Get started
US Dollar IndexUS Dollar IndexUS Dollar Index

US Dollar Index

No trades
See on Supercharts
Overview News
Ideas
Discussions Seasonals

DXY trade ideas

DXY H4 – Dollar Weakens Ahead of PPI Release DXY H4 – Dollar Weakens Ahead of PPI Release | Is the Market Pricing in a Fed Pivot? 🌐 Macro & Fundamental Context As we head into the New York session on June 12, the market’s attention shifts to one critical data point: the US PPI (Producer Price Index). Following the softer-than-expected CPI reading of 2.4% YoY (vs. 2.5% forecast), the Dollar Index (DXY) dropped sharply—signaling fading inflation pressure and reigniting rate cut expectations. ✅ Bearish Fundamentals Building for the USD: CPI miss fuels Fed rate cut bets (currently ~65% chance for September per FedWatch Tool). US Treasury yields are easing, reflecting the market’s pricing of a less aggressive Fed. Risk assets rallying as capital flows rotate away from USD into gold, equities, and long-duration bonds. If today’s PPI also comes in below forecast, it could confirm a deeper correction in DXY. Conversely, a surprise PPI upside might trigger a short-term pullback. 📉 Technical Analysis – H4 Timeframe 🔹 Overall Trend: DXY is locked within a clearly defined descending channel, with a consistent Lower High – Lower Low structure holding since late May. 🔹 Key Technical Zones: Short-term resistance: 98.548 – likely to act as a ceiling unless PPI surprises to the upside. Immediate support: 97.966 – a break below opens the door toward the key support zone at 97.191, which aligns with previous FVG imbalance and multi-timeframe demand. 🔹 EMA Structure: Price remains below all major EMAs (13 – 34 – 89 – 200), confirming persistent bearish pressure. EMA13 is currently acting as dynamic resistance on H4, pressing down on price. 🧠 Market Sentiment & Flow Insight Investors are rotating out of USD as inflation fears fade and Fed easing expectations increase. Risk-on sentiment is returning, benefiting gold and stocks while weighing on DXY. However, a hot PPI print could spook the market briefly, leading to a corrective bounce in the Dollar before the trend resumes. 🔍 Scenarios to Watch: PPI comes in lower than expected: DXY may retest 98.548 resistance and reject lower. Next targets: 97.966 → 97.191 PPI surprises to the upside: Technical bounce toward 98.5–98.8 possible. But trend remains bearish unless price reclaims 99.2+ zone. ✅ Conclusion DXY remains under pressure from both macro and technical angles. The PPI report will be the next catalyst that determines whether this is a short-term dip or the continuation of a broader USD downtrend. 🎯 Tactical view: Favour short positions on DXY if price bounces into resistance and PPI supports the disinflation narrative. Target: 97.1 and below.
TVC:DXYShort
by MMFlowTrading
DXY. Midterm Analysis of the US Dollar IndexHey traders and investors! 📍 Context On the monthly timeframe, the market was in a range. The price broke above the upper boundary and was long supported around the 101.080 level. This level was repeatedly tested by sellers and now appears to have been broken. 📊 Monthly targets: 89.20 and 88.300. 🔎 Analysis Why might the downward movement continue? Daily TF On the daily chart, we can see that on the day buyers returned to the 101.080 level, the main volume was accumulated in a buyer candle right at and slightly above the level. This suggests the level was defended by sellers. This indicates they are currently in control, and the decline may continue. Let’s look at the nearest potential buyer activity levels. 11-day TF The price has once again broken downward out of the range. Below, there is a small consolidation area formed during the previous upward movement. Its boundaries are: upper boundary — 97.385, lower boundary — 94.589. 🎯 Trade Idea: Rebounds from the upper boundary at 97.385 are possible, but overall the priority remains with a move into this range and towards the 95.00–94.589 zone. This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Wishing you profitable trades!
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by AlexeyWolf
DXY Asia delivery to London Delivery Analysis DXY Asia delivery to London Delivery Analysis JUNE 10 FRAMEWORK *Monday was a sell off *Current range is premium *Previous range is a discount *Minor buy side taken in dealer range *Sell side liquidity was taken at open of Asia Is today a raid the equal lows and a buy day? *Asia expanded rallied to equal highs *Retraced to the session .618 and consolidated *Previous session discount coming into London *I suspect that dxy might make a high of the week today and attack the major buy side Great analysis and great delivery. This is builds my confidence. Where I struggle to trust it when it comes time to react and make the trade I see rather than the noise I get stuck in. Very happy price played out to the Asia expansion and the highs I felt at 5 am I suspected for price to take. Celebrate what you can and keep going.
TVC:DXY
by LeanLena
DXY next trading set upHi traders I decided to share with you DXY n next possible move that can take place anytime as you can see we've been dropping and it's most about time for recovery in order to simple follow my set up don't play short games and be controlled by small move that's why you fail,you cant come with H1 N H4 analysis while am showing a big picture of the trend the reason why I don't loose trade easily is because I follow right trend not spikes or short move,that's why I laugh sometimes wen I see horrible graphs in short time frames but I've realized that they cant see what am seeing and I must just leave them in peace until they understand how market moves,I did 5 ninets n 25 minets all less than daily but they always wrong n just change meaning they are weak n fake, real shit daily n weekly you are following right trend the only way is to generate liquidity into position and they will give you right point of your entries,if you are addicted into gambling it might take you years to realize how easy it is to follow the trend,first identify the trend you want to trade know if it's uptrend or down trend or range check how it moves in bigger time frame,am not gonna entertain 5 minets trade while am using weekly n monthly time frame we are not seeing the samething,just start to position yourselfs from here until 96 if possible but is likely to gain in few days but that double buttom it looks nasty n not strong soo a bit manipulation n you'll see dxy raising again this is not a gambling my friends were you get money by mistakes you get it by knowing how to follow the system I wish you all profitable week,I will never give you entries soo that you can learn to generate liquidity into positions I do not control the market soo telling you straight point what if market won't reach those point it's useless,soo best is to shows point of interest you counter them n jump in why should I supposed to lie n talk many things that it won't even happen lols,traders I wishy you all the best n profitable week be blessed.
TVC:DXYLong
by mulaudzimpho
DXY NPF delivery and Week Ahead IdeasDXY NPF delivery and Week Ahead Ideas F DELIVERY RETRACE Sell side taken expected buy day to which price delivered *20:00 expands from equilibrium to minor buy side *22:40 judus swing fake to the down side *0:00 expands to session equal highs, previous session equal highs, and FVG *5:00 small retrace *7:30 expansion to take equal highs liquidity *8:30 ND sell side and buy side scoop *8:35 expansion to buy side *small retrace *9:00 expansion to buy side take buy side liquidity *10:00 silver bullet retraces to .70 taking session equal lows *10:30 reverses to buy side and rebalance a FVG consolidates *11:20 retraces to .618 bounces off consolidates on the 50 *1:00 expansion and then a back and forth as price moves narrowly into a consolidation to close NY JUNE 9 Ideas *Price takes key equal highs in NY *Parent bias is bear -this week bias is looking for higher prices over all *possible target for the week is the 50 at price 99.474 *Price is delivering to a premium previous session *I would expect an expansion to seek sell side liquidity in noted equal lows Monday’s delivering, if Sunday consolidates? I will watch for reactions at the session 50 just below the equal lows and go from there. Remember this can all change with Sundays delivery.
TVC:DXY
by LeanLena
US Dollar Analysis - by MMFX This is not a prediction, it never is. My bullish anticipation on the instrument is rooted from many catalyst of course, though the proof of the pudding is communicated on the charts itself. I zero in on the Weekly to Day bias on price action looking for: Market Structure, Inducement, CISD, Candle Stick Patterns, Voids/Gaps, SMT, Liquidity Sweeps, Bullish ChoCH, BOS, etc. On the 4H - 30M scope i look to refine and define the narrative. Monitoring fundamentals & lending rates on the global and domestic scale I pair this with barometers related to the index such as Treasury's, GOLD and other securities to identify if my Bullish suspicions are true.. Thank you.
TVC:DXYLong
by RickoMillenialMarkits
Just got the May NFPs... Let's have a lookWe just received the May NFPs, which, overall, are not bad. Let's dig in. TVC:DXY TVC:DJI FX_IDC:USDJPY FX_IDC:USDCAD TVC:GOLD Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 77.3% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
MARKETSCOM:DOLLARINDEX
by Marketscom
DXY June 6 Over all notesDXY June 6 Over all notes Parent bias is bear Discount range current/previous MONDAY-EXPANSION *Expands to equal lows TUESDAY REVERSAL *gaps lower *Rally to retrace *Creates equal highs WEDNESDAY REVERSAL-CONSOLDATION *Gaps lower * takes equal highs *Expands lower creates equal lows THURSDAY CONSOLIDATION-EXPANSION *Asia retrace to minor buy side, taps a bearish order block, CE of hourly FVG *London 2 macro expansion sell off *classic 7 macro retrace fake out *NY 8 macro ND Price expands to target of the week equal lows *NY 10 macro SILVER BULLET reversal *Consolidation *dealers range retraces to 50 level F DELIVERY RETRACE Sell side taken expected buy day *Asia on the 50 level previous session-sign that price is seeking buy side liquidity *20:00 expands buy side TAKE AWAYS- REMEMBER THIS Parent bias is KING *4 hour is bias and order flow *1 hour confirm cycle where price has delivered to and what liquidity taken *5 equal lows/highs and candle formations TRADE CHECKLIST confirming bias, direction, liquidity taken, previous session fib levels, and time of day are the keys In hindsight price delivered perfectly to a equilibrium to premium logic, back tested logic for direction on Wednesday, Thursdays speculation for new driver. Wow it must be random ICT 2022 model
TVC:DXY
by LeanLena
DOLLAR INDEX The higher-than-expected US Unemployment Claims (247K actual vs. 236K forecast) suggest emerging softness in the labor market, increasing the likelihood of Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2025. Here’s how this data impacts the Fed’s policy outlook: Key Implications for the Fed Labor Market Cooling: The uptick in claims aligns with recent trends of slowing payroll growth (Q1 2025 average: 152K jobs/month vs. Q4 2024: 209K) and a stagnant unemployment rate near 4.2%. Fed projections already anticipate unemployment stabilizing around 4.3% in 2025, but persistent claims increases could signal risks to their "maximum employment" mandate. Rate Cut Probability: The Fed has maintained rates at 4.25–4.50% since May 2025 but emphasized data dependence. Weak labor data strengthens the case for cuts, with markets now pricing in a ~60% chance of a September rate cut (up from ~50% pre-data). The Fed’s March 2025 projections flagged rising unemployment as a risk, with some participants favoring earlier easing if labor conditions deteriorate. Inflation Trade-Off: While unemployment claims rose, wage growth remains elevated (ADP reported 4.5% YoY pay gains in May). The Fed will weigh labor softness against sticky inflation, particularly in services (ISM Prices Paid index at 68.7). A cooling labor market could ease wage pressures, aiding the Fed’s inflation fight and enabling cuts without reigniting price spikes. Market Impact DXY (Dollar Index): Likely to weaken further as rate cut expectations rise. Immediate support at 98.40, with a break targeting 97.00 Equities/Gold: Potential gains as lower rates boost risk assets and non-yielding gold. Bond Yields: 10-year Treasury yields may retreat below 4.40% if markets price in dovish Fed action. What’s Next? June 6 NFP Report: A weak jobs number (<150K) would solidify rate cut bets. June 11 CPI Data: Lower inflation could give the Fed confidence to cut sooner. Fed Decision (July 31): Odds of a cut rise if labor data continues to soften. Conclusion The Fed is likely to prioritize labor market stability over inflation concerns if unemployment claims persist above 240K. While a July cut remains possible, September is the most probable start date for easing, contingent on confirming data. #DOLLAR #GOLD #DXY
TVC:DXY
by Shavyfxhub
DXY: Local Bearish Bias! Short! My dear friends, Today we will analyse DXY together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 98.335 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 98.090..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by FreeXauusdSignals
1