DIYWallSt Trade Journal:$238 Lessons From Monthly Expiration07/18/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis
EOD accountability report: +238.75
Sleep: 5. hours
Overall health: Was working late last night and didn't get much sleep.
VX Algo System Signals from (9:30am to 2pm)
— 8:30 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
— 10:30 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3!
— 11:10 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Buy signal (didn't work that well)
— 12:10 PM VXAlgo NQ X1DD Sell Signal
— 12:19 PM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
What’s are some news or takeaway from today? and What major news or event impacted the market today?
Today was monthly expiration for options and we got a lot of X7 Sell signals but structure was bullish so I tried to take a long at MOB and got burned. Flipped bearish and started shorting the rest of the day and ended up making money back.
News
*US STOCKS MOVE LOWER AFTER REPORT SAYS TRUMP PUSHES FOR 15-20% MINIMUM TARIFF ON ALL EU GOODS
What are the critical support levels to watch?
--> Above 6335= Bullish, Under 6315= Bearish
Video Recaps -->https://tradingview.sweetlogin.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
ES1! trade ideas
AI Economy Surge: ES Heading to 6626? | VolanX Protocol in Actio🧠 AI Economy Surge: ES Heading to 6626? | VolanX Protocol in Action
📅 Date: July 17, 2025
📈 Instrument: ESU2025 – S&P 500 E-mini Futures
🔍 Timeframe: Daily
🔗 Powered by: WaverVanir DSS | VolanX Protocol
🌐 Macro Backdrop:
📉 Fed on Pause: Market pricing implies a 70% probability of a rate cut in September 2025, driven by disinflation, labor softness, and rising default rates in CRE and consumer credit.
🤖 AI Productivity Shock: Mega-cap tech is driving EPS beats, but real productivity gains are lumpy. We're witnessing a volatile transition to an AI-dominated economy.
💼 Liquidity Conditions: Treasury issuance rising but absorbed for now. Reverse repo drains slowing. This creates windows of upward momentum, though fragile.
📊 Technical Outlook (VolanX DSS):
Price rejected 0.786–0.886 retracement zone, confirming institutional defense near 6,300.
Momentum has shifted back to bulls with a clean reclaim of short-term VWAP bands.
Fibonacci extension targets:
🎯 1.236 = 6,421.50
🎯 1.618 = 6,654.50
🟡 High-probability magnet = 6,626 (aligned with 1.5 std dev extension + volume node gap fill)
📌 Key Levels:
Support: 6,290 • 6,209 (HVN) • 5,721 (Macro POC)
Resistance: 6,421.5 • 6,626 • 6,938
🎯 Trade Setup (Options Strategy):
🛠️ High Conviction Trade – Bull Call Spread
Buy ESU25 6350 Call
Sell ESU25 6625 Call
DTE: 30–45 days
Max Risk: Defined
Max Reward: Captures full extension to 6625 zone
✅ This spread is risk-defined, benefits from moderate upside, and avoids IV crush vs outright long call.
🎯 Use if you expect a grind higher with spikes, not a straight melt-up.
Trade Journal: Missed Morning Move & Trading Into New Highs07/17/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis
EOD accountability report: +447.50
Sleep: 5 hours
Overall health: My health ring is signaling that my body isn't well the last few days.
VX Algo System Signals from (9:30am to 2pm)
— 8:53 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
— 12:17 PM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal (triple sell signal)
— 1:12 PM VXAlgo ES X3 Sell Signal
— 1:40 PM VXAlgo NQ X1DD Buy Signal
What’s are some news or takeaway from today? and What major news or event impacted the market today?
Today was a bit of a rough trading day, I missed the morning move and was a bit hesitant to make trades.
Saw a lot of MM positioning high up around 6340s and wasn't sure where to get a good entry. Wanted to go in at the MOB but they never went down there.
Sell signals were not as effective today because MM wanted to make ATH but i couldn't figure out the reasoning.
News
S&P 500 ENDS AT A NEW RECORD HIGH, VIX FALLS AS STOCKS RALLY ON SOLID EARNINGS, STRONG ECONOMIC DATA
What are the critical support levels to watch?
--> Above 6300= Bullish, Under 6290= Bearish
Video Recaps -->https://tradingview.sweetlogin.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
Congestion Action vs Congestion Exit – Mastering the TransitionWhen markets go quiet and churn sideways, it’s easy to get lost in the noise. But inside that congestion lies opportunity — if you understand the difference between "Congestion Action" and "Congestion Exit." Here’s how to apply Drummond Geometry to trade these phases with precision:
🔹 Congestion Action
Congestion action is when the market is not ready to trend — it's swinging back and forth within a defined range, between a strong block level and a well-established dotted line. Think of it as a "resting zone" before the next directional move.
📏 Original Confines: Highest high and lowest low after a congestion entrance as shown on the chart
🚧 Expanded Confines: Price temporarily breaks out of the range but doesn’t establish a trend (3 closes on the came side of the PLdot (blue line)).
🧲 This is where scalpers and range traders thrive. Look for setups near envelope confines and use nearby energy fields.
✅ Trade Plan: Play the range — buy support, sell resistance — until proven otherwise.
🔸 Congestion Exit
This is when the market transitions from ranging to trending — a trend run begins from within the congestion zone.
🚀 First bar of a new trend closes outside the congestion confines (either the block level (highest high on the chart) or the dotted line (the low on the chart)).
📊 The next bar must confirm with a trend run close — if not, it’s a failed breakout. You can see on the chart that price tried to trend lower but the trend was not confirmed!
⚡ Patterns to watch:
Energy pushing in the direction of the exit (PL Dot push, c-wave continuation).
6-1 lines against the breakout direction disappear.(Not visible in this version)
Resistance/support against the exit breaks.
✅ Trade Plan: Enter on breakout confirmation, not just the breakout bar. Measure energy and watch the follow-through.
🧭 Tip:
Don't get faked out. If price re-enters congestion after a breakout, re-draw the boundaries — the old congestion is no longer valid.
🔥 Bottom Line:
Congestion Action is where the market breathes. Congestion Exit is where it moves. Mastering the handoff between the two gives you a decisive edge.
SP500 ES Weekly Recap | ATH Deviation → Pullback or Powell Pump?Overview:
ES made a new all-time high last week, sweeping the previous high with strong momentum.
However, the move ended up being a deviation, and the price quickly reversed — suggesting short-term exhaustion.
Bearish Scenario (Baseline):
🔻 Rejection from ATH
🔻 Possible retracement targets:
12H Swing Low (turquoise line)
Weekly Fair Value Gap (purple zone)
I believe a pullback into those levels could provide bullish continuation setups for new highs. I’ll look for LTF confirmation once price reaches those zones.
Bullish Scenario (Catalyst-Driven):
🚨 If Fed Chair Powell resigns this week (a circulating macro rumor), the market may not wait for retracement.
This could lead to an aggressive breakout, driving ES and risk assets straight into new ATHs again.
Plan:
✅ Watch for LTF confirmation after pullback
✅ Stay open to both scenarios
✅ Focus on HTF bullish structure as long as key levels hold
DIYWallSt Trade Journal: How I Navigated Powell Firing Rumors & 07/16/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis
EOD accountability report: +428.75
Sleep: 7 hours
Overall health: Good
VX Algo System Signals from (9:30am to 2pm)
— 4:17 AM Market Structure flipped bullish
— 9:50 AM Market Structure flipped bearish
— 12:00 PM VXAlgo NQ X3 Buy Signal
— 1:02 PMMarket Structure flipped bullish
What’s are some news or takeaway from today? and What major news or event impacted the market today?
Today was a crazy trading day with a bunch of wild moves because Trump said they were going to fire Powell and then cancelled the threat.
Overall health and sleep have been good this week and our trading balance is reflecting that.
News
— 10:30 AM *SCOTT BESSENT: “FORMAL PROCESS” TO REPLACE FED CHAIR POWELL UNDERWAY
— 12:11 PM
*TRUMP ASKED IF HE WILL FIRE POWELL: NOT PLANNING ON DOING ANYTHING
What are the critical support levels to watch?
--> Above 6290= Bullish, Under 6280= Bearish
Video Recaps -->https://tradingview.sweetlogin.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
Using 1 min time frame for entries on VX algo & day tradingwhat time frames do you use to confirm entries outside of a buy signal?
If I am day trading, I will mainly use the 1 minute time frame to look for moving average support and resistance, and read the candle stick patterns as well from that chart.
However, there are times I'll switch to a 5 minute and 10 minute time frame to take a look at levels for moving averages and see what the candle stick patterns are from there.
So for example, today we had 3 of the x1 sell signals around 9:31, so we pull up the 1 min chart, we are getting confirm break of the 1st moving average support = bearish confirmation #1, follow by DHC = Bearish confirmation #2 , and the sell signal is already 3 confirmations, so we need to short ASAP.
Bounce or Burial? The MES Funeral is Loading…The Micro E-mini S&P is walking a tightrope. After weeks of controlled movement within a rising parallel channel, price has now slammed into the lower boundary and the next move will define the week's direction.
I've mapped the channel from the July 2 low, with multiple precise touches on both upper and lower boundaries. Currently, MES is printing a heavy rejection from the 6360 supply zone, falling nearly 90 points back to the channel’s base near 6270.
Preferred Bias: Short-term Bearish Until Reclaimed
While the macro structure is still technically bullish (channel intact), momentum, supply pressure, and volume structure suggest sellers are gaining the upper hand:
- Mid-channel equilibrium (EQ) at 6310 was sliced without bounce
- No absorption yet at 6270 demand box
- Previous rally legs show decreasing impulsiveness — weakening buyers
Unless bulls aggressively defend 6270 with a reclaim candle or V-shape wick, this looks like a liquidity tap + structural breakdown loading up.
Bearish Play: “Channel Collapse Incoming”
Entry: Break + retest of 6,255–6,260 zone
SL: 6,275 (above retest structure)
TP1: 6,225
TP2: 6,180
Confluences:
- Channel break
- No support bounce at EQ
- Supply rejection at 6360
- Volume void below 6250
Bullish Play (Countertrend Fade): “Defend the Line”
Entry: Bounce off 6,270 with bullish engulfing or reclaim
SL: 6,255 (invalidate structure)
TP1: 6,310 (mid-channel)
TP2: 6,340–6,360 (supply reload zone)
Only valid if buyers show up with real intent don’t pre-empt.
This is a textbook inflection zone. If the lower trend line breaks and retests from below, momentum favours the bears. If bulls trap and reverse this drop at 6270, we could see a fast grind back to 6360 but as of now, all signs lean toward breakdown over bounce.
DIYWallSt Trade Journal:The Importance of Your First Trade **07/14/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis **
EOD accountability report: +158.75
Sleep: 7 hours
Overall health: Good
** VX Algo System Signals from (9:30am to 2pm) **
— 8:00 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
— 10:30 AM VXAlgo NQ X1DD Buy Signal
— 11:50 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal
— 1:00 PM VXAlgo NQ X1DD Buy Signal
**What’s are some news or takeaway from today? and What major news or event impacted the market today? **
I need to really be careful with my first trade and making sure it is a high probability trade, otherwise a bad early start is likely to ruin my whole day.
News
— 1:42 PM *TRUMP TO UNVEIL $70 BILLION IN AI AND ENERGY INVESTMENTS
— 4:08 PM *S&P 500 ENDS HIGHER AS STOCKS RISE AFTER TRUMP SAYS OPEN TO DEALS ON TARIFFS
**What are the critical support levels to watch?**
--> Above 6295= Bullish, Under 6285= Bearish
Video Recaps -->https://tradingview.sweetlogin.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
BEAR WITH ME... First of all, I'm getting into the field of other players and trying to call their type of shots.
I don't intend to come across as ignorant when it comes to this market, since I only trade gold and I have seen FOREX traders try to predict gold and get it completely wrong.
I have NO ARGUMENTS WHATSOEVER with which I could back this PREDICTION up; NOT PROJECTION...
As a matter of fact, Technically speaking , the " PROJECTION " would actually be BULLISH , because price is entering a "discovery" phase, In which there is no previous high to "top" a potential impulse with.
When price is making ATH, YOU CAN'T CALL THE TOP UNTIL THE TOP IS FORMED.
That being said, I only want to have this on my profile for personal use and see if my "prediction" comes a reality between December 2025 and February 2026.
--
TRADING RANGE - ES!DT on the daily, ES! may pullback a little bit lower before moving up and breakout to a establish a new high. Last Friday was a High2 pullback, close lower than the previous bar. Looks like a consolidation or a trading range between 6336 to 6246. On the 15min paints 2 potential move either up or down, and bias seems to be bearish to complete the symmetry of the previous down leg then reverse back up. Rule of thumb buy or sell stop 1 tick above or below the marked lines.
S&P 500: Time For A Pullback??
In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the S&P 500 for the week of July 14 - 18th.
The S&P 500 had a strong week, until Tariff Tensions Friday arrived.
This by itself doesn't mean we should start looking for sells. With Tuesday CPI Data coming, this short term consolidation is to be expected until the news is announced.
Let the markets pick a direction, and flow with it.
Have a plan of action in place so you can react to the price action promptly!
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
DIYWallSt Trade Journal: Missed Entry & Climbing Back From Loss **07/11/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis **
EOD accountability report: -46.25
Sleep: 5 hours
Overall health: Good
** VX Algo System Signals from (9:30am to 2pm) 3/3 success**
— 9:41 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3!
— 10:15 AM VXAlgo ES X7 Buy signal,
— 10:23 AM Structure flipped bullish
— 11:30 AM VXAlgo ES X3DD Sell Signal
**What’s are some news or takeaway from today? and What major news or event impacted the market today? **
I was a little busy this morning and missed the chance to short the market at MOB with Bearish market structure at 9:30, so I had to wait for the next chance but when i shorted the MOB on the move up, the X7 buy signal came out and pushed market structure bullish.
Ultimately If i had a better entry on my short, I would have been okay, but since i shorted early, i got stopped at at 6306 and it ended up dropping right after that. So the day actually started pretty bad and i was -300 from there and was just trying to climb back and forth the next few hours.
News
*LATEST TARIFF THREATS COULD DELAY RATE CUTS, CHICAGO FED’S GOOLSBEE SAYS - WSJ
**What are the critical support levels to watch?**
--> Above 6290= Bullish, Under 6280= Bearish
Video Recaps -->https://tradingview.sweetlogin.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts