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CADCHF trade ideas

CADCHF at the Cliff's Edge – Is a Breakdown Imminent? 🧭 Technical Context Price is currently sitting at the key support area of 0.5890–0.5900, tested multiple times since April. This week’s candlestick shows a clear close below the intermediate micro-structure (two consecutive closes under recent lows), confirming bearish pressure. The weekly RSI remains in a neutral-to-low zone, trending downwards with no active bullish divergence. 📉 Technical Conclusion: Active bearish bias. Watch out for potential false breaks below 0.5890 as liquidity traps. 📊 COT Report – as of June 17, 2025 🇨🇦 CAD Non-Commercials: added +8.5k long contracts, aggressively cut −18.3k shorts → Excessive optimism, potential exhaustion on the buy-side Commercials: added +31k shorts → Typical hedge behavior – signaling protection from CAD devaluation 🇨🇭CHF Net positions in gradual decline with no sharp moves → CHF remains in consolidation, with a defensive tone Open Interest dropped by −19.5k → Institutional money exiting positions → Interpretation: Market likely preparing for a directional breakout, CHF could act as a safe haven 📉 COT Conclusion: CAD appears overbought, CHF still gathering strength. Bearish bias on CADCHF remains intact. 📅 Seasonality – June Pattern CHF tends to strengthen in June: +0.0095 (10Y average), +0.0068 (5Y average) CAD shows structural weakness in June: −0.0027 (10Y), −0.0076 (5Y) 📉 Seasonality Conclusion: June favors CAD weakness and CHF strength → Bearish confirmation for CADCHF 🧠 Retail Sentiment 92% of retail traders are long CADCHF, only 8% are short → Extreme imbalance = classic contrarian signal 📉 Sentiment Conclusion: Confirms potential for continued downside on CADCHF ✅ Trade Plan Summary 📌 Base scenario: Short CADCHF if we get a daily/weekly close below 0.5890 🎯 Target 1: 0.5820 🎯 Target 2: 0.5770 🚫 Invalidation: daily close above 0.5960 (invalidates current setup) 📌 Alternative scenario: Short from 0.5960–0.6000 if we get a bearish rejection pattern → ideal for better R/R
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
4
CADCHF: Bullish Harmonic Pattern - Shor-Term Trade SetupCADCHF: Bullish Harmonic Pattern CADCHF completed a bullish harmonic pattern near to a strong resisntace zone. The chances are that we can see the price to rise the bullish volume more during the coming hours. Remains a bit strange the fact that SNB it's not giving up from manipulating the forex market but probably they will try to be more careful now that the U.S added them on the back list as Market Manipulators. The price may rise in the short term and CADCHF could reach 0.5930 and 0.5960 You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by KlejdiCuni
1
CADCHF SELL 🚨 **CAD/CHF: Strong downtrend despite fundamental divergence!** The pair keeps dropping, but a correction could offer a better short entry. Here's my full breakdown 👇 🔎 **CAD/CHF Analysis – Ongoing Tech/Fundamental Divergence** 📉 The trend on **CAD/CHF** remains clearly bearish and has been intact for several weeks. We’ve broken key levels multiple times, notably **0.61990**, which was retested and then broken again. Most recently, a short-term support around **0.59600** has also been breached, reinforcing the bearish momentum. 🕵️‍♂️ I’m currently watching for **a corrective move** to get a cleaner entry for shorts. However, **client sentiment is largely short**, which isn’t ideal if we expect an immediate continuation — risk of overcrowding. 📊 On the **fundamental side**, rate differentials favor the Canadian dollar, but the **Swiss franc remains highly attractive**, especially in a risk-off environment. That’s where things get tricky: **technicals are strongly bearish**, yet **fundamentals would suggest a potential rebound for CAD/CHF**. 🔁 For now, **there’s no clear technical trigger** for a long-term bullish reversal. As long as that remains the case, I maintain a **bearish bias**, waiting for a potential pullback to re-enter short. --- \#Forex #CADCHF #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #FundamentalAnalysis #BearishTrend #CarryTrade #SwissFranc #CanadianDollar #FXMarket #BreakoutTrading #RetailSentiment #TechFundDivergence
Short
by MaitreForex
Do you have enough reasons to take the trade? IF NOT...stay outAll the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!! tradingview.sweetlogin.com
Long
by Simply-Forex
CAD/CHF – Bearish Continuation Setup🔍 **CAD/CHF – Bearish Continuation Setup** The CAD/CHF pair is set up for a continuation of its bearish trend, with the macroeconomic calendar showing no major events for either currency that could disrupt technical flows. Canadian Housing Starts data is minor, and there is nothing significant for the Swiss franc, making this an ideal week for technical setups. On the daily chart, CAD/CHF is firmly bearish, showing persistent lower highs and lower lows as price rides down a well-defined channel. Attempts to rally have consistently failed at order blocks located in premium zones, with each mitigation quickly sold into by institutional players. This is confirmed by the repeated sweeps of liquidity above prior highs before price resumes its decline. The H1 and M15 timeframes show precise execution of smart money concepts: the most recent rally into premium was met with an aggressive bearish rejection, break of structure, and clear loss of bullish momentum on the RSI. The structure remains bearish and intact, with no signs of exhaustion or reversal. Given the overall technical picture and the lack of upcoming news, the most probable scenario is continued movement lower into unmitigated discount zones. Traders should look to enter short on pullbacks to premium order blocks, with stops placed above the most recent liquidity highs, and targets set at well-defined support and imbalance zones below. **In summary:** CAD/CHF remains a sell this week, as bearish momentum and smart money distribution dominate. The lack of news supports pure price action trades, making this an attractive opportunity for SMC-based strategies. ---
Short
by cdsolta
CAD_CHF STRONG SUPPORT AHEAD|LONG| ✅CAD_CHF will be retesting a support Level soon around 0.5920 From where I am expecting a bullish reaction With the price going up but we need To wait for a reversal pattern to form Before entering the trade, so that we Get a higher success probability of the trade LONG🚀 ✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅ 

 Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by ProSignalsFx
5
CAD_CHF RETESTING LOWS|LONG| ✅CAD_CHF will be retesting a support level soon around 0.5830 Which is a deeps low for the pair From where I am expecting a bullish reaction With the price going up but we need To wait for a reversal pattern to form Before entering the trade, so that we Get a higher success probability of the trade LONG🚀 ✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
 
 Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by ProSignalsFx
1
Potential Reversal Setup on CAD/CHF as CHF Strength PeaksThe CAD/CHF pair has been under sustained bearish pressure, reaching historic lows amid continued CHF strength. The ongoing U.S. trade and tariff tensions have heightened global uncertainty, driving investors toward safe-haven currencies like the Swiss franc. In contrast, the Canadian dollar remains sensitive to risk sentiment and commodity demand, amplifying the pair's downside. Technically, CAD/CHF has been trading within a well-defined **descending channel**, respecting both the upper resistance and lower support boundaries. After reaching the lower boundary of this channel — which coincides with a major historical support level — the pair is now showing early signs of a potential bullish reversal: If the pair can hold this level and break above the midline or upper resistance of the channel, it could open the door for a corrective move to the upside. Key resistance levels to watch include As always, any bullish move will depend on how global risk sentiment evolves in response to trade developments.
Long
by Adhemola