ES1! trade ideas
06/12/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysisEOD accountability report: +437.50
Sleep: 6.5 hours
Overall health: Good
What was my initial plan?
market pumped heavily due to ppi data so I decided today was another oe of those days where you wait on the sideline for a better move.
1. until major levels are hit.
2. or a signal occur.
**Daily Trade recap based on VX Algo System from (9:30am to 2pm)**
10:57 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal
2:00 PM VXAlgo NQ X3 Sell Signal
Next day plan--> Above 6010 = Bullish, Under 5950= Bearish
Video Recaps -->https://tradingview.sweetlogin.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
06/11/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis
EOD accountability report: +1200
Sleep: 7 hours
Overall health: Good
What was my initial plan?
Did not wanted to trade the market today unless we had multiple signals and confirmations because CPI data had already moved the market so much.
Daily Trade recap based on VX Algo System from (9:30am to 2pm)
— 10:00 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3!
— 10:00 AM VXAlgo NQ X1 Buy Signal,
— 10:30 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
— 11:08 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal (double signal)
— 11:48 AM VXAlgo ES X3 Sell Signal
— 12:00 PM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3!
— 12:30 PM VXAlgo ES X1 Buy signal (double signal)
— 1:35 PM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
Next day plan--> Above 6000 = Bullish, Under 5990 = Bearish
Video Recaps -->https://tradingview.sweetlogin.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
ES Futures Play – Long Bias Despite MACD Caution (June 11, 2025)📈 ES Futures Play – Long Bias Despite MACD Caution (June 11, 2025)
Ticker: NYSE:ES | Bias: ✅ Moderately Bullish
Setup Time: Market Open | Confidence: 65%
🔍 AI Model Consensus Breakdown
📍 Price: ~6,027.25
📊 Trend: Above 20-, 50-, and 200-day MAs
📈 RSI: 64.25 – bullish but nearing overbought
📉 MACD: Bearish crossover → possible short-term pullback
📎 Bollinger Band: Price near upper band – may act as resistance
✅ Majority Long Bias (3 of 4 Models Agree)
Grok/xAI, Llama/Meta, Gemini/Google:
• Solid technical structure (higher highs/lows)
• High open interest and positive momentum
• Slight MACD concern, but bullish setup intact
• R:R ≈ 1.5:1 with upside target in 6,100 area
⚠️ Contrarian View – DeepSeek:
• Warns of overextension after a 30-day rally
• Suggests bearish MACD could drive pullback
• Recommends short targeting 5,930
📌 Recommended Trade Setup
🎯 Direction: LONG
📥 Entry: 6,027.25 (at market open)
🛑 Stop Loss: 5,980.00 (below short-term support)
🎯 Take Profit: 6,098.00 (R:R ≈ 1.5:1)
📊 Size: 1 contract
📈 Confidence: 65%
⚠️ Risk Watch
• 📉 MACD crossover = potential short-term weakness
• 🧊 Near upper Bollinger Band = possible resistance
• 💨 Volatility at open can cause whipsaw → manage risk strictly
• 🌐 Monitor news/macro events for any directional shift
📣 Are you taking the NYSE:ES long today or fading it like DeepSeek?
Drop your view ⬇️ | Follow for more AI-powered market setups.
06/10/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Market analysisEOD accountability report: +2575
Sleep: 9 hours
Overall health: Good
What was my initial plan?
I was neutral going into market open, I expected market to pullback a bit if we had lost 6016 but it never truly got lost.
remained neutral and just watched my levels of 6028 and 6045.
**Daily Trade recap based on VX Algo System from (9:30am to 2pm)**
— 9:30 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3!
— 10:00 AM VXAlgo YM X3 Sell Signal
— 10:58 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal
— 11:32 AM VXAlgo ES X3 Sell Signal (triple sell x3) B+ set up
— 12:00 PM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3!
1:03 PM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal
— 1:20 PM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal
Next day plan--> Above 6000 = Bullish, Under 5990 = Bearish
Video Recaps -->https://tradingview.sweetlogin.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
06/09/25 Trade Journal, and Where is the Stock Market going tomoEOD accountability report: +1800
Sleep: 9 hours
Overall health: Good
What was my initial plan?
Bearish going into the market since we had bearish structure, but missed the short at the start of the market. So just waited for gamma levels to hit orr 1 min MOB to be lost before shorting.
Daily Trade recap based on VX Algo System from (9:30am to 2pm)
— 9:30 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3!
— 10:20 AM VXAlgo YM X1 Buy Signal,
— 11:00 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
— 1:17 PM VXAlgo NQ X1 Sell Signal (triple sell signal by 1:20)
Next day plan--> Above 6000 = Bullish, Under 5990 = Bearish
Video Recaps -->https://tradingview.sweetlogin.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
ES Futures Weekly Summary — Bullish Bias into June 7, 2025📈 ES Futures Weekly Summary — Bullish Bias into June 7, 2025
🧠 Model Consensus Overview
Model Bias Strategy Entry SL TP Size Confidence
Grok/xAI Mod. Bullish Long 5,980 5,880 6,120 2 65%
Claude Mod. Bullish Long 5,979 5,850 6,100 1 72%
Llama Mod. Bullish Long 5,950 5,850 6,050 1 70%
Gemini Mod. Bullish Long 5,979 5,929 6,079 1 70%
DeepSeek Mod. Bullish Long 5,979 5,880 6,080 1 65%
✅ Trade Recommendation
📈 Direction: LONG ES Futures
🎯 Entry Price: 5,979.00 (market open)
🛑 Stop Loss: 5,880.00
🎯 Take Profit: 6,080.00
📏 Size: 1 Contract
📈 Confidence: 70%
⏰ Entry Timing: Market Open
🔍 Key Technicals
Price is above 20/50/200 SMAs on daily and intraday charts
RSI ~63–65 → Healthy but not yet overbought
MACD divergence or slowdown flagged as short-term caution
Near or at upper Bollinger Band = possible consolidation ahead
⚠️ Key Risks & Considerations
🧭 Bearish MACD crossover could trigger early pullback
🧊 Price at upper Bollinger band → short-term pause likely
🔀 Watch for volatility at open or index correlation breaks
📰 Unexpected macro news could shift bias
S&P 500: Coiling Tight as Bulls Eye 6000 BreakIf at first you don’t succeed, try, try again.
I suspect that’s what S&P 500 bulls are contemplating when it comes to clearing the psychologically important 6000 level in futures—although this time may meet with more success than when last tested in late May.
Coiling within an ascending triangle pattern, and with bullish momentum starting to flick higher again, the ducks are starting to line up for a possible topside break.
If the price can pierce 6000 and take out the May 29 high, consider establishing longs with a stop beneath 6000 for protection against reversal. Some resistance may be encountered at 6100, although the obvious target for bulls will be to take out the record high set in February.
Should the price be unable to clear 6000 and break uptrend support running from the May 23 low, it would favour range trade down to support at 5740.
Good luck!
DS
Support and Resistance Areas: 5879.75-5972.75
Hello, traders.
Please "Follow" to get the latest information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(ES1! 1D chart)
There are two important support and resistance areas.
5879.75-5972.75 and 5664.75-5720.50 sections.
If it rises after receiving support near the 5879.75-5972.75 section, it is expected that the 6031.75-6051.50 section will act as resistance.
If it falls in the 5879.75-5972.75 section,
1st: 5664.75-5720.50
2nd: M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart
You should check whether there is support near the 1st and 2nd sections above.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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06/02/25 Trade Journal, and Where is the Stock Market going tomo**EOD accountability report: +1176**
Sleep: 6 hours , Overall health: Health is getting better as I am getting a bit more rest, but can't seem to push past 6 hours of sleep. Might attempt to sleep earlier as i am usually heading to be around 1-2 am and waking up around 9. Also learned that I have pretty high cholesterol last week, so I plan to start implementing fiber pills into my night stack as it is essential to flooding out cholesterol.
**Should I release my daily supplement stack?**
What was my initial plan?
Bullish going into the market as we went over $5900, and looking for BTD at MOB, Flipped Bearish as we lost MOB.
**Daily Trade recap based on VX Algo System**
— 10:00 AM VXAlgo ES X3 Sell Signal
— 10:30 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3!
— 11:26 AM VXAlgo YM X1 Sell Signal
— 2:00 PM VXAlgo NQ X3 Sell Signal
Next day plan--> Above 5900 = Bullish, Under 5880 = Bearish
Video Recaps -->https://tradingview.sweetlogin.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
Weekly Market Forecast: Monday UPDATES!How accurate were the forecasts for S&P 500, NASDAQ, DOW JONES, Gold and Silver futures given in the Weekly Market Forecast for this week?
BULLSEYE!
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May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
S&P 500 BULLISH GRAB: Steal These Gains Before the Trap Closes!🚨 E-MINI S&P 500 HEIST: Bullish Loot Before the Market Turns (Thief Trading Blueprint) 🚨
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Buy Limit orders near swing lows/highs (15-30 min TF)
📌 Pro Tip: SET PRICE ALERTS! Don't miss the move
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📍 Smart Thief SL: Nearest swing low (4H timeframe)
📍 Adjust based on your risk tolerance & position size
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🎯 6260.00 (or exit early if the market turns)
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ES - Day Trading Analysis With Volume ProfileOn ES , it's nice to see a strong sell-off from the price of 5989. It's also encouraging to observe a strong volume area where a lot of contracts are accumulated.
I believe that sellers from this area will defend their short positions. When the price returns to this area, strong sellers will push the market down again.
Fair Value GAP (FVG) and Volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go short on this trade.
Happy trading,
Dale
Understanding VWAP In TradingWhat is VWAP?
VWAP is a price benchmark that gives more importance to prices where higher trading volume occurs. Unlike simple moving averages, which treat each price point equally, VWAP provides a volume-weighted perspective, making it more representative of market activity.
Traders use VWAP to gauge market trends, confirm trade entries and exits, and measure the quality of executions relative to the market's liquidity.
How Institutional Traders Use VWAP
Large financial institutions and mutual funds execute large orders over time to minimize their market impact.
VWAP helps them:
Achieve better execution by ensuring their orders are filled at a price close to the session's average.
Reduce market impact by avoiding aggressive buying or selling at extreme price points.
Gauge liquidity and time their orders efficiently.
Role of VWAP in Algorithmic Trading
VWAP is integral to algorithmic trading strategies that automate order execution.
Algorithms use VWAP in:
VWAP Trading Strategies: Algorithms execute orders in line with VWAP to avoid moving the market.
Mean Reversion Trading: Traders look for deviations from VWAP, buying when the price is below and selling when it is above.
Liquidity-Based Order Execution: Algorithms track VWAP to execute trades more efficiently, particularly in high-frequency trading (HFT).
Why VWAP is a Critical Benchmark for Intraday Traders
For short-term traders, VWAP provides key insights into market behavior:
Trend Confirmation: If the price is above VWAP, it indicates bullish sentiment; below VWAP suggests bearish conditions.
Entry and Exit Points: Traders use VWAP as support/resistance for trade decisions.
Institutional Footprint: Retail traders track VWAP to understand where large orders might be executing.
Since VWAP resets daily, it remains a highly relevant indicator for gauging intraday momentum and trend strength.
Calculation
Where:
Price = (High + Low + Close) / 3 (Typical Price for each period)
Volume = The total number of shares/contracts traded in the period
Understanding How VWAP is Calculated:
Calculate the Typical Price (TP): TP=High+Low+Close/3
Multiply TP by Volume for each time period to get the Cumulative Price-Volume product.
Sum the Price-Volume values cumulatively throughout the day.
Divide by the cumulative volume up to that time.
Since VWAP is cumulative from the market open, it resets at the start of each trading day.
Difference Between VWAP and Moving Averages
VWAP
Volume-weighted
Resets daily
Determines fair value in a session
Reacts to volume spikes
Moving Averages (SMA/EMA)
Equal-weighted (SMA) or Exponentially weighted (EMA)
Continuous across multiple sessions
Identifies overall trend direction
Reacts to price changes
How to Interpret VWAP
When the price is above VWAP: It suggests that the market is in an uptrend, and VWAP may act as support if the price retraces.
When the price is below VWAP: It signals a downtrend, and VWAP may act as resistance if the price attempts to rise.
Reclaiming VWAP: If the price moves below VWAP but then breaks back above it, this could signal a bullish reversal. The opposite is true for a bearish scenario.
VWAP and Market Trend Identification
Uptrend: If the price remains consistently above VWAP and VWAP itself is sloping upward, the market is in an uptrend.
Downtrend: If the price stays below VWAP and VWAP is sloping downward, the market is in a downtrend.
Sideways Market: If the price oscillates around VWAP and VWAP remains flat, the market is range-bound.
VWAP Standard Deviations (Bands) and Their Significance
First Standard Deviation (VWAP ±1σ)
Represents a normal fluctuation around VWAP.
Prices bouncing within this range indicate balanced market activity.
Second Standard Deviation (VWAP ±2σ)
Suggests stronger price movement.
A move beyond this level may indicate an overbought (above VWAP) or oversold (below VWAP) condition.
Third Standard Deviation (VWAP ±3σ)
Extreme price movement; rarely sustained.
A reversion back toward VWAP is highly likely.
Misinterpreting VWAP Signals
Many traders assume that VWAP alone dictates market direction. However, simply being above or below VWAP does not automatically mean the market is bullish or bearish. Market structure, momentum, and external factors such as news events or institutional order flows must also be considered.
How to Avoid It?
Look for Confirmation: Use VWAP in combination with price action and other indicators, such as volume, market structure, and momentum oscillators (e.g., RSI or MACD).
Check the Trend of VWAP: If VWAP is sloping upward and price is above it, this signals strength. Conversely, a downward-sloping VWAP with price below it indicates weakness.
Observe Price Interaction with VWAP: If the price consistently bounces off VWAP and continues in the trend direction, it confirms its role as dynamic support or resistance. If the price frequently crosses VWAP back and forth without clear direction, it signals a choppy, range-bound market.
Strategies
VWAP Bounce
If the price pulls back to VWAP and holds, traders may look for a long entry (in an uptrend) or a short entry (in a downtrend).
Stop-loss orders are often placed slightly beyond VWAP in case of a trend reversal.
VWAP Breakout
If the price consolidates near VWAP and then breaks out strongly, traders may enter in the direction of the breakout.
A sustained break above VWAP signals strength, while a break below VWAP signals weakness.
VWAP as a Reversion Point
Traders monitor price deviations from VWAP. If the price moves too far from VWAP, a reversion trade back toward VWAP may be expected.
Key Takeaways
VWAP Represents Fair Value – It calculates the average price of a security, weighted by volume, giving traders insight into where most of the trading activity has occurred.
Intraday Benchmark – VWAP resets daily and is primarily used by intraday traders and institutions to assess whether prices are trading at a premium or discount.
Support and Resistance Tool – VWAP often acts as dynamic support in uptrends and resistance in downtrends, helping traders make entry and exit decisions.
Institutional Trading Guide – Large institutions use VWAP to execute orders efficiently, minimizing market impact and ensuring better fills.
VWAP vs. Moving Averages – Unlike moving averages, which continue across multiple sessions, VWAP is cumulative from the market open and resets each day.
Trend Confirmation – Price above a rising VWAP signals a strong uptrend, while price below a declining VWAP suggests a downtrend.
Avoid Over-Reliance – While useful, VWAP should be combined with volume analysis, price action, and other indicators to avoid false signals.
VWAP Bands for Overbought/Oversold Levels – Standard deviation bands around VWAP can help identify price extremes and potential mean reversion setups.
VWAP is more than just an average—it's the heartbeat of market sentiment, revealing where true liquidity and fair value align.
Stay sharp, stay ahead, and let’s make those moves. Until next time, happy trading!