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DXY trade ideas

Just a bounce off or a real trend reversal?DXY sits on a major support zone. Price often delivers a reflex bounce at strong levels before continuing the prevailing trend, so a quick pop isn’t proof of a new bull run. DXY is closely linked to US real yields (10y TIPS): if real yields roll over as the Fed eases, USD strength likely fades; if real yields stay firm, a durable reversal is more plausible. This post is for informational/educational purposes only and is not investment advice or a solicitation to buy/sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. I may hold positions related to the instruments mentioned.
TVC:DXY
by AustrianTradingMachine
DXY UPDATE FOR LONG as we forecast a long term this an update The dollar index (DXY00) on Tuesday rose by +0.22% and posted a 5-week high. The dollar has carryover support from Monday following the EU-US trade deal that is seen as favoring the US. Also, expectations for the Fed to keep interest rates unchanged at the end of Wednesday's 2-day FOMC meeting are supportive of the dollar. The dollar extended its gains after the US Jun advance goods trade deficit unexpectedly shrank, a supportive factor for Q2 GDP, and after July consumer confidence rose more than expected.
TVC:DXYLong
by isaac886
US Dollar Index (DXY) Chart Analysis – 1H TimeframeUS Dollar Index (DXY) Chart Analysis – 1H Timeframe This chart shows the **US Dollar Index (DXY)** with key price zones, trendlines, and EMA indicators. Here's a detailed analysis: **Key Observations:** * **Price:** Currently trading near **98.41** * **EMAs:** * **EMA 7** = 98.373 (short-term trend) * **EMA 21** = 98.356 (medium-term trend) * **Trendline:** Uptrend line still intact, acting as dynamic support * **Volume:** Steady, no strong breakout yet * **Support Zones:** 98.20 – 98.35 * **Price Structure:** Consolidating above support and EMAs after a pullback from highs **Bullish Scenario** * If price **holds above EMAs and the green support zone (98.20–98.35)** * **Breakout above 98.50** would confirm strength * Targets: → **98.70** → **99.00+** if trendline support continues to hold * EMAs are aligned bullishly (7 above 21) – good sign for continued upward trend **Bearish Scenario** * If price **breaks below 98.20 and closes under the trendline** * Watch for rejection near 98.50 followed by strong red candle * Downside targets: → **97.80** → **97.60** * A breakdown below the ascending trendline = trend shift confirmation **Conclusion** * **Bias:** Bullish as long as DXY stays above 98.20 and trendline * **Invalidation:** A break and close below 98.20 + trendline = bearish shift
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by Harry_Megat
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) – July 30, 2025 | 15-Min Chart1. **Range-Bound Structure** DXY is consolidating between 98.588 support and 99.134 resistance. The 98.68–98.74 zone has acted as demand, but repeated retests show weakening buyer interest. 2. **Failed Breakouts** Multiple rejections at 99.134 indicate it's a trap zone where sellers absorb buy-side pressure. 3. **Bearish Momentum Signs** Lower highs and wicks into resistance with weak closes suggest distribution. Momentum likely shows bearish divergence. 4. **Critical Levels** * **Support:** 98.588 — a break below this opens downside potential. * **Resistance:** 99.134 — bulls need a strong breakout above this for continuation to 99.41+. Summary: Sellers dominate below 99.134. If 98.588 breaks, expect bearish continuation. Only a confirmed breakout above 99.134 shifts bias bullish.
TVC:DXY
by TheWallstreetCapital
Interesting few days ahead... USD pairs approaching key levelsDXY is finishing a HTF consolidation and is approaching medium-term key areas. Other USD pairs are also in areas where they could aggressively turn around. EURUSD just finished a H4 3-touch continuation flag and is starting to stall on the 3rd touch, suggesting indecision in the markets. Considering the news events in the next 3 days, starting today with USD advanced GDP data, we could see volatility kicking in on these key levels. We do need a catalyst to push price into a larger directional move, and we are prime positioned for the next leg. Technically, a breakout in both directions would make sense in these areas. Time to set alarms and be vigilant but not jump into trades too early, considering NFP on Friday as well. *** **** **** 📈 Simplified Trading Rules: > Follow a Valid Sequence > Wait for Continuation > Confirm Entry (valid candlestick pattern) > Know When to Exit (SL placement) Remember, technical analysis is subjective; develop your own approach. I use this format primarily to hold myself accountable and to share my personal market views. The pairs I publish here are usually discussed in detail in my Weekly Forex Forecast (WFF) and are now showing further developments worth mentioning. ⚠ Ensure you have your own risk management in place and always stick to your trading plan. *** **** ****
TVC:DXYShort
by kalganid
US Dollar Index: Down YTD, But at a 5-Week HighThe U.S. dollar plays a leading role in the performance of U.S. stocks versus international stocks. The greenback endured its worst first-half performance since 1973, helping ex-U.S. equities post massive absolute and relative gains through June. But could the narrative be shifting? And what might it mean for investors? The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) sits at a five-week high ahead of the July Federal Reserve interest rate decision and the key July jobs report to be released on August 1. Up four sessions in a row, the dollar appears poised to post its best month since last December (in fact, the DXY's first positive month of 2025). If it’s the start of a protracted recovery, then the “U.S. exceptionalism” trade could be back in vogue over the second half, resulting in the same old story of U.S. over international in the stock market.
TVC:DXYLong
by mikezaccardi
Key Events That Could Shape the Dollar This Week🇺🇸 Key Events That Could Shape the Dollar This Week Three major catalysts are on the radar for USD traders: 📊 ADP Employment Report 💰 Advance GDP (Q2) 🧠 Fed Chair Powell’s Speech Additionally, ongoing trade developments with the EU may add to volatility. 📊 1. ADP Employment Report The July ADP report is forecast to show 82K job additions. While this may seem consistent with recent NFP strength, several red flags suggest growing labor market weakness: Decline in labor force participation Slowing wage growth Emerging contraction signals in the services sector Even if ADP meets expectations, it may not reflect broad-based labor market health. Historically, ADP and NFP have often diverged—so the market reaction may be muted unless the data surprises meaningfully. 💰 2. Advance GDP (Q2) Q2 GDP is expected to show modest growth, possibly supported by: Higher tariff revenues boosting government income A weaker dollar improving export competitiveness Reduced imports due to elevated import costs However, much of this growth is likely nominal rather than real. With inflation remaining sticky, headline GDP may be inflated by price effects rather than true economic expansion. Real GDP could remain flat or weak. 🧠 3. Fed Chair Powell’s Speech This is arguably the most market-sensitive event of the week. Goldman Sachs and other major banks believe the recent resilience in U.S. data lowers the chances of a rate cut at this meeting. However, political dynamics could add nuance: With Donald Trump actively campaigning—and reportedly pressuring the Fed to ease rates to boost exports and growth—Powell may face a fine balancing act in his tone. Markets will dissect every word for clues on future policy. 🌐 U.S.-EU Trade Developments The U.S. recently announced a new trade agreement with the EU, including a 15% tariff on selected European imports. In the short term, this could be dollar-supportive, as it: Favors domestic producers Reduces reliance on imports Potentially improves the trade balance Yet over the longer term, such tariffs can be inflationary and disrupt global supply chains—possibly complicating the Fed’s decision-making. ⚠️ Final Thought In times of policy uncertainty, markets lose their predictability. Tariffs, in particular, often have a stronger and more immediate impact than calendar-based economic data. As a result, traders must monitor trade-related news and tariff decisions just as closely—if not more—than traditional economic releases in order to stay ahead of market direction and central bank decisions.
TVC:DXY
by mehrshad31
1
DXY: The Graceful Short This is interesting…Ever since the birth of Bitcoin, the DXY was in an overall uptrend, but that uptrend may have ended in the resistance zone. Price seems to have reversed for the DXY especially after the formation of a bearish engulfing candle on the 6M timeframe. Price may end the year within or on top of the support zone. What does this mean for crypto and other assets? If the DXY has reversed and is now in a long term down trend, crypto currencies and other assets will be in long term uptrends! Bitcoin may skip its upcoming bearish year next year or more than likely the bearish year will happen but the retracement may be short. Stay tuned!
TVC:DXYShort
by illagodzilla
$BTC's run to ATH is fueled by $DXYNOT FINANCIAL ADVICE I've yet to see this being mentioned anywhere on the internet, but TVC:DXY 's rally may just be CRYPTOCAP:BTC 's best friend. This, despite the popular notion that when TSX:DXT goes up, CRYPTOCAP:BTC goes down, and vice-versa. However, this novel idea puts a break to it. TVC:DXY is hitting the bottoms of its uptrending channel, and it's likely to bounce back up towards the ceilings. Which means a rally is likely, and this is kinda good for $BTC. I'll remain bullish, until the numbers say otherwise.
TVC:DXYLong
by googooboyy
USD Weakness Ahead (3-Month Outlook)EUR/USD: Breaking 1.0850, next target 1.1000 GBP/USD: Cleared 1.2750, heading toward 1.2950 AUD/USD: Rebounded from 0.6650, potential 0.6850 NZD/USD: Above 0.6150, could reach 0.6300 Key Drivers: 1. Fed likely cutting rates before ECB/BoE/RBNZ 2. Commodity recovery (helps AUD/NZD) 3. Political risks weighing on USD Market Mood: - Traders reducing long USD positions - AUD/NZD shorts getting squeezed Risks: US inflation surprises upside Geopolitical shocks boost USD safe-haven demand Sasha Charkhchian
TVC:DXYShort
by Sashacharkhchi
Dollar Index Holds Below 98 as Markets Await Trade Deal ProgressThe dollar index remained below 98 today, extending its two-day decline as investors watched trade negotiations ahead of the August 1 deadline. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said deal quality is the priority, suggesting Trump could grant extensions to countries showing real progress. Markets are also focused on Fed Chair Powell’s speech for signals on interest rates. Despite Trump’s push for a cut, traders are not expecting action this month.
MARKETSCOM:DOLLARINDEX
by ChartMage
DXY Dollar Index – Ready to Drop 🌪️ DXY Dollar Index – Ready to Drop Like a Hot Potato? 💸 Hey traders! 🎯 The DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) is dancing inside a falling wedge 🔻, and it just hit the top of the party zone (red box 🎁). 📍 We're watching for a bounce up to this red zone near 98.151–98.299, then expecting a big slide down like a rollercoaster 🎢 toward: 🎯 Target 1: 97.907 🎯 Target 2: 97.650 🛑 Stop if it jumps over: 98.299 🌀 Pattern: Ending Diagonal / Wave 5 Setup 🧠 Logic: Smart money might be setting up the final wave before a major fall. Let it pop, then drop! 💡 It’s like the last spark before the fireworks go out 🎆 --- #DXY #USDIndex #ForexTrading #Wave5 #PriceAction #ChartPattern #SimpleTrading #DollarDrop --- Let me know if you have ant suggestion ,
TVC:DXYShort
by Greenfireforex