MOVEAAPL clearly shows a descending channel pattern, marked by two parallel downward-sloping yellow trendlines. Within that broader structure, the price is currently consolidating in a narrow range between two horizontal yellow lines:
Resistance around $210.98
Support around $207.46
🔍 Current Technical Setup
Consolidation Range
AAPL is moving sideways in a tight range between $207.46 and $210.98. This narrow trading zone within a broader descending channel is typical of compression before a breakout.
Descending Channel Context
The channel suggests a longer-term downtrend bias, but the compression at these levels can lead to a breakout in either direction, especially when volume starts to increase.
Support Zone ($207.46)
This level has been tested and held, making it a key line to watch. A breakdown below this support would likely trigger a sharper selloff toward the lower channel boundary, near $203–$204.
Resistance Zone ($210.98)
This level lines up with the upper boundary of the current consolidation and the midline of the descending channel. A breakout above would invalidate the local downtrend and could send price to test the top of the channel (~$214+).
Volume Clues
Volume is relatively low during this sideways movement, which often precedes a high-volume breakout as indecision resolves.
📈 Scenarios to Watch
Bullish Breakout
Above $210.98 and the descending trendline.
Likely target: $214–$216
Confirmation: Volume spike + strong bullish candle
Bearish Breakdown
Below $207.46 support.
Target: $203 or lower, testing channel support.
Confirmation: Increasing red volume + bearish momentum
🧠 Summary
AAPL is in a compressed state, with a tight horizontal range forming inside a broader downward-sloping channel. This often sets the stage for a powerful directional move. Traders should closely monitor breaks of $210.98 or $207.46 to catch the next leg — either a reversal toward higher levels or continuation of the downtrend.
APPLE Set To Fall! SELL!
My dear friends,
APPLE looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 211.08 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 206.69
Recommended Stop Loss - 213.91
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Crypto in July 2025: A Financial Reset from Macromics GroupThe world of cryptocurrencies in July 2025 is experiencing more than just another growth cycle — it’s undergoing a fundamental transformation of the global financial system. Amid geopolitical instability, tighter control over digital assets, and growing interest from institutional investors, digital currencies are once again in the spotlight. Macromics Group shares its latest analytical insights on the key events and trends.
A New Bull Run: Ethereum 3.0 and Bitcoin Network Upgrade
Since the start of summer 2025, Ethereum has shown strong growth, largely due to the launch of Ethereum 3.0, which reduced transaction fees and made the network more scalable. Bitcoin, in turn, has undergone another major security upgrade, attracting new institutional investors, including funds from Japan and Saudi Arabia.
CBDCs and Regulation: Governments Shift Approach
Central banks are actively rolling out central bank digital currencies (CBDCs). China, India, Brazil, and the EU have expanded pilot programs for their national digital currencies. This has led to increased interest in stablecoins backed by fiat currencies and greater demands for transparency on DeFi platforms.
Macromics Group helps clients navigate these new dynamics, offering up-to-date analytical resources and capital protection strategies across both regulated and unregulated sectors of the crypto market.
NFTs Make a Comeback — In the Corporate World
A new wave of interest in NFTs is emerging, not from artists, but from the corporate sector. Companies are using tokens for intellectual property, document verification, and digital rights management. Macromics Group is investing in startups building infrastructure for business-focused NFTs — a clear sign of the technology’s long-term potential.
AI + Blockchain: A Union of Future Technologies
In 2025, two mega-trends are converging: artificial intelligence and blockchain. AI-powered protocols are automating trading, cybersecurity, and even smart contract audits. Macromics Group is already implementing these technologies into its analytical tools and services.
What’s Next? Macromics Group Forecast
According to our data, the crypto market has entered a phase of "conscious growth" — where technology, regulation, and real-world utility are evolving in harmony. In the coming months, we anticipate increased attention toward:
DePIN projects (decentralized physical infrastructure)
Tokenized real-world assets (real estate, gold)
ESG-focused cryptocurrencies
Conclusion: Don’t Just Invest — Understand
Macromics Group urges investors to go beyond participation — to become informed decision-makers. We provide deep analytics, access to unique tools, and expert support at every stage of crypto investing. July 2025 is the perfect time to rethink your strategy and take a step into the future.
Macromics Group — your expert in the world of digital assets.
AAPL - Weekly HV/IV PerspectiveGood evening —
I wanted to do one more write up with that being on NASDAQ:AAPL as we enter the week with futures just opening.
HV10 (16.58%) is trending -11.56% below IV (28.14%) showing a weekly price gap differential of -$2.89 on the stated implied move to what trending markets are doing. This current IV value entering the week sits 69% within the sliding year spectrum.
Now, with Apple consolidating in range for almost eight weeks after selling off when it reached its 4T milestone in December of 2024, has now begun advancing back upwards in price. The strength here is obvious and the quality of company is well, Apple.
My price targets on the week is first the upper band of stated IV ($220.58) then moving on towards the upper implied range of HV63 ($225.87). I believe the markets are going to push apple higher while balancing the indices out selling off in other areas. This would start to accelerate HV10, as it is now 91.23% coiled to its yearly lows and needs to unwind. Hopefully with a few short-term trending days increasing we find our regression.
Please come back next week and see how our position and volatility progressed forward.
Ethereum Empowers Its Future Zero-Knowledge TechnologyThe Ethereum $2,969 Foundation has unveiled a new roadmap that aims to expand zero-knowledge (ZK) technologies across the network shortly after the ETH price surpassed the $3,000 threshold. This announcement aims to enhance scalability while concurrently reducing transaction fees and bolstering both security and privacy. The foundation has emphasized integrating ZK-based solutions into the primary layer to accelerate the user experience. This development marks a critical period that may prompt Layer 2 projects and entrepreneurs within the ecosystem to reconsider their competitive strategies.
Key Objectives of the Announced Zero-Knowledge Roadmap
Today, the Ethereum Foundation announced through its official channels that the primary goal is to institutionalize the “ZK-based verification” model at every network point. The plan envisions directing energy from intensive smart contracts towards more efficient cryptographic proofs to reduce transaction congestion. This approach aims to make the network accessible to larger audiences with lower-cost and faster approval processes.
The second focal point is to deepen the security layer. A foundation executive stated, “By integrating ZK technology into our network, we are not only enhancing privacy and security but also achieving significant improvements in transaction efficiency.” The objective is to establish a privacy standard rather than just performance. Within this framework, new technical collaborations and developer grants will be highlighted, with the priority being to develop toolsets and training programs that accelerate integration.
Potential Impacts of the Roadmap on the Layer-2 Ecosystem
The new roadmap closely concerns Layer 2 projects, which have long provided scalability with ZK Rollup solutions. Experts emphasize that local ZK integration could narrow the competition advantage of these projects but also lay the groundwork for stronger collaborations. Initiatives may need to update their architectural plans to reinforce compatibility with the main network.
As relevant actors seek different models to cover compliance costs, an environment is emerging that will open doors to new partnerships and grants. This process, paralleling Ethereum’s scalability goal, may direct the developer community within the network towards ZK-centered innovation. On the market side, the interest in ETH seems to be supported by expectations of increased security and privacy.
Apple Stock in 10 years perspective: Stability or New Heights?The future of Apple stock remains a hot topic among investors and analysts. For today’s July, the company’s market capitalization has climbed to $3 trillion, up from $2.9 trillion (a year ago, on May 2024). But can this tech giant continue to deliver significant returns for shareholders over the next decade? Let’s take a quick look on it.
AI’s Take on the Future
Recently, ChatGPT highlighted Apple NASDAQ:AAPL as a top contender among stocks poised to generate substantial wealth by 2035, outranking peers like Microsoft NASDAQ:MSFT , Amazon NASDAQ:AMZN , and Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA . The prediction has sparked curiosity, but what do real-world experts think?
Analyst Perspectives: Strengths and Challenges
Opinions on Apple’s outlook vary. On one hand, the company boasts a robust financial foundation, steady revenue from subscriptions, and substantial cash reserves. On the other hand, some analysts argue that its current share price is overstretched. Apple’s forward P/E ratio—based on projected earnings for the next 12 months—stands at 27, compared to the S&P 500’s near 22, suggesting investors are paying a premium for future growth.
Additionally, Apple faces mounting competition and regulatory pressures. The key question is whether it can maintain its edge in a fast-evolving tech industry.
Services and Devices
In recent years, Apple has leaned heavily into services like subscriptions and digital platforms, delivering high-margin and recurring revenue. Yet, its core business still hinges on device sales, particularly the well-known iPhone. Without groundbreaking new products, the company risks getting stuck in a cycle of incremental updates, potentially slowing its growth trajectory.
Financial Resilience
Despite these challenges, Apple’s financial metrics remain impressive. Its market cap has risen to $3 trillion, and it continues to generate significant free cash flow. The company also offers modest dividends, making it attractive for those people, who prefer and seek stable returns.
What to Expect from Apple by 2035?
Apple stands as one of the most dependable long-term investments, but we shouldn’t expect the explosive growth, just like it was at their early years. Of course iconic brand, loyal customer base, and adaptability— is a strong side and support its stability. But the high share price, competitive pressures, and reliance on certain hardware components may limit and slow down its upside.
Can Apple make you wealthy by 2035? It depends on your goals, risk tolerance and the size of your investment. For those seeking stability and modest gains, Apple is a solid pick. But if you’re chasing rapid wealth, you might need to look elsewhere for higher-risk opportunities.