CHFJPY - How To Enter This MASSIVE 1700pip Swing Trade!As promised - here’s the lower timeframe breakdown after hitting 100+ likes.
We’re in wave 5, currently moving cleanly into the swing zone. Since wave 5 typically forms 5 subwaves, all we needed was to connect points 2 and 4 to draw our entry trendline.
Trade Idea:
- Entry on break of the orange trendline
- Stops above recent highs after entry
- Aggressive option: Enter inside the sell zone with stops above invalidation
Targets:
- TP1: 165.00 (≈1300 pips)
- TP2: 161.50 (≈1700 pips)
- Optional: Leave a runner for the longer swing move
Scroll down for the full 4H breakdown.
CHFJPY trade ideas
CHF/JPY – 1H Analysis: Bearish ReversalCurrent Trend: Bullish
📉 Reversal Outlook: Bearish
📊 Technical Confluence Observed:
✅ A bearish divergence has formed, signaling weakening bullish momentum.
📐 The Fibonacci retracement has hit the 3.82 extension, adding further confluence to a potential reversal.
📉 A Rising Wedge pattern is currently forming – a classic bearish reversal setup.
Double Top Bearish Reversal Pattern has also formed.
⚠️ With strong multi-factor bearish signals in play, I am placing a Sell Stop with calculated risk and reward in mind.
🟢 Trade Setup
Pair: CHF/JPY
Timeframe: 1H
Strategy: Bearish Reversal Entry (Sell Stop)
Sell Stop Entry: 176.818
Stop Loss: 177.753
Take Profit 1: 175.851
Take Profit 2: 174.894
Risk–Reward: 1:1 and 1:2
Risk: $200
Reward: $300
Lot Size: (Adjust based on risk %)
#CHFJPY #ForexAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #ABCDPattern #Fibonacci #RisingWedge #BearishSetup #ForexTrading #RiskManagement
CHFJPY I Technical & Fundamental Forecast Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** CHFJPY Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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CHF/JPY – Premium Exhaustion Sell Setup🔍 **CHF/JPY – Premium Exhaustion Sell Setup**
On the daily timeframe, CHF/JPY reached a major Premium zone and swept the previous Weak High at 178.400. RSI is at its highest overbought level in months, indicating strong exhaustion.
Price has also formed internal CHoCH on lower timeframes (M15–H1), and we expect a correction towards the next key demand and imbalance zones.
🧠 Clean Smart Money setup based on exhaustion, premium rejection and BOS confirmation. No high-impact news expected for CHF or JPY this week – ideal for a technical swing setup.
Wait for mitigation or entry confirmation.
CHF/JPY SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
CHF/JPY pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is obviously rising on the 2H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 176.694 because the pair overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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CHFJPY 2.06.25We can see the support line from below, which we need to break and gather liquidity. Only then can we think about a long position. I also showed the largest volumes in the zone; we must also achieve this liquidity.
Classic triangles do not work as described in most books on trading.
Best regards EXCAVO
_____________________
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short overview of monetary policyIt's a busy week for central bank monetary policies with the BoJ, FED, BoE and SNB all due this week.
Current probabilities are as follows:
Federal Reserve - 98.8% Hold @ 4.5%
Bank of England - 88.3% Hold @ 4.25%
Swiss National Bank - 100% Cut from 0.25% to 0.00%
The FED will also be realising their economic projections and forward guidance including the updated dot plot, so market attention will be drawn towards this and accompanying press conference.
As always, the BoE will be releasing their MPC votes so focus will shift towards these and comments made in policy summary.
Both the FED and BoE may struggle to make a more dovish tilt with sticky inflation and uncertainty around geopolitical tensions and tariff negations.
If any comments come for a more hawkish stance such as a higher revision for inflation or reduction in future rate cuts will promote and stronger USD and pairs such as USDCAD or USDCHF (whilst keeping safe haven plays in mind) could provide some good moves.
Any surprise dovish comments likely hold a bigger potential for stronger initial moves in USD weakness. For this potential US equity upside such as the S&P or NASDAQ could provide good opportunity.
CHFJPY Will Go Higher! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for CHFJPY.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 177.661.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 178.547 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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CHFJPY Swing Short – Fading SNB Strength at ResistanceICMARKETS:CHFJPY
✅ CHF/JPY Trade Setup
ICMARKETS:CHFJPY ICMARKETS:CHFJPY
🟥 CHF/JPY Swing Short – Reversal from Supply Zone
🟥 SHORT CHF/JPY @ 177.730 (Swing Trade)
✅ Catalyst: Bearish engulfing + RSI divergence at key resistance; macro favoring JPY strength vs. CHF.
🛑 SL: 178.466
🎯 TP1: 176.300 (1:1.9 R:R)
🎯 TP2: 175.505 (1:3.1 R:R)
🎯 TP3: 174.850 (1:4.0 R:R)
📊 Chart: Strong supply zone near 178.40 held firm. Price broke structure and retested. Momentum shift confirmed with lower high + MACD flip.
🌍 Context: SNB remains dovish, while BoJ cautiously turns hawkish. Risk sentiment shifts may further favor the yen as safe-haven flow returns.
💬 “SNB bleeding CHF strength — shorting this bounce or waiting for the break of 176? 👇”
#Forex #CHFJPY #SwingTrade #MacroSetup #JPYStrength #SmartMoney
CHFJPY - 1700 Pip Reversal Incoming!The last time we looked at CHFJPY was back in October 2024, where we forecasted a large ABC correction. Fast forward to now - that correction is nearly complete!
We're currently in the 5th subwave of wave C, and everything points toward a massive drop setting up. We expect a move of at least 1500 pips.
On the Daily timeframe, structure is clear:
- Clean 5-3-5 ABC correction
- Price is approaching a key sell zone
- A clear entry trendline is in place — couldn’t ask for a cleaner setup
Trade Idea:
- Watch for rejection within the sell zone
- Aggressive entry: Inside sell zone with stops above invalidation
- Conservative entry: On break of trendline, stops above the break candle
Targets:
TP1: 165.00 (≈1300 pips)
TP2: 161.50 (≈1700 pips)
Optional: Leave a runner for a long-term swing
Let me know what you think in the comments.
See below for our last VIP setup for CHFJPY which played out perfectly. 1000pips secured!
Good luck and as always, trade safe!
CHF-JPY Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
CHF-JPY made a bullish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 177.327 and the
Breakout is confirmed so
We are bullish biased
And we will be expecting
A further bullish continuation
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
CHF/JPY Approaching the Danger Zone🧠 CHF/JPY Daily Chart
🗓️ June 18, 2025
Theme: "Approaching the Danger Zone – Will It Break or Bounce?"
Bias: Cautiously Bearish (near resistance)
Setup: Rising wedge into multi-year resistance zone
🔍 Market Structure Analysis:
The CHF/JPY has been riding a clean bullish wave since early 2025, but the pair now faces its most critical battle zone — the 179.50–180.00 multi-year resistance block, which previously marked a sharp reversal point.
The recent price action shows a rising wedge structure, which is often a bearish reversal pattern, especially when appearing near significant resistance.
🧬 Confluences in Play:
✅ Rising Wedge: Tightening structure indicates exhaustion of bullish momentum.
✅ Major Supply Zone: Price is approaching a high-likelihood reaction zone (180.00), where sellers aggressively took over in the past.
✅ Bearish Divergence Watch: (Not shown but likely developing on RSI or MACD)
✅ EMA Clustering: 15 & 60 EMAs rising, suggesting short-term momentum, but also acting as dynamic support if price breaks lower.
🔁 Scenario-Based Trade Plan:
🟥 Bearish Rejection Setup:
Entry: If price prints a strong bearish engulfing or pin bar near 179.50–180.00
SL: Above 180.20 (liquidity sweep buffer)
TP1: 174.50 (wedge base)
TP2: 172.00 (previous structure support)
TP3: 165.00 (macro demand zone)
R:R Potential: 3–5+
🟩 Breakout Continuation (Contingency Plan):
Buy Stop above 180.50 on strong close + retest
Targeting 184.00+ (measured move from wedge height)
🎯 Key Levels:
Major Resistance: 179.50–180.00
Trendline Support: 174.00
High-Volume Node: 172.00
Major Demand: 165.00–166.00 (long-term)
⚠️ Risks & Considerations:
JPY volatility due to BoJ surprises
CHF is sensitive to risk sentiment → geopolitical/macro shifts can rapidly flip bias
Wedge can fakeout before true move — confirm with volume + daily close
🧵 Summary Thought:
"Price is climbing a narrowing staircase into a wall. Will it punch through or trip on fatigue? Either way — the move from here is likely to be decisive. This is not the time to blink."
Share your Idea please...
#CHFJPY #MJTrading #Chart #Analysis #CHF #JPY
CHFJPY - NeutralStory : We can see Bearish divergence on 1H time frame, which seems to be diluted followed by the consolidation region. however, if we look for the Bullish continuation signals we have Dow theory (HH and HLs) and bullish rectangular pattern which most likely shows upside control of Bulls. However, we also expect the market to break the rectangular pattern and thus we can see the bears in control.
Anticipate: we wait until market indicates a clear breakout either bearish of bullish with good engulfing candle.
Plan : we place a sell stop and Buy stop simultaneously on a chart with the R:R of 1:1 and 1:2. on whichever side market moves, we close the other trade accordingly.
however my 1st preference is bearish i.e breakout of rectangular pattern downside.
CHFJPY - Bullish... but not for long!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈CHFJPY has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in blue. However, it is currently retesting the upper bound of the channel.
Moreover, the red zone is a strong structure and resistance.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper blue trendline and resistance.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #CHFJPY is around the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
CHFJPY Update I Short from Supply Zone Fulfilled Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** CHFJPY Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future.
Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
CHFJPY Daily Analysis – Potential Rounded Top Reversal🧠 Key Insights:
Price is approaching strong resistance near 180.355, aligning with historical highs.
A rounded top formation is visible, signaling potential bearish reversal.
A break above 180.355 would invalidate the bearish setup (marked “Invalid” on chart).
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🔻 Bearish Scenario:
If rejection occurs at resistance:
✅ TP1: 170.145
↪ Horizontal support; prior consolidation zone.
✅ TP2: 160.352
↪ Major demand area; long-term support.
Entry can be considered on confirmation signals (e.g. bearish engulfing, divergence, or rejection wicks).
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❌ Invalidation:
A daily candle close above 180.355 invalidates this setup and may signal continued bullish momentum.
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✅ Summary:
CHFJPY is at a key resistance zone and showing signs of a possible top. If bearish confirmation forms, targets lie at 170.145 and 160.352. Use proper risk management and wait for confirmation before entering.
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⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
CHF_JPY BULLISH BREAKOUT|LONG|
✅CHF_JPY is going up
Now and the pair made a bullish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 177.000 and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are bullish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
On Monday
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
CHFJPY BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISCHFJPY has continued to play out exactly as forecasted, breaking out cleanly from the descending channel on the 3D timeframe and rallying strongly above key structure. Price is currently trading around 178.00, already delivering solid upside from the breakout zone. The bullish breakout was confirmed by consecutive impulsive candles with minimal retracement, a clear sign of institutional strength behind this move. As long as this momentum holds, the next major target is 182.00 – a psychological level and previous structure high, now acting as a magnetic zone for price.
On the fundamental side, the Swiss Franc continues to enjoy safe-haven flows as global macro uncertainty persists. The Swiss National Bank has maintained a relatively tight stance, with inflation staying stable and CHF demand picking up. On the flip side, the Japanese Yen remains broadly weak due to ultra-loose monetary policy from the Bank of Japan. BOJ’s reluctance to shift away from yield curve control and negative interest rates makes JPY one of the most attractive funding currencies, driving consistent CHFJPY upside.
Technically, this move is supported by a textbook breakout from a falling wedge pattern, which historically has a high probability of bullish continuation. The volume and momentum on the breakout were strong, and we have a clean higher high and higher low structure forming. This confirms the end of the correction phase and a transition into a trending bullish cycle. With the current risk sentiment leaning toward CHF strength and JPY weakness, I’m confident in further upside toward my 182.000 target.
I’ll continue to trail stops below 174.00 to lock in profit while giving the trade room to breathe. If price consolidates near 179.50–180.00 with low volume, I may look for re-entry setups on pullbacks. As of now, CHFJPY remains one of the strongest trending pairs on the board, and I’ll stay long as long as the structure holds.