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E-mini Nasdaq-100 Futures (Dec 2023)E-mini Nasdaq-100 Futures (Dec 2023)E-mini Nasdaq-100 Futures (Dec 2023)

E-mini Nasdaq-100 Futures (Dec 2023)

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NQZ2023 trade ideas

NQ Short (07-30-25)NAZ is at upper target and Turn Zone from May 12th post. Failure here should see a 5% drop test. The idea is that buyers will need some sellers in order to get higher. The sellers will help to test the level strength. Month end into a Friday-Monday Long play and a break in this long standing pattern may create the opposite. Current danger zone is the 23,486 KL. Look Long above and short below. Scalping Shorts should turn to holding shorts and scalping Longs. Expect timely Tweets and same old Tricks near or under the DZ. O/N is still The BOSS until both the O/N and Reg Session sell (on same day).
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by MAZing
6
NASDAQ at Key Turning Point 🔍Technical Context After testing the 23,600–23,800 supply zone, price printed a strong bearish rejection with a weekly engulfing candle. The RSI broke decisively below the midline, signaling a clear loss of momentum. Price is now trading back within the weekly demand zone between 22,800 and 22,950. If a pullback toward 23,200 occurs, it could offer a fresh short opportunity, with downside targets around 22,600. 🪙 COT Report – July 29 Non-Commercials (speculators): Long: +8,581 Short: +4,355 Commercials (hedging): Long: +4,955 Short: +8,556 The market remains net long, but commercials are increasingly hedging with shorts. The current imbalance — 88.6% long vs 11.3% short — suggests excessive bullish positioning, raising the risk of a correction. 🗓️ Seasonality – August August is historically strong for the NASDAQ: +222 pts (10Y) +400 pts (5Y) +912 pts (2Y) While the trend is clearly bullish seasonally, caution is warranted: Tops are often formed during the first half of August, followed by more pronounced corrections in September. 📉 Operational Summary Primary scenario: Wait for a retest of the 23,200–23,250 area Look for rejection signals → enter short Target 1: 22,800 Target 2: 22,600 Alternatively: If 22,800 breaks on a strong weekly close, deeper downside scenarios may unfold.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
4
How to Use Engulfing Candles in TradingViewEngulfing patterns are among the most powerful candlestick formations because they signal strong momentum shifts and can help you spot dramatic trend reversal opportunities. What You'll Learn: • How to identify valid engulfing formations where one candle completely covers another's body • The two types: bullish engulfing (green candle engulfs red) and bearish engulfing (red candle engulfs green) • Psychology behind engulfing patterns: when one side completely overwhelms the other • Using volume analysis to confirm engulfing pattern validity • Finding meaningful engulfing patterns at trend highs and lows for reversal setups • Timeframe considerations for engulfing analysis on any chart period • Step-by-step trading strategy for engulfing reversal setups • Setting proper stop losses above engulfing candle highs • Determining profit targets below engulfing candle lows • Managing wide-range drawdowns common with strong momentum shifts • Advanced entry technique: waiting for retracements to improve risk-reward ratios This tutorial may help futures traders and technical analysts who want to use powerful candlestick patterns to identify significant momentum changes. The strategies covered could assist you in creating effective reversal setups when strong buying or selling pressure appears at key price levels. Learn more about futures trading with Tradingview: optimusfutures.com Disclaimer: There is a substantial risk of loss in futures trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please trade only with risk capital. We are not responsible for any third-party links, comments, or content shared on TradingView. Any opinions, links, or messages posted by users on TradingView do not represent our views or recommendations. Please exercise your own judgment and due diligence when engaging with any external content or user commentary. This video represents the opinion of Optimus Futures and is intended for educational purposes only. Chart interpretations are presented solely to illustrate objective technical concepts and should not be viewed as predictive of future market behavior. In our opinion, charts are analytical tools—not forecasting instruments. Market conditions are constantly evolving, and all trading decisions should be made independently, with careful consideration of individual risk tolerance and financial objectives.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Education
by OptimusFutures
1
NASDAQ 100 LOOKING OVERBOUGHT RIPE FOR A CORRECTION?Hey Traders so today was looking at the Nasdaq 100 and it seems like it's approaching overbought territory at all time highs. Of course no one knows what earnings season will bring and seasonally historically August is normally a good month for stocks. So if we look at previous rallies market seems to correct eventually 3% or 4%. I think that is actually healthy for the market also. So if your bullish watch for 3% correction and buy back in around 22,800-23,000 put a stop under support at around 22,000-22,500. Hopefully the market won't make it that far on a sell off so odds of getting stopped out are low I think. However if you are Bearish I don't reccommend selling at All Time High. Best odds for stronger selloff I think is waiting until September as it is historically the weakest month of the year for stocks seasonally. Good Luck & Always use Risk Management! (Just in we are wrong in our analysis most experts recommend never to risk more than 2% of your account equity on any given trade.) Hope This Helps Your Trading 😃 Clifford
CME_MINI:NQU2025Long
by TradeTheIndex
4
Why Are Markets Rising Despite the Tariffs?Because of the 1) Set timeline on finalizing the tariff rates and 2) The ongoing negotiations, They aimed at striking a balanced deal between the U.S. and its trading partners. The Liberation Day tariffs were announced on 2nd April, and markets initially crashed in response. However, just seven days later, on 9th April, the U.S. postponed the higher tariff increases for most countries by 90 days. Since then, markets have rebounded and even broken above their all-time highs set in December last year. Now that the dust is settling with the expiration of timeline and ongoing negotiations, the big question is: Where will the markets head next? Mirco Nasdaq Futures and Options Ticker: MNQ Minimum fluctuation: 0.25 index points = $0.50 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.sweetlogin.com
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by konhow
NASDAQ - Fair Value GAP On NASDAQ , it's nice to see a strong buying reaction at the price of 23450.00. There's a significant accumulation of contracts in this area, indicating strong buyer interest. I believe that buyers who entered at this level will defend their long positions. If the price returns to this area, strong buyers will likely push the market up again. (FVG) - Fair Value GAP and high volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go long on this trade. Happy trading Dale
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Trader_Dale
1
NQ Targets (08-04-25)Many calls did play out last week and looking for some targets to get tested this week. On 7/29 called the Yellow arrow (last week's called range), the white is this week's. NDX has some gaps to retest, YTD chart below and yellow arrows are the targets. The 30M and 4HR charts are adjusted to match the NDX gaps. Anyway, the Overnight will be used to redirect the NAZ back up after most drops, this is normal and just beware of the O/N Pump/Dump once the Reg Session starts. Washington Street will spin, Fire, Tweet and do whatever works to get NAZ back above the DZ 23,486. Just watch the Queen spiral out of control should it not. The two day drop erased 23 trading days and those buyers are now loosing money. Should it not come back, the buyers that did not sell (trapped) will sell and send this even lower. Games/tricks can not fix that.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by MAZing
1
Lord Jesus Christ, Son of God, have mercy on us sinnersare you ready... ? In the name of the Father, and of the Son, and of the Holy Spirit. Amen. Glory to Thee, our God, glory to Thee. O Heavenly King, O Comforter, the Spirit of Truth, who art in all places and fillest all things; Treasury of good things and Giver of life, come and dwell in us and cleanse us from every stain, and save our souls, O gracious Lord. Holy God, Holy Mighty, Holy Immortal, have mercy on us. Glory to the Father, and to the Son, and to the Holy Spirit: now and ever and unto ages of ages. Amen. All-holy Trinity, have mercy on us. Lord, cleanse us from our sins. Master, pardon our iniquities. Holy God, visit and heal our infirmities for Thy name's sake. Lord, have mercy. Glory to the Father, and to the Son, and to the Holy Spirit: now and ever and unto ages of ages. Amen. Our Father, who art in the heavens, hallowed be Thy name: Thy kingdom come; Thy will be done on earth, as it is in heaven. Give us this day our daily bread; and forgive us our trespasses, as we forgive those who trespass against us; and lead us not into temptation, but deliver us from the evil one. For Thine is the kingdom, and the power, and the glory, of the Father, and of the Son, and of the Holy Spirit: now and ever and unto ages of ages. Amen. In one, holy, catholic, and apostolic Church
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by thanosk
56
NFP Miss Implications: Recession Signal or Rate Cut CatalystCME_MINI:NQ1! CME_MINI:ES1! CME_MINI:MNQ1! Happy Friday, folks! Today is the first Friday of August, and that means the highly anticipated Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) numbers came in at 7.30 am CT. US Non-Farm Payrolls (Jul) 73.0k vs. Exp. 110.0k (Prev. 147.0k, Rev. 14k); two-month net revisions: -258k (prev. +16k). Other key labor market indicators were as follows: • US Unemployment Rate (Jul) 4.2% vs. Exp. 4.2% (Prev. 4.1%) • US Average Earnings MM (Jul) 0.3% vs. Exp. 0.3% (Prev. 0.2%) • US Average Earnings YY (Jul) 3.9% vs. Exp. 3.8% (Prev. 3.7%, Rev. 3.8%) • US Labor Force Particle (Jul) 62.2% (Prev. 62.3%) Data and Key Events Recap: What a year this week has been! It's been packed with high-impact economic data and pivotal central bank decisions, especially from the Federal Reserve. On top of that, trade and tariff announcements have dominated the headline. U.S. economic data this week was broadly strong. Second-quarter GDP came in at 3.0%, beating expectations and signaling solid growth. The ADP employment report also surprised to the upside, printing 104K vs. the 77K forecast. Consumer confidence showed resilience as well, with the Conference Board’s reading rising to 97.2. Inflation data was mixed but mostly in line. Core PCE for June rose 0.3% MoM, while the YoY reading ticked up to 2.8%, slightly above the expected 2.7%. The broader PCE Price Index also came in at 0.3% MoM, with a YoY print of 2.6%, slightly higher than forecast. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted to keep the federal funds rate target range unchanged at 4.25% – 4.50%. Notably, Governors Waller and Bowman dissented, favoring a 25-basis-point rate cut as expected, however, marking the first dual dissent by governors since 1993. Changes to the FOMC Statement included a downgraded assessment of economic growth, reflecting slower real consumer spending. The Committee reiterated that uncertainty around the economic outlook remains elevated. It maintained its view of the labor market as "solid" and inflation as "somewhat elevated." Forward guidance remained unchanged, emphasizing the Fed’s readiness to adjust policy as necessary while continuing to monitor risks to both sides of its dual mandate. Here’s a summary of key points from the FOMC press conference: • On current policy stance: “We decided to leave our policy rate where it’s been, which I would characterize as modestly restrictive. Inflation is running a bit above 2%... even excluding tariff effects. The labor market is solid, financial conditions are accommodative, and the economy is not performing as if restrictive policy is holding it back.” Chair Powell commented on the need to see more data to help inform Fed’s assessment of the balance of risks and appropriate Fed Funds rate. • On labor market risks: “By many statistics, the labor market is still in balance... You do see a slowing in job creation, but also a slowing in the supply of workers. That’s why the unemployment rate has remained roughly stable.” • On inflation and tariffs: “It’s possible that tariff-related inflationary effects could be short-lived, but they may also prove persistent. We’re seeing substantial tariff revenue—around $30 billion a month—starting to show up in consumer prices. Companies intend to pass it on to consumers, but many may not be able to. We’ll need to watch and learn how this unfolds over time.” Trade Headlines: US President Trump announced tariffs on countries ranging from 10%-41%. Average US tariff rate now at 15.2% (prev. 13.3%; 2.3% pre-Trump), according to Bloomberg. US officials said that if the US has a surplus with a country, the tariff rate is 10% and small deficit nations have a 15% tariff, US officials said they are still working out technicalities of rules of origin terms for transshipment and will implement rules of origin details in the coming weeks. No details on Russian oil import penalty. Sectoral Tariffs White House said new reciprocal tariff rates take effect on Friday. Although Canada’s tariffs were increased to 35%, excluding USMCA goods, the effective rate is only 5%. The economic data is showing strength, on the contrary, tariffs announcements for most countries have now been announced. Investors need to consider that tariffs are not just a tool to reduce trade deficit, it is also a geopolitical tool presently being used to shape alliances. The US wants to soften BRICS, China and Russian influence on the world stage. Key to note is that these tariffs are substantially lower than what was announced on April 2nd, 2025. The key question now remains, do participants buy the dip or ‘sell the fact’ is the current playbook? Market Implications Given the prior revisions in NFP data of -258K, July’s payroll came in at 73K, missing forecasts of 110K. What does this mean for markets? Markets are now pricing in 75% chance of a September rate cut. Prior revisions along with the current job market slowing down imply that risks to the downside are substantially increasing. Fed’s current policy is not just moderately restrictive but rather it may likely tip the US into a recession if Fed Funds rates remain elevated. The Chair asked to see more data, and here it is but I do wonder why they did not take this data into account for the July meeting. Surely, it would have been available to them. Another question to ask would be, is it due to defiance of rate cut calls by the US administration? Is the Fed already behind the curve? Fed’s dual mandate targets inflation and maximum employment. While inflation is sticky, the Fed may need to abandon their 2% mandate in favor of average inflation of 2.5% to 3%. A less restrictive policy will provide needed stimulus along with the fiscal stimulus provided via the BBB bill. This drastically changes, in our analysis, how investors position themselves heading into the remainder of the year. Markets (equities) may retrace slightly but the dip in our opinion will still be the play given weaker labor market data and increased rate cut bets. The bad news here means that the Fed has the data it wants to see to start cutting. Market pricing in 2 cuts seems to be the way forward for now.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by EdgeClear
NQ | NASDAQ - Weekly Recap & Gameplan - 03/08/25📈 Market Context: The market is pricing in a potential 0.25% rate cut in the September FOMC meeting, keeping the overall structure bullish. Although we saw a retracement after the Non-Farm Employment Change came in weaker than expected, bullish sentiment remains intact. Currently, market sentiment has shifted to neutral from last week’s greed. Augusts are often choppy and prone to retracement/accumulation, but structurally, bulls still hold the upper hand. 🧾 Weekly Recap: • NQ started the week strong with price discovery, pushing higher from Monday to Thursday. • Eventually, price ran a key 4H swing liquidity, which led to another all-time high. • That move was followed by the start of a healthy retracement, signaling short-term distribution. 📌 Technical Outlook & Game Plan: → I'm expecting price to run into the Monthly Fair Value Gap — a major liquidity magnet in my model. → That move could generate significant bullish energy — at least a short-term bounce, if not a full reversal. → Until then, I remain bearish targeting 22,583 (my marked black line). 🎯 Setup Trigger: After price takes 22,583, I’ll watch for: • 4H–1H break of structure (BOS) • Formation of fresh demand zones → Upon LTF confirmation, I’ll look to go long aiming for another test of all-time highs. 📋 Trade Management: • Stoploss: Below the 1H–4H demand zone • Target: Trailing stop strategy; aggressive profit-taking on the way up • Note: Final target could be all-time highs, but I’ll manage the position actively 💬 Like, follow, and comment if this outlook adds value to your trading. Educational content and more setups are coming soon — stay tuned!
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by UA_CAPITAL