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Swiss Franc/Australian Dollar

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CHFAUD trade ideas

AUDCHF - Wait For it!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈AUDCHF has been overall bearish trading within the flat falling broadening wedge pattern marked in red. Moreover, the green zone is a supply. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper red trendline and supply. 📚 As per my trading style: As #AUDCHF approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TheSignalyst
1
AUD/CHF – Bearish Harmonic Setup with RSI DivergenceKey Structure Highlights: • ✳️ Bearish Harmonic Pattern (likely AB=CD) completed at point D • 📉 Bearish divergence visible on RSI while price makes a Higher High (HH) — a classic sign of weakening momentum • 📊 Clear entry plan with: • Sell Stop: 0.52928 • Stop Loss: 0.53201 • TP1: 0.52629 • TP2: 0.52337 On the 1H chart, a Bearish Harmonic Pattern has completed near the 0.5315 level. Price formed a higher high (HH), while the RSI shows bearish divergence, signaling a loss of bullish momentum. 🟠 I’m looking to go short below 0.52928 with: • 🛑 Stop loss above point D: 0.53201 • 🎯 TP1: 0.52629 • 🎯 TP2: 0.52337 🧠 Market Bias: Bearish Although the recent trend shows higher highs and higher lows, the confluence of: • Harmonic pattern completion • Bearish divergence on RSI …indicates a possible short-term reversal. Scenario ⚠️ Always wait for confirmation before entering. The structure remains technically bullish until we break below the HL zone.
Short
by m4yaseen
AUD/CHF Sell Trade Idea 🧠 Why Sell AUD/CHF? * **Australia (AUD)**: * Economic growth is slowing. * Consumer and business confidence are falling. * The Reserve Bank may cut interest rates soon. * Australia’s economy depends heavily on China and commodities — both are under pressure. * **Switzerland (CHF)**: * Safe-haven currency — gets stronger when the world is uncertain. * Low inflation and strong exports make CHF attractive. * Even though the Swiss central bank cut rates, demand for CHF remains high due to global risks. --- ### ⏳ **What to Watch For** * RBA (Australia’s central bank) possibly cutting rates in August * Weak data from China hurting AUD further * Ongoing wars or trade issues making CHF stronger ---
Short
by Wainainarobert
1
AUD/CHF – Macro Sell Outlook Based on News & Calendar This week, the macroeconomic calendar is notably quiet for both the Australian dollar and the Swiss franc, with no high-impact events scheduled for either currency. In such a news-light environment, currency markets tend to default to broader macro themes, risk sentiment, and the underlying characteristics of each currency. The Swiss franc (CHF) is widely regarded as a classic safe-haven currency, attracting demand during periods of uncertainty or when global markets lack direction. Conversely, the Australian dollar (AUD) is considered a risk-sensitive, growth-oriented currency that often underperforms when there is little optimism or momentum in the global economy. With China-related concerns still hanging over the Australian economy and no domestic news or catalysts expected to boost AUD this week, the backdrop remains unfavorable for the Australian dollar. The absence of positive drivers for AUD, combined with the CHF’s defensive nature, creates a natural bias in favor of the Swiss franc. **In summary:** For the week ahead, AUD/CHF is fundamentally skewed toward the downside. With no news-based reasons to buy AUD, and with CHF likely to benefit from a stable, risk-averse environment, the pair favors a sell (short) bias on macroeconomic and news calendar grounds.
Short
by cdsolta
AUD/CHF – Smart Money Swing Setup🔍 **AUD/CHF – Smart Money Swing Setup** Price continues its bearish structure on H4, with lower highs and lower lows aligning with institutional order flow. M15 confirmed a bearish CHoCH and BOS with liquidity above equal highs, offering a clean Sell Limit opportunity. We have identified a high-probability target near 0.51500 — a strong H4 demand zone aligned with previous lows and an unmitigated order block. 🎯 Risk-Reward ~1:5 No major macro news this week for AUD or CHF, providing a clean environment for price action to unfold. Wait for mitigation and confirmation before entry.
Short
by cdsolta
AUD/CHF:Bearish Momentum Strengthens with 3 Key Technical SignalThe AUD/CHF currency pair has recently displayed compelling bearish characteristics across both the daily and weekly timeframes, reinforcing the current downtrend and presenting a potential continuation opportunity for trend-following traders. Technical Breakdown: 1. Daily Chart – Bearish "Falling Three Soldiers" On the daily chart, AUD/CHF has formed a textbook "falling three soldiers" candlestick pattern. This formation consists of three consecutive bearish candles following a temporary bullish retracement, signaling strong selling pressure and a likely continuation of the prior downtrend. This pattern typically reflects increasing control by sellers and a lack of significant bullish response. 2. Weekly Chart – Bearish Engulfing Pattern Zooming out to the weekly timeframe, the pair recently printed a bearish engulfing candle , a classic reversal signal. The bearish engulfing fully overshadows the prior bullish candle, signaling a strong shift in momentum in favor of the bears. When found at a swing high or resistance area, this pattern adds significant weight to a bearish bias. 3. Price Below 50 EMA and 200 EMA Further confirmation comes from the moving average setup. AUD/CHF is currently trading below both the 50-day and 200-day exponential moving averages (EMAs) . This alignment reinforces the downtrend, with the 50 EMA acting as a dynamic resistance level. The gap between price and the EMAs suggests sustained bearish pressure and little sign of bullish recovery in the near term. --- Market Sentiment and Outlook: From a broader perspective, the Swiss Franc (CHF) often benefits from risk-off sentiment due to its status as a safe haven, while the Australian Dollar (AUD) is considered more risk-sensitive. With global risk sentiment facing headwinds from inflationary pressures, central bank uncertainty, and geopolitical tensions, AUD may remain under pressure against CHF. Traders could look for pullbacks into resistance — such as the 50 EMA or previous support-turned-resistance levels — to consider short entries with confirmation , ideally supported by bearish candlestick patterns or momentum indicators. --- Conclusion: With multiple layers of bearish confluence — the falling three soldiers on the daily chart, the bearish engulfing pattern on the weekly, and price action firmly below the 50 and 200 EMAs — the technical bias for AUD/CHF remains strongly bearish . Until the pair reclaims key moving averages or prints a reversal structure, the path of least resistance continues to point downward. --- Rocket boost this content to learn more. Disclaimer:Trading is risky please use a simulation trading account before you trade with real money. Do not use margin. Learn risk management and profit taking strategies.
Short
by lubosi
AUD-CHF Pullback Ahead! Sell! Hello,Traders! AUD-CHF made a retest Of the strong wide horizontal Resistance around 0.5289 And we are already seeing a Local pullback so we are Locally bearish biased and We will be expecting a Further bearish move down On Monday Sell! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TopTradingSignals
1
AUDCHF Sell Opportunity - Structure Broken, Bears in Control📉 Overview from Weekly Time Frame AUDCHF has been held under the 14EMA and a significant weekly resistance zone for multiple weeks, mirroring the bearish control seen in NZDCHF. Sellers have maintained dominance without a successful bullish close above the EMA, reinforcing a bearish long-term bias. 📆 Daily Chart Explanation The daily timeframe shows a clear internal structure break to the downside. Price has decisively dropped below both the 14EMA and 50EMA, confirming bearish momentum and trend shift. This setup adds confidence to look for sell continuation setups. ⏱ 4H Chart Explanation 4H chart aligns with the higher timeframes. A bearish trendline has been broken and structure has shifted lower, with price making lower highs and lower lows. Momentum is clearly favoring sellers, especially after the EMA50 breakdown. 🧭 Plan Bias: Bearish Entry: Wait for price to pull back into the discounted zone near broken structure or EMA confluence on 4H, with bearish confirmation Targets: • TP1 – Recent low • TP2 – Next key support level on daily timeframe Invalidation: A break and close above the 4H structure high or 50EMA would invalidate the setup
Short
by Amitrading
AUDCHF Will Go Down! Short! Take a look at our analysis for AUDCHF. Time Frame: 15m Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 0.526. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 0.524 level soon. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
AUDCHFThe AUD/CHF pair is currently showing bearish tendencies despite Australia having higher interest rates than Switzerland due to several key factors beyond just the nominal interest rate differential: 1. Monetary Policy Outlook and Rate Expectations The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has recently cut rates with expectations of further cuts, signaling a dovish stance going forward. This diminishes the appeal of the AUD despite its current higher rates. In contrast, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) has a very low policy rate (~0.25%) but is expected to keep rates on hold, providing stability to the CHF. The market perceives the SNB’s policy as more stable relative to the RBA’s easing path, which weighs on AUD/CHF. 2. Economic Fundamentals and Growth Prospects Australia’s economy is facing headwinds such as slower GDP growth, weaker commodity demand, and cautious consumer sentiment, which dampens AUD strength. Switzerland benefits from its safe-haven status and stable economic conditions, which attract investors during global uncertainty, supporting CHF demand. 3. Risk Sentiment and Safe-Haven Flows The Swiss Franc is traditionally a safe-haven currency. In times of global risk aversion or geopolitical uncertainty, investors flock to CHF, pushing AUD/CHF lower even if Australia offers higher yields. Current market sentiment is neutral to slightly bearish on AUD/CHF, with technical indicators showing limited momentum and a potential for bearish pressure. 4. Technical and Market Sentiment Factors Technical analysis shows AUD/CHF trading in a narrow range with weak trend strength, limited volatility, and resistance near supplyroof . The RSI and MACD indicators suggest indecision but slight bearish momentum. Market participants remain cautious, awaiting clearer economic data or policy signals before committing to AUD longs against CHF. Summary Table Factor Impact on AUD/CHF Explanation RBA Rate Cuts & Dovish Outlook Bearish Expected further easing reduces AUD appeal SNB Stable Policy Bullish for CHF Stability supports CHF demand Economic Growth Weak for AUD Slower growth weighs on AUD Safe-Haven Demand Supports CHF CHF strengthens in risk-off environments Technical Indicators Neutral to Slightly Bearish Limited momentum, resistance near supplyroof 1. Current 10-Year Bond Yields Australia 10-Year Bond Yield: Approximately 4.34% to 4.53% as of early June 2025, with recent fluctuations around 4.3%–4.5% due to RBA rate cuts and global bond market moves. Switzerland 10-Year Bond Yield: Swiss 10-year government bond yields have been historically low or negative due to the Swiss National Bank’s (SNB) ultra-low or negative policy rates and safe-haven status. As of mid-2025, Swiss 10-year yields are near 0.5% or lower, often negative or close to zero given Switzerland’s monetary policy stance and low inflation environment (typical recent range: -0.3% to +0.5%, though exact current data not in search results but known from market context). 2. Interest Rate Differential The 10-year bond yield differential (AUD – CHF) is roughly: 4.4%−0.5%≈+3.9% This means Australian 10-year bonds offer a yield premium of nearly 4 percentage points over Swiss 10-year bonds. 3. Uncovered Interest Rate Parity (UIP) UIP states that the expected change in the exchange rate equals the interest rate differential:3.9%i AUD −i CHF ≈3.9%. Implication: The AUD should theoretically depreciate by about 3.9% annually against the CHF to offset the higher yield investors earn from holding AUD bonds. This means investors expect the AUD/CHF exchange rate to adjust so that the higher Australian yields do not translate into arbitrage profits without currency risk. However, in practice, deviations from UIP occur due to risk premiums, capital controls, and market sentiment. 4. Carry Trade Advantage The large positive yield differential makes the AUD attractive for carry trades against the CHF. Investors borrow in low-yielding CHF (funding currency) and invest in higher-yielding AUD assets to earn the interest rate spread. Carry trade benefits: Potentially higher returns from the interest rate spread (~3.9%) AUD tends to be a commodity-linked currency with higher volatility and risk premium, which can amplify gains in risk-on environments. Risks: Currency risk if AUD depreciates sharply against CHF Global risk-off events can trigger unwind of carry trades, causing AUD weakness Summary Table Metric Australia (AUD) Switzerland (CHF) Differential (AUD - CHF) 10-Year Government Bond Yield ~4.34% - 4.53% ~0.5% or lower +3.9% Policy Rate 3.85% (RBA) ~0% or negative (SNB) ~3.85% UIP Expected AUD Depreciation — — ~3.9% per annum Carry Trade Advantage High yield, attractive Low yield, funding currency Significant carry trade incentive The substantial yield advantage of Australian 10-year bonds over Swiss 10-year bonds (~3.9%) creates a strong carry trade incentive to buy AUD and fund in CHF. According to uncovered interest rate parity, this yield gap should be offset by an expected depreciation of the AUD versus CHF. However, in practice, carry trades persist due to risk appetite and market dynamics, making AUD/CHF sensitive to global risk sentiment and monetary policy shifts. Conclusion Despite Australia’s higher nominal interest rates, the bearish AUD/CHF trend is driven by the RBA’s dovish outlook, weaker Australian economic fundamentals, and the Swiss Franc’s safe-haven status. These factors outweigh the interest rate differential advantage, leading to AUD underperformance versus CHF in the current environment #AUDCHF
by Shavyfxhub
AUDCHF Will Go Higher! Buy! Here is our detailed technical review for AUDCHF. Time Frame: 3h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a significant support area 0.529. The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 0.532 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1