CADUSD trade ideas
Market Analysis: USD/CAD Declines SteadilyMarket Analysis: USD/CAD Declines Steadily
USD/CAD declined and now is consolidating below the 1.3800 level.
Important Takeaways for USD/CAD Analysis Today
- USD/CAD started a fresh decline after it failed to clear the 1.4000 resistance.
- There is a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at 1.3740 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.
USD/CAD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of USD/CAD at FXOpen, the pair climbed toward the 1.3900 resistance zone before the bears appeared. The US Dollar formed a swing high near 1.3890 and recently declined below the 1.3800 support against the Canadian Dollar.
There was also a close below the 50-hour simple moving average and 1.3750. The bulls are now active near the 1.3700 level, but they might fail to protect more losses. If there is an upside correction, the pair could face resistance near the 1.3740 level.
There is also a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at 1.3740. The trend line is near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.3888 swing high to the 1.3694 low.
If there is a fresh increase, the pair could face resistance near the 1.3790 level. It is close to the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.3888 swing high to the 1.3694 low. The next key resistance on the USD/CAD chart is near the 1.3815 level.
If there is an upside break above 1.3815, the pair could rise toward the 1.3890 resistance. The next major resistance is near the 1.3935 level, above which it could rise steadily toward the 1.4000 resistance zone.
Immediate support is near the 1.3695 level. The first major support is near 1.3660. A close below the 1.3660 level might trigger a strong decline. In the stated case, USD/CAD might test 1.3600. Any more losses may possibly open the doors for a drop toward the 1.3550 support.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
IN DEPTH HIGHER TIME FRAME ALIGNMENT!USDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W2🔥👀USDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W22 D26 Y25
IN DEPTH HIGHER TIME FRAME ALIGNMENT! 🔥👀
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly 50 EMA
✅Daily 50 EMA
✅4 Hour 50 EMA
✅15’ order block identified
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
USDCAD; Price Approaching Buy Zone read caption PULL BACKThe recent pullback in the USDCAD pair aligns precisely with the key resistance and support zones we identified in our earlier technical analysis. As seen in our chart, price action respected the trendline and Fibonacci retracement levels, signaling a potential reversal or consolidation phase. This movement reinforces the significance of combining chart patterns, momentum indicators, and historical levels when analyzing the market. Traders following our analysis would have anticipated this shift and prepared accordingly. For a deeper dive into our methodology and projections, take a closer look at the chart and see how the technical framework played out in real time.
Potential bearish drop?USD/CAD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3781
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss: 1.3893
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.3629
Why we like it:
There is a support level that lines up with the 145% Fibonacci extension.
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Bullish bounce?The Loonie (USD/CAD) is falling towards the pivot that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which has been identified as an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 1.3604
1st Support: 1.3441
1st Resistance: 1.3953
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HTF ALIGNMENT USDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W22 Y25USDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W22 Y25
HIGHER TIME FRAME ALIGNMENT!
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
💡In depth trade confluences provided during the week 📝
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
USDCAD - Continuation Trading Using Structure, Fibs & VolumeWHAT I'M LOOKING AT
After ending the week with a lower low & a lower close below a recent level of structure support, I'm predicting a potential bearish trend continuation opportunity here on the $USDCAD.
MY PREDICTION
If this prediction is correct I would expect a move down to the $1.35 psychological level (or right around it) as we have a confluence from both our Fibonacci extension & a spike in horizontal volume.
HOW TO GET INVOLVED
To get involved in this move I'll be looking for a a potential retracement/pullback followed by a clear sign of reversal. The 2 price levels that I have on my radar are $1.3750's & $1.3800's
If you have any questions, comments, or just want to share your views, please do so below!
Akil
USDCAD Short Setup – Support Broken, More Downside Ahead?Bias: ✅ Strong Sell
Timeframe: 4H
Pair: USDCAD
Week: 26–30 May 2025
⸻
🔍 Technical Setup:
USDCAD just broke a major support zone around 1.3732, opening the door for continued downside into the next demand zone.
• Entry: Break and retest or continuation below 1.3732
• Stop Loss: Above resistance at 1.3813
• Take Profit: Next support near 1.3467
• Risk-Reward Ratio: ~3.9R
• Structure: Lower highs, clean breakdown, bearish momentum
⸻
🧠 Macro Confluence:
• 📉 USD Weakness: Dovish Fed, weak macro outlook (Investogenie Score 1.8 ↓)
• 🇨🇦 CAD Recovery: Hawkish BoC, conditional score surged from 2 → 10
• 📊 Seasonals: CAD favored
• 🧾 COT: Net bearish shift in USD, CAD corrective phase expected
• ⚠️ News Risk: CAD GDP & US GDP this week could accelerate the move
⸻
⚠️ Risk Notes:
• Watch for FOMC and GDP reports before scaling positions
• Break & close confirmed – trail stops on lower timeframe
⸻
📌 Momentum is in favor – ride the breakdown, but stay data-aware.
Share setups or feedback below 👇
USDCAD short Market structure bearish on HTFs 3
Entry at Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection At AOi
Daily Rejection At AOi
Previous Structure point Weekly
Around Psychological Level 1.38500
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 5.11
Entry 105%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
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Dive into our USD/CAD "The Loonie" Forex heist, crafted with the signature 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥, blending sharp technicals and deep fundamentals. Follow the strategy outlined in the TradingView chart, focusing on a long entry targeting the high-risk MA Zone. Expect a wild ride with overbought conditions, consolidation, and potential trend reversals where bearish players lurk. 🏆💰 Celebrate your wins, traders—you’ve earned it! 💪🎉
Entry 📈: The vault’s open! Grab bullish opportunities at any price, but for precision, set buy limit orders on a 15 or 30-minute timeframe near swing lows or highs for pullback entries.
Stop Loss 🛑:
📍 Place your Thief SL at the recent swing low on the 4H timeframe (1.38500) for scalping or day trades.
📍 Adjust SL based on your risk tolerance, lot size, and number of open orders.
Target 🎯: Aim for 1.42500
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USDCAD: Price Approaching Buying Zone, Will DXY Bounce Back? The USDCAD pair has dropped significantly in recent times, particularly as the DXY index has plummeted. The extremely bearish nature of the DXY suggests that the price of USDCAD is melting. Both fundamental and technical indicators indicate a potential bullish price reversal for this pair, which could potentially hit our first take-profit area. This is a swing analysis, so please give time for the trade to get activated and for it to work out in our favour.
Please note that this analysis does not guarantee that the price will move as suggested. Before trading, it’s essential to conduct your own research.
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Much love ❤️🚀
USDCAD: Weekly AnalysisThe last week sharp fall of the pair was not irrelated to US-Iran negotiations.
Possible war in Persian Gulf means higher prices in oil and more raises in CAD.
The indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones.
Some of these points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray.
You can enter with/without confirmation. IF you want to take confirmation you can use LTF analysis, Spike move confirmation, Trend Strength confrimation and ETC.
SL could be placed below the zone or regarding the LTF swings.
TP is the next zone or the nearest moving S&R, which are median and borders of the drawn channels.
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Role of different zones:
GREEN: Just long trades allowed on them.
RED: Just Short trades allowed on them.
BLUE: both long and short trades allowed on them.
WHITE: No trades allowed on them! just use them as TP points
USDCAD: Bearish Continuation Ahead 🇺🇸🇨🇦
USDCAD completed a consolidation within a horizontal range.
A violation of its support and a daily candle close below that
is a strong bearish signal.
I believe that the price may drop lower next week
and reach at least 1.3655 level.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USDCAD SHORTThe price broke the structure with impulse move and retraced. The price found resistance in previous low (inside resistance), where we have a 38.2% Fibonacci retarcement level, as well as 50MA, after that price broke the correction, so i expect the price move further to the downside.
ENTRY: 1.3860
TP 1.3800
SL 1.3889
#technicalanalysis #usdcad #short