CADUSD trade ideas
USD/CAD.1week chart pattern.It looks like me discussing a trade setup for USD/CAD with:
Sell Entry: 1.36200
Target Point 1: 1.23504
Target Point 2: 2.31000 ← This seems like a mistake
Let’s break it down:
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🔍 Trade Analysis:
Sell at 1.36200: This is a reasonable short entry, near recent resistance (depending on current market context).
Target Point 1 (1.23504): This is plausible, as it's a historically significant support level — a good long-term take-profit zone.
Target Point 2 (2.31000): This appears illogical for a short (sell) position — it's higher than the entry price. If you're shorting, you profit from a decline, not a rise.
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✅ Corrected Setup (Sell Idea):
Sell USD/CAD @ 1.36200
Take Profit 1: 1.30000 (medium-term support)
Take Profit 2: 1.23500 (long-term support)
Stop Loss: 1.37200 (just above recent highs)
Would you like a chart analysis or backtest of this strategy?
USD/CAD) Bearish trand analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/CAD on the 3-hour timeframe reflects a bearish market outlook. Here’s a breakdown of the idea:
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Trend Overview:
The pair is in a clear downtrend, confirmed by:
Lower highs and lower lows
Price trading below the 200 EMA
A bearish flag pattern in play
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Key Zones & Levels:
1. Resistance Zones (Yellow boxes):
Upper zone (~1.3835 area): Previously tested and rejected (marked by the red arrow).
Mid-zone (~1.3745 area): Labeled as a resistance level, previously support turned resistance.
2. Support Zone:
The price is heading toward a projected target point at ~1.35584, which aligns with previous support.
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Bearish Confirmation:
The price attempted a retracement but failed to break above the resistance level.
The structure shows a bearish continuation pattern, suggesting a move downward is likely.
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Indicators:
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
Currently near 37, not oversold yet, but suggests bearish momentum is still strong.
Also shows slight bearish divergence (lower highs on RSI while price was consolidating).
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Projection/Trade Idea:
Scenario: Break and retest of the current level (~1.3679), with a continuation to the target at 1.35584.
Risk Areas: Any break above 1.3745 could invalidate the setup.
Confirmation: A clean bearish candle below the minor support could confirm entry for short sellers.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary:
This is a supply-and-demand + structure-based bearish setup. The market is showing weakness below resistance, and the next logical target is 1.35584, barring any macroeconomic reversal (e.g., USD or CAD news).
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USD/CAD - Channel Breakout (10.06.2025)The USD/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 1.3757
2nd Resistance – 1.3792
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USDCAD Hits Support as Fed-Hawkish & BoC Cuts! Big Bounce ComingUSDCAD ( OANDA:USDCAD ) is trading at the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and near the important Support line and Support lines .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that USDCAD has managed to complete 5 main down waves and we can expect more up waves .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD+) between Consecutive Valleys .
I expect USDCAD to rise to at least 1.37860 CAD.
Fundamental View:
The Bank of Canada initiated its rate-cutting cycle , while the Federal Reserve remains firm with no immediate plans to ease.
Strong NFP data on Friday reinforced USD ( TVC:DXY ) strength .
Oil prices( BLACKBULL:BRENT ) may offer temporary support to CAD , but macro divergences clearly favor the dollar .
Note: Stop Loss(SL)= 1.36110 CAD
U.S Dollar/Canadian Dollar Analyze (USDCAD), 4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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USDCAD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow Analysis !In this video I will be sharing my USDCAD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
Falling towards 50% Fibonacci support?The Loonie (USD/CAD) is falling towards the pivot which acts as an overlap support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.3651
1st Support: 1.3581
1st Resistance: 1.3735
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USD/CAD short 4Hr Supply Zone: I believe that the trade should be triggered in the supple zone I drew out (yellow rectangle)
Market Structure: There is a good market structure formation and I believe that the price will go up to the supply zone then continue the market structure towards the downside.
Fib tool: This is also aligning close to my price trigger and the t/p
Support level: if we go back in time we can see that my t/p is put on a support level (orange dotted line).
USDCAD Breakout from Parallel Channel | Bullish Move Ahead?USD/CAD has just broken out of a well-respected downward parallel channel, signaling a potential trend reversal. We saw a strong bullish impulse that pushed price above the channel resistance and now appears to be consolidating just above it.
🔍 What to Watch For:
Pullback Opportunity: Price may retest the breakout zone (~1.3640–1.3660). This zone could act as new support, providing a good entry point for buyers.
Upside Target: The next major resistance sits near 1.38542, offering a potential move of over 180+ pips from current levels.
Momentum: Bullish momentum is strong, suggesting a high probability of continuation after a healthy pullback.
📈 Bullish Bias remains intact as long as price holds above the breakout zone.
📉 If price drops back inside the channel, reevaluation of the bullish outlook will be needed.
🔔 Trade Idea: Look for long opportunities on a successful retest with confirmation (bullish candlestick or volume surge).
💬 What are your thoughts on this breakout? Are you long on USD/CAD or waiting for confirmation? Let me know in the comments! 👇
USD/CAD mid-term shift?The rise in the US Dollar Index has led to a rebound against several currencies such as the Canadian dollar, the euro, and the Japanese yen, shifting the medium-term bearish trend into a bullish one. One of the pairs that could benefit from the USD’s strength is the USD/CAD.
After the USD/CAD pair recorded a new high by breaking the last lower high, the recent pullback is considered a correction within the upward trend. The price is likely to rise from the 1.35725 level toward the 1.36567 target.
However, a drop below the 1.35397 level and a 4-hour candle closing beneath it would invalidate the bullish scenario.
Note:
This pair is trading in a general downtrend on the daily timeframe. However, the above analysis is specifically based on the 4-hour chart for the medium-to-short-term outlook.
Markets are also closely watching the Federal Reserve meeting later today, as its outcome will have a direct impact on all USD-related currency pairs.
Bullish continuation?The Loonie (USD/CAD) is falling towards the pivot which is an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.3691
1st Support: 1.3666
1st Resistance: 1.3742
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?The Loonie (USD/CAD) is rising towards the pivot which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.3706
1st Support: 1.3599
1st Resistance: 1.3793
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USD/CAD: Signs of a bottom as bulls fight backTuesday’s bullish move in USD/CAD has delivered a signal often seen at bottoms, taking out several key technical resistance levels in the process, including the December 2023 uptrend. With bearish momentum starting to reverse, upside risks look to be building.
Those in the market for a long setup could initiate positions around these levels with a stop beneath 1.3650 for protection. Tuesday’s high of 1.3693 now stands as an important near-term level. A break above opens the door to the June 10 high at 1.3728 as one potential target, along with 1.3750.
If either level is hit, reevaluate whether to hold, cut or reverse, given the setup runs counter to the broader trend.
Good luck!
DS
USDCAD: Bearish Trend Continues 🇺🇸🇨🇦
Amid the geopolitical tensions and a bullish rally on Crude Oil,
USDCAD is going to drop more.
The closest support that I see is 1.3545.
It will be the next goal for the sellers.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
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The End of A Trend & The Start of A New OneA few weeks ago we made an amazing bearish call of the $USDCAD. Now that it's come to an end, the market is showing signs of a potential reversal.
In this video we're going to talk about how to identify a potential reversal in trend and of course show you how I'm looking to trade it.
Please leave any questions, comments or shared ideas below.
Akil
USDCAD SWING TRADE LONG IDEA - MASSIVE BULLISH MOVE COMING?OANDA:USDCAD USDCAD has given a massive bullish break of structure on 4 Hour time frame after tapping to a strong key level on weekly time frame that is serving as support.
Now am bullish on USDCAD for a weekly income swing trading moves.
All I need right now to enter for a long to ride the move is a pull back to key level of support like old highs or imbalance levels.
That is when I will take a bullish long trade on USDCAD.
This is my A+ Trading Setup.
What do you see on your chart?
Potential bullish rise?USD/CAD has reacted off the resistance level and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3603
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 1.3540
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 1.3704
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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USDCAD LONG SETUPI am expecting the US Dollar to be bullish this week.
Weekly closed as a bullish engulfing.
Expecting price to make a minor pull back on the daily before taking making another bullish push.
Price is also showing a bullish divergence on the daily, which furthers strengthens my perspective.
The 2H TF also illustrates somewhat of a Cup-and-Handle Candle Stick Formation
Will look to enter longs on the lower TFs (1-4h)
Could the Loonie reverse from here?The price is reacting off the support level which lines up with the 100% and the 78.6% Fibonacci projection and could rise from this levl to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3544
Why we like it:
There is a support level at the 100% and the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss: 1.3516
Why we like it:
There is a support level at the 100% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit: 1.3595
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 50% FIbonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDCAD SETUPUSD/CAD is currently showing signs of a bullish corrective wave or potential trend reversal after defending a critical demand zone. If the market respects the retracement levels, a move toward 1.3900–1.3950 is likely in the short-to-mid term. Traders should look for a pullback entry or breakout confirmation, with risk managed below recent support.
Trend Alert – USD/CAD Could Be Preparing for a Major Reversal!🚨 Trend Alert – USD/CAD Could Be Preparing for a Major Reversal! 🚨
Traders, be cautious! The USD/CAD pair appears to be approaching a critical turning point. The market has now reached significant monthly support levels, and we are currently hovering around a marked green zone — a region known for potential bullish reactions.
For quite some time, the market has been in a strong bearish trend, consistently showing Breaks of Structure (BOS) to the downside. If you've been observing closely, you'll notice that the price action has been favoring sellers for weeks, if not months.
However, the dynamics might be changing soon.
There’s a large pool of liquidity building up above the current price levels. This creates the perfect condition for a strong bullish pump. The market could seize this opportunity to shift its direction and initiate a fresh uptrend.
💡 Key Insight: The current setup suggests that the bearish phase might be exhausted, and we could see the start of a bullish rally from this green support zone.
📉 Selling traders – proceed with caution! The risk of a sudden upside move is high, and holding onto short positions without proper risk management could be dangerous.
🧠 As always: Do Your Own Research (DYOR).
📛 This is not financial advice — just a heads-up from a market observer who’s keeping an eye on the charts!