CADGBP trade ideas
GBPCAD: Expecting Bearish Continuation! Here is Why:
The price of GBPCAD will most likely collapse soon enough, due to the supply beginning to exceed demand which we can see by looking at the chart of the pair.
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GBP/CAD BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the GBP/CAD pair and we can see that the pair is going up locally while also being in a uptrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB upper band being nearby, indicating that the pair is overbought so we can go short from the resistance line above and a target at 1.825 level.
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GBP-CAD Support Cluster! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-CAD is trading in a
Local uptrend along the
Rising support and the pair
Made a retest of the support
Cluster of the rising and
Horizontal support lines
Around 1.8546 from where
We are already seeing a
Bullish rebound so we
Will be expecting a
Further local bullish move
Up on Monday
Buy!
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GBP/CAD "Pound vs Loonie" Forex Bank Money (Day Trade Plan)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the Neutral Level breakout then make your move at (1.83000) - Bearish profits await!"
however I advise to Place sell stop orders above the Moving average (or) after the Support level Place sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most NEAREST (or) SWING low or high level for Pullback entries.
📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
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📌Thief SL placed at the nearest/swing High or Low level Using the 4H timeframe (1.84500) Day/Scalping trade basis.
📌SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 1.81000 (or) Escape Before the Target
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Cad possibly overtaking GBP! 150 pip move!Looking for a short on GBPCAD. Two possible outcomes, but an initial loss will make the eventual move down more violent!
CAD is firming with its strongest daily gains in months, supported by robust data and oil strength.
GBP is stable-to-firm, but the rally is more USD-related than domestic drivers.
The fundamental gravity favors CAD heading into next week—making your GBPCAD short thesis (CAD strength, GBP pressured) highly relevant.
GBP_CAD RISING SUPPORT AHEAD|LONG|
✅GBP_CAD is trading along the rising support
And as the pair will soon retest it
I am expecting the price to go up
To retest the supply levels above at 1.8605
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBPCAD expectation 1HStill holdind within the uptrend channel, but now trapped between support and resistance. You have to wait for the trend line break for a buy, because theres some consolidation that it needs to break out of. Despite it breaking out of the uptrend channel, correction is busy being made. #ToTheMoon
GBP/CAD Poised for Breakout – What’s Next After 1.8600?1. TECHNICAL CONTEXT (Daily Chart)
GBP/CAD has been trading within a well-defined ascending channel since early 2025. After hitting the lower bound of the channel around 1.8050 in May, price bounced sharply and regained strength, pushing back above the key 1.8400–1.8450 zone, now confirmed as new support.
Currently, price is approaching the 1.8600 area, which represents:
The upper boundary of the April–May consolidation range
A clear supply zone visible on the weekly chart
A technical resistance cluster (previous closes + Fibonacci levels)
The RSI shows growing momentum, yet not overbought, suggesting potential upside extension toward 1.8779, the monthly high.
Key Technical Levels:
Resistance: 1.8600 – 1.8779 (extended target)
Support: 1.8401 (weekly) and 1.8250 (mid-range level)
Primary Trend: Bullish
Structure: Active ascending channel
2. INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING (COT REPORT – May 13, 2025)
CAD:
Non-Commercials (speculators) are heavily net short:
23,250 longs vs 105,466 shorts = -82,216 net
Weekly increase: +18,084 new shorts → clear rise in bearish pressure
Commercials (hedgers) are net long, typical of risk hedging, indicating an opposing view to speculators
GBP:
Non-Commercials are net long:
89,540 longs vs 62,324 shorts = +27,216 net, despite a minor weekly reduction (-4,844)
Commercials are net short, likely hedging strength in the pound
COT Takeaway:
Speculators are clearly favoring GBP strength vs CAD, while CAD is under heavy short pressure. This supports further upside in GBP/CAD.
3. RETAIL SENTIMENT
80% of retail traders are short GBP/CAD, with an average entry at 1.8551
20% long, with average entry at 1.8147
This extreme retail skew represents a contrarian bullish signal: the market may push higher to trigger stop-losses on poorly positioned shorts.
4. SEASONALITY
CAD in May:
Mixed behavior with a slight bearish/neutral tendency on 10y and 2y averages
Monthly average: as low as -0.0097 (10-year data)
GBP in May:
Historically one of the weakest months for the British pound
Average returns range between -0.015 and -0.0226
That said, 2025 appears to diverge from seasonal norms, with GBP showing relative strength across the board.
Seasonality Takeaway:
While seasonality favors CAD over GBP in May, this year’s price action and positioning override that pattern.
TRADING SUMMARY
🔹 Primary Bias: Moderately Bullish
🔹 Technical Outlook: Positive structure above key support at 1.8400
🔹 COT Insight: Supports upside due to aggressive CAD short buildup
🔹 Retail Sentiment: Skewed short → potential short squeeze
🔹 Seasonality: Bearish for GBP, but currently outweighed by fundamentals/positioning
SCENARIOS
📈 Bullish Scenario (preferred):
Break and hold above 1.8600 → acceleration toward 1.8779
Midway target: 1.8670 (psychological level)
Technical stop: Below 1.8400 (or trailing SL on breakout)
📉 Corrective Scenario:
Failure at 1.8600 → pullback to 1.8401 (bullish retest)
Deeper weakness only confirmed on break below 1.8250, which would invalidate the ascending channel
CONCLUSION
GBP/CAD is in a structurally bullish setup, backed by speculative favor toward GBP and an extreme short bias on CAD. Despite the unfavorable seasonality for GBP, the technical trend and positioning data justify a bullish outlook with a target at 1.8779, contingent on a confirmed break above 1.8600.
GBPCAD 15m Short ExecutionGBPCAD 15m Time Frame Short Execution.
Overall the short position was choppy, almost reaching stop levels, but then began to move downside to previous lows within the Asian session. I entered at 1.86226 and took profits at 1.85740.
Overall Analysis Of The Trade...
Liquidity Grab (Stop Hunt)
> The price aggressively spiked above recent highs, possibly triggering buy stops or luring in breakout traders.
>Immediately after the spike, it reversed sharply, suggesting it was a liquidity grab before the real move down.
> This is typical “smart money” behaviour.
Supply Zone Respect
>The spike tapped into a supply zone (seen at the top of the chart where previous bearish pressure started).
> Once the supply was hit, strong selling pressure resumed.
Break of Market Structure (BoS)
> After the reversal from the top, price broke below previous higher lows, confirming a bearish market structure shift.
Time of Day / Session Alignment
> The move happened near or during London–New York overlap, a period known for high volatility and institutional activity.
Consolidation Before the Drop. There was a sideways range/consolidation just before the large drop—typical of “accumulation of orders” before a breakout.
GBPCAD - ANOTHER LEGUK Bullish Factors :
1. Political Stability -> boost investor confidence
2. UK is less exposed to trade tensions
3. Economic data has been solid as of late
4. UK-US Trade deal
5. Increase in COT data
CAD Bearish Factors :
1. Trade uncertainty with the US
2. Weak growth
Technicals :
1. Reverse Head and Shoulder pattern
2. Price above all 4 MAs
3. Pair has been in a long up-trend
GBP/CAD Short Setup 🧠 GBP/CAD Short Setup | 4H Analysis
I'm eyeing a short opportunity on GBP/CAD based on a confluence of key technical signals:
🔹 Entry: 1.86361
🔹 Stop Loss: 1.88000
🔹 Take Profit: 1.81452
🔹 RRR (Risk-Reward): 1:3+
🔍 Analysis:
Price tapped into a higher time frame supply zone (S&D) and showed a clear rejection.
We've seen a Break of Structure (BOS) followed by a bearish reaction.
Price is respecting the ascending channel, showing signs of exhaustion near resistance.
Potential for continuation to the downside targeting previous structure lows.
📌 If price respects the current S&D zone and fails to break above 1.88000, continuation lower remains valid.
📉 Trading Plan:
Monitor lower timeframes for additional bearish confirmations and entry triggers before full commitment.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This post is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please trade at your own risk and always follow your risk management rules.
GBP-CAD Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-CAD is trading in a local
Uptrend and the pair made a
Breakout and a retest of the
Key horizontal level of 1.8600
Which is now a support and
We are seeing a bullish rebound
From the new support already
So we are bullish biased and
We will be expecting a further
Bullish continuation
Buy!
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GBPCAD BUY TRADE SETUP🔥 GBP/CAD – May 19, 2025
📋 Plan Overview
Parameter Details
Type Breakout Pullback
Direction Long (Buy)
Confidence 75%
R:R ~2.5:1
Status Active Monitoring
📈 Market Bias & Type
Bias: Bullish
Type: Continuation (Breakout pullback setup into dynamic + static support)
D1 confirms bullish structure; H4 confirms breakout; H1 forming a potential higher low.
🔰 Confidence Level: 75%
Factor Confidence Contribution
Multi-TF Trend Confluence ✅ +25%
Volume Confirmation ✅ +15%
Bullish Structure (Flag Retest) ✅ +20%
Momentum Indicators 🔄 Neutral +10%
Risk due to Resistance Near ❌ -5%
📍 Entry Zones
Primary Entry Zone: 1.8575 – 1.8600 (on bullish candle confirmation)
Secondary Entry Zone: 1.8545 (stronger support but riskier proximity to SL)
❗ Stop Loss - Primary
SL: 1.8540 (Below H4 support and SMA-50 dynamic level)
❗ Stop Loss - Secondary
SL: 1.8510
Reason: Below structural HL and untested daily demand. Clean invalidation of bullish setup if broken.
🎯 Targets
Target Price Rationale
TP1 1.8685 Previous local high (H1/H4)
TP2 1.8740 Measured breakout extension
TP3 1.8800 Daily upper resistance range
🧠 Management Strategy
Initial Risk: 1% capital risked on SL
Scaling: Add at retest of 1.8570 on strong candle close
Breakeven Move: At TP1 hit, SL moves to Entry
Partial Exit: 50% at TP1, 30% at TP2, rest trail with EMA 20 H1
⚠️ Confirmation Checklist
Criteria Status
Bullish Reversal Candle 🔄 Pending at support
Breakout Volume (H4) ✅ Confirmed
Session Timing (London/NY) 🔄 Wait for overlap
RSI > 50 (H1/H4) ✅ Supportive
MACD Bullish Crossover 🔄 Pending confirmation
⏳ Validity
H4 Trend Structure: Valid for 48–72 hours or until breakout fails
❌ Invalidation Conditions
Close below 1.8540 on H1 or 1.8510 on H4
Bearish engulfing during NY/London session at resistance
Loss of momentum with high-volume rejection near 1.8650
🌐 Fundamental & Sentiment Snapshot
GBP: Mildly bullish from recent CPI surprise and BOE tightening tone
CAD: Crude oil stable but not strongly bullish; neutral CAD flows
Sentiment: Neutral to slightly risk-on; no upcoming red news within 12h window
📋 Final Trade Summary
This trade is a bullish continuation pullback setup following a confirmed breakout on H4. H1 suggests a healthy retracement into a key support zone around 1.8575–1.8600. With volume supportive and trend aligned across D1 and H4, this presents a technically sound buy opportunity if confirmed with bullish price action at support.
R:R is strong at 2.5:1, with risk managed below structure lows. Ideal for aggressive short-term long entries into a trend continuation environment.
Why GBP/CAD Looks Ready to Climb to 1.9382The next strong currency ready to climb is GBP/CAD
Strong UK data recently boosted confidence in the pound.
Oil prices are falling, weakening the CAD.
The BoE hints at delayed rate cuts, supporting GBP.
Technical breakout above resistance signals bullish momentum.
Market sentiment favors GBP over commodity-linked currencies.
We are also seeing strong technical signs including:
Cup and Handle
Price>20 and 200MA
Target 1.9382
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBPCAD Is Bullish! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for GBPCAD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 1.865.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 1.902 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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