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CHFJPY trade ideas

CHFJPY Looks Toppy… Is a 500 Pip Crash Coming?CHFJPY Has Exploded Past 180 — But Is the Top Already In? After blowing clean through the key 180 resistance level, CHFJPY has continued surging into July — a month historically known for thin liquidity as traders hit holiday mode. These low-volume environments often lead to exaggerated price moves, much like we see in late December. From a structural standpoint, this pair looks seriously overextended and ripe for a sharp pullback — with potential downside targets around 180 and 178 over the coming weeks. If I were a bull, I’d want to see a clear break and weekly/monthly close above 186 before considering further upside. As it stands, I’m gradually building into a short position, eyeing that 180 handle as my first key level. Let me know your thoughts in the comments — agree, disagree, or seeing something I’m not? *This is my personal analysis shared for educational purposes only. Always do your own research — never blindly follow anyone’s trades.*
Short
by TheFxAce
14
SELL CHFJPY for bullish trend reversal SELL CHFJPY for bullish trend reversal STOP LOSS : 185.38 Trade trade is based on false breakout and divergence..... First what is false breakout, A false breakout in Forex occurs when the price breaks through a key level (like support or resistance) but quickly reverses and returns to its original range, often trapping traders who were expecting a continuation of the breakout. It's essentially a false signal, indicating a potential trend reversal or continuation, but the price doesn't follow through.... Secondly what is divergence ,In forex trading, divergence occurs when the price of a currency pair moves in one direction, while a technical indicator (like an oscillator) moves in the opposite direction. This mismatch can signal a potential trend reversal or weakening trend. There are two main types: bullish and bearish divergence.  On this trade we are taking it because we saw regular bearish divergence Regular Bearish Divergence In case of Regular Bearish Divergence: * The Indicator shows Lower Highs * Actual Market Price shows Higher Highs We can see a strong divergence on the RSI already and There is a strong trend reversal on the daily time frame chart..... The daily time frame is showing strength of trend reversal from this level resistance so we are looking for the trend reversal and correction push from here .....
Short
by BALE_FX
3
CHFJPY: The Logic Behind the Inevitable CorrectionCHFJPY recently bounced from what seemed like a perfect support level. Many likely saw this as a buy signal. But when the price failed to make a new high, it sent a clear warning: the correction isn't over yet. This analysis dives into why that first bounce was a trap and where the next institutional levels are waiting below—the ones with the real fuel for the next major move up. The CHFJPY pair continues its long and strong global uptrend . However, the market cannot move in one direction indefinitely without pullbacks; sooner or later, corrections occur. Large capital, or "Whales," who are the most important market participants, need to refuel with liquidity to continue their advance and to shake off piggybacking competitors. Right now, CHFJPY is in a 4H structure correction . The first target for this correction was the 61.8% Fib level and a daily order block. The price did show a reversal reaction from them, but it lacked enough liquidity to create a new ATH, and the price continued its corrective movement. The next target for the correction will be the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level at ~183.909, in conjunction with a 4H order block . This move will also sweep liquidity from the low of July 16th. Two Potential Long Scenarios SCENARIO 1: Entry from the 78.6% Fib Level & 4H Order Block The first long entry scenario will be triggered by a clear reversal reaction from this support confluence. ► Setup Condition: Price must reach this zone, mitigate the order block, and close decisively above the 78.6% level, showing strength. An entry will require LTF confirmation (a BOS or the beginning of LTF order flow). ► Invalidation: If the 78.6% level is broken and the price closes below it, this scenario is invalid. In this case, the 4H order block itself will act as liquidity, and an attack on the 4H structure's break level (BOS 4) will likely occur. SCENARIO 2: Entry After a Deeper Liquidity Sweep This path becomes active if the first scenario fails. ► Setup Condition: A liquidity sweep with a candle wick below the 4H BOS level (183.333), with the price then closing back above this level. The final confirmation would be the start of a new order flow on a lower timeframe. ► Invalidation: A decisive close below the 4H BOS level will invalidate all long scenarios and will signal that the correction is shifting to a higher timeframe structure. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ The principles and conditions for forming the manipulation zones I show in this trade idea are detailed in my educational publication, which was chosen by TradingView for the "Editor's Picks" category and received a huge amount of positive feedback from this wonderful, advanced TV community. To better understand the logic I've used here and the general principles of price movement in most markets from the perspective of institutional capital, I highly recommend checking out this guide if you haven't already. 👇 P.S. This is not a prediction of the exact price direction. It is a description of high-probability setups that become valid only if specific conditions are met when the price reaches the marked POI. If the conditions are not met, the setups are invalid. No setup has a 100% success rate, so if you decide to use this trade idea, always use a stop-loss and proper risk management. Trade smart. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ If you found this analysis helpful, support it with a Boost! 🚀 Have a question or your own view on this idea? Share it in the comments. 💬 ► Follow me on TradingView to get real-time updates on THIS idea (entry, targets & live trade management) and not to miss my next detailed breakdown. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Long
by TheWhaleSM
4
CHFJPY - The Bulls Are Exhausted!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈CHFJPY has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in blue and it is currently retesting the upper bound of it. Moreover, the green zone is a strong supply. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper blue trendline and green supply. 📚 As per my trading style: As #CHFJPY is hovering around the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TheSignalyst
4
CHFJPY Day/Swing Trade Setup – Bearish Move Loading...💸"Operation Swiss Shadow: The CHF/JPY Forex Heist Blueprint" 💸 (Thief Trading Style: Master Plan Edition) 🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers, Robbers & Market Ninjas 🤑💰✈️, This ain't your average trade idea — this is a Thief Trading certified forex heist targeting the CHF/JPY aka "Swiss vs Japanese". Based on my unique blend of 🔥technical traps + fundamental pressure points🔥, we've built the perfect blueprint to rob this pair at its weakest moment. 💣 Our target? The overhyped bullish zone — oversold, consolidating, and ripe for reversal. This is where institutional bulls camp, and we’re about to hit ‘em where it hurts. 🎯 Trade Setup Breakdown (Bearish Bias) 🎯 Entry Point: The heist begins at 183.800 — wait for a neutral level breakout and prepare your sell orders. 💥 Recommended play: Place Sell Stop just below the breakout confirmation. For pros: use Sell Limit orders above MA or at pullback zones (15m/30m chart) near recent swing highs/lows — layer in using DCA style to catch premium entries. 🔔 Pro Tip: Set alerts at the breakout zone. Don’t sleep on the move — timing is key in every robbery. 🛑 Stop Loss Strategy "Yo listen! This ain't no demo drill!" SL = 185.500 (4H swing high wick) Place SL ONLY after breakout confirms — no pre-breakout SLs, no pre-heist drama. Adjust SL based on risk %, lot size, and number of entries you're stacking. If you’re reckless, go wild. But don’t say I didn’t warn you. You’re dancing with the FX devil here. 📉 Target Exit Zone TP = 181.500 But real thieves know: If the heat gets heavy, vanish early. Escape before the target if price action warns you. Survive > Greed. Always. 🔍 Macro Market Intel for Our Heist Plan CHF/JPY is in a Bearish narrative, aligned with: 🧠 Fundamental Shifts 🏦 Macro Trends (Swiss deflation concerns + Japanese carry trade dynamics) 📉 Commitment of Traders (COT) Data 🌦️ Seasonal & Intermarket Correlation 🧭 Sentiment, Risk Flows & Future Pricing Models 🗞️ Before you break in, read the news, study the reports, watch the market smoke signals. 🚨 Trading Alert (News Protocol): 📢 Important: News releases = wild volatility. Stay smart: No new trades during high-impact releases Use trailing SLs to protect bagged profits Adjust sizing to dodge unnecessary exposure 💖💥 Support the Robbery Plan 💥💖 Smash that 🚀BOOST button if you're vibing with the Thief Trading Style. Every click helps build the strongest robbery crew in the FX game. This ain't luck — it's strategy, timing, and execution. 💪📈🎯 I'll be back soon with another market heist plan — stay sharp, stay paid. 🐱‍👤💼📊
Short
by The-Thief
2
"Master Plan to Rob CHF/JPY – Breakout Trading Idea"💣CHF/JPY Forex Heist: Swiss vs Yen 🔥Master Robbery Plan Unfolded! 🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers, Bandits & Chart Pirates 🤑💰💸✈️ It's time to reload your gear and lock in the blueprint. Based on our 🔥Thief Trader Technical + Fundamental Intelligence🔥, we’re all set to ambush the CHF/JPY "Swiss vs Yen" battlefield. This ain’t no casual walk—it’s a full-scale market operation targeting the High Voltage Reversal Trap Zone⚡. The pressure is real: Overbought, Tricky Consolidation, and Bears camping at resistance. Your job? Steal profits before they smell the breakout! 🏆💪💵 🎯 Entry Point — "Let the Heist Begin" 🗝 Entry Level: Wait for the Breakout @ 186.000. When price shatters the Moving Average ceiling—that's your greenlight! 🚀 Execution Choices: Place Buy Stop above the breakout point Or, use Buy Limit Orders near recent swing highs/lows on the 15/30-min chart using Layering/DCA tactics (that’s how the real thieves sneak in 🕶️). 🔔 Set an alert to stay sharp—don’t miss the vault crackin’ open! 🛑 Stop Loss — “Cover Your Escape” 🎯 SL Level: Just under the recent swing low on the 4H timeframe (around 184.000) 🚫 Never place the SL before the breakout confirms! Let the move prove itself first. 🧠 SL sizing depends on your capital, lot size, and number of entries stacked. You control the risk, not the other way around! 🎯 Target — "Cash Out or Vanish" 💎 First Take-Profit: 189.000 🚪Optional Escape: Secure the bag early if momentum fades. Better leave rich than be late! 👀 For Scalpers & Swing Robbers Alike 🔍 Scalpers: Only ride the Long wave. 💼 Big pockets? Hit straight entry. 👟 Small capital? Tag in with swing trades and trail that SL like a pro. 🎣 Use a Trailing SL to lock profits as price sprints toward resistance. 📰 The Bigger Picture: Why CHF/JPY? The pair is pumped by: 📈 Macro Economics 📊 Quant Analysis 📰 COT Reports 📉 Intermarket Correlations 🧠 Sentiment Heatmaps 🔥 Future Price Dynamics Don’t pull the trigger blind. Read the battlefield before charging in. ⚠️ Thief’s Caution Zone: News Traps Ahead 🛎 News = chaos. 📌 Avoid entering fresh trades during major data drops. 🔐 Use Trailing SLs to protect ongoing plays. 📉 Let the market dance, but you control the music. 💥Hit the Boost Button!💥 If this heist plan pumps your portfolio, smash that boost. That’s how we fund more blueprints, fuel the Thief Gang’s vault, and keep the robbery cycle alive. 🤑💵 Together, let’s rob this market clean—Thief Style. New plan drops soon. Stay locked. Stay sharp. Stay profitable. 🧠💰🏴‍☠️ — Thief Trader Out 🐱‍👤🔓🚀
Long
by The-Thief
1
CHF/JPY ADDED TO WATCHLISTCHF/JPY has been added to the watchlist. We’re watching for a potential breakdown from the recent highs, followed by a clean retest of the strong support/resistance zone. If price pulls back into that area and forms a valid VMS setup, we’ll be ready. As always, patience and alignment are everything. We’re not here to chase trades — we wait for Volume, Momentum, and Structure to fully align. Until then, we let the setup either build or bust. No rush. No guesswork. Just preparation and discipline. Let the market come to you.
Short
by darlwright
CHFJPY On The Rise! BUY! My dear friends, My technical analysis for CHFJPY is below: The market is trading on 183.63 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation. Target - 184.54 Recommended Stop Loss - 183.16 About Used Indicators: A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
CHF/JPY BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT Hello, Friends! The BB upper band is nearby so CHF-JPY is in the overbought territory. Thus, despite the uptrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bearish reaction from the resistance line above and a move down towards the target at around 183.703. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1
CHFJPY BUYJust an idea for short term target with SL and TP. Timeframe: H1 Price: 185.031 SL: 184.485 TP: 186.669 SL will move to breakeven at 1:1 Close 50% at 1:2 Remaining will run till 1:3 Risk Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to invest in foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.
Long
by shakeels07